Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/01/2016.
Introduction
Speaking of the need for citizen participation in our
national politics in his final State of the Union address, President Obama said, “Our
brand of democracy is hard.” A more accurate characterization might have
been: “Our brand of democracy is cold hard cash.” Cash, mountains
of it, is increasingly the necessary tool for presidential candidates. Several
Powerball jackpots could already be fueled from the billions of dollars in
contributions in play in election 2016. When considering the present
donation season, however, the devil lies in the details, which is why the
details follow. Tyler Durden
….
Speaking of the need for citizen participation in our
national politics in his final State of the Union address, President Obama said, “Our
brand of democracy is hard.” A more accurate characterization might have
been: “Our brand of democracy is cold hard cash.”
Cash, mountains of it, is increasingly the necessary tool
for presidential candidates. Several Powerball jackpots could already be fueled
from the billions of dollars in contributions in play in election 2016. When
considering the present donation season, however, the devil lies in the
details, which is why the details follow.
With three 2016 debates down and six more scheduled, the
two fundraisers with the most surprising amount in common are Bernie Sanders
and Donald Trump. Neither has billionaire-infused super PACs, but for
vastly different reasons. Bernie has made it clear billionaires won’t ever hold
sway in his court. While Trump... well, you know, he’s not only a billionaire
but has the knack for getting the sort of attention that even billions can’t
buy.
Regarding the rest of the field, each candidate is
counting on the reliability of his or her own arsenal of billionaire sponsors
and corporate nabobs when the you-know-what hits the fan. And at this point,
believe it or not, thanks to the Supreme Court’s Citizens United
decision of 2010 and the super PACs that arose from it, all the billionaires
aren’t even nailed down or faintly tapped out yet. In fact, some of them
are already preparing to jump ship on their initial candidate of choice or
reserving the really big bucks for closer to game time, when only two nominees
will be duking it out for the White House.
Capturing this drama of the billionaires in new ways are
TV networks eager to profit from the latest eyeball-gluing version of election
politicking and the billions of dollars in ads that will flood onto screens
nationwide between now and November 8th. As super PACs, billionaires, and
behemoth companies press their influence on what used to be called “our
democracy,” the modern debate system, now a 16-month food fight, has become the
political equivalent of the NFL playoffs. In turn, soaring ratings numbers,
scads of ads, and the party infighting that helps generate them now translate
into billions of new dollars for media moguls.
For your amusement and mine, this being an
all-fun-all-the-time election campaign, let’s examine the relationships between
our twenty-first-century plutocrats and the contenders who have raised $5
million or more in individual contributions or through super PACs and are at 5%
or more in composite national polls. I’ll refrain from using the
politically correct phrases that feed into the illusion of distance between
super PACs that allegedly support candidates’ causes and the candidates
themselves, because in practice there is no distinction.
ON THE REPUBLICAN SIDE:
1. Ted Cruz: Most
“God-Fearing” Billionaires
Yes, it’s true the Texas senator “goofed” in neglecting
to disclose to the Federal Election Commission (FEC) a tiny six-figure loan from Goldman Sachs for his successful 2012
Senate campaign. (After all, what’s half-a-million dollars between friends,
especially when the investment bank that offered it also employed your wife as
well as your finance chairman?) As The Donald recently told a crowd in Iowa,
when it comes to Ted Cruz, “Goldman Sachs owns him. Remember that, folks. They
own him.”
That aside, with a slew of wealthy Christians in his
camp, Cruz has raised the second largest pile of money among the GOP
candidates. His total of individual and PAC contributions so far disclosed is a
striking $65.2 million. Of that, $14.28 million has already been
spent. Individual contributors kicked in about a third of that total, or $26.57 million, as of the end of
November 2015 -- $11 million from small donors and $15.2 million from larger
ones. His five top donor groups are retirees, lawyers and law firms, health
professionals, miscellaneous businesses, and securities and investment firms
(including, of course, Goldman Sachs to the tune of $43,575).
Cruz’s Keep the Promise super PAC continues to grow like
an action movie franchise. It includes his original Keep the Promise PAC
augmented by Keep the Promise I, II, and III. Collectively, the Keep the
Promise super PACs amassed $37.83 million. In terms of deploying funds against
his adversaries, they have spent more than 10 times as much fighting Marco Rubio as battling Hillary
Clinton.
