martes, 6 de febrero de 2018

FEB 5 18 SIT EC y POL P2 THE CRASH



FEB 5 18 SIT EC y POL  P2 THE CRASH
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Econ

Su propuesta favorece golpe Militar contra Gob de Maduro y elecc internas

QUE HACER?  He aquí una propuesta:
No detener las elecciones pero asegurar el voto popular, LO QUE SUPONE:
1-La seguridad nacional exige sacar del poder a todos los militares pro USA y
Armar con Mil-Nacionalistas a Prog de Reconst que responda el sentir Popular
2- Asegurar el apoyo de Rusia y China para Proy de reconstrucción Nacional
3- Orden interno requiere Provisional Estatiz de Prensa y  toques de queda
Si Embajada USA persisten en armar golpe y evitar elecciones: CERRARLA
4-Asegurar no-interferencia de OEA pro USA y respeto latino a Soverania Nac
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Diran que es auto-golpe.. pero ocurrió en Peru con venia USA- OEA en 1992
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ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics

The expected crash happens P2

"Be prepared for a major VIX follow-through tomorrow."

By Charlie McElligott, managing director of cross-asset strategy at Nomura.
-Extracts-
Fade to Black
The “grey swan” we all have spoken about for years—that being the absurd “tail wagging the dog” potential of VIX ETN market structure (inverse and leveraged products) AND the massive growth in “negative convexity” / “vol target” / “vol rebalancing” strategies to either generate extra income or “systematically allocate risk” (looks good in the prospectus, right?!) –finally “broke” the volatility market, and has now bled-through to the “underlying” spot equities market…as the short vol trade went “lights out.” 

The ETNs are the “patient zero” of this current market meltdown.  It is estimated that there was anywhere from ~$125mm to $200mm of vega / VIX futs to BUY on the close from the two main “short VIX” ETNs that rebalance daily (XIV and SVXY)As S&P traded -50 handles AFTER the cash close from 4:00pm to 4:15pm into the market’s anticipation of the massive rebalancing of volatility (buy to cover) on the close, XIV then saw a delayed and terrifying ~-87 PERCENT move after the close, as some who owned XIV puts as crash protection sniffed this potential and speculated liquidation from the ETN, which is set per a rules-based system to buy back short vega after an 80% “crash trigger”(which again isn’t a certainty because they use a blend of 1st and 2nd month).  The asset pool nonetheless was seemingly / largely wiped-out and the note is guaranteed to “pay out” to their shareholders as set per their prospectus.  It is likely that this thing has indeed been “triggered” and will be forced to liquidate.  SVXY doesn’t have the firm 80% “trigger” but too is seeing its NAV “wiped out” and is trading ~-80% post-close as well.

The issue NOW is the pile-on going-forward across assets, as the systematic “short vol” community’s models are now completely toast, and they too will be forced to cover remaining “short vol” positions that didn’t trade today—i.e. BE PREPARED FOR A MAJOR VIX FOLLOW-THROUGH TOMORROW. 
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"I've never seen anything like this"
The real action is in the super-crowded short-vol space.
XIV - The Short VIX ETF - after its relentless diagonal move higher as one after another Target manager sold vol for a living... just disintegrated after-hours, down a stunning 90% to $10.00.
See chart in this source:
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1-Dow Futures are down 600 points from the close...
2-And may have further to fall...
3- Rate-hike expectations are plummeting...
4- But the loss of faith in Fed rate hikes continues as 2Y yields tumble back below 2.00%...
5- Foreign exchange is also extending its drop against the dollar...

See charts 1to 5 at the source of this art:
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"...The next bear market will not be like the last... It will be worse because it will be spread across the entire financial ecosystem. Pensions, welfare, markets, debt, real estate and savings..."
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"Today’s large increase of market volatility will clearly contribute to further outflows from systematic strategies in the days ahead: the total amount of these outflows may add to ~$100bn... but there is a strong probability of policy makers stepping in to calm the market."  [[ OPIUM DREAMS  ]]


For many people around the world, Friday doesn't signal the end of the working week...
See chart:
OR
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DOMINO EFFECTS OF THE CRASH STARTED world-wide..

Thought today's market crash was over? Think again: the E-Mini is tumbling after hours, sending Nikkei futures a staggering 8% lower...
See chart

and this one:
See chart at: 

and here is the volatility –VIX- figure for this context
see chart:
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Financial-speculator RULE of our time: HIDE your massive gluttony with Cryptos .. AVOID TAXES

Cryptos blasted off and soared at precisely 3pm just as stocks were crashing, in the process undoing most of today's losses.
See chart:
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The real clue to exposing the boogeyman might be seeing what triggers real fear in the volatility markets...
See chart:
https://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/inline-images/tchir%201_0.jpg
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POLITICS
Seudo democ y sist  duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s  full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambiarlo


"First, the memo demonstrates that there is a 'deep state' that does not want things like elections to threaten its existence..."
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"In a convoluted scheme outlined in the referral, the foreign source gave the information to an unnamed associate of Hillary and Bill Clinton, who then gave the information to an unnamed official in the Obama State Department, who then gave the information to Steele." -Byron York
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"...we have about 4,000 jobs available today in manufacturing that we can’t fill... We can’t get people to pass a drug test."
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WORLD ISSUES and M-East
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K- compet. D rest in limbo


If Russiagate psyop exists Is because the western power establishment is trying to cripple the Russia-China tandem in order to ensure US hegemony, and if they tried to thrust us all into a new cold war without our permission they’d shatter the illusion of freedom and democracy they depend on to rule..."
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
Geopolitics & the nasty business of US-NATO-Global-wars uncovered ..



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Que culpa tienen ellas de ser bellas y los hombres de mirarlas por ello?
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.. engaging in ideology-based rather than fact-based journalism.
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RT SHOWS
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PRESS TV
Global situation described by Iranian observers..


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With FED rule 50/50 is OK .. Back to 1948 limits & Jersulaen should be a new type of Vatican
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