lunes, 15 de febrero de 2016

FEB 15 16 SIT EC y POL

FEB 15 16 SIT EC y POL


1-SANDERS CALLS OUT CLINTON, blasts DNC on donations policy reversal. Sanders was reacting to reports that the DNC (Democratic National Committee) has quietly reversed the long-standing ban on donations from lobbyists and political action committees, put in place by Barack Obama when he became the party’s nominee in 2008. This puts Clinton in an awkward position, as the former Secretary of State recently argued that she was more supportive of the current president’s policies than Sanders. Clinton stands to benefit from the party’s policy change far more than the Vermont Senator. According to the Center for Responsive Politics (CRP), the Clinton campaign has raised $725,000 from lobbyists in this election cycle. CRP data also shows that, between 2000 and 2008, Clinton received more than $30 million from lobbyists and lawyers. In December, Sanders had to sue to regain access to the party’s database after the Clinton campaign accused his people of improperly accessing their data. Last week, after Sanders won the New Hampshire primaries by a large margin, Clinton still went home with more delegates thanks to the party’s “super-delegate” system
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[ No need to sue them again .. is PEOPLE’s MOV that will put down this oligarchical system .. we will continue voting Sanders and then we will make the 1% respect democracy and the will of this Nation .. DEMOCRACY & PEACE WILL PREVAIL !! ]

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2-Syria Proxy War against IS Reached Climax. Military Escalation, Towards a US-NATO Sponsored Ground Invasion? Washington’s strategy consists in spearheading a broader regional war by inciting Turkey, Saudi Arabia as well as Israel to do the “dirty work for us”. Until recently, Syrian Government Forces together with their allies (Russia, Iran, Hezbollah) have been confronting so-called “opposition rebels” largely composed of “moderate” terrorists and mercenaries, with US-NATO intelligence and special forces forces operating covertly within their ranks.
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ZERO HEDGE
ECON0OMICS


Where Deflation Comes From.    by Raul Ilargi Meijer via The Automatic Earth blog, Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/15/2016 : Attempting to boost inflation, or boost demand, before letting the debt deflation run its course through restructuring and defaults leads only to 'further' distortion, and 'further' impoverishes society’s poorer (at some point to a large extent the former middle classes) whose lower spending, as nary a soul seems to comprehend, is the origin of the deflation to begin with.
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BRIEF EXTRACT.

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Steve Keen on Our Dysfunctional Monetary System said:

Rather than effective remedies, we’ve had inane policies like QE, which purport to solve the crisis by inflating asset prices when inflated asset prices were one of the symptoms of the bubble that caused the crisis. We’ve seen Central Banks pump up private bank reserves in the belief that this will encourage more bank lending when (a) there’s too much bank debt already and (b) banks physically can’t lend out reserves.
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What may also play a role is that the upper rungs tend to be blind to anything outside of their own circles, that because they 1) have their hands on a nation’s wallets and 2) they see themselves as the most important segment of any given society, they elect to try and solve the problem inside their own circles -and truly believe this is feasible-.

This can of course not possibly work. Because they’re hugely outnumbered. They don’t have nearly enough influence on money flows in their societies. If they can’t sell the bottom, let’s take a number, 80%, of society sufficient produce or gasoline or homes or trinkets, the entire society seizes up the way an engine does that runs out of oil.

The top makes its fortune for a while getting the bottom ever deeper into debt, only to inevitably find that this kills off the entire economy. 
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The Inevitability Of Dramatic Inflation. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/15/2016 : Actually, this time it will be different, but not in the way we would hope. Rather than wait for the crashes and subsequent significant deflation to occur, the Fed and the ECB have already announced a plan to introducenegative interest rates. They describe this plan as being intended to discourage saving and force people to buy goods, causing the economy to boom... just as in Weimar Germany almost one hundred years ago. But, as history shows, this is never the outcome. Once a population discovers that dumping currency is preferable to holding it, the green-eyed monster comes knocking.
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"WHAT GOES UP CAN ALSO COME DOWN". Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/15/2016 : Our governments and central banks have created a financial  environment where traditional savers receive little to no interest on their cash deposits, and an economic environment whereby sophisticated investors are slowly withdrawing investment. This combination is creating deflationary trends around the world, and it is causing the Velocity of Money to plummet. Ironically, this central-bank induced economic combination, is causing central banks and governments to do even more of the same. Insanity at its best.
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EXTRACTS

