FEB 5 18 SIT EC y POL
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social
+ Capit-compet in Econ
Su
propuesta favorece golpe Militar contra Gob de Maduro y elecc internas
QUE
HACER? He aquí una propuesta:
No
detener las elecciones pero asegurar el voto popular, LO QUE SUPONE:
1-La seguridad nacional exige sacar
del poder a todos los militares pro USA y
Armar con
Mil-Nacionalistas Prog de Reconst que responda el sentir Popular
2-
Asegurar el apoyo de Rusia y China para Proy de reconstrucción Nacional
3-
Orden interno requiere Provisional Estatiz de
Prensa y toques de queda
Si
Embajada USA persisten en armar golpe y evitar elecciones: CERRARLA
4-Asegurar no-interferencia de OEA pro
USA y respeto latino a Soverania Nac
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Diran
que es auto-golpe.. pero
ocurrió en Peru con venia USA- OEA en 1992
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ZERO HEDGE ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they
documented with graphics
The expected crash happens
This was the biggest drop for the S&P since August 2011
See chart:
The
410-day record streak without a 5% correction is over... Nasdaq is over 7% off highs, DOw and S&P over 8% off
their highs...
See chart:
Only Nasdaq remains green in 2018...
See chart
Some headlines.. at the art source below
- S&P 500 CLOSES DOWN 113.33 POINTS,
OR 4.10 PERCENT, AT 2,648.80
- DOW JONES CLOSES DOWN 1,176.68 POINTS,
OR 4.61 PERCENT, AT 24,344.28
- NASDAQ UNOFFICIALLY CLOSES DOWN 271.50
POINTS, OR 3.75 PERCENT, AT 6,969.45
Selling continues after the close...
See chart:
As Morgan
Stanley notes, VIX futures traded 897k total across the curve so far
today. Previous FULL DAY record was 850k (aug 10 2017). Liquidity in the top of the S&P
futures book 50% worse than Friday. Avg available size is 111 contracts since
3PM today on the top of the S&P book. Friday avg. size was 209
(for the entire day Beginning of Jan this was 800. End
of Jan it was 300.
And for now Equities remain alone at
the extremes across asset-classes...
See chart:
High yield bonds extended their
losses to the lowest since Dec 2016...
See chart:
Great News
'Murica! The Dollar rallied today - all
it took was panic liquidity needs...
See chart:
And finally, amid a 'modest'
pullback in stocks, investors have slashed their expectations of the number of rate-hikes in
2018...
See chart:
....
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The market crushed:
"I've
never seen anything like this... this is it..."
We noted earlier that US equity futures were extending
losses after the close, but the real panic action is in the volatility complex.
Putting today's VIX move in context, this is among the
biggest ever...
See chart:
But the
real action is in the super-crowded short-vol space.
XIV - The Short VIX ETF - after its relentless diagonal move
higher as one after another Target manager sold vol for a living... just
disintegrated after-hours, down a stunning 50%
See chart:
Also, recall that last
Thursday saw investors pour a record $520 million into an exchange-traded
note that gains when VIX drops...
See chart
They chose... poorly.
As one veteran trader (who has seen numerous volatility
cycles), "I've
never seen anything like this... this is it" referring
to the start of the unwind of the biggest aggregate short volatility position
the market have ever known.
….
