lunes, 25 de julio de 2016

JUL 24 16 SIT EC y POL



JUL 24 16  SIT EC y POL  


Posted on July 24, 2016 by Carl Herman 

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ZERO HEDGE
ECONOMICS





"So this is really the class war. And it's the class war of Wall Street and the corporate sector of the Democratic side against Trump on the populist side...Krugman has joined the ranks of the neocons, as well as the neoliberals, and they're terrified that they're losing control of the Republican Party. For the last half-century the Republican Party has been pro-Cold War, corporatist. And Trump has actually, is reversing that. Reversing the whole traditional platform. And that really worries the neocons..."
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The earliest signs are developing of hyperinflation, more correctly described as a collapse of the purchasing power of all the major government currencies. Extreme one-way bets aside, the overriding reason for valuation disparities is becoming more consistent with the downgrading of cash, rather than a revaluation of assets
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In the pre-1971 economy, it was Main Street that produced wealth and accumulated real dollars. After 1971, it was Wall Street that controlled access to the new counterfeit money – and made sure it captured much of it. The new system gave the feds the “flexibility” they were looking for. But it completely changed the nature of our money and our economy.
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First The Koch Brothers switch sides and now Michael Bloomberg backs Clinton as it appears America's oligarchy is showing its true colors as 'Billionaires for Billary' emerge from the RNC woodwork...
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Crude oil inventories in the U.S. have fallen 23.9 million barrels since the end of April, but, as Bloomberg notes, oil bulls counting on further declines are fighting history. Over the past five years refiners' crude demand has fallen an average of 1.2 million barrels a day from the peak in July to the low in October... "The rough part will be once refineries start going into maintenance,... we aren’t drawing down inventories very fast and the pressure on prices will increase."
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Crude oil inventories in the U.S. have fallen 23.9 million barrels since the end of April, but, as Bloomberg notes, oil bulls counting on further declines are fighting history. Over the past five years refiners' crude demand has fallen an average of 1.2 million barrels a day from the peak in July to the low in October.

 "The rough part will be once refineries start going into maintenance," said Rob Haworth, a senior investment strategist in Seattle at U.S. Bank Wealth Management. "We aren’t drawing down inventories very fast and the pressure on prices will increase."

But, as Alhambra Investment Partner's jeffrey Snider notes, the significance of crude and gasoline inventory (and price) changes is the difference in narratives and what is supporting them.
While there is a direct relationship between the steepness of contango in the oil futures curve and the amount of crude siphoned from the market to storage, it is not an immediate one.

Given the “dollar’s” explicit seasonality, combined with the usual intra-year swings of crude itself, it isn’t surprising to find the process repeated almost exactly a year later. This time it happened in two separate events, the latter of which was a near replica of the start to 2015. The futures curve was pressed into deep contango after October 2015, and sure enough oil inventories spiked again in early January 2016. And like last year, though the futures curve would begin to flatten out again starting February 12, oil storage levels continued to build until the end of April.

See Alhambra graphic “Crude Oil Stocks, US excl. SPR” at: http://www.alhambrapartners.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/ABOOK-July-2016-WTI-Oil-Inventory.jpg

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We have frequently talked about the negative future consequences of hot international money chasing “safe” foreign real estate investments. As such, our interests were piqued to discover that the average price paid by Chinese investors in US residential real estate for 2016 continued its meteoric rise to $937k from $832k in 2015, a mere 20% CAGR since 2011 vs. only 4% for the U.S. market overall. They must see something the rest of us are missing.
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ME & WORLD ISSUES


While the G-20 group traditionally tries to put on a united front, a curious divergence emerged following the latest meeting in China, where as Bloomberg notes Chinese and U.S. officials "showed signs of being at odds on how synchronized efforts to boost global growth need to be, with China stressing the need for improved coordination more than the U.S."U.S. Treasury Secretary Jacob J. Lew on Thursday talked down the need for crisis-level coordination as he headed to Chengdu, China, for the meeting.
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People are assuming there’s only one way to fight a war today of global proportions. We're not in that camp. We believe it will come monetarily – not military. At least at first. For once it takes place all bets are off as to what happens next. The obvious first mover advantage for China (and all its current allies) would be to use the rhetoric coming out of the current U.S. political arena, along with current, as well as proposed monetary policies via the Fed, ECB, and Japan.
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POLITICS


"It doesn’t feel right that what we’re doing here would be heard 200 miles away when there’s a mountain range in between us..."
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"Mr. Trump is providing something new and something fresh," explains Malik Obama - President Obama's half brother - while wearing his resplendent red 'Make America Great Again' cap. Describing his “deep disappointment” in his brother Barack’s administration, The NY Post reports, has led him to recently switch allegiance to "the party of Lincoln."
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[ DEAL AMONG CROOKS:  I can continue using you .. if you don’t mind.]

The Democratic party was in turmoil on Sunday afternoon, when just hours ahead of the Democratic National Convention which begins on Monday on Philadelphia, the chair of the Party - DNC Chairwoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz - resigned amid a furor over the humiliating Wikileaks email release, hoping to head off a growing rebellion by Bernie Sanders. And in a stunning move, moments later Hillary announced that Wasserman Schultz would serve as an honorary chair on Clinton's campaign. 

ME & WORLD ISSUES


"Americans need to wake up to the dangerous situation that Washington has created, but I doubt they will. Most wars happen without the public’s knowledge until they happen..."
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People are assuming there’s only one way to fight a war today of global proportions. We're not in that camp. We believe it will come monetarily – not military. At least at first. For once it takes place all bets are off as to what happens next. The obvious first mover advantage for China (and all its current allies) would be to use the rhetoric coming out of the current U.S. political arena, along with current, as well as proposed monetary policies via the Fed, ECB, and Japan.
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A massive fire erupted near a NATO base in the Buca district, near Izmir, Turkey. The fire broke out on Sunday evening in western Turkey. The fire blew through the grassy wooded area and is now perilously near NATO’s military base pushed forward by strong winds.  In odd twist, local authorities are investigating the fire as a possible act of anti-American sabotage. The fire erupted shortly after Erdogan's leading Islamist paper headline officially targeted a US commander as coup leader adding his name & picture  [ Almost.. next time will be better?. .. It is a warning ..NATO should get out! ]
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DOWN with TYRANNY

Good news: Debbie's fired. Bad news: guess who they want to replace her with
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GLOBAL RESEARCH

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THE REAL NEWS NETWORK  http://therealnews.com/t2/

TRNN replay of our coverage of today's protests at the DNC in Philadelphia, PA
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TRNN speaks to Clinton and Sanders supporters about the failed attempt to eliminate superdelegates from the Democratic Party
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Paul Jay speaks with a group for Maryland Sanders delegates about calls for action and civil disobedience inside and outside the convention
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RT SHOWS

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WASHINGTON BLOG

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By Michael Hudson, Michael-Hudson.com.

Well, let’s unravel that statement with Michael Hudson. He’s joining us from New York. Michael is a distinguished research professor of economics at the University of Missouri Kansas City. His latest book is Killing the Host: How Financial Parasites and Debt Bondage Destroyed the Global Economy. Thank you so much for joining us, Michael.

MICHAEL HUDSON: It’s good to be here, Sharmini. It’s been an exciting week.
PERIES: So let’s take a look at this article by Paul Krugman. Where is he going with this analysis about the Siberian candidate?
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH

Tiene la palabra... la literatura Félix Julio Alfonso Y OTROS
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COL  Memoria y dignidad campesina. John Elvis Vera
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PRESS TV


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