DIC 13 16 SIT EC
y POL
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Sobre la debacle política y económica
del imperio ..
el poeta
peruano Cesar Vallejo lo vaticinó un siglo
atrás
“.. y el cadáver.. hay.. siguió muriendo”
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ZERO HEDGE
ECONOMICS
With crude oil prices up over 50% YoY (the most in 6 years),
and retail gas prices up over 10%
YoY (the most in 5 years), Bloomberg's Garfield Reynolds
suggests the Saudis have sealed it then, 2017
will be the year when inflation takes over. And if that’s curtains for global
disinflation then we could see the start
of a great unwind in central bank easing,
something capable of spurring all manner of extraordinary market disruption.
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"A
recession is coming sometime soon, but I think economists in all of the state
offices would tell you that there’s a really hard economic forecasting angle of
predicting when that’s going to happen."
…
A decline in state tax revenue has historically been a
reliable leading indicator of impending recessions. As such,
investors/gamblers in the current equity market bubble should probably take
note of the new report just published by the National
Association of State Budget Officers indicating that state revenues are just starting to decline as funding
needs related to massively underfunded pensions, rising education costs, etc. continue
to skyrocket.
The combination of
declining revenue and soaring costs forced 19 states to slash budgets in FY
2016, the highest since the "great recession". Moreover, per
the chart below, an uptick in state revenue shortfalls have been a solid leading
indicator of all four of the previous U.S. recessionary periods.
Per The Hill, states
were forced to cut $2.8 billion out of FY 2016 budgets with energy-dependent
economies being the hardest hit.
States
were forced to cut a total of $2.8 billion out of their budgets in the last
fiscal year, and more states are likely to face cash flow crunches in
upcoming legislative sessions. Seventeen states implemented cuts to
their K-12 education programs, and eleven states cut public assistance
programs.
Energy-producing
states like Alaska, Louisiana, New Mexico, North Dakota, Oklahoma and Wyoming
were particularly hard-hit,
as falling global commodity prices caused extraction tax revenues to tumble.
Among the 12 states that saw revenues decline in 2016, nine are major energy
producers.
Wyoming’s
spending declined more than 20 percent between 2016 and 2017 as oil and coal
prices fell. Spending in Alaska
— which relies on taxes generated by its oil industry for a huge percentage of
its overall revenue — dropped almost 10 percent, while the state hiked fees and
laid off employees. Louisiana cut almost $350 million from its budget
Read more at: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-12-13/do-state-revenue-trends-indicate-recession-imminent
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World context: social inequality (US in it), wars
& natural disaster are today worse problems
1
The 21st Century is inching ever closer towards
chaos... and the time to get out of the
big city is upon us.
…
See Infographic via Signal Noise. Or OPEN http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-12-12/25-cities-brink-disaster-dont-be-here-when-things-get-violent-unsafe-fragile
…
Of course, any number of urban areas in the war-torn Middle
East and perpetual conflict zones of Africa has also made for very dangerous
cities, with populations on the brink of disaster, and many individuals
vulnerable to crime and violence on a daily basis. Ibb, Yemen, Kirkuk, Iraq, Aden, Yemen, Kabul, Afghanistan and Mosul, Iraq
have become some of the worst locales, along with cities spread across the
Congo, Mogadishu, Somalia and other highly disputed areas.
Brazil’s megacities are so saturated with the urban poor, and
short on basic resources including drinking water, they literally
millions of people are on the brink. Riots are possible, and a survival crisis
could factor in for Sao Paolo, where 8 million people are at risk of having no
access to water. Predictably,
many cities in Colombia remain extremely fragile due to the ongoing drug war
conflicts that have claimed lives, and left millions of people at the mercy of
gang rule.
Venezuela has proven to be a special case, of near precision
collapse, as its currency tanks and economic warfare brings people to
their knees as they are forced to wait in line for rations, trade on the black
market and deal in worthless cash. Caracas
remains the biggest pool of hungry, poor and increasingly fed up people.
Guatemala City, Mexico and Villa
Nueva, Guatemala as well as San Pedro
Sula, Honduras were identified as particularly vulnerable cities in
Central America, as refugees continue to seek amnesty in the United
States to escape the ongoing turmoil in their own countries.