His super PAC money divides along family factions
reminiscent of Game of Thrones. A $15 million chunk comes from the
billionaire Texas evangelical fracking moguls, the Wilks Brothers, and $10
million comes from Toby Neugebauer, who is also listed as the principal
officer of the public charity, Matthew 6:20 Foundation; its motto is “Support the purposes
of the Christian Community.”
Cruz’s super PACs also received $11 million from billionaire Robert Mercer, co-CEO of the
New York-based hedge fund Renaissance Technologies. His contribution is,
however, peanuts compared to the $6.8 billion a Senate subcommittee accused
Renaissance of shielding from the Internal Revenue Service (an allegation
Mercer is still fighting). How’s that for “New York values”? No wonder
Cruz wants to abolish the IRS.
Another of Cruz’s contributors is Bob McNair, the real estate mogul, billionaire owner of the
National Football League’s Houston Texans, and self-described “Christian steward.”
2. Marco Rubio: Most Diverse
Billionaires
Senator Marco Rubio of Florida has raised $32.8 million
from individual and PAC contributions and spent about $9 million. Despite the
personal economic struggles he’s experienced and loves to talk about, he’s not
exactly resonating with the nation’s downtrodden, hence his weak polling
figures among the little people. Billionaires of all sorts, however, seem to
love him.
The bulk of his money comes from super PACs and large
contributors. Small individual contributors donated only $3.3 million to his coffers; larger individual
contributions provided $11.3 million. Goldman Sachs leads his pack of corporate donors with
$79,600.
His main super PAC, Conservative Solutions, has raised
$16.6 million, making it the third largest cash cow behind those of Jeb Bush
and Ted Cruz. It holds $5 million from Braman Motorcars, $3 million from the
Oracle Corporation, and $2.5 million from Benjamin Leon, Jr., of Besilu
Stables. (Those horses are evidently betting on Rubio.)
He has also amassed a healthy roster of billionaires
including the hedge-fund “vulture of Argentina” Paul Singer who was the third-ranked conservative donor for
the 2014 election cycle. Last October, in a mass email to supporters about a
pre-Iowa caucus event, Singer promised, “Anyone who raises $10,800 in new, primary money
will receive 5 VIP tickets to a rally and 5 tickets to a private reception with
Marco.”
Another of Rubio's Billionaire Boys is Norman Braman, the Florida auto dealer and his mentor.
These days he’s been forking over the real money, but back in 2008, he gave
Florida International University $100,000 to fund a Rubio post-Florida
statehouse teaching job. What makes Braman’s relationship particularly
intriguing is his “intense distaste for Jeb Bush,” Rubio’s former political
mentor and now political punching bag. Hatred, in other words, is paying
dividends for Rubio.
Rounding out his top three billionaires is Oracle CEO Larry Ellison, who ranks third on Forbes’s billionaire
list. Last summer, he threw a $2,700 per person fundraiser in his Woodside, California, compound for the
candidate, complete with a special dinner for couples that raised $27,000. If
Rubio somehow pulls it out, you can bet he will be the Republican poster boy
for Silicon Valley.
3. Jeb Bush: Most Disappointed
Billionaires
Although the one-time Republican front-runner’s star now
looks more like a black hole, the coffers of “Jeb!” are still the ones to beat.
He had raised a total of $128 million by late November and spent just $19.9
million of it. Essentially none of Jeb’s money came from the little
people (that is, us). Barely 4% of his contributions were from donations of $200 or
less.
In terms of corporate donors, eight of his top 10
contributors are banks or from the financial industry (including all of the Big
Six banks). Goldman Sachs (which is nothing if not generous to just about every
candidate in sight -- except of course, Bernie) tops his corporate donor chart
with $192,500. His super PACs still kick ass compared to those of the other GOP
contenders. His Right to Rise super PAC raised a hefty $103.2 million and, despite his disappearing act in the
polls, it remains by far the largest in the field.
