domingo, 30 de junio de 2019

ND JUN 30 19 SIT EC y POL



ND  JUN  30 19  SIT EC y POL 
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Eco


ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics


"Low interest rates, while they have a lot of benefits, have a lot of costs for society as well..."

Far from propelling middle class consumers to ever-higher levels of prosperity, low-interest rate policy is leading either to stagnation of losses in wealth.

But these revelations should not be shocking.

After all, Edward Wolff's 2014 article "Household Wealth Trends in the United States, 1962-2013" suggests that our low-interest-rate world has done little to increase economic well being or counteract the effects of recessions:

From 2007 to 2010, house prices fell by 24 percent in real terms, stock prices by 26 percent, and median wealth by a staggering 44 percent. Median income also dropped but by a more modest 6.7 percent and median non-home wealth plummeted by 49 percent. The share of households with zero or negative net worth rose sharply from 18.6 to 21.8 percent.
However, from 2010 to 2013, asset prices recovered with stock prices up by 39 percent and house prices by 8 percent. Despite this, both median and mean wealth stagnated, while median income was down by 1.3 percent but mean income rose by 0.9 percent. The percent of households with zero or negative net worth remained unchanged.

According to Wolff in this 2017 follow-up, as of 2016, "median wealth was still down by 34 percent."
See Chart:
Median Wealth , 2016 Dollars


The evidence is mounting against the usual narrative which states that low-interest rate policy has been a clear good because it has stimulated demand and consumption.

On the contrary, there is reason to believe low-interest rate policy has lowered productivity, lessened economic growth, and favored large firms at the expense of small firms and innovation.

Median incomes have also suffered.

But central banks are clearly afraid to do anything but kick the low-interest can down the road. The Fed's multi-trillion-dollar balance sheet isn't going anywhere, and the Fed has no appetite for raising rates. But when the next recession hits, it's likely the Fed and the world's central banks will dish up more of the same: near-zero rates in the name of recovery and wealth creation. But this strategy's record of delivering has been questionable at best.
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Here is the moral decay of America's ruling elites boiled down to a single word...


There are many reasons why Imperial Rome declined, but two primary causes that get relatively little attention are moral decay and soaring wealth inequality. The two are of course intimately connected: once the morals of the ruling Elites degrade, what's mine is mine and what's yours is mine, too.

I've previously covered two other key characteristics of an empire in terminal decline: complacency and intellectual sclerosis, what I have termed a failure of imagination.

Michael Grant described these causes of decline in his excellent account The Fall of the Roman Empire, a short book I have been recommending since 2009:

There was no room at all, in these ways of thinking, for the novel, apocalyptic situation which had now arisen, a situation which needed solutions as radical as itself. (The Status Quo) attitude is a complacent acceptance of things as they are, without a single new idea.
This acceptance was accompanied by greatly excessive optimism about the present and future. Even when the end was only sixty years away, and the Empire was already crumbling fast, Rutilius continued to address the spirit of Rome with the same supreme assurance.

This blind adherence to the ideas of the past ranks high among the principal causes of the downfall of Rome. If you were sufficiently lulled by these traditional fictions, there was no call to take any practical first-aid measures at all.

Peter Turchin explains in War and Peace and War: The Rise and Fall of Empires, was gradually replaced by one of personal greed and pursuit of self-interest.

“Probably the most important value was virtus (virtue), which derived from the word vir (man) and embodied all the qualities of a true man as a member of society,” explains Turchin.
             He added:
The richest 1 percent of the Romans during the early Republic was only 10 to 20 times as wealthy as an average Roman citizen."

Do you see any similarities with the present-day realities depicted in these charts?
See Chart 1:
Top 1% US Pre-Tax Income Share 1913-2012


See Chart 2:
Share of National Income, including capital gains

And how many congress people served in combat in Iraq or Afghanistan? How many presidential candidates had boots on the ground in combat theaters? The answer is none. Here is the moral decay of America's ruling elites boiled down to a single word.
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US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio


