domingo, 7 de febrero de 2016

FEB 7 17 SIT EC y POL



FEB 7 17 SIT EC y POL



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ZERO HEDGE

POLITICS

[ The fact is that we do not have a rational cause in Syria .. all we have is the stupid Obama project of regime change .. that is ridiculous & dangerous .. Kerry was the boxer sent to fight that stupid project .. someone throwed in a towel,  to save his political life ..  I guess it was the same Obama. .. Kerry is needed here to replace Hillary in the post to power, she is losing the game with Sanders, and she is close to get from FED authorities a “lynching rope” –she may called-  on her neck. .. She deserved .. she threat to burn all the house if she is indicted for her felonies .. In the electoral context the option Kerry is like going from guatemala to guate-peor (from bad to worse).. THE ONLY CHOICE THE DEMS HAVE IS SANDERS .. and, if don’t take it .. they lose ALL .. YES, everything, including their fantoche (their whippersnapper) Hillary. She may be the 1st top figure from the oligarchy imprisoned .. She won’t be alone for long, .. Soon some of the 1% who got bailouts to continue doing fraud & tax evasion.. will join Hillary. This therapeutical cleaning is needed. We need  to create environment for a sustainable economics based on the alliance of productive capital with labor –we had it with FDR for more than 40 years and we will have it again with an up-dated Glass-Stegall Act. We don’t need to use the antrax used by necons after assaulting power by rigging election in the year 2000. Democratic Rev -as designed for Sanders- is the only road for a peacefull cohexistence in a multi-power-world-system .. Hillary and neocons represent to road to WW3, chaos & devastation, that is that NO ONE  in her/his  sane mind want it. We don’t want her in prison –but justice is justice- and we will fight up to the end against any more fraud in election from Hilary & much more from neocons. Demcratic REV (people in action) will defeat Hillary & neocons pretty - fairly. NO pollsters NOR money need from WS or  Bill Gates and his Microsoft hackers. WE WILL DEFEAT CRONYISM AND OLIGARCHY IN AMERICA! ..  PEOPLE UNITED WILL BEAT THE 1% …. PEOPLE UNITED WILL BEAT THE 1%..] 
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[ Jamás debiera molestarnos que los pueblos ejerzan su derecho a la libre determinación en todo lo que concierne a decidir su economía y política. Si nos molesta eso es porque SEGUIMOS CREYENDO QUE SOMOS LOS AMOS DEL MUNDO Y EL RESTO, NUESTROS LACAYOS .. La realidad es otra.. YA NO SOMOS LOS AMOS DEL UNIVERSO y querer destruirlo con una guerra nuclear .. es lo mas estúpido de los viejos imperios .. Pensemos más bien en cómo podemos reconstruir América  y ayudar al mundo a liberarnos de muchos males que nos afectan a todos.. entre ellos la producción de nukes .. es posible firmar otro pacto de des-nuclearización que sea más realista que el anterior? .. que empiece arriba, en las grandes potencias? . Ese es uno de los temas que debiera preocuparnos .. No si Irán es amenaza en la región –no lo fue ni es- pero ocurre que se opone al estúpido plan de “cambio de régimen” en Syria. Irán tiene el derecho soberano a tener su propia posición al respecto. Y nosotros la libertad de ser estúpidos en Foreign Policy, como ocurrió con los viejos imperios. Es un mal pasajero .. Ya se va.]
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Personal Freedom Versus Political Paternalism. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/06/2016 : What is the role of government in society? The answer determines the nature of the social order and how people are expected and allowed to interact with one another – on the basis of either force or freedom. The alternatives are really rather simple. Government may be narrowly limited to perform the essential task of protecting each individual’s right to his life, liberty, and honestly acquired property. Or it may be used to try to modify, influence, or dictate the conduct of the citizenry.