Corporate donors to Jeb’s Right to Rise PAC include MBF
Healthcare Partners founder and chairman Mike Fernandez, who has financed a
slew of anti-Trump ads, with $3.02 million, and Rooney Holdings with $2.2
million. Its CEO, L. Francis Rooney III, was the man George W. Bush appointed
ambassador to the Vatican. Former AIG CEO Hank Greenberg’s current company, CV
Starr (and not, as he has made pains to clarify, he himself), gave $10 million
to Jeb’s super PAC. In the same Fox Business interview where he stressed that distinction,
he also noted, “I’m sorry he is not living up to expectations, but that’s the
reality of it.” AIG, by the way, received $182 billion in bailout money under Jeb’s brother, W.
4. Ben Carson: No Love For
Billionaires
Ben Carson is running a pretty expensive campaign, which
doesn’t reflect well on his possible future handling of the economy (though, as
he sinks toward irrelevance in the polls, it seems as if his moment to handle
anything may have passed). Having raised $38.7 million, he’s spent $26.4
million of it. His campaign received 63% of its contributions from small donors, which leaves it
third behind Bernie and Trump on that score, according to FEC filings from
October 2015.
His main super PACs, grouped under the title “the
2016 Committee,” raised just $3.8 million, with rich retired people providing the bulk
of it. Another PAC, Our Children’s Future, didn’t collect anything, despite its
pledge to turn "Carson’s outside militia into an organized army."
But billionaires aren’t Carson’s cup of tea. As he said
last October, “I have not gone out licking the boots of billionaires and
special-interest groups. I’m not getting into bed with them.”
Carson recently dropped into fourth place in the
RealClearPolitics composite poll for election 2016 with his team in chaos. His
campaign manager, Barry Bennett, quit. His
finance chairman, Dean Parke, resigned amid escalating criticism over his spending
practices and his $20,000 a month salary. As the rising outsider candidate,
Carson once had an opportunity to offer a fresh voice on campaign finance
reform. Instead, his campaign learned the hard way that being in the Republican
hot seat without a Rolodex of billionaires can be hell on Earth.
5. Chris Christie: Most
Sketchy Billionaires
For someone polling so low, New Jersey Governor Chris
Christie has amassed startling amounts of dosh. His campaign contributions
stand at $18.6 million, of which he has spent $5.7 million. Real
people don’t care for him. Christie has received the least number of small
contributions in either party, a bargain basement 3% of his total.
On the other hand, his super PAC, America Leads, raised $11 million, including $4.3 million from the securities and
investment industry. His top corporate donors at $1 million each include Point
72 Asset Management, the Steven and Alexandra Cohen Foundation, and Winnecup Gamble
Ranch, run by billionaire Paul Fireman, chairman of Fireman Capital Partners and
founder and former chairman of Reebok International Ltd.
Steven Cohen, worth about $12 billion
and on the Christie campaign's national finance team, founded Point 72 Asset
Management after being forced to shut down SAC Capital, his former hedge-fund
company, due to insider-trading charges. SAC had to pay $1.2 billion to settle.
Christie’s other helpful billionaire is Ken Langone,
co-founder of Home Depot. But Langone, as he told the National Journal, is not writing a $10
million check. Instead, he says, his preferred method of subsidizing
politicians is getting “a lot of people to write checks, and get them to get
people to write checks, and hopefully result in a helluva lot more than $10
million.” In other words, Langone offers his ultra-wealthy network, not
himself.
6. Donald Trump: I Am A
Billionaire
Trump’s campaign has received approximately $5.8 million in individual contributions and spent about
the same amount. Though not much compared to the other Republican contenders,
it’s noteworthy that 70% of Trump’s contributions come from small individual
donors (the highest percentage among GOP candidates). It’s a figure that
suggests it might not pay to underestimate Trump’s grassroots support,
especially since he’s getting significant amounts of money from people who know
he doesn’t need it.
Last July, a Make America Great Again super PAC emerged,
but it shut down in October to honor Trump’s no super PAC
claim. For Trump, dealing with super PAC agendas would be a hassle
unworthy of his time and ego. (He is, after all, the best billionaire: trust
him.) Besides, with endorsements from luminaries like former Alaska Governor
Sarah Palin and a command of TV ratings that’s beyond compare, who needs a
super PAC or even his own money, of which he’s so far spent remarkably little?
