martes, 2 de febrero de 2016

FEB 1 16 SIT EC Y POL



FEB 1 16 SIT EC Y POL

1- IN TRUTH, THE REAL WINNER IN IOWA WAS SANDERS OPEN:
THE PYRRHIC VICTORY OF HILLARY-WS in IOWA Updated: not victory, just tie 50/50.
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ZERO HEDGE

ECONOMY
Is Congress Declaring War On ISIS... Or On You (& Your Cash)?. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/01/2016 : Passage of Senator Mitch McConnell’s authorization for war against ISIS will not only lead to perpetual US wars across the globe, it will also endanger our civil and economic liberties. The measure allows the president to place troops anywhere he determines ISIS is operating. Therefore, it could be used to justify using military force against United States citizens on US territory. It may even be used to justify imposing martial law in America.
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World's Largest Silver Producer Slams LBMA's "Manipulated" Fix. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/01/2016 : “The large discrepancy between the spot price and the fix is very alarming to us especially that it happened twice in a row,” 

The price is set every day by six participants – HSBC, JPMorgan Chase Bank, Mitsui & Co Precious Metals, The Bank of Nova Scotia, Toronto Dominion Bank and UBS – using a system run by CME and Thomson Reuters.

CME and Thomson Reuters won the battle to provide the methodology and price platform for the daily process back in July 2014, replacing the 117-year old fix in August that year under sweeping reforms of the entire precious metals complex.
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Here Are The 3 Trades Hedgies Are Using To Bet On A Yuan Devaluation. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/01/2016. : With an ever-increasing horde of hedge fund "speculators" daring to confront The PBOC, here is how they are placing theirs bets on Yuan devaluation...

In the forward FX market...
In the options market...
And in the CDS market...

Tracking these three indicators (CNH Spot-Forward spread and Risk-Reversals) will provide indications both of speculative positioning as well as market implied odds of a devaluation. Bank of America is speculating that China will devalue before the Feb 27th G-20 meeting in Shanghai and we also note that next week is Chinese lunar new year and Golden Week... with banks closed, perhaps the perfect time to do a major devaluation?
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Total U.S. Debt Surpasses $19 Trillion; Rises $8.4 Trillion Under President Obama. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/01/2016 : Two months ago, when we calculated that the US would need a new debt ceiling of $19.6 trillion to last until after Obama's tenure, we may have been overoptimistic: since the hard limit of $18.15 trillion which was raised at the end of October, the US appears to be growing its debt at a far faster pace than we had originally expected, and according to the latest public debt data, as of the last day of January, total US debt just hit 19,012,827,698,417.93.
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Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/01/2016 - 07:30
  • Stocks cautious after rocky China data, bonds fly high (Reuters)
  • Oil falls on China data, fading prospect of OPEC action (Reuters)
  • Republican Vote in Iowa Caucus Hinges on Newcomer Turnout (WSJ)
  • When Trump tells supporters not to donate, they mostly listen (Reuters)
  • Goldman Sachs Employees Shift to Rubio as Bush Support Fades (BBG)
  • Four Theories on How Oil Has Hypnotized the Global Stock Market (BBG)
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POLITICS
Introduction 

Speaking of the need for citizen participation in our national politics in his final State of the Union address, President Obama said, “Our brand of democracy is hard.” A more accurate characterization might have been: “Our brand of democracy is cold hard cash.” Cash, mountains of it, is increasingly the necessary tool for presidential candidates. Several Powerball jackpots could already be fueled from the billions of dollars in contributions in play in election 2016. When considering the present donation season, however, the devil lies in the details, which is why the details follow.
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Explaining The "Rise Of The American Protest Vote": It's The "Popular Discontent," Stupid. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/01/2016 : "Unless the root causes of popular discontent are addressed (uneven growth, pockets of high unemployment and weak wage growth), the protest vote is unlikely to go away. In fact, it may well grow."
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[ Es cierto que un  conservador del GOP en PA se ofreció a rodarle la silla de ruedas a Ms Yellen?. .. Rick?.. no lo creo .. ]