Perhaps surprising to some, many major European cities are
quite vulnerable as well to global economic pressures via sharp
increases in immigration, “rape” scandals and social concerns about terrorism.
London, UK is one of the
wealthiest cities, and yet it faces enormous pressures from overwhelming
immigration, from growing economic disparity and from cultural clashes, threats
of terrorism – and now, fighting between political factions over Brexit
and other issues.
The Eastern bloc is especially vulnerable to these pressures that
could lead to a growing unrest. France, Germany, Sweden and Norway also face
major instability over immigration and cultural issues.
But some of the most unstable cities on the planet rank among
those in the United States.
Places like Baltimore,
Detroit, Washington D.C., New York,
Philadelphia and other
cities across the map are still deeply divided often police and race issues.
Many have seen serious riots, looting and unrest. These social wedge issues are
still being pushed from moneyed political interests, while political divide
after the direction of the country has become sharp.
Dallas, Texas just suspended pension payments for some of its civil servants, a sign that financial insolvency could
create an epidemic during the next crisis. Several
states, like California, have
over promised benefits to state employees in the pension programs, without ever
planning to pay for them. If people lose it, Los Angeles, San
Francisco, San Diego and the whole of the surrounding areas could simply
erupt. Similar problems have left Detroit,
Michigan and Puerto Rico,
the commonwealth island, extremely vulnerable to bankruptcy and economic
apocalypse that could contaminate the nation and global within hours.
If a natural disaster, such as a hurricane, hits the East or
Gulf Coast, tens of millions of people could be caught up in traffic,
locked in cities without food, and desperate to cling to order and survive.
Likewise, if a major earthquake hit the West Coast, millions could be displaced
and left without many options. That’s when things turn ugly.
The world is reaching a tipping
point, and much chaos and instability could come crashing down anytime now. Many cities have made themselves open
targets for collapse, with economic normalcy already hanging by a thread and
populations already restless and growing increasingly discontent.
…
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2-
Rampant speculation & investment frauds.. the other worse malady
Yesterday's brief hiccup in what has been an
otherwise relentless rally in global risk assets is all but forgotten this
morning, as European and Asian stocks, and US equity futures, all rise in quiet
trading ahead of tomorrow's FOMC meeting, with the Dow set to make a 16th
consecutive post-election all time high.
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BACK TO US: getting the
end of initial euphoria for anti-system change
Following the Dow's surge right out of the
gates, it is safe to say that the "Industrial" average, where Goldman
Sachs has been the star performer, and which as of last night, was more
overbought on just 4 previous occasions in the past century, is at record
euphoria.
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Trump’s race to enact a "huge"
stimulus went under a caution flag as Mitch McConnell warned he considers
current levels of U.S. debt “dangerous”, and said he any tax overhaul should
avoid adding to the deficit. "I think this level of national debt is
dangerous and unacceptable." McConnell
also poured cold water on the idea of a massive stimulus package, effectively
laying out markers on taxes and spending.
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POLITICS
Dallas
Police resignations have surged 165% over the past two months just as the Dallas
Police and Fire Pension System (DPFP) took the unprecedented step of halting
withdrawals from their DROP fund after a "run on the bank"
pushed to the entire pension system to the brink of "liquidity
crisis."
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“Revolution
never comes with a warning,” and this is because it usually seethes on the back burner
until the top blows off. Only time will tell if one occurs in the U.S.
as a result of these elections and any possible post-election chicanery, but
make no mistake: the
citizens are “keyed up” and we may just see it.
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Gallup Sees "Dramatic Shift" In Americans' Confidence Post-Trump (To 9 Year Highs)
"Rarely has Gallup found such a dramatic shift in Americans' economic
confidence over the past nine years as it has in the past month..."
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The C.I.A.'s rash, evidence-free "report"
is a rear-guard political action
against the winning faction of the Deep State...
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A major threat to liberty is the assault on the
right to discuss political issues, seek out alternative information sources,
and promote dissenting ideas and causes such as non-interventionism in foreign
and domestic affairs. If this ongoing
assault on free speech succeeds, then all of our liberties are endangered.