[ Here there are 2 points that deserve a comment. Aqui hay 2 puntos que vale la pena comentar. 1-Regarding the 1st question in bolt, the answer is: The role of the Govt is to Enforce Laws accorded by all proper Court, starting with the Constitution. 2- Regarding the statement “.Government may be narrowly limited to perform the essential task of protecting each individual’s right to his life, liberty, and honestly acquired property”  : Todos los gobiernos estas limitados por 3 factores absolutos: tiempo, espacio y social interests. Quienes dijeron que se tenia que protejer la propiead “honestamente adquirida” fueron Gbnos esclavistas que despojaron de su propiedad a los nativos. En eso no hubo nada de honesto, ni lo hay en la expropiación del petróleo ajeno, ni el oro u otras riquezas de paises avasallados. Las leyes cambian según sean los tiempos y los espacios y hoy el plundering y el esclavismo de ayer son ilegales.]     
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ECONOMICS





EXTRACTS:
The great tragedy of the global economic malaise is that it is caused by a shortage of something that is essentially costless to produce: money.
Banks aren’t creating money now because they created too much of it in the past.

What about governments? Here we run into a problem with ideology—and bad metaphors. Inspired by visions of a no-government, free market idyll, conservative politicians from Reagan and Thatcher on have promoted restraints on government spending, in the hope that slashing government expenditure will allow the more efficient and dynamic private sector to fill the void. So the pressure has been on to reduce the size of the government sector, to avoid running deficits, and preferably to run surpluses, on the argument that the government is “like a household” and should “live within its means”.

This vision would be all very well if we lived in a barter-based economy, but we don’t. In such an economy, exchanges could occur in kind—your pigs for my computers. But in the real world in which we live, trading pigs for computers—or anything else—requires money. And a government deficit, when it is financed by the Central Bank buying Treasury Bonds, is the other way that money is created. The fetish for small government and budget surpluses means that the government has ignored this task, and effectively abrogated money creation to the private banking sector.

This strategy had no obvious negative consequences while the private banks were on a credit-money-creation binge—as they were effectively from the end of WWII till 2008. But once private debt began to dwarf GDP and the growth of credit slowed to a trickle, the inherent stupidity of this policy became apparent. In their attempt to promote the private sector, conservative proponents of small government are actually strangling it.

As someone who spent 2 years warning about this crisis before it happened, and another 8 years diagnosing it (and proposing remedies that would, I believe, be effective, if only banks and governments together would implement them), I find this dual idiocy incredibly frustrating.

Rather than understanding the real cause of the crisis, we’ve seen the symptom—rising public debt—paraded as its cause. Rather than effective remedies, we’ve had inane policies like QE, which purport to solve the crisis by inflating asset prices when inflated asset prices were one of the symptoms of the bubble that caused the crisis. We’ve seen Central Banks pump up private bank reserves in the belief that this will encourage more bank lending when (a) there’s too much bank debt already and (b) banks physically can’t lend out reserves.

How much longer can governments (and banks) continue with failed policies?

On Japan’s record, the answer appears to be “indefinitely”. Japan’s latest inane attempt to reflate its economy was announced just last week: it will now charge negative interest rates on the excess reserves that Japanese banks now hold in their accounts at the Central Bank. The only direct impact of this policy will be to drive up asset prices yet again—and it might even lead to private banks increasing interest rates on loans to the private sector, as has happened in Switzerland. The net effect on the real economy will at best be trivial, and it will do naught to reduce Japan’s private debt burden, which is the nub of its stagnationist problem.

We are hostage to a dysfunctional monetary system, run by people who don’t understand how it works in the first place. No wonder the global economy is in the doldrums, and finance markets are having dyspeptic attacks.
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Even The Fed's "Owners" Aren't Buying What Janet Is Selling. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/07/2016 : Despite a collapse in yields and implicit plunge in the odds of a rate-hike anytime soon, asset-gathering, commission-taking talking-heads continue to spew unrealities about the economy and where it goes next as excuse after excuse (low oil is good, services trump manufacturing etc) are discarded. What is worse is that none other than The Fed's "owners" - the primary dealers - refuse to play along with The Fed's transitory narrative as their Treasury Bond position is the longest since 2013.
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"FEW ARE YET WILLING TO ADMIT THE HARSH REALITY...". Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/07/2016 : A multi-decade Credit Bubble is coming to an end. The past seven years has amounted to an incredible blow-off top and the ongoing worldwide collapse in financial stocks provides powerful support for the bursting global Bubble thesis. Few are yet willing to accept the harsh reality that the world has sunk back into crisis as mal-investment, over-investment and associated wealth destruction remain largely concealed so long as financial asset inflation persists. This is true as well for wealth redistribution. The unfolding adjustment process will deflate asset prices so as to converge more closely with deteriorating underlying economic fundamentals.
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EXTRACTS

