domingo, 29 de septiembre de 2019

ND SEP 29 19 SIT EC y POL



ND  SEP 29  19  SIT EC y POL 
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Eco

 ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics


It would require substantial changes in the economic and, in some cases, financial and institutional structures of major economies accompanied by significant modifications to the system of global governance...
See Chart:
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USD doesn’t serve the future of America. The future is one single currency for trade business and Bank savings. The IMF agreed to create this currency from a basket of all currencies who can get supported by gold. To support  the USD with gold we need to pay the huge debt we have. Is there enough gold for this conversion?. What about big private banker & big Corp.. Will they abandon the kripto currencies and fiscal paradises where they place their gold?. I don’t think so. Investors who work in industrial production sectors (not mere WS speculations) need their saving in USD  be converted to gold. All the rest of the Nation too. IF US don’t do it, we will be excluded from international market  even if IMF insist in support USD. There will be regional currencies in ASIA, Europe, Latin America and AFRICA. VEN and BRA people are already using kripto currencies & soon there will be a regional currencies supported by gold. IMF will disappear, it is now useless. ARG already declared Zero Sovereign Dept. The world have realized that financial parasites and the USD Debt is destroying the global economy. The only option we have is gold-USD
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"... We’re moving from the perception that this is late-cycle to a belief that it’s end of cycle."
My view remains that the risk in Fed scenarios is weighted towards significantly more cuts because growth is slowing much more than many seem willing to acknowledge, and the risk of a recession has increased materially. As noted above, an equity manager has made money over the past year in just two types of stocks – growth or defensively oriented ones. In July, that began to change, and we have been recommending a long defensive/short secular growth pair as a way to capture what could be the next move in this cyclical bear market – pricing a recession whether we have one or not. In short, we’re moving from the perception that this is late-cycle to a belief that it’s end of cycle. When that shift occurs, defensive stocks outperform secular growth stocks (Exhibit 1).
See Chart:
Secular Growth Stocks relative to defensive Stokcs

So if this is THE event, what are we ending? In my view, the days of endless capital for unprofitable businesses. It was one heck of a run, but paying extraordinary valuations for anything is a bad idea, particularly for businesses that may never generate a positive stream of cash flows. If you ask me, that’s just common sense and it’s a good thing if the markets go back to a more disciplined mindset. The problem is that some stocks in the public markets still need to fall back to earth, and they reside in the secular growth category.
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We remain irrationally bullish for 2019... but IPO underperformance, spike in repo rates, credit tremors (Argentina, Ford, Thomas Cook) and growing risk of disorderly rise in US dollar hint at a potential liquidity crisis in 2020.
Three catalysts can change this in the 2020s, and break the cycle:
  • Catalyst 1 = higher growth & higher yields:
  • Catalyst 2 = higher rates & lower growth
  • Catalyst 3 = lower EPS & lower yields: note Fed response to '98 Asia crisis overwhelmed Clinton impeachment (Chart 7); a potential Trump impeachment in 2020...

… could herald shift to left towards redistributive policies of higher regulation & higher taxation harming US EPS.
See Chart:
US policies heading into 2020 Presidential Elections
What comes next?  Expect an even more pressing and dramatic financial or geopolitical crisis to be unleashed somewhere in the world, which will force even more easing by the Fed, and in turn send stocks to even recorder highs, before the next and perhaps final bubble bursts, send stocks crashing to new generational lows. The only question is whether Trump will successfully delay this day of reckoning to beyond November 2020. And once we cross that point, the collapse will be just a matter of time, as will be the launch of MMT under president AOC/Warren in 2024 and the end of the US Dollar as a reserve currency.
[ I don’t think Trump will be able to defeat E Warren in 2020 election. Polls said so ]
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US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio

Cuando no tienen nada positivo que hacer se dedican a cazar moscas con la lengua…

"I think she has to testify here...
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Why? Because she is enemy of “private greed” and in favor of “Public Need” as most socialists do. There won’t be space for all of them in your Court. They are not enemies of US, they are enemies of neoliberal system which favor only the rich: big bankers & big Corp, not our nation. Who are you serving to?
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"...Yes I know it sucks. My 5 year plan is to leave the state before it collapses financially any home value plummets." 
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...the hundreds of environmentally toxic military bases circling our planet, exists solely for the benefit of murderous dominating imperialists and sociopathic war profiteers...
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US-WORLD  ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo


...markets are in engaged in a big game of stalemate. Bulls keep buying every dip, but all rallies are sold and are selling opportunities. Nobody’s making any progress whatsoever chasing from headline to headline...
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China has no intention to continue talking with US teams. It stand to reason: We are instigating the unrest in Hong Kong. They have the Shanghai Pact, they don’t need the US any longer.  There is not stalemate, they won the context.
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The U.S. is the main instigator of terrorism throughout the Middle East, according to the Iranian president...
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 We want WW3.. and we will have it. Then US people will know Hiroshima-Nag Exp

NATO so readily spurning the request is a deeply worrisome sign of a likely 'new arms race' to come.
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"...the current sophistry being used by a weak, desperate and dangerous Empire seeks to undermine Xi’s Grand Design by redefining its 'operating system' by destroying those aspects which generate creative change..."
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3

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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am search f alternatives to neo-fascist regimes & terrorist imperial chaos

RT EN ESPAÑOL
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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE
Deep on the US political crisis: neofascism & internal conflicts that favor WW3

-Dems' Impeachment Against Trump Is A Huge Mistake  By Moon Of Alabama  Trump should be impeached for his crimes against Syria, Venezuela and Yemen
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars from US-NATO  allies

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PRESS TV
Resume of Global News described by Iranian observers..

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