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WORLD ISSUES and ME
Unless there is an immediate deescalation of
rhetoric and a return to rational thinking, a very destructive global trade war is baked in the cake.
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Title don’t fit content.. could be Mossad intrusion : Notice that there is not
such a ‘retaliation’
"The United States has not fully delivered
its commitments in the (the nuclear deal)," Iran president Rouhani wrote
on Tuesday. "With regards to recent (U.S. congress) legislation to extend
the Iran Sanctions Act, I order to ... plan the design and construction
of a nuclear propeller to be used in marine transportation to be used in marine
transportation."
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- Trump Picks Exxon Chief for State Amid Concerns (Reuters)
- Buoyant Markets Pose New Challenge for the Fed (WSJ)
- Tweeter-in-Chief Trump Faces Test After Yellen’s Rate Decision (BBG)
- Trump Dissing Daily Intelligence Briefing Worsens Rift With CIA (BBG)
- SWIFT confirms new cyber thefts, hacking tactics (Reuters)
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DEMOCRACY NOW
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Turkish
Forces Supported ISIS-Daesh in Attack on Palmyra, Al-Bab in Retaliation for
Defeat in Aleppo. Analyst By Fars News Agency
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COUNTER PUNCH
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Ralph Nader Trump
Trumpets His Real Plans
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Thomas Knapp Trump
on Military Spending: an Encouraging Sign
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Dan Corjescu Donald
Trump: Simulacrum in Chief
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS Emphasis
on Syria is because this could spark WW3
'Short-Lived Setback': Syrian Army Prepares to Retake Palmyra
https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201612131048482042-palmyra-daesh-syrian-army/
https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201612131048482042-palmyra-daesh-syrian-army/
Related
Bitter Lessons: The True Sponsors of Daesh's Latest Assault
on Palmyra
https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201612121048475496-palmyra-offensive-troop-movements/
https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201612121048475496-palmyra-offensive-troop-movements/
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Spy vs. Spy: DNI Refuses to Support CIA Russian Hack Claim,
Citing Lack of Proof
https://sputniknews.com/us/201612131048499879-dni-shoots-down-cia-russian-hack-claim/
https://sputniknews.com/us/201612131048499879-dni-shoots-down-cia-russian-hack-claim/
RELATED
Ex-CIA Officer: No Evidence of Russian Government Involvement
in US Election
https://sputniknews.com/us/201612131048478396-former-cia-no-evidence-russian-hacking/
https://sputniknews.com/us/201612131048478396-former-cia-no-evidence-russian-hacking/
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Political Intrigue Deepens Over Trump's Strategy for Syria,
China
https://sputniknews.com/politics/201612131048506387-trump-syria-china/
https://sputniknews.com/politics/201612131048506387-trump-syria-china/
RELATED 1
Daesh in Disguise: Terrorists Moved to Palmyra 'Dressed as
Bedouins & Soldiers'
https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201612131048502353-syria-palmyra-daesh-attack/
https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201612131048502353-syria-palmyra-daesh-attack/
RELATED 2
Losing Aleppo: Western Countries Panicking Over Their Lack of
a Plan B in Syria
https://sputniknews.com/politics/201612091048367238-west-russia-aleppo-syria-planb/
https://sputniknews.com/politics/201612091048367238-west-russia-aleppo-syria-planb/
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RELATED 3
Videos of Alleged 'Russian Strikes, Firing Squads' in Aleppo
Staged by Militants
https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201612131048502649-aleppo-russian-strikes-fabricated-by-militants/
https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201612131048502649-aleppo-russian-strikes-fabricated-by-militants/
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RT SHOWS
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WASHINGTON BLOG
Posted on December 13, 2016 by Eric Zuesse.
