miércoles, 27 de julio de 2016

JUL 26 16 SIT EC y POL -1-



JUL 26 16  SIT EC y POL -1-
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After all this time, however, Hillary doesn’t get any of it. She thinks war is peace; deficits don’t matter; the baby boom is entitled to the social insurance they didn’t earn; and that the Fed’s serial bubble machine is leading the nation back to prosperity. But like the generation she represents, she has betrayed her grand ideals over a lifetime of compromise, expediency, self-promotion and complacent acquisition of power, wealth and fame. She doesn’t deserve another stint at the podium - let alone the bully pulpit.
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ZERO HEDGE
ECONOMICS

Janet, you have a problem...
If soaring home prices and record high stocks won't spike consumer confidence, what will?


 
While the 'Present Situation' index rose modestly to 118.3 (from 116.6), the 'Expectations' index dropped to 83.3 from 84.6 (inching the overall Conference Board Consumer Confidence index lower to 97.3).
Jobs plentiful dropped, income growth expectations dropped, plans to buy a car dropped, and inflation expectations dropped.

New England saw the biggest spike in confidence (from 82.0 to 95.8!!) but East South Central collapsed from 97.8 to 73.0.

Perhaps most worrying is the plunge in Under-35-year-old confidence from 132.3 to 122.8 and middle-income earners ($50k to 125k) all saw a drop in confidence.
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The financial and economic world in 2016 is, more than anything, a confidence game (pun intended). The year started with confidence severely shaken, so gasoline (as one real economic variable) and hiding intervention (the further hint of desperation) are more likely to have lasting negative effects than effusive but un-backed mainstream praise for the nth year in a row.
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The hits just keep on coming. After yesterday's ugly 2 Year auction, and following last month's less than stellar, tailing 5 Year auction, moments ago the Treasury sold $34 billion in 5 Year paper in what was another woeful issuance, one where the high yield of 1.18% was a substantial tail of 1.6bps to the 1.164% When Issued, and whose Bid to Cover dropped again, reaching 2.27, the lowest since September 2009.
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Over the past week, market watchers have noticed something which otherwise could be seen as a warning signal: there has been a dramatic move in swap spreads space, notably a substantial widening in recent days from what was until recently record tight - and negative - levels, coupled with a blow out in FX swaps, where the EURUSD has seen its cross-currency swap slide -3 bps today to -48 bps, the widest since July 2012. What does this mean, and what are the implications? Read on for the explanation.
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While USDJPY notched down and Oil had been slipping, stocks suddenly lurched lower, gapping to yesterday's lows on heavy volume. As one veteran trader exclaimed "what the f**k was that?" as no obvious catalyst sprung up, unless of course this morning's series of economic "beats" was sufficiently good to be bad for stocks and raise the dreaded rate hike specter.
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Moments ago the latest data from the Census Bureau shelved any lingering concerns about a sharp slowdown in the US housing market, when it reported that in June new home sales surged 25.4% from a year ago and up 3.5% from the upward revised May print of 572K to 592K, above the 560K expected, and the highest number reported since 2008, even if still well below half of the peak hit before the recession struck.
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Despite its supposed seasonal adjustment, Case-Shiller home price growth in May tumbled for the 3rd year in a row (in fact, with revisions, the 0.23% drop since March is the biggest drop since June 2014). This is the first consecutive home price drop since 2012. The almost unbelievable 'stability' of the 5-ish percent growth in Case-Shiller home prices for the last 2 years is impressive if only for its historical lack of precedence but May's 5.24% YoY rise in the slowest since Sept 2015.
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Despite an excited bounce in US Manufacturing PMI's preliminary print (and ISM Services last month), Markit reports a disappointing drop in US Services to a 5-month low. New business slowed but that did not deter hope as business confidence rebounded (albeit from record lows). However, as Markit notes, "The U.S. service sector remained stuck in a low gear at the start of the third quarter of 2016..."
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POLITICS


After all this time, however, Hillary doesn’t get any of it. She thinks war is peace; deficits don’t matter; the baby boom is entitled to the social insurance they didn’t earn; and that the Fed’s serial bubble machine is leading the nation back to prosperity. But like the generation she represents, she has betrayed her grand ideals over a lifetime of compromise, expediency, self-promotion and complacent acquisition of power, wealth and fame. She doesn’t deserve another stint at the podium - let alone the bully pulpit.