What goes up can also come down


Notice the enormous gap that has developed between the two groups over the last 6 years. This is the part that isn’t talked about by the big banks, fund companies and advisors with their clients. 
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The debt crisis was never really resolved. Instead, governments decided to simply transfer the debt problem from the private sector to the public sector.
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This is important as it is one of the key reasons for the current crisis.
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This combination is creating deflationary trends around the world, and it is causing the Velocity of Money to plummet. Ironically, this central-bank induced economic combination, is causing central banks and governments to do even more of the same. Insanity at its best.

At some point very soon, this financial-spin-top will lose a few riders and the key one to watch is the government bond sector. Chart 5 illustrates the size and difference between the bubbles in our all too recent past.



And as they say in California – the next one will be a big one. As the bubble in government bonds blows higher and higher, the following investment groups will become considerably risky:
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- Government bonds
- Bank & insurance stocks
- Pension funds
- Target Date Mutual Funds

Practically every investor in the world has exposure to the bond market, as well as bank and insurance stocks. Some investors have little exposure while others have a lot of their eggs in this seemingly low-risk basket.

First, note the following amount of global debt outstanding.
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Next, note that over $58 TRILLION is owed by governments, and over $45 TRILLION is owed by banks and insurance companies.

And finally, understand that regulators say government bonds are recognised as risk-free investments and therefore should make up the majority of a bank’s capital.

So, if you accept our view that government bonds are in a bubble phase and that eventually this bubble will burst, governments as well as anyone holding government bonds will be affected the most.

And because banks and insurance companies invest their required capital in government bonds, they are extremely vulnerable to a popping of the government bond market. To summarise, the groups who hold a whole bunch of government bonds include:
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- Bank & insurance companies
- Pension funds
- Target Dated Mutual Funds
Continue reading   ..
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According To These 2 Charts, A Default Cycle In The US Is Now Inevitable. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/15/2016 : "Over the past 100 years, when defaults have risen above 4%, they have typically continued to rise close to 10% (i.e. a full default cycle). This is because of the tendency for credit stress to become self-fuelling: a rise in expected defaults pushes up financing costs, which tips some marginal borrowers over the edge, further increasing defaults and so on.

From Deutsche Bank


Over the past 100 years, when defaults have risen above 4%, they have typically continued to rise close to 10% (i.e. a full default cycle). This is because of the tendency for credit stress to become self-fuelling: a rise in expected defaults pushes up financing costs, which tips some marginal borrowers over the edge, further increasing defaults and so on.
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SocGen: "The Market, Today, Is Clearly Hoping The Authorities Will Step In". Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/15/2016 : “The market, today, is clearly hoping the authorities will step in.... whilst QE typically pushed investors out of bonds into riskier assets, negative interest rates could potentially do the exact opposite. "
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Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/15/2016 -
  • China’s Yuan Makes Largest Gain Since 2005 on PBOC Cue (WSJ)
  • Japan's Nikkei soars over 7%, for its biggest gain since 2008 (BBG)
  • Global shares rise as firmer Chinese yuan eases deflation fears (Reuters)
  • Banks' Surge Takes Europe's Stock Rally Into 2nd Day; HSBC Rises (BBG)
  • Oil extends rally on prospects OPEC could act to counter low prices (Reuters)
  • Europe's Higher-Yielding Bonds Benefit as Global Turmoil Eases (BBG)
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Global Stocks Soar On Stimulus Hopes After Miserable Chinese, Japanese Data; Short Squeeze. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/15/2016 : Bloomberg. "It’s a mix of hope of intervention from the Asian central bank, short squeeze and also a relief in some energy and banking sectors, the most shorted sectors." And there are your catalysts for today's surge: hope of more central bank intervention and a global short squeeze.
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POLITICS & US POLYCIES


Justice Scalia Found Dead "With Pillow Over His Head", But No Autopsy Ordered. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/15/2016 :  [ ASSESINATED? It could be .. Or: just a tactic to delay the nomination of the next one. .. If murder.. Interesting to see how a top-rank person can be rid-off so easily in the US.] 


"We discovered the judge in bed, a pillow over his head. His bed clothes were unwrinkled" www.zerohedge

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So - a sad death with the elderly judge passing quietly in his sleep - completely reasonable.
Except as San Antonio Express - which first broke the news of Scalia's death on Saturday afternoon - reports, that "someone" was John Poindexter, owner of the 30,000-acre luxury ranch who is reported to have said the following...

"We discovered the judge in bed, a pillow over his head. His bed clothes were unwrinkled," said Poindexter.

"He was lying very restfully. It looked like he had not quite awakened from a nap," he said.

Scalia,79, did not have a pulse and his body was cold,and after consulting with a doctor at a hospital in Alpine, Poindexter concluded resuscitation would have been futile, He then contacted federal authorities, at first encountering a series of answering services because he was calling on a weekend.

Adding further to the questions surrounding the death, there will be no autopsy performed on Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia,a source familiar with the case confirmed to CNN.
The decision for no autopsy was made both by the family and the Texas Justice of the Peace, the source said.
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Scalia’s death marks only the second time in sixty years a justice has died before retiring from the Court, and leaves the Court split 4-4 between fairly conservative and fairly liberal, during a heated presidential election year.
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Is The Supreme Court Irrelevant?. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/15/2016 : With the passing of Justice Scalia, the media has embarked on a frenzy of speculation about the political battles that are part and parcel of the President nominating a replacement Supreme Court justice. While the political chum makes for good copy, the bigger question is rarely (if ever) asked: is the Supreme Court even relevant to the truly significant issues facing the nation?
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MIDDLE EAST


DeBeers Cartel Deathwatch: Russia Set To Flood Diamond Market With Firesale Of 167,500 Carats. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/15/2016 : First it was the OPEC oil cartel which died a slow, painful, death. Now, another historic cartel may be on its last legs: the DeBeers diamond cartel, because according to Russian daily Izvestia, as part of Russia plan to combat its creeping budget deficit, Russia’s state minerals depository, Gokhran, will conduct two auctions on February 29 and March 10, in which it plans to sell as much as 167,500 carats of diamonds.

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World Economic Climate Index Tumbles. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/15/2016. Global growth leading indicators are screaming it, Baltic Dry Index is screaming it, PMIs are screaming it, BRICS are living it, and now Ifo surveys are showing it: global economy is heading into a storm.

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Obama Starts Mid-East Nuke Race As Israel Says Gulf States Pursuing Bombs. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/15/2016 : "We see signs that countries in the Arab world are preparing to acquire nuclear weapons, that they are not willing to sit quietly with Iran on brink of a nuclear or atomic bomb."
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"A Dramatic Escalation Appears Imminent" In Syria Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/15/2016 : The problem for the USA is that it has no good option to achieve its overriding goal in Syria: to “prevent Russia from winning”. In the delusional minds of the AngloZionist rulers, Russia is just a “regional power” which cannot be allowed to defy the “indispensable nation”. And yet, Russia is doing exactly that both in Syria and in the Ukraine and Obama’s entire Russia policy is in shambles. Can he afford to appear so weak in an election year? Can the US “deep state” let the Empire be humiliated and its weakness exposed? In fact, in the next few days, we are probably going to witness a dramatic escalation of the conflict in Syria.
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Why Tomorrow's "Secret" Meeting Between Russian, Saudi Oil Ministers Will Not Lead To A Cut In Production .Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/15/2016 : Tomorrow the endless "headline hockey" will come to an end, following what is now a confirmed "secret" meeting between the two oil superpowers when, as Bloomberg reports, Saudi Arabia’s oil minister will meet with his Russian counterpart in Doha on Tuesday"to discuss the oil market."
[ THERE should NOT be any meeting if Saudis don’t take out their soldiers from Syrian border. Saudis must put in their … their carrot & stick. Otherwise RU will help them on this purpose. ]
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"They're All Bandits!" Russia Will Not Stop Syria Airstrikes Regardless Of Ceasefire. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/15/2016 : "They are all bandits and terrorists. They move around amongst themselves for various reasons: They get paid more somewhere else, or somebody has a falling out with somebody else. So it is very difficult for us to tell the difference between the very moderate ones and the not-so-moderate ones, the good from the bad.”
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Turkey Vows "Harshest Reaction" To Kurdish Advance In Syria As Missiles Hit Hospitals, School. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/15/2016 : “YPG elements were forced away from around Azaz. If they approach again they will see the harshest reaction. We will not allow Azaz to fall.”
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As we documented last autumn in Syria Showdown: Russia, Iran Rally Forces, US Rearms Rebels As ‘Promised’ Battle For Aleppo Begins,” Syria’s largest city has been among the hardest hit of the country’s urban centers over the course of the last five years.
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Newsweek documented the destruction in a series of stark and profoundly indelible images in 2012, perhaps the most striking of which was this:

