jueves, 11 de febrero de 2016

FEB 11 16 SIT EC y POL



FEB 11 16 SIT EC y POL


ZERO HEDGE
ECONOMICS
Is This The Biggest Crisis In History?. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/11/2016 : The previous "biggest crisis in history" was in 1893 when a serious economic depresion hit America... we just topped that in terms of "crisis"


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The Crash In US Bank Stocks Is Only Half-Way Through. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/11/2016 : It appears by the total lack of coverage that the utter collapse of Europe's banking system is entirely irrelevant to the "fortress-like" balance sheets of US banks... but it is not. Once again today, US financials saw bonds dumped across the senior and subordinated segments and while US financial stocks have fallen hard year-to-date, if credit is right - and it usually is on a cyclical basis - US bank stocks have a long way to go (as believe in book values is battered).
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Janet Yellen Admits Fed Is Evaluating Possibility Of Negative Rates. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/11/2016 : "We had previously considered them and decided that they would not work well to foster accommodation back in 2010. In light of the experience of European countries and others that have gone to negative rates, we’re taking a look at them again because we would want to be prepared in the event that we needed to add accommodation."
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It's Not Just Deutsche Bank.... Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/11/2016. While broad-based contagion from Deustche Bank's disintegration is clear in European, US, and Asian bank risk, there is another major financial institution whose counterparty risk concerns just went vertical...
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According to Bloomberg:
Financial markets are signaling that investors have lost faith in central banks’ ability to support the global economy.
And some more:

The notion that central banks and regulators could not act if the financial panic were to turn into a serious threat to the real economy and hence to jobs looks wrong,” said Holger Schmieding, chief economist at Berenberg Bank in London. “Central banks can bolster confidence if they really have to in order to support the real economy.”

"The period of central bank ‘shock and awe’ operations is likely to be behind us," Stephen Jen, co-founder of SLJ Macro Partners LLP in London and a former International Monetary Fund economist, wrote in a note on Friday. "This will be the year that ‘gravity’ will overwhelm the central bank policies," he said, recommending selling equities during rallies.
Perhaps hope, as promulgated by this recent Bloomberg addition, was not such a good strategy after all...
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[ They want to save their dollar ..by putting down the price of gold ]
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If Credit Is Right, The S&P Is Facing A 40% Crash. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/11/2016 : ...and credit is always right in the end! ..SEE GRAPHIC

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JPM's Kolanovic Warns Upcoming Recession Could Be Comparable To 2008 Crisis; Says "Buy Gold, Cash And VIX". Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/11/2016 : "Gglobal markets are now facing a significant ‘negative wealth effect’ that has a potential to result in a recession. This negative wealth effect of low commodity prices and a strong USD combined with the slowdown in China could be comparable to that of the 2008/2009 crisis (it involves diverse effects ranging from layoffs in the Global Energy sector to a lack of EM Sovereign wealth flowing into developed market equity hedge funds). While the economists were debating if the low-priced oil is good or bad for the economy, the equity markets never had any doubts – Oil and Equities were moving down together."
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The War On Cash - The Central Banks' Survival Campaign. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/11/2016 : "The preservation of an insolvent currency system requires that the owners of currency have no way to protect it..."
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JPM: "Things Have Gotten Out Of Control: People Have More Confidence In Gold Than In Paper Money" Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/11/2016 : "...gold at $1,200 an ounce, what does that tell you? It tells you that in a flight to quality, in a safe haven, people have more confidence in gold than in bank deposits or paper money. I think things have gotten out of control." By Bob Michele, Global CIO & Head, Global Fixed Income, Currency & Commodities Group"
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If You Want To Be Wealthy, Don't Buy A House - Build A Business. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/11/2016 : The key take-away: focus on owning income-producing assets, not a primary residence. Don't finance your assets with debt; finance your income-producing assets with savings and sweat equity, not borrowed money.
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Through The Looking Glass On Rates. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/11/2016 : Negative interest rates act effectively as a hidden tax funneled directly to banks. They are inherently unhealthy. Currently, they could indicate also a measure of unease among two of the four most powerful central banks. If so, that could well escalate.
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This Is What Central Bank Failure Looks Like (Part 3) Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/11/2016 : First, it was The BoJ's utter collapse from omnipotence to impotence. Then came the collapse of The Fed's credibility in the short-term. And now, in the most egregious example of total central bank failure - the 'market' has priced out any chance of a rate hike through 2018... and in fact, there is now a greater chance of a rate-cut (than rate-hike) into 2017.
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POLITICS

EXTRACTS:
On Tuesday, Bernie Sanders swept to victory in the New Hampshire primary over rival Hillary Clinton.
To be sure, Sanders was expected to win. Handily.

Still, there’s something surreal about the fact that America is edging ever closer to a situation that will see an avowed socialist square off against one of the country’s quintessential capitalists for the keys to The White House.

As we and others have documented, the American electorate is fed up with politics as usual in Washington. Many voters have no hope that the system can be changed as long as both parties continually field mainstream, establishment candidates all of whom are connected to powerful lobbyists, Wall Street, and corporate America.

The capitalist and the socialist.