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"If negative price action continued or worsened, we think getting
flat (i.e. $190bn of global sales) in a month is reasonable"
SYSTEMATIC FLOW UPDATE…
Our (GS systematic strategist) work suggest that the 2,735 level in the
S&P is where trends could start to change, driving more aggressive selling
from the CTA community. We estimate this community to be long approximately
$70bn of US equities and $190bn globally coming into today. If negative price
action continued or worsened, we think getting flat (i.e. $190bn of global
sales) in a month is reasonable
The difference between Risk Parity and CTAs:
The difference between Risk Parity and CTAs:
- Risk parity and CTAs (managed futures funds) are
not synonymous: Risk parity is a long-only strategy with negatively
correlated assets that is sensitive to volatility spikes in the market and
positive bond/equity correlation; managed futures funds (CTAs) are
long/short strategy funds aimed at capturing trends in the market (in
either direction)
- The
conditions that could lead to forced-model selling impact CTA behavior
only such that wide spread selling will generate a downward trend
- Since
CTAs look to capture trends in the market, they
are likely to apply additional downward pressure on markets if
forced-model selling occurs
- Additional
pressure from CTAs may further exacerbate the
sell-off from risk parity funds
More details from
Goldman's systematic strategist Paul Leyzerovich …
My points are encapsulated in the updated chart below
My points are encapsulated in the updated chart below
- Most of the expected sales represented by the baseline
(dark) line are driven by non-US, though US smallcap is contributing with
the Russell short-term area breached, and S&P is very close to its
latest short-term area of 2,747 in our work**
Based on the starting point and moves so far, we expect CTA trend has been more relevant to flows than risk parity or
insurance vol-control, though those communities are long as well (as are
others and non-systematic)
* less than $30bn, depending on the size and speed of the bounce;
generally still towards net sales of varying size in most 1w market scenarios
** pursuant to trend, the levels adjust with more time and mkt movements
** pursuant to trend, the levels adjust with more time and mkt movements
See Chart
in the source of this art below
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POLITICS
Seudo democ y sist
duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s
full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambiarlo
WORLD ISSUES and M-East
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State
socialis+K- compet. D rest in limbo
===
DEMOCRACY NOW
US politics crisis: Trump captured by Deep state to reproduce
old cronyism without alter-plan
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more
business-wars: its profiteers US-NATO
‘Bringing
Humankind Closer to Annihilation’: World Leaders Denounce Trump’s New Nuclear
Posture By Jon Queally,
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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE
Deep on the US political crisis, their internal conflicts n
chances of WW3
Increasing Likelihood Of Nuclear War Should
Straighten Out All Our Priorities
By Caitlin Johnstone
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Is Putin Profoundly Corrupt or “Incorruptible?” By Sharon Tennison
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H Nasrallah:Trump Uses ISIS to Legitimize US
Occupation of the Middle East
Video and Transcript
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Four Days in Palestine: My Time with Bassem
Tamimi By Miko Peled
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Washington's Ominous
Credibility Implosion By Finian Cunningham
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Nunes Memo Reports Crimes at Top of FBI and
DOJ By Ray McGovern
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The Wisdom of Idiots:
A Brief Morality Tale By César Chelala
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
Geopolitics & the nasty business of US-NATO-Global-wars
uncovered ..
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Now the hypothesis that Milky Trump
is ET got more support
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RT SHOWS
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Latino America looking for alternatives to neoliberalism to
break with Empire:
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La estrat “Lulism” debe ser ABSTENCION con Moviliz Pop y Paro Nac
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-Dejenlo gob! El poder no nace
arriba. A trabajar los Gbnos locales!
-Un líder puede ser bueno (Co)
pero si no cambia el sistema, no vale
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No
detener las elecciones pero asegurar voto popular, lo que supone:
1-La seguridad nacional exige sacar
del poder a todos los militares pro USA y
Armar
con Mil-Nacionalistas Prog de Reconst que respond al sentir Popular
2-
Asegurar el apoyo de
Rusia y China para Proy de reconstrucción Nacional
3-
Orden requiere Provisional Estatizac de
Prensa e instaurar toque de queda
Si
Embajada USA persisten en armar golpe y evitar elecciones: CERRARLA
4-Asegurar no-interferencia de OEA pro
USA y respeto latino a Soverania Nac
----
Diran que
es auto-golpe.. pero ocurrió en Perú con la venia USA-OEA
en 1992
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Keiser
Report Masacre
en Davos
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PRESS
TV
Global
situation described by Iranian observers..
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Syrian
commandos probe Russian jet downed by
Syrian
special forces investigating in Idlib Is this a CIA Report?
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