domingo, 29 de junio de 2014

ROBBEN LE GANO EL PARTIDO A MX



ROBBEN LE GANO EL PARTIDO A MX

Hugo Adán, Junio, domingo 29

1-  Robben es un jugador temperamental pero NO de los que cometen faltas mal intencionadas contra jugadores rivales. Si creo es es cierto que el recibió tratamiento especializado, “anger management”, (lo que no ocurrio con Luis Suarez de Uru) pudo asi evitar dañar a su equipo con una reacción que arriesgara su  expulsión. Robben, Nilmar, Mesi y otros cracks saben que ellos serán sujetos de agresión y que en vez de tirarse al suelo con faltas que no ameritan tarjeta amarilla o expulsión de quien la cometio es mejor pasarla por alto y servir el objetivo del equipo. En el 1er intento de agresion, Roben eludio al agresor, la 2da vez ya dentro del area chica la agresion fue inperdonable y vino el penal. Dejo Robben una leccion y una tarea. La tarea es dejar que sea el capitan de equipo quien haga la denuncia al referi en forma serena –inmediatamente pasado el peligro- y luego de que alquien del equipo lance la bola fuera de la cancha. Esa seria la mejor manera de  responder al agresor. 

2- Robben no es solo el mejor jugador de Holanda, es también uno de los que mira la cancha como mira un ajedrecista su tablero [de arriba hacia abajo, con su mente]. El futbol como el ajedrez es el arte de crear y controlar espacios letales contra el rival. Robben es un hombre inteligente capaz de ir mas alla del instinto primario y la mera indignación y ofensa personal, mas alla del narcisismo y egoísmo individual. Miren los fauls que le cometieron y su reacción. Esa es su leccion: saber como convertir la energía atropellada en nueva fuerza; esto es, como usar la fuerza del enemigo y sus debilidades para vencerlo. El futbol es el arte de convertir la caótica fuerza enemiga en vital energía creadora, diría Sun Tzu.

3. La otra leccion es mas clara aun: un partido de futbol termina cuando suena el pitazo final. El uno o dos a zero del 1er tiempo o antes de los 10’ finales, no son en absoluto garantía de triunfo. Esta es la magia del futbol, un deporte preñado de las mas diversas sinergias existentes y por tanto, capaz de brindar hermosas criaturas llenas de vida, los goles inesperados para muchos. 

4. No es la 1ra vez que Holanda voltea un partido en los últimos minutos, ni es la 1ra vez que vemos todo su equipo jugando con mucha energía esos ultimos 10' en el área rival. Esos momentos son sublimes en el futbol y desesperantes para el rival, y la fuente de su debilidad. Lo demas fueron fallas del equipo tecnico: mientras Mx sacaba al goleador do Santos para poner una reliquia del pasado, Holanda se desprendia de su reliquia van Persie. El fulbol es un ritual pagano que no rinde pleitesia a viejos santos si estos no cumplen la funcion que se espera de ellos. En el futbol existe un paganismo funcionalista sin ser ateo pues nuevos santos emergen en cada World cup. El resto de la victoria de Holanda lo explica el performance, el GD de la 1ra fase. Eso crea la energia necesaria como para ir con la misma fuerza hasta que suene el pitazo final. 

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NOTA aparte: Estoy por incluir dos indicadores más (beyond GD) para el logro de mejores pronósticos a los partidos finales. Los daré a conocer a las 5 de la tarde del día 4 de julio a quienes se acordaron de mi. Sigan haciendo sus apuestas y no olviden enviar su donacion, previa nota a Hugo Adan: hueo@pitt.edu/ 

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sábado, 28 de junio de 2014

COL MAS EQUIPO QUE BRA PARA JUGAR LA FINAL CON HOL pero…



COL MAS EQUIPO QUE BRA PARA JUGAR LA FINAL CON HOL pero…

Hugo Adan Junio 28, 2014


El 26 de junio lance las dos opciones de la final del mundial 2014: OPCION A: Final entre Holanda y Colombia que la gana Holanda. OPCION B: Final entre Holanda y Brasil que la gana Brasil. Las dos opciones dependen de los resultados de los matches 57 (Bra-Col) y 58 (Fra-Ale). La opción A asume que el M-57 lo gana Col y el M-58 Alemania. 