SUMMARY
The evidence is clear and convincing: U.S. President Barack
Obama, against advice and warnings from his top military officers, pursued a
policy to protect the fundamentalist-Sunni organization, Al Qaeda in Syria
(called “Al Nusra” there), and to arm them, so as to overthrow Bashar al-Assad and
replace Assad’s secular government with a Sharia-law, fundamentalist-Sunni,
government, which would be allied with the fundamentalist-Sunni Saud family —
the deadly enemies of Iran, Assad’s Syria, and Russia. (Both Iran and Assad’s
Syria are allied with Russia.) Obama and the Sauds wanted this replacement of
Assad by jihadists for different reasons: Obama’s goal was to terminate and
replace yet another ruler who is allied with Russia; but the Sauds’ goal was to
terminate and replace Shia-Islam by the Sauds’ own fundamentalist Sunni form of
Islam.
1: INTRODUCTION
The classified, leaked, and FOIAed (Freedom of Information
Act released) U.S. Government documentation that will be quoted and
linked-to here, is entirely consistent with the
news-reporting that the longtime New Yorker reporter Seymour Hersh was unable to publish in that American
magazine and so he published it instead in the London Review of Books;
and this independently released (FOIAed) information confirms Hersh’s reports about U.S. President Barack Obama’s lying to
not only the public but also members of his own Administration (alleging
to them that his primary target was jihadists not Russians). This disjunction
between Obama’s words-and-deeds puzzled his Joint Chiefs of Staff, who
ultimately rebelled against Obama’s prioritizing war against Syria and Russia,
over war against jihadists. Several of them quit; others were fired; all
because they prioritized conquering and killing jihadists over conquering and
killing Russians and allies of Russia.
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Posted on December 12, 2016 by WashingtonsBlog
Veteran Intelligence
Professionals for Sanity
MEMORANDUM
Allegations of Hacking Election Are Baseless
MEMORANDUM
Allegations of Hacking Election Are Baseless
A New York Times
report on Monday alluding to “overwhelming circumstantial evidence” leading the
CIA to believe that Russian President Vladimir Putin “deployed computer hackers
with the goal of tipping the election to Donald J. Trump” is, sadly,
evidence-free. This is no surprise, because harder
evidence of a technical nature points to an inside leak, not hacking – by
Russians or anyone else.
Monday’s Washington
Post reports that Sen. James Lankford, R-Oklahoma,
a member of the Senate Intelligence Committee, has joined other senators in
calling for a bipartisan investigation of suspected cyber-intrusion by
Russia. Reading our short memo could save the Senate from endemic partisanship,
expense and unnecessary delay.
In what follows, we
draw on decades of senior-level experience – with emphasis on
cyber-intelligence and security – to cut through uninformed, largely partisan
fog. Far from hiding behind anonymity, we are proud
to speak out with the hope of gaining an audience appropriate to what we merit
– given our long labors in government and other areas of technology. And corny though it may sound these days,
our ethos as intelligence professionals remains,
simply, to tell it like it is – without fear or favor.
⇒ Keep Reading
⇒ Keep Reading
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
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Ya llegaron!:
Putin, presidente USA Ardo B. Ginés Una encuesta a quienes cree
eso.. probaría el lamentable control de TV y prensa Corp sobre la mente del
común de americanos
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El acuerdo petrolero da un respiro a economías
emergentes Y fue gracias a los rusos
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El legado de Marcuse Patricia Terino
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El sistema educativo como herramienta de
control del pensamiento
Vicente Berenguer
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"Hay más violaciones a hombres
que a mujeres" adiós al feminismo desclasado
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Para defender la paz hay que prepararse
para las guerras, las anunciadas por Israel-US en este caso
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Una presentadora de Fox News
'destroza' a Obama en vivo los últimos días
de OB: un total desastre
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Keiser
report 1005 ¿Guerra por la verdad?: La
persecución que le aguarda a los medios independientes en EE.UU. Si se logra
sacar a Trump y Clinton el 19.. regresará vida al US. Pero lo dudo .. pues como vaticinó C. Vallejo,
el poeta peruano: “el cadáver .. hay .. siguió
muriendo”
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La era de austeridad llegó a Brasil pase lo que pase a nivel político
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PRESS TV
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Departing from Alepo liberation as a fact
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Un Presid negro es V aunque el
balance sea –D
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Fighting in Aleppo has ended: Russia UN Envoy
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'Trump determined to boost ties with Russia
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