US women's soccer co-captain Megan Rapinoe has accepted an invitation to visit the House of Representatives by Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) following a public spat with President Trump. 
"Consider it done"
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Those who believe that futbol is only a matter of controlling the perimeter of one stadium and making goals as she did it..with such a majesty.. they  are wrong, futbol goes beyond that stadium. In the mind of many  futbol players also count the perimeter of the whole political stadium of our NATION, the one in which we fight against the  private greed” to defend the “Public need”. Definitely, our start in Futbol Megan Rapinoe and others in Futbol teams are taking  position in favor of PEACE against war, JUSTICE  against oppression , and FREEDOM against neoliberal enslave to the rich. We are all in this stadium and we dream with Megan goals here too.
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Xi is operating from a centuries-old blueprint for victory in battle... China clearly won this round, and the pressure is now squarely on Trump to get a deal done before the 2020 election. That isn’t likely going to happen.
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In the ART of WAR of Sun Tzu the “vs” doesn’t exist. “You don’t start preparation for war if you don’t win the art of negotiation” . In other words, you have to know the enemy  first; you have to talk & negotiate with them on what is in dispute and get a glimpse on their plans. If you don’t win this stage called “art of peace” you won’t be able to design tactics and strategy. You have to win first “the art of peace”, then you will be able to  apply your war rules.
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If only 26% can afford to buy a house: this Am is not F Am-average, is for rich & saudis

"Despite falling mortgage rates and rising wages, the cost of owning the typical home remains out of reach..." 
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Recent info said that a lot of Saudis are buying houses in Am.. Old info said that Saudis and same Am were involve in 9/11 terrorism.. Also: the next day Saudis  got plane to get out from our country.. no 1 of Saudi- terrorist is in jail.. Who knows If they have houses in US too. IF so, they’re part of the 26%. In short: 9/11 is the 2nd crime never rinse or clear properly, the 1st one was JFK crime .
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Nunca sufrimos los efectos de una Guerra. Nos gusto ser spectators. Eso se acabo

From the Civil War to Vietnam, Americans have always been captivated by war’s spectacle...
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El WW3 que prepara Trump.. si nos va a golpear a todos. Eso está muy claro
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US-WORLD  ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo

Nothing is resolved yet.. only negotiations are “back on track”

"Now comes the hard work of finding consensus on the most difficult issues in the relationship, but with a commitment from the top we’re hopeful this will put the two sides on a sustained path to resolution."
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The 1st round of negotiations started wrong: with a blackmail on China: They put letal weapons in the hand of Taiwan Govt.. Is the US ready to bring back those weapons? . For China this is more important than Econ trade with US.
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So what does the outcome of the election mean for the future of Turkey, and in particular, its powerful president? For starters, an internal political realignment, but also maybe a dangerous foreign policy adventure...
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3

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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am search f alternatives to neo-fascist regimes & terrorist imperial chaos

VIENTO SUR

Trumpismo: nueva barbarie Interregno global y derech reaccionarias JP
Antisemitismo: De qué hablamos?  Enzo Traverso
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RT EN ESPAÑOL

E es miembro de N: Nadie sabe si son para NATO + US  Ni para que los quiere.
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars from US-NATO  allies

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PRESS TV
Resume of Global News described by Iranian observers..

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ND JUN 29 19 SIT EC y POL



ND  JUN  29 19  SIT EC y POL 
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Eco


TIME TO UNITE ALL THE PROGRESIVE of DEMOCRATIC PARTY, ON 2 BASES:
1-      Econ & political oriention to serve “Public need” not “private Greed”
That implies public-State control of all means of production given by nature (minerals, gas-oil, water, pure air, rivers, etc) and Banks. All this in coordination with productive investors + coops (excluding WS speculators).

2-      PEACE at national & internat level. Peace means 

A- dismantling inside the US all Institutional apparatus related to WW3: Penta-NATO and the Military Industrial Complex involved in the production of WMD & wars abroad.
B- PEACE also means support of Nurenberg  codes we signed on Peace-crime, war-crimes & crimes against Humanity.  
C- PEACE also means indicting President Trump for military support and operations against Syria, Yemen and other developing countries.
D- Peace also implies rejecting Trump’s threats on  IRAN, VEN and N-Korea and the piracy of imposing US economic sanctions on them. That is illegal, inhuman and totally an-ethical.

PURSPOSE:
1- Mobilize all progressive people inside the Democratic party toward State and  Washington demonstration against the Government. I guess Soros and other philanthropic investors are ready to collaborate with free buses for traveling of people to Washington. We need to start depowering politically this Govt right now.

2-We also need to inject power to the PEACE MOV world wide. The whole world is observing what our nation think on this Gvt: we are ashamed. Our labor and the middle classes, even top investors are against this Gvt. Once the electoral process was initiated with the recent debate inside the Democratic Party we decided to mobilize the Nation against Trump. We are going to succeed. VENCEREMOS!
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ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics


If 87 is the final number for the second quarter, it will mark the second highest number of S&P 500 companies issuing negative EPS guidance for a quarter since FactSet began tracking this data in 2006
The number of companies issuing negative EPS for Q2 is above the five-year average of 74. In fact, if 87 is the final number for the second quarter, it will mark the second highest number of S&P 500 companies issuing negative EPS guidance for a quarter since FactSet began tracking this data in 2006 (trailing only Q1 2016 at 92).
See Chart:


