martes, 12 de mayo de 2020

MAY 11 20 ND SIT EC y POL



MAY 11 20 ND SIT EC y POL
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Eco



ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics

As Nasdaq earnings continue to collapse...
See Chart:

Valuations are soaring back near record highs..
See Chart:

World Stocks vs. Central Banks Balance sheets
See Chart:

Everything opened lower... then the bid for big tech stepped in - buybacks and robinhood'rs... but a weak closing hour left Dow and Small Caps red (very ugly last few seconds)...
See Chart:

As Nasdaq soared, the median US stock was notably lower today...
See Chart:

Breadth was abysmal...
See Chart:
S&P VS S&P Breath (ADV-DEC)

Most Shorted Stoks.. dawn

FANG stocks surged to new record highs today (up 43% off the March lows)...
See Chart:

Fang Stocks up:
See Chart:

All thanks to The Swiss National Bank...
See Chart:

and retail bagholdering:  Stock position at Robin Hood
See Chart:

Biotech stocks soared to a new record high...
See Chart:

But Banks were battered lower today...
See Chart:

Why banks are getting battered (on such a glorious day of panic-buying), here's why! Market expectations of negative rates are soaring...
See Chart:

Treasury yields were higher across the curve with the long-end steepening...
See Chart:

The B-dollar Index surged today (bets day in over 4 weeks) after a couple of days of weakness...The last two days moves look a lot like last week's...
See Chart:

Oil chopped around today on Saudi production headlines
See Charts:

Finally, Spot The Odd One Out... What do stocks "know" that bonds and commodities don't about the re-opening of the world's economy?
See Chart:
….

====
-----
"Everyone and their mother is currently incentivized to support measures that could weaken the USD, also even the Fed. This is exactly why it is not 100% out of the question that NIRP is coming to America."
SEE CHART:
A  strong USD  is the last thing that the FED expects

See more interesting charts at:
----
----

Not even in Khruschev's wildest dreams did central planners ever conceive of anything so absolutely batshit insane as what is taking place in US "markets" right now.

The expected probability of losing one’s job jumped to an all-time high of 20.9% from 18.5% in April; the probability of missing a minimum debt payment over the next three months surged to 16.2% - a 7 year high - from 15.1%, while expected earnings growth tumbled to the lowest on record at 1.87%, down from 2.05% in April .
SEE CHART:

Confirming that an inflation wave is coming, over the next year consumers expect gasoline prices to rise 4.9%; food prices to rise 5.43%; medical costs to rise 9.25%; the price of a college education to rise 4.64%; rent prices to rise 4.57%; needless to say all of these are far, far higher than the Fed's "target" inflation rate of 2%.

But while the above data may not have been surprising, what was shocking is what the central bank reported was the average consumer expectation for stock prices in the future: according to the NY Fed, the mean probability that US stock prices will be higher one year from now surged to 51.8% up from 47.7%, above 50% for the first time ever and the highest print on record.
SEE Chart:
Expectations of highest stock prices

----
----

The one lesson that we have clearly learned since the 2008 'Great Financial Crisis', is that monetary and fiscal policyinterventions do not lead to increased levels of economic wealth or prosperity...

For 90% of Americans, there has not been, nor will there be, any economic recovery.”
SEE CHARTS:

Companies derive their revenue from the consumption of goods, products, and services they produce. There, it is logical stock price appreciation, over the long-term, has roughly equated to economic growth. However, that relationship has become unhinged since the financial crisis due to the Fed’s interventions and suppressed interest rates.

From Jan 1st, 2009 through the end of March, the stock market has risen by an astounding 159%, or roughly 14% annualized. With such a large gain in the financial markets, there should be a commensurate growth rate in the economy. 

Low, to zero, interest rates have incentivized non-productive debt, and exacerbated the wealth gap. The massive increases in debt has actually harmed growth by diverting consumptive spending to debt service.

Low, to zero, interest rates have incentivized non-productive debt, and exacerbated the wealth gap. The massive increases in debt has actually harmed growth by diverting consumptive spending to debt service.

“The rise in debt, which in the last decade was used primarily to fill the gap between incomes and the cost of living, has contributed to the retardation of economic growth.”
SEE CHART:

There are two reasons for the lack of savings.
“First, incomes for all but the highest-income Americans have been stagnant or falling for decades. Median household income in 2018 was only about 3% higher than in 2000 after adjusting for inflation, according to the Census. For the poorest 20%, incomes had declined 2%.” –WSJ

SEE  CHART
STAGNANT INCOMES

The full Federal Reserve report can be FOUND HERE,  but I wanted to point to two charts specifically which confirm the Fed’s policies have exacerbated the wealth gap. As I stated previously, the top 10% of asset holders greatly distorts the view of the economy as a whole. For the bottom 90%, there hasn’t been much improvement.

SEE CHART:
Mean Value of net worth for families with holdings

As noted, the Fed will update their study of consumer finances this year, but the WSJ confirms not much will likely change.

“As of December 2019—before the shutdowns—households in the bottom 20% of incomes had seen their financial assets, such as money in the bank, stock and bond investments or retirement funds, fall by 34% since the end of the 2007-09 recession, according to Fed data adjusted for inflation. Those in the middle of the income distribution have seen just 4% growth.” WSJ

SEE CHART:
DIVERGING FORTUNES

This isn’t surprising. A recent research report by BCA confirms one of the causes of the rising wealth gap in the U.S. The top-10% of income earners owns 88% of the stock market, while the bottom-90% owns just 12%.

SEE CHART:
Distribution of Stock  Ownership 

The New Normal
The structural transformation over the last decade has permanently changed the financial underpinnings of the economy as a whole. This would suggest the current state of slow economic growth is the new normal, and interest rates will indefinitely be STUCK AT THE ZERO-BOUND.
….
----
----

US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio


"...we estimate that 42 percent of recent pandemic-induced layoffs will result in permanent job loss." 
====

It's not that hard to forecast a populist revolt against the parasitic class that's grown obscenely wealthy as a direct result of Fed policies...
====

"Scandal free" administration?
====

"Every person that can stay at home and order delivery via this robot is staying out of the store, staying out of the restaurant..." 
====

"They have no incentive to tell the truth...This has been an intended coupand that is really the bottom line."
====


Meanwhile, in CHINA, Wuhan officials are embarking on a 10-day mass testing drive aiming to test every resident in the city after another cluster of cases was found...
====

Trey Gowdy: 'Leave Obama alone'
====

President Trump and Chief of Staff Mark Meadows have issued a memo to all who work in the West Wing that masks must be worn at all times inside the buildingexcept when at one's desk...
====


US-WORLD  ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo


For two-and-a-half years the House Intelligence Committee knew CrowdStrike didn’t have the goods on Russia. Now the public knows too.
====

“Wuhan’s move is a testimony of #China’s open, transparent and responsible attitude...”
====

The situation in India is growing increasingly precarious as the end of its lockdown nears...
====

"the government has been quietly loosening policy, more than what it may appear by looking at the magnitude of interest rates and RRR cuts."
====
------


SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3

----
----

NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am search f alternatives to neo-fascist regimes & terrorist imperial chaos

REBELION

CV EMERGENCIA… Y DESPUÉS  Natalia Zuazo  renta básica universal?
POