sábado, 14 de septiembre de 2019

ND SEP 13 19 SIT EC y POL



ND  SEP 13  19  SIT EC y POL 
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Eco


INCREDIBLE:  2 WOMEN MAY LEAD THE NEXT US GVT: E WARREN & K HARRIS
IT IS WHAT WE GOT IN THE 2nd DEMOCRATIC  DEBATE. Bye Bye Trump


ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics


10-year US Treasury yield has for 3rd time since 2012 failed to sustain break down below 1.5% (Chart 1); yield retracement has caused $2.4tn drop in negative-yielding bonds
See Chart:

.. in the process catalyzing a furious waterfall of downstream effects starting with yield retracement causing $2.4tn drop in negative-yielding bonds.
See Chart:

See other interesting charts at:
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BLOOBATH
[[ Unfortunately: contradicted charts .. and intentional language distortion ]]

Quite a week...
...as Momentum collapsed...
See Chart:
YTD Performnance:  Momo  vs. Value


The momo massacre went global...
See Graph:


And factor dispersion collapsed...
See Chart:
Factor Category Performance . North America


And the antithesis of the momo massacre, value had its best week on record...
See Chart:
Weekly Value Facto Change:  record gain


And relative to one another, IT WAS A BLOODBATH...
See Chart:
Momentum / Value


It seems that not biggest Comp & Corp save US Economy,, but middle size Investors
The driver of the Trannies/Small Caps surge was a huge short-squeeze...
See Chart:


The biggest weekly squeeze of ‘most Shorted’ stocks since Trump's election...
See Chart:
‘Most Shorted’ Stocks  seems to be run by middle investors


September has seen a massive shift into cyclical stocks...
See Chart:


...BUT NOTE BELOW they are merely back at a critical level of resistance...
See Chart:
KBW Bank Index


Just as the start of August sparked a panic-buying period for bonds, so September has seemingly sparked the exact opposite with a huge retracement so far...
See Chart:
UST 30Y Yield


The US yield curve (3m10Y) remains inverted but had the biggest weekly steepening since June 2013...
See Chart:
UST 3m10Y Spread

THE DOLLAR INDEX DISTORTED
AND THEN BLOKED
HERE IS BACK:
The Dollar slipped lower the second week in a row, testing one-month lows...
See Chart:


Finally, straight from the WTF world we live in, Greek 10Y Yields are now below US 10Y Yields for the first time since 2007..
See Chart:

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...the recession that's unfolding isn't one triggered by crisis such as higher oil prices or a financial panic. It's a recession of debt exhaustion and diminishing returns as doing more of what's failed for ten years will finally fail spectacularly...


It was a huge relief to see the charts of the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) and the U.S. retail sector ETF (RTH): both have soared to the moon, signaling that both the U.S. and global economies are booming: the BDI is widely regarded as a proxy for global shipping, which is a proxy for global trade and economic activity.
See Charts:
Best Global Economic / Shipping boom ever

Amazon is 18% of the RTH basket of retail stocks, but the rest are conventional bricks and mortar chains with online sales: Walmart, Home Depot, Lowes, Costco, CVS, etc.

The American consumer must be ready, willing and able to spend freely since the retail sector is hitting new heights.
See Charts:

OK, now let's change channels from soaring market valuations to the real-world economy. What planet are buyers of BDI and RTH on? Maybe the shipping and retail sectors are incredibly robust on Sirius B, but here on Planet Earth the global economy is weakening, trade is stagnating, shipping is in recession, and retail sales and profits are stagnating.

Lumping all American households in one basket gives a false signal of financial health. If we look at averages, debt levels are reasonable, incomes are notching higher and so expectations of rising household debt and spending are reasonable.

But this radically distorts reality: only the top 10% are creditworthy and have rising incomes; the bottom 90% are over-indebted, poor credit risks and their income is stagnant and/or precarious.

The top 10% of households--a mere 12 million households--are also precarious, as much of their wealth and income is based on insanely overvalued asset bubbles in stocks, bonds and real estate. The wealth effect fuels their free-spending ways (recall that the top 10% collect roughly half of all income and account for almost half of all consumer spending).

As all the asset bubbles pop, the reverse wealth effect kicks in. Once households feel poorer, they tighten their borrowing and spending.

Another under-appreciated reality is the top 10% of households have much lower levels of debt (relative to their income) than the average middle-class household. This has several sources:

1. The top 10% hasn't needed to borrow as much for college, healthcare, vehicles, vacations, etc. because their higher income enables saving and paying cash.
2. The top 10%, especially the self-employed and small-business owners, tend to be debt-averse. They understand that debt is always a noose around the neck. As a result, the desire to take on more debt, even at near-zero rates of interest, is near-zero for many top 10% households.
3. The wealth effect is real for 10% households which have sold off bubble-valuation stocks, bonds, real estate, art, vintage autos, etc. The smart money has been selling these assets and pocketing the gains. The bottom 90% don't own enough bubble-valuation assets to move the needle on their overall wealth, income and financial security.

Globally, those who want to borrow more are poor credit risks while those who are creditworthy don't want more debt, regardless of how low interest rates fall. If we set aside the top 10% of households and enterprises, and focus on the creditworthiness and precariousness of the bottom 90%, we get a much more accurate picture of global debt exhaustion, a.k.a. debt saturation.

As I've written here recently, the recession that's unfolding isn't one triggered by crisis such as higher oil prices or a financial panic. It's a recession of debt exhaustion and diminishing returns as doing more of what's failed for ten years will finally fail spectacularly.
*  *  *
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Liquidity crises should not be understood as bizarre out-of-body experiences: they are built into the very DNA of the market.
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"He had access to another financial manager’s account." 
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US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio


“When the people find that they can vote themselves money that will herald the end of the republic.”

Okay, so let’s talk about Thursday’s debate. 
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"This ad is about fighting the socialist agenda that has taken over the Democratic Party"
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The attack on AOC (burning her picture in ABC ad) is part of the “fighting against the socialist agenda that has taken over the Democratic Party" (the authors admitted), this only means that REPs are desperate: Trump is going to be defeated in the coming elections. That was confirmed this evening in the 2nd Democratic debate were all candidates agreed to be united against Trump (at least rhetorically now). The most interesting thing in this debate is that 2 women may lead the next government. The socialist E-Warren and the liberal Kamala Harris. The perfect formula to take Trump out of power. AOC is part of the socialist alliance and her attack is just a sign of Trump defeat in 2020 Elect. 
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“We are going to fight for the futures of cities like Baltimore that have been destroyed by decades of failed and corrupt rule.” 
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When one considers the indoctrination to which these young Americans have been subjected in their state-run educational systems, their preference for socialism actually makes sense...
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Reductio ad absurdum...
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"The full contents of the memo are not public. It is not known why the department decided to..." 
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His status has officially changed from a serving prisoner to a 'person facing extradition'...
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'AB32 has become a flashpoint in California’s fight with the Trump administration.'
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"After the DOJ has a chance to review and comment on the report, it will be sent to the Judiciary Committee and made public." 
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US-WORLD  ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo



Trump announced Monday Afghan peace talks and the entire process are “dead”...
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Russophobic rhetoric persists in Washington, but a counter-argument is emerging.
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“Mr. Trump looked over a gathering of American and Egyptian officials and called out in a loud voice...”
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3

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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am search f alternatives to neo-fascist regimes & terrorist imperial chaos

REBELION

US:  Bolton y su tablero geopolítico  Cristóbal León Campos
Salvador   Entre la guerra y las elecciones  Raúl Zibechi
Boliv:   Líderes, propuestas elector y candidaturas  Eduardo Paz Rada
COL:  La Paz también es rebelión  Jhon Jairo Salinas
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ALAI ORG

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RT EN ESPAÑOL

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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE
Deep on the US political crisis: neofascism & internal conflicts that favor WW3

-The DNC Debates are a Sham  By Renee Parsons 
-Break up the Dem Party  By Michael Hudson
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COUNTER PUNCH
Analysis on US Politics & Geopolitics

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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars from US-NATO  allies


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DEMOCRACY NOW
Amy Goodman’  team

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PRESS TV
Resume of Global News described by Iranian observers..

BLOCKED
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