ON THE DEMOCRATIC SIDE:
1. Hillary Clinton: A Dynasty
of Billionaires
Hillary and Bill Clinton earned a phenomenal $139 million for themselves between 2007 and 2014, chiefly
from writing books and speaking to various high-paying Wall Street and
international corporations. Between 2013 and 2015, Hillary Clinton gave
12 speeches to Wall Street banks, private equity firms, and other financial
corporations, pocketing a whopping $2,935,000. And she’s used that obvious money-raising skill
to turn her campaign into a fundraising machine.
As of October 16, 2015, she had pocketed $97.87 million from individual and PAC contributions.
And she sure knows how to spend it, too. Nearly half of that sum, or $49.8
million -- more than triple the amount of any other candidate -- has already
gone to campaign expenses.
Small individual contributions made up only 17% of Hillary’s total; 81% came from large individual
contributions. Much like her forced folksiness in the early days of her
campaign when she was snapped eating a burrito bowl at a Chipotle in her first major
meet-the-folks venture in Ohio, those figures reveal a certain lack of savoir
faire when it comes to the struggling classes.
Still, despite her speaking tour up and down Wall Street
and the fact that four of the top six Wall Street banks feature among her top
10 career contributors, they’ve been holding back so far in this election cycle
(or perhaps donating to the GOP instead). After all, campaign 2008 was a
bust for her and nobody likes to be on the losing side twice.
Her largest super PAC, Priorities USA Action, nonetheless
raised $15.7 million, including $4.6 million from the
entertainment industry and $3.1 million from securities and investment. The
Saban Capital Group and DreamWorks kicked in $2 million each.
Hillary has recently tried to distance herself from a
well-deserved reputation for being close to Wall Street, despite the mega-speaking fees she’s
garnered from Goldman Sachs among others, not to speak of the fact that five of
the Big Six banks gave money to the Clinton Foundation. She now claims that her
“Wall Street plan” is stricter than Bernie Sanders’s. (It isn’t. He’s
advocating to break up the big banks via a twenty-first-century version of the
Glass-Steagall Act that Bill Clinton buried in his presidency.) To top it off,
she scheduled an elite fundraiser at the $17 billion
“alternative investment” firm Franklin Square Capital Partners four days before
the Iowa Caucus. So much for leopards changing spots.
You won’t be surprised to learn that Hillary has
billionaires galore in her corner, all of whom backed her hubby through the
years. Chief among them is media magnate Haim Saban who gave her super
PAC $2 million. George Soros, the hedge-fund mogul, contributed $2.02 million. DreamWorks Animation chief executive Jeffrey
Katzenberg gave $1 million. And the list goes on.
2. BERNIE SANDERS: NO
BILLIONAIRES ALLOWED
Bernie Sanders has stuck to his word, running a campaign sans
billionaires. As of October 2015, he had raised an impressive $41.5 million and spent about $14.5 million of it.
None of his top corporate donors are Wall Street banks.
What’s more, a record 77% of his contributions came from small individual donors,
a number that seems only destined to grow as his legions of enthusiasts vote
with their personal checkbooks.
According to a Sanders campaign press release as the year began, another $33 million came
in during the last three months of 2015: “The tally for the year-end quarter
pushed his total raised last year to $73 million from more than 1 million
individuals who made a record 2.5 million donations.” That number broke the
2011 record set by President Obama’s reelection committee by 300,000 donations,
and evidence suggests Sanders’s individual contributors aren’t faintly tapped
out. After recent attacks on his single-payer healthcare plan by the Clinton
camp, he raised $1.4 million in a single day.
It would, of course, be an irony of ironies if what has
been a billionaire’s playground since the Citizens United decision
became, in November, a billionaire’s graveyard with literally billions of
plutocratic dollars interred in a grave marked: here lies campaign 2016.
The Media and Debates
And talking about billions, in some sense the true
political and financial playground of this era has clearly become the
television set with a record $6 billion in political ads slated to flood America’s
screen lives before next November 8th. Add to that the staggering rates that
media companies have been getting for ad slots on TV’s latest reality
extravaganza -- those “debates” that began in mid-2015 and look as if they’ll never
end. They have sometimes pulled in National Football League-sized audiences and represent an
entertainment and profit spectacle of the highest order.