If crude, commodities, EM, the strong dollar and the weak yuan were weighing on global market confidence, why is it that global financial stocks have of late taken such a disconcerting turn for the worse?
Why didn’t the weaker dollar this week support financial stocks – and equities more generally? ..  At this point, rather than supporting stabilization, dollar weakness spurs further de-risking/de-leveraging
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The ongoing worldwide collapse in financial stocks provides powerful support for the bursting global Bubble thesis. After a brief respite, this week saw contagion effects return with a vengeance. Last year’s commodities and EM downfall anticipated the faltering Chinese Bubble. These days, “developed” markets have begun to discount the vulnerability of Europe, the U.S. and the rest of the world to Bubble contagion effects originally emanating from the China/commodities/EM downturns. The dominos have started falling.

Few are yet willing to accept the harsh reality that the world has sunk back into crisis. .. Indeed, markets remain hopeful that “whatever it takes” central banking is waiting in the wings to trigger rallies at the moment things turn disorderly. In short, The Adjustment Cycle has commenced and there’s little left at this point to hold it back.

A multi-decade Credit Bubble is coming to an end. The past seven years has amounted to an incredible blow-off top – China; EM; global government debt; “whatever it takes” central bank inflationism; QE infinity; zero and now negative rates; a $3.0 TN hedge fund industry; a $3.0 TN ETF complex; unprecedented global corporate bond excess; historic M&A, stock buybacks and financial engineering; derivatives Bubble resurrection; and tech and biotech Bubbles 2.0 (to name only the most obvious). Importantly, global financial and economic imbalances – already unmatched by 2008 – went to even more precarious extremes.

Bubbles inflate both perceived wealth and future expectations. Meanwhile, in the real economy sphere, myriad Bubble facets work to destroy wealth. Mal-investment, over-investment and associated wealth destruction remain largely concealed so long as financial asset inflation persists. This is true as well for wealth redistribution. The unfolding adjustment process will deflate asset prices so as to converge more closely with deteriorating underlying economic fundamentals.

The U.S. economy has been perceived as the envy of the world. The bulls must be watching the big financial stocks in complete disbelief. I would argue that the U.S. has among the widest divergences between inflated financial wealth and deflating real economy prospects. It’s worth noting that Amazon and Netflix have lost more than a quarter of their value over the past five weeks. LinkedIn dropped 44% Friday.

The unfolding adjustment cycle will be especially burdensome for beloved companies that generate little or no profits/cash flow – and the Bubble has cultivated scores of them.

There’s a reasonable probability that global Credit growth is moving toward the weakest expansion in at least 60 years. U.S. Credit growth will be the weakest since at least 2009.

This week had a king-dollar inflection point feel to it. There’s a problematic scenario that now seems a relatively high probability: De-leveraging/de-risking sees a reversal out of king dollar, while already tepid Credit growth slows sharply as markets falter and risk aversion takes hold. Financial stocks have already begun to discount this type of quite problematic backdrop for U.S. securities and asset prices. A disorderly unwind of leveraged positions concurrent with selling from derivative-related “dynamic” hedging programs would ensure market illiquidity and dislocation. And such a scenario could easily unfold concurrently on a global basis.

In a world of de-leveraging, there’s a strong case to be made that negative rates are worse than doing nothing. I’m assuming more QE will be forthcoming – from all major central banks.