At the sector level, seven of the 11 sectors have seen more companies issue negative EPS guidance for Q2 2019 relative to their five-year averages. However, the Information Technology and Health Care sectors are the largest contributors to the overall increase in the number of S&P 500 companies issuing negative EPS guidance for Q2 relative to the five-year average.
See Chart:


In the Information Technology sector, 26 companies have issued negative EPS guidance for the second quarter, which is above the five-year average for the sector of 20.4. If 26 is the final number for the quarter, it will tie the mark (with multiple quarters) for the second highest number of companies issuing negative EPS guidance in this sector since FactSet began tracking this data in 2006, trailing only Q4 2012 (27).
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the model currently implies a bearish outlook for equities over the next 1-3 months with a DOWN signal for horizons 1M, 2M and 3M. The S&P500 signal for the 6M horizon is bullish, however..

So what do these five signals look like right now?
Figure 1 shows that while flow momentum and equity price momentum turned a lot more positive in recent weeks, the remaining three signals look rather negative for the equity market and risky markets more broadly. The 2-month momentum in the global manufacturing PMI remains rather weak (Figure 2).
See Chart:
Global Manufactuirng PMI


Meanwhile, the slope of the market risk-return tradeoff line in Figure 3 looks rather low by historical standards making equities rather  unattractive from a value point of view. So at first glance, the combination of the five signals, i.e. the blue area  on the Market Health Map, emits a rather mixed message for the future direction of the equity market.
See Chart:

Continue reading.. more charts:
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 US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio


NOT ANYMORE!

Under our current Orwellian doublespeak paradigm where forever war is the new normal, the opposite of war is no longer peace, but isolationism...
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NOW ON: The voice of the soldiers for PEACE will be hear & and loudly
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US Army create threats of war to kill US Econ.. if income to young gen is aim:Ed is invt

With the possibility of war approaching, the Army is having difficulty recruiting millennials. ..
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The right investment in millennials future is free Educ at all level & cancel debt
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"Humanity has been contemptuously used by vast digital empires. Thus it is now necessary to replace these empires with decentralized networks of independent individuals, as in the first decades of the Internet."
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This is a delicate issue for freedom of info in US.. We need more info, a balance one to decide on it. If centralized Wikileaks has been captured by “greed” Corp then Decentraliz could be the solution, otherwise it will facilitate inter o b-corp
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IF migrant millionares can easily buy houses in US it is because USD is collapsing

“This is compelling evidence that...foreign ownership is the primary culprit...”
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Trump’ neoliberal policies put Amer  in auction. Saudis’ took advantage on it
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YES, we need socialism understood a right power balance between Capital & Labor

...everyone knows that regardless of who is running this crooked, corrupt, and immoral system, nothing fundamental is going to change, at least not with respect to genuine freedom...
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It is what we got it with FDR and his NEW DEALs.. more tan 40Y of sustain-devel
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Loan forgiveness doubles down on the failed federal policies that led to the $1.6 trillion student loan crisis...
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Lo que es claro : THEY’RE NOT GOING TO VOTE TRUMP
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US-WORLD  ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo

"Now comes the hard work of finding consensus on the most difficult issues in the relationship, but with a commitment from the top we’re hopeful this will put the two sides on a sustained path to resolution."
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In Economics love is negotiated .. not implored. . Trump implored & Xi le dio 1 sonrisa

Since the first shot in the US-China trade war was fired in March 2018, few have closely examined the extent of China’s retaliatory tariffs on US exports, and more importantly, what a full-blown trade war could mean for US exports.
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Here is clear that xenophobia is running out of imagination
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“Financial markets are unlikely to significantly reduce their expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts despite global trade tensions easing."
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Si RU decide bajar los precios del petroleo mundial.. se va al diablo el “US Weapon”

..a little like the US dollar, LNG is becoming a tool Washington intends to use against Moscow at the expense of Washington’s European allies...
Con una ligera baja de precios & Merkel YES, RU conserva Mdo EU, bye-bye US
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...while tensions mounted in the Strait of Hormuz, a report about a growing threat to shipping in a different part of the world largely flew under the radar.
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The moral bankruptcy of Western powers was exposed – inadvertently – with the recent publication of three separate news reports. Taken together the reports out last week illustrate the rank hypocrisy of Western governments...
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3

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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am search f alternatives to neo-fascist regimes & terrorist imperial chaos

RT EN ESPAÑOL

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PRESS TV
Resume of Global News described by Iranian observers..

Mexico seeks close China ties as US intensifies  pressure MX: peon del imperio
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