Against that backdrop we present the following interesting chart from a recent YouGov survey and brief color from WaPo. As you can see, respondents younger than 30 now rate socialism more favorably than capitalism. We suppose it’s all that good will towards Wall Street.

In my column today, I mentioned that one reason millennials prefer Bernie Sanders to Hillary Clinton is that they’re not just willing to look past Sanders’s socialism — they actually like his socialism. It’s a feature, not a bug.
 ….

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MIDDLE EAST & WORLD ISSUES
Saudi Arabia Makes "Final" Decision To Send Troops To Syria As US, Russia Spar Over Aleppo Strikes. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/11/2016 : As Saudi Arabia readies a Syrian ground invasion, there are competing accounts of just who destroyed 9 targets in Aleppo on Wednesday. While The Pentagon says Moscow hit the city's two main hospitals, The Kremlin claims two US Air Force A-10 attack planes carried out the strikes which raises the following question: is the US set to conduct airstrikes in support of the rebels, thus marking a fresh and exceptionally dangerous escalation of hostilities in the country?
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Liberty Activists And ISIS Will Soon Be Treated As Identical Threats. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/11/2016 : When all is said and done, who is the greater threat to you and your freedoms? A psychotic theocrat that has taken his religion so far into the forbidden zone that any evil, no matter how heinous, is justified through the circular logic of zealotry?  .. every once in a while they talk to you about 9/11? Come on, think about it…
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Russian Prime Minister Warns There Will Be A "Permanent World War" If Saudis Invade Syria. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/11/2016 : "Do they really think they would win such a war very quickly? That's impossible, especially in the Arabic world. There everyone is fighting against everyone... everything is far more complicated. It could take years or decades."
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"Forget It": Turkey Throws Up On EU Refugee "Plan" As NATO Sends Ships To Nab "People Smugglers". Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/11/2016 : “We’re surprised that the Europeans should say we should open the borders to Syrians from Aleppo when we’ve been doing that for five years. It is all unfolding, another tsunami. How are we going to cope?
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Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/11/2016 - 07:52
  • Gold Roars to One-Year High as Turmoil Drives Safe Haven Demand (BBG)
  • Banking Stocks Pummeled in Europe (WSJ)
  • Dollar, stocks plunge sparks scramble for safety (Reuters)
  • Nymex Crude Slips Below $27 a Barrel (WSJ)
  • No Respite for S&P 500 as U.S. Stock Futures Join Global Selloff (BBG)
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GLOBAL RESEARCH


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Can the Establishment Fix Its Bernie Sanders Problem?    . The trump card of the Party elites is their control of “superdelegates.” But overplaying your best cards is risky too. Imagine Sanders winning the popular vote by wide margins in state after state, only to have the Party machine give the delegates to Clinton. Acting this undemocratically could trigger a deep crisis and destroy the veneer of democracy.



INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE


Russia Warns Gulf Intervention in Syria Risks World War. By Agencies.. Moscow warned Thursday that any move by Gulf nations to send in troops to support the rebels in Syria would risk a “new world war.”
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Saudi Arabia Makes "Final" Decision To Send Troops To Syria By Tyler Durden. “Their victory in Aleppo is not the end of the war. It’s the beginning of a new war,”
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Are We on the Eve of War?. Is the US Leading Saudi Arabia Down the Kuwaiti Invasion Road?. By JC Collins. Except this time the aerial bombardment will come from Russian forces and the mop up crew will consist of Iranian and Hezbollah forces.
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Rumors of War. By CrossTalk. The Pentagon has requested an unprecedented budget. What threatens the United States and its allies the most?.
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“Intelligent People Know that the Empire is on the Downhill”. By Patrick L. Smith. A veteran CIA agent spills the goods on the Deep State and our foreign policy nightmares.
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Decoding the US Empire of Chaos. The Global Reversal of the Social Evolution of Humanity. By Prof. John McMurtry and Biljana Ðorovic. The depth of the abyss into which the world is falling is ever clearer to people, but not the cause or the way out.
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WASHINGTON BLOG


The Increasingly Fragile Upper-Middle Class. Posted on February 11, 2016 by Charles Hugh Smith . Since the top 10% takes home 50% of all household income, it follows that this top slice has most of the discretionary cash, i.e. net income left after taxes, servicing debt and paying for essentials such as food, utilities and housing.
It also follows that the discretionary spending of the top 10% is supporting much of the economy that is dependent on discretionary spending: tourism, eating out, personal trainers, etc.

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Economics professor Richard Werner – who created the concept of quantitative easing – has documented that central banks intentionally impoverish their host countries to justify economic and legal changes which allow looting by foreign interests.  Keep Reading
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH


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EE.UU. Los años de Obama. Higinio Polo
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PRESS TV


ISIL used chemical weapons: CIA chief. Y quien se los dio sino los Turcos, su aliado.
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Ministers agree to ‘expand' aid in Syria. The US war is against Syria
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Iowa, NH votes ‘not a good predictor’ the business of prediction is run by big corp
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‘Turkey waging terror war against Syria’ all that Turkey does is ours, they’re our puppets
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