So here’s a little rundown on those debates thus far,
winners and losers (and I’m not even thinking of the candidates, though Donald
Trump would obviously lead the list of winners so far -- just ask him).
In those ratings extravaganzas, especially the Republican ones, the lack of
media questions on campaign finance reform and on the influence of billionaires
is striking -- and little wonder, under the money-making circumstances.
The GOP Show
The kick-off August 6th GOP debate in Cleveland, Ohio,
was a Fox News triumph. Bringing in 24 million viewers, it was the highest-rated primary debate
in TV history. The follow-up at the Reagan Library in Simi Valley, California,
on September 16th, hosted by CNN and Salem Radio, grabbed another 23.1 million
viewers, making it the most-watched program in CNN's history. (Trump
naturally took credit for that.) CNN charged up to $200,000 for a 30-second spot. (An average prime-time
spot on CNN usually goes for $5,000.) The third debate, hosted by CNBC,
attracted 14 million viewers, a record for CNBC, which was by then
charging advertisers $250,000 or more for 30-second spots.
Fox Business News and the Wall Street Journal
hosted the next round on November 10th: 13.5 million viewers and (ho-hum) a Fox Business News
record. For that one, $175,000 bought you a 30-second commercial slot.
The fifth and final debate of 2015 on December 15th in
Las Vegas, again hosted by CNN and Salem Radio, lassoed 18
million viewers. As 2016 started, debate fatigue finally seemed to be
setting in. The first debate on January 14th in North Charleston, South
Carolina, scored a mere 11 million viewers for Fox Business News. When it came
to the second debate (and the last before the Iowa caucuses) on January 28th,
The Donald decided not to grace it with his presence because he didn't think
Fox News had treated him nicely enough and because he loathes its host Megyn
Kelly.
The Democratic Debates
Relative to the GOP debate ad-money mania, CNN charged a
bargain half-off, or $100,000, for a 30-second ad during one of the Democratic
debates. Let’s face it, lacking a reality TV star at center stage, the
Democrats and associated advertisers generally fared less well. Their first
debate on October 13th in Las Vegas, hosted by CNN and Facebook, averaged a
respectable 15.3 million viewers, but the next one in Des Moines, Iowa,
overseen by CBS and the Des Moines Register, sank to just 8.6 million viewers. Debate number three in Manchester, New
Hampshire, hosted by ABC and WMUR, was rumored to have been buried by the
Democratic National Committee (evidently trying to do Hillary a favor) on the
Saturday night before Christmas. Not surprisingly, it brought in only 7.85 million viewers.
The fourth Democratic debate on NBC on January 17th
(streamed live on YouTube) featured the intensifying battle between an
energized Bernie and a spooked Hillary. It garnered 10.2 million TV
viewers and another 2.3 million YouTube viewers, even though it, too, had been
buried -- on the Sunday night before Martin Luther King, Jr. Day. In
comparison, 60 Minutes on rival network CBS nabbed 20.3 million viewers.
The Upshot
So what gives? In this election season, it’s clear that
these skirmishes involving the ultra-wealthy and their piles of cash are
transforming modern American politics into a form of theater. And the
correlation between big money and big drama seems destined only to rise.
The media needs to fill its coffers between now and election day and the
competition among billionaires has something of a horse-betting quality to
it. Once upon a time, candidates drummed up interest in their policies;
now, their policies, such as they are, have been condensed into so many
buzzwords and phrases, while money and glitz are the main currencies attracting
attention.
That said, it could all go awry for the money-class and
wouldn’t that just be satisfying to witness -- the irony of an election won not
by, but despite, all those billionaires and corporate patrons.
Will Bernie’s citizens beat Hillary’s billionaires? Will
Trump go billion to billion with fellow New York billionaire Michael Bloomberg?
Will Cruz’s prayers be answered? Will Rubio score a 12th round knockout of Cruz
and Trump? Does Jeb Bush even exist? And to bring up a question few are likely
to ask: What do the American people and our former democratic republic stand
to lose (or gain) from this spectacle? All this and more (and more and more
money) will be revealed later this year.
….
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