OPCION A                                                       In process

MATCH 49: 28 DE JUNIO                                               Posible ganador en mayúscula
BRASIL-CHILE                                                                 BRASIL
MATCH 50:  28 DE JUNIO
COLOMBIA – URUGUAY                                               COLOMBIA
MATCH 51: 29 DE JUNIO
HOLANDA-MEXICO                                                        HOLANDA
MATCH 52: 29 DE JUNIO
COSTA RICA-GRECIA                                                     COSTA RICA
MATCH 53: 30 DE JUNIO
FRANCIA-NIGERIA                                                          FRANCIA
MATCH 54: 30 DE JUNIO
ALEMANIA-ARGELIA                                                     ALEMANIA
MATCH 55:  01  JULIO
ARGENTINA-SUIZA                                                         ARGENTINA
MATCH 56:  01  JULIO
BELGICA-USA                                                                  BELGICA
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CUARTOS DE FINAL ------------------------------OPCION A

MATCH 57:  Friday, July 4                                              Bra-Col= COLOMBIA
MATCH 58: Friday, July  4                                              Fran-Ale= ALEMANIA.
MATCH 59: Sat . July5                                                    Hol-C-Rica= HOLANDA
MATCH 60: Sat , July 5                                                   Ar-Bel= ARGENTINA

SEMI-FINALS
MATCH 61. Tuesday , July 8                                          Ale-Col: COLOMBIA
MATCH 62  Wed , July 9.                                              Arg–Hol= HOLANDA

PLAY-OFF FOR THIRD PLACE  
MATCH 63, Saturday, July 12                                       Ale-Arg= ALEM, 3rd p

FINAL,  SUNDAY,  JULY 13                                    Col–Hol = HOLANDA                             

OPCION B: Se asume los mismos resultados de arriba para M del 50 al 56

CUARTOS DE FINAL

MATCH 57:  Friday, July 4                                              Bra-Col= BRASIL
MATCH 58: Friday, July  4                                              Fra-Ale=  FRANCIA
MATCH 59: Sat . July5                                                    Hol-C-Rica= HOLANDA
MATCH 60: Sat , July 5                                                   Arg-Bel= ARGENTINA

SEMI-FINALS
MATCH 61. Tuesday , July 8                                           Bra-Fra=  BRASIL
MATCH 62  Wed , July 9.                                               Arg –Hol= HOLANDA

PLAY-OFF FOR THIRD PLACE 
MATCH 63, Saturday, July 12                                         Fra-Arg= FRANCIA,3rd

FINAL,  SUNDAY,  JULY 13                                        Bra – Hol = BRASIL
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NOTA: En la OPCION A, match 56, BE-US significa que uno o el otro (Belgica o los USA) puede ser el ganador y eso no afecta los 4to de final pues en el match 60 se asume que Argentina los derrota.

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NATO using EU in BATTLE FOR OIL AGAINST RUSSIA



NATO using EU in BATTLE FOR OIL AGAINST RUSSIA

Hugo Adan. June 28, 2014

Brief introduction:

What if Russia accepts the invitation to join the EU?  Why not?  It would be a way to dissolve NATO and avoid their nuclear confrontation blackmail. The rest will be easy: new IMF, new WB, new UN, new international currency, new ICC, new rules for market economy and politics, and new way of thinking peace and solving world problems. Why not? Russians start  talking about: read


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Meanwhile, between East and West, the battle continues:

1- Ukraine, Georgia and Moldova, three former Soviet republics signed the EU Association Agreement FTA on Friday June 27, 2014. They were part of the Commonwealth of Independent States, or CIS, since 1991. Georgia and Moldova became full members of the organization while Ukraine remained an Associate member.
http://www.themoscowtimes.com/news/article/eu-association-agreements-not-seen-as-threat-to-russian-economy/502590.html

2- UKRAINE OIL UNPAID TO RUSSIA even when they got money from World Bank. Gas cut is in process.  Kiev cut the water to Crimea and Russia responded with the gas cut. Crimea made a referendum for self-determination because of the violent assault by neo-nazis to an elected government and because the decree to ban Russian as 2nd language.  NATO interpreted Crimea referendum as annexation, but said nothing about the assault on democracy in Ukraine.  Russia-Ukraine Gas Conflict

3- In June 16 Russia turned off gas to Ukraine. After three rounds of intense talks in recent weeks the two sides failed to come to an agreement on the price of gas already delivered and, therefore, on Ukraine's total debt to Russia. They also failed to agree on the terms governing Ukraine's future gas purchases under the new prepayment system. http://www.themoscowtimes.com/business/article/russia-turns-off-ukraine-gas-supplies-as-talks-collapse/501960.html

