miércoles, 27 de mayo de 2020

MAY 27 ND SIT EC y POL



MAY 27 ND SIT EC y POL
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Eco


ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics

Big rollercoastery day in stocks as overnight gains in futures ville were once again erased after the open, only to be ramped back magically...Small Caps ended the day up over 3%... for absolutely no good reason at all (and don't ask us why it was panic-bid into the close, why not!)
See Chart:

For some context, May has been a terrible month for anyone buying during the US day session. The S&P 500 is up 171 points during the overnight sessions and up 1.3 points during the day session...
See Chart:

So, adjust accordingly...
Fears over mega-tech Chinese firms delisting and increased sanctions against China over its dealings with Hong Kong, sent the yuan to its record low intraday...
See Chart:

These headlines also hit FANG stocks hard (as well as threats from Trump over social media bias)...
See Chart:

The market was helped early on when Robinhood went down and that reversed the downtrend...
See Chart:

The major reversal in momentum vs value in the last two days continues...
See Chart:

Bank stocks surged for the second day in a row...
See Chart:

Bonds were mixed today with the long-end bid and short-end seeing modestly higher yields...
See Chart:

10Y Yields tumbled from overnight spike highs back to unch on the week...
See Chart:

Choppy day in the B-dollar Index today, but it ended higher..
See Chart:

Silver outperformed gold, pushing the gold/silver ratio to 98x - its lowest since 3/12...
See Chart:

Finally, THIS WON'T END WELL...
See Chart:
Dow vs Dow Consensus 12,  forward EPS
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"With P/Es at 21.3x, we thought these charts were worth recirculating"

The chart showing the 2 year (not 1 year) forward P/E multiple on the S&P500, i.e., based on EPS from Dec 31, 2021, is now so ridiculous it barely fits in the chart let alone is worth to comment on. 
SEE CHART:

And while one can argue that nobody cares about fundamentals in a world in which the economy, profits and markets all exist in a state of what BofA called a "Schrödinger Equilibrium" created by the Fed, Credit Suisse equity strategist Jonathan Golub just has trouble believing that we now live in a world in which PE multiple have reached a persistently higher plateau.

As he writes in his daily note to clients today, "we’ve repeatedly made the case that more cash flow-rich companies, in a less volatile environment, would lead to a new regime of persistently higher multiples and the secular outperformance of growth and long-duration (less volatile) equities."
And just to underscore his point, Golub shows that whereas valuations indeed have little impact on 1-year stock returns...
SEE CHART:

... they certainly impact the market's return over the coming decade. And as the second chart shows, when starting at the currently lofty valuation, returns over the next ten years tend to be more or less the same: 0%.
SEE CHART:
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Re-opening a fragile, brittle, bankrupt, hopelessly perverse and corrupt "normal" won't fix what's broken...

There are two "solutions" in the status quo: dump the debt on taxpayers or on powerless debt-serfs--for example, college students. (See chart below of the $1.6 trillion that's strip mining student debt-serfs.)
SEE CHART:

The problem is that while debt has soared, productivity and earned income have stagnated. The statistical narrative has been ruthlessly gamed to hide the erosion of living standards, but even with the bogus "low inflation" of official statistics, wages for the bottom 95% have stagnated for decades.
SEE CHART:

What little productivity gains have been made have been skimmed by the top 5%. Coupled with the Federal Reserve's single-minded goosing of the one signaling device it controls, the stock market, the top 0.1% in America own more wealth than the bottom 80%.
SEE CHART:
The top 0.1%  now own more than the bottom 80%

If productivity stagnates and winners take all, the wages of the bottom 95% cannot rise. Real wealth is only created by increases in the productivity of labor and capital; everything else is phantom wealth.
The only way stagnant incomes can support more debt is if interest rates decline. Presto, the Fed dropped interest rates to near-zero a decade ago. Of course you and I can't actually borrow millions for 0.1%; that privilege is reserved for financiers and other financial parasites and predators.
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US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio

"If you are the Trump Administration or Congress, I don’t see how you stop bailing people out before the election.”
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Does he lost the support of the Senate?  IF SO,  very bad sign vs.he planned to trick out

The president hasn't said yet whether he plans to sign it - but IT DID PASS THE SENATE BY AN OVERWHELMING MAJORITY...
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ZERO SCIENCE vs. ZERO GOVT
Remdesivir doesn’t work at all, as far as I can tell, or has only a minor effect,”
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This is shocking,
and represents an ongoing existential threat to American citizens...
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Twitter has now shown that everything we have been saying about them (and their other compatriots) is correct. Big action to follow!
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Privatiz of Educ System & breaking up students socialization are also ethical problems
Once we allow aggression against innocent people, such as a lockdown or general quarantine, we are on a slippery slope with no limits...
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Shameless  self-accusation?  What ‘better’ bias you propose?
"Examples have become embarrassingly easy to find."
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US-WORLD  ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo

"Today, I reported to Congress that Hong Kong is no longer autonomous from China, given facts on the ground. The United States stands with the people of Hong Kong."
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By The title.. the coming one is a fake News:  cheap impressionism
"They will hold back some of the bigger guns like tariffs, export controls and investment restrictions until they see what the new law looks like and how it’s implemented."
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Venezuela has reached a deal with the U.N. to use a part of its gold reserves Bank of England accounts to finance the purchase of food and medicine during the coronavirus pandemic
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NO THAKNS.. obvious response
Thousands of PLA troops reportedly digging in positions within India-claimed territory...
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3


THE PATH TO TRAUMPIST DEBACLE: one stupidity after other
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am search f alternatives to neo-fascist regimes & terrorist imperial chaos

REBELION

SOCIOL    LOS OLVIDADOS   Juan Torres
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ALAI ORG

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RT  EN ESPAÑOL

China e India trasladan tropas a la frontera: ¿Qué está pasando y por qué?   https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/354575-tension-fronteriza-india-china
"Se hará la justicia": Trump pide a FBI "acelere" investigación del asesinato de George Floyd https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/354629-trump-fbi-investigacion-asesinato-George-floyd Un negro menos de muchos, pero en tiempo de elecciones es escandalo
"Eso fue tortura": campeón de la UFC condena la muerte de George Floyd a manos de la Policía https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/354627-tortura-campeon-ufc-muerte-afroamericano-polica  Si, fue tortura y ahora es hipocresía del Gob de Trump. Ayer se abaleo a manifestantes desarmados, también  cayeron negros.  Esto es fascismo.
Moscú prolonga hasta el 14 de junio el régimen de autoaislamiento   https://actualidad.rt.com/video/354592-moscu-prolonga-regimen-autoaislamiento
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Cold War 2.0 with China has got off the ground and is gaining momentum. Some say Beijing must pay for the pandemic, while others claim it’s an existential security threat to the Washington-centric world. Still others say Washington simply can’t concede that we now live in a multipolar world.
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Oxycontin. Codeine. Fentanyl. All prescription drugs that countless patients have become addicted too. As America battles an opioid crisis that sees 170 citizens die every day, lawyers and prosecutors are trying to bring an end to Big Pharma’s impunity. The first doctor has gone on trial for murder for over-prescribing drugs.
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars from US-NATO  allies

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DEMOCRACY NOW
Amy Goodman’  team

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