“What is most surprising is that the source of this commentary was none other than the entity that is, at least in theory, supposed to be the most apolitical organization in the US: the Federal Reserve, and specifically the Fed which spawned current Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen, the San Fran Fed.” www.zerohedge
Read this tweet . “Luckily, we caught it so everyone can enjoy the farce of the "apolitical" Fed, and its employees, in action” :


[ De forma que tenemos un Nuevo Santo en Pennsylvania .. San Rcik .. son milagros electorales. ]
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"Surely This Problem Won't Affect Me". Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/01/2016 : "Don’t these politicians get it? Don’t they understand that this influx of Muslims is a disaster in the making?" . As in both of the previous world wars, we shall see the charade play out again. Each country in Europe will, in turn, join the war with “the enemy.” At some point, Russia will get dragged in, either through an overzealous military action, or through a false-flag attack, and a world war will be on.
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MIDDLE EAST  and GEOPOLITICAL CRISIS worldwide
Russia Releases Video Of Turkey Shelling "Syrian Civilian Settlements", Demands "Immediate Explanation". Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/01/2016 : “We expect an immediate reaction and explanations of the actions of Turkish military by NATO and the Pentagon"...
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Puerto Rico "Generously" Offers To Repay 54 Cents On The Dollar To Creditors Owed $70 Billion. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/01/2016 : Puerto Rico has devised a scheme the island says will help put it back on the path to debt sustainability. You can read on to learn the specifics, but in essence, the commonwealth wants creditors to take a massive haircut which may or may not be ameliorated down the road.
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Zika Virus Threatens "Disaster In Rio" Olympics As WHO Declares Global Emergency. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/01/2016 : WHO SAYS ZIKA, MICROCEPHALY 'PUBLIC HEALTH EMERGENCY' - HIGHEST LEVEL OF ALERT. From the initial discovery in the heart of Ugandan forest darkness to mysterious genetically-modified Mosquitoes in Brazil, the newest threat to human health (most notably pregnant women) is the ominous-sounding Zika virus. The epidemic is spreading from its epicenter in Brazil - threatening disaster at the Olympics with "female athletes to consider participation "very carefully"", to Colombia (with 2100 pregant women infected), and further north in America with CDC confirming 6 cases in Texas.
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"Prospects For Social Disintegration Are Huge" As Wave Of Oil Refugees Looms. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/01/2016 : Today’s plunging oil prices will benefit a few. Motorists, once again, will be happy; but the pain will be earth-shaking for many others. Never mind the inevitable turmoil in global financial markets or the collapse of shale-oil production in the United States and what it implies for energy independence. The real risk lies in countries that are heavily dependent on oil. As in the old Soviet Union, the prospects for social disintegration are huge. Europe is already struggling to accommodate refugees from the Middle East and Africa, imagine what would happen if they imploded and their disenfranchised, angry, and impoverished residents all started moving north.
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"They Want Us Dead & Gone" - Homelessness Surges Across The US. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/01/2016 : While federal, state and local programs aimed at securing permanent housing for certain groups, such as veterans and the chronically homeless, have helped bring down the number of homeless people nationally, but amid Federal-Reserve-"wealth"-fueled gentrification, WSJ reports many cities are seeing the number of homeless soar. In New York, the homeless population increased nearly 42% to 75,323 from 53,187 and though the roots of the clashes vary, a common theme runs through many: The conflict between established homeless populations and new residents drawn by redevelopment.
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US Seeks "Maritime Hegemony", Is Acting "Irresponsibly" In South China Sea, Beijing Warns. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/01/2016 : "Its essence is to push the United States' maritime hegemony in the name of freedom of navigation, which has always been resolutely opposed by most of the international community, especially certain developing nations. What the United States has done is dangerous and irresponsible."
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GLOBAL RESEARCH


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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE


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Pity the Children. By Chris Hedges
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Moral Enhancement By Julian Savulescu and Ingmar Persson
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH


Economía. Crisis estructurales y crisis coyunturales?. Un paso más en el análisis marxista de las crisis capitalistas. Sergio Martín Fernández
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Opinión. Entrevista a Víctor Hugo Morales. “El capitalismo es un crimen perfecto”. Orlando Pérez
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Minga Informativa de Movimientos Sociales. http://radioteca.net/audio/voz-de-los-movimientos-no130/

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