Candidly, I don’t enjoy writing in these circumstances. It’s reminiscent of the buildup to the 2008 market crash. It wasn’t entirely clear how things would unfold back then, but I knew tens of millions would be badly hurt. Nowadays I fear for hundreds of millions, and the associated geopolitical… So far, the public hasn’t panicked. Why would anyone sell now when stocks always recover? The Adjustment Cycle is just getting underway.
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By Gary Kaltbaum via GaryKaltbaum.com,  Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/07/2016 :

Introduction
While 'our' President was out this week patting himself on the back and taking victory laps over the "supposed" 4.9% unemployment rate, he forgot to mention a few important tidbits about what is really going on. We used to call them termites...the termites that were eating away at the economy because of foolish monetary policy by assinine central banks and even worse policy emanating out of this administration...but they are no longer just termites.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-02-07/dear-barack-you-forgot-mention-few-things 

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The Number Everyone's Been Waiting For: Chinese Reserves Plunge By $100BN - What Does It Mean For Markets?. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/07/2016 :

[ Yo no creo en la M (monserga) que la prensa corp del USA dice sobre China .. prefiero leerlos y oírlos en directo  .. World Inside in CCTV es buena fuente de datos .. participan economistas USA en los debates diarios .. comparo eso con lo que dice WS y Bloomberg en TV para formar opinion.]
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GLOBAL RESEARCH


Poll Shows Sanders and Clinton Nearly Tied Nationwide. Trump Leads Republican Aspirants. The polls are controlled by Bill Gates’ Microsolf Co, one of the big donors of Hillary campaign. So, P. are sided.
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Saudi Air Force Refuses to Bomb Al-Qaeda and ISIS in Southern Yemen. Then they are bombing the civilian population elsewhere and deserve to be shot down
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WASHINGTON BLOG


The Super Bowl Promotes War. By David Swanson, teleSUR.  . Super Bowl 50 will be the first National Football League championship to happen since it was reported that much of the pro-military hoopla at football games, the honoring of troops and glorifying of wars that most people had assumed was voluntary or part of a marketing scheme for the NFL, has actually been a money-making scheme for the NFL. The U.S. military has been dumping millions of our dollars, part of a recruitment and advertising budget that’s in the billions,, into paying the NFL to publicly display love for soldiers and weaponry. Good report, David
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“The People Who Cast The Votes Don’t Decide An Election, The People Who COUNT The Votes Do.”. Posted on February 6, 2016 by WashingtonsBlog . Stealing Elections Is Easier Than You Can Imagine. Princeton University scientists showed how easy it is to steal elections by tampering with voting machines: 10 VIDEOS Here the URL for some of them: https://youtu.be/aZws98jw67g .  https://youtu.be/u4FPuLNjvAc .   https://youtu.be/SWDEZqqqBHE .  https://youtu.be/t75xvZ3osFg .  https://youtu.be/K7tjnuG-l6g .  https://youtu.be/DMw2dn6K1oI .  https://youtu.be/TdzlnwWsAAU
https://youtu.be/eXOPuFQkve4  This last one happens also in Iowa.

A QUICK EXPLANATION of what you’re watching (voter fraud):
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The important problem is that the Bernie counters recounted everyone, while the Hillary counter was literally recorded telling someone else that she only added newcomers to the count she had before, and then when asked if she recounted everyone, she lied to the organizer and said “Yes”. This means that if anyone left the caucus site who was supporting Bernie, then they were removed by Bernie’s recounters, but any Hillary supporter who left the caucus site was treated as though they were still there for the purposes of the recount. Thus, artificial inflation of her numbers occurred unless everyone who left was a Bernie delegate, on top of the Hillary campaign surrogate lying to an election official to cover up her (negligent at best, malicious at worst) mistake.
IT IS POSSIBLE TO STOP THESE FRAUDS .. IT UP TO THE VOTERS TO DO IT..
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH


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Pobres ricos: la crisis llena las calles de Dubái de miles de autos lujosos abandonados De comer enlatados a comer latas … De la recesión neoliberal del mundo nadie se salva.
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PRESS TV


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UNSC condemns N Korea rocket launch . Sided .. all of them should be comdemned
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