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The sustained applause and sea of "Bernie" signs in the crowd as he took the stage called into question whether Hillary had any support at all among the convention goers.  Sanders spent nearly the first half of his speech thanking his supporters and touting progressive policies with the first mention of Clinton not coming until about 800 words later.
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Clinton Cash investigates how Bill and Hillary Clinton went from being “dead broke” after leaving the White House to amassing a net worth of over $150 million, with over $2 billion in donations to their foundation.  
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ME & WORLD ISSUES



A month ago we warned of the looming hyperinflation coming to Nigeria (as well as much of Africa). It appears, following the central banks' rate hike to a record 14% (reach for yield anyone) in an attempt to stall the ongoing currency collapse, that Emefiele is worried, warning of "concern over headline inflation spike." Perhaps most worrying though, amid the chaos, Emefiele advised depositors in banks "to go about your business," adding that there was "no need to panic or worry." Hhhmm..
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In the latest European assault to take place just over the past hour, two knifemen raided the Church of the Gambetta in the northern French town of Saint-Etienne-du-Rouvray, taking between 4 and 6 hostages and allegedly killing a priest before being killed by police. According to subsequent unconfirmed reports the priest had been beheaded.
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With WTI now down over 17% from its mid-June highs, and energy stocks just beginning to wake up to the 2015-analog collapse, fears are rising that once again low oil prices are not 'unequivocally good' for stocks or the economy. Between record speculative long positioning in futures, the fundamental strength of the dollar and surge in gasoline inventories remain the big overhangs (along with rising storage levels at Cushing as demand begins to fade seasonally).
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  • Priest killed in French church before police shoot dead hostage-takers (Reuters)
  • On raucous opening night, Democratic stars make a pitch for Clinton (Reuters)
  • Sanders Backs Clinton After Fractious Opening of Convention (BBG)
  • Some in Sanders' army seem determined to march on without him (Reuters)
  • Yen hits two-week high as Japanese stimulus expectations dialled back (Reuters)
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DEMOCRACY NOW or DOWN with TYRANNY

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GLOBAL RESEARCH

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COUNTER PUNCH

Andrew Levine.  Pillory Hillary Now
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RT SHOWS

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In case you miss it:  On contact  Capitalism in crisis with Richard Wolff
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WASHINGTON BLOG



Jill Stein is Green Party candidate for U.S. President. Learn more at  http://jill2016.com
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Why did passengers remain on the Titanic even as its bow sank deeper into the ice-cold Atlantic? They believed the experts and authorities because they wanted to believe the ship was “unsinkable.” And why did they want to believe the ship was “unsinkable”?

Two visceral realities fueled their misplaced faith in the ship’s supposed safety:
1) The warm ship seemed so mighty, and the alternative–open lifeboats drifting in the dark cold night–seemed so vulnerable, uncomfortable and risky.
2) It was much easier to believe the experts’ assurances that the ship was safe than it was to clamber into a small lifeboat and bob around the open Atlantic.

We all know which alternative turned out to be safe and which one was fatally unsafe. The apparently risky open lifeboats were the sole source of survival and the enormous, complex “unsinkable” ship sank, ending the lives of everyone who clung to the appealing fantasy that the mighty ship was too technologically advanced to sink.

We are all on a Titanic, a complex system that experts and authorities declare safe and unsinkable for all time. Our money, our government, our Social Security, our Medicare and our entire debt-based way of life is mighty and invulnerable. Those few who see the eventual need to prepare “risky” lifeboats are mocked and ridiculed.
Keep Reading
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH



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¿Es Trump un agente de Putin?  Pregunta estúpida
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PRESS TV

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