skip graphic; Press the title above in blue [in case you miss it]

Recapturing the city is critical to restoring Bashar al-Assad’s grip on power.
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If Aleppo is liberated, the rebellion will be all but crushed. The Alawite government would once again control the country’s urban backbone in the west and, more importantly from a big picture perspective, Iran would have scored a major victory in the effort to preserve the Shiite crescent not to mention its supply lines to Hezbollah.
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Likewise, a victory at Aleppo would invalidate US claims that Vladimir Putin was destined to get Moscow into a “quagmire” in Syria and the Russians would score a major geopolitical coup by effectively replacing the US as Mid-East superpower puppet master.
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Now that the eyes of the world are on Aleppo which may well go down in history as the site where World War III began, we thought it an opportune time to bring you the following before and after images which depict what life was like in the city under the "brutal dictatorship" of Bashar al-Assad and what life is like now that the US has exported democracy to Syria.
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Democracy?

"Yes you can"... you can destroy the entire Middle East...
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Sure  you can do it Mr Nobel- prize winner  ..  Until the ICC-reformed indict you as war criminal & guilty of “crimes against humanity” ..Meanwhile.. you can continue your “regime-change”  addiction.
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Washington's Dismal Comedy Of Terrors - When In Doubt Bomb Syria. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/14/2016 : [ In case you miss it.]. Everyone has been consulted about the future of Syria, except the Syrians themselves. Why? Because simply, Syrians don’t matter. They are quite beside the point. Thanks to fresh reporting by Seymour Hersh, we now know that the subtext for Obama administration’s Syrian strategy, dating back to Clinton’s tenure at the State Department, has been largely geared toward ensnaring Russian in the Levantine quagmire. This is chaos theory marketed as foreign policy.
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GLOBAL RESEARCH


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WASHIGNTON BLOG


Why NIRP (Negative Interest Rates) Will Fail Miserably. Posted on February 15, 2016 by Charles Hugh Smith : What NIRP communicates is: this sucker’s going down, so sell everything and hoard your cash and precious metals.

The last hurrah of central banks is the negative interest rate policy–NIRP. The basic idea of NIRP is to punish savers so severely that households and businesses will be compelled to go blow whatever money they have on something–what the money is squandered on is of no importance to central banks.

All that matters is that people and enterprises are forced to spend whatever cash they have rather than “hoard” it, i.e. preserve and conserve their capital.

That this is certifiably insane is self-evident. If an economy depends on bringing future spending into the present by destroying savings, that economy is doomed regardless of NIRP, for eventually the cash runs out and spending declines anyway.   Keep Reading 
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH


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EE.UU. El plomo sigue envenenando niños en USA Dos, tres... muchas Flints. David Rosner
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Manifiesto: Sí a la libertad de expresión, no a la discriminación religiosa y política, no a la ocupación de Palestina . Firmantes: Silvio Rodríguez, Rosa Regás y Emir Sader entre otros ..
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ARG. -Crónica de una venganza anunciada. Bárbara Ester
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PRESS TV


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Partition only solution in Syria: Israel . The partition of Israel is coming.. they misappropriated from Palestine and Israel.
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