4- Now June 27,  Ukraine SIGN ASSOCIATION AGREEMENT (FTA) WITH EU to get oil cut. Kiev insisted in getting oil  for free. Gazprom to lose $3 Billion if EU sells gas back to Kiev Gazprom to Lose $3 Billion if EU Sells Gas Back to Ukraine, and threatens 'Restrictions' If EU Sells Gas Back to Ukraine
Gazprom Head Threatens 'Restrictions' If EU Sells Gas Back to Ukraine

5- EU  responded threatening  with more sanctions if continue supporting south rebels  said the Moscow Times: http://www.themoscowtimes.com/  The problem now is whose business are really affected with NATO-EU sanctions?. Philippe Pegorier , appointed chairman of the Association of European Business, or AEB board responded clearly:

"The European Union's exports to Russia are approximately $132 billion, while exports to Ukraine are $26 billion. So you can see where our interests are," Pegorier said. The EU is Russia's single largest trade partner, with 50 percent of total Russian trade, while Russia is the EU's third-largest trade partner, with 10 percent of EU trade, according to the European Commission”  http://www.themoscowtimes.com/business/article/ukrainian-black-hole-weighs-heavy-on-european-business/502100.html

This is why the sanctions failed. It is clear that big companies –even in Germany- sabotaged the US-NATO sanctions. John Stech, president of Volvo Cars Russia, said “Volvo has no factories in Russia, but claims to have about 80,000 customers and intends to add 10 additional dealerships this year”.
"Our analysts expect 2.2 percent growth for the Russian economy in 2015, which would be good news for the banking sector … but that obviously depends on a number of factors, including the ability of the Russian government to really diversify away from dependency on natural resources," Bongartz said. (same source above)
6- Environment and energy ministers from Germany, Belgium, Denmark, Greece, Ireland, Luxembourg and Portugal said the crisis in Ukraine, which transits about half the gas Russia sends to Europe, has highlighted the importance of reducing dependence on imported oil and natural gas. http://www.themoscowtimes.com/business/article/7-eu-countries-push-for-binding-energy-savings-targets-to-combat-russia-reliance/502098.html

7- NATO worsen this situation since the beginning of June by pressing Bulgaria to halt the ongoing construction of Russia’s South Stream natural gas pipeline to EU ($45 billion pipeline project at risk) http://www.themoscowtimes.com/  & http://nsnbc.me/2014/06/27/ukraine-battle-south-stream/

Justifying its pressure on Bulgaria, the EU claimed that the country, one of its poorest members, failed to comply with EU internal market rules on the awarding of public contracts. At the end of May, Bulgaria selected Stroytransgaz, a Russian company hit by U.S. sanctions, to construct the pipeline on its territory. Strontransgaz is controlled by Gennady Timchenko, a personal friend and ally of Putin who is subject to U.S. sanctions. Timchenko is not subject to EU sanctions. Russia Sees Underhanded Sanctions in Bulgaria’s Suspension of South Stream

8- Russia threat to withdraw duty-free treatment to Ukraine as a member of the Commonwealth of Independent States, or CIS, free trade pact. If so, Ukraine 24 percent of its exports to Russia, worth $15 billion a year will be affected. http://www.themoscowtimes.com/  

9- Russia response to NATO move by sending Vladimir Chizhov, Russia's envoy to the European Union. Chizhov slammed the move against the $45 billion pipeline project, which followed a visit by three U.S. senators to Bulgaria late last week, as "economic sanctions by stealth," and highlighted efforts by top European officials to link the continuation of work on the project with Russia's position on Ukraine.

"South Stream is directly related to Ukraine, because once it is completed, Ukraine will loose its status as monopoly transit country [for the Russian gas going to European consumers]," Chizhov said, Itar-Tass reported. http://www.themoscowtimes.com/business/article/russia-sees-underhanded-sanctions-in-bulgarias-suspension-of-south-stream/501793.html


10- TONY CARTALUCCI INTERPRET THE ONGOING CONFLICT AS NATO and EU’s open intent to “integrate” all of Europe including Russia into their geopolitical order, clearly by force if necessary. See UKRAINE AND THE BATTLE FOR SOUTH STREAM http://nsnbc.me/2014/06/27/ukraine-battle-south-stream/

“The ongoing conflict in Ukraine, admittedly an attempt to expand both NATO and the European Union (EU),  has escalated in terms of dominating Europe’s energy markets. Attempts to halt the ongoing construction of Russia’s South Stream natural gas pipeline appears to be a direct attempt to further penalize Russia for its role in defending Ukrainians currently under siege by aircraft, artillery, heavy armor and irregular troops.”  The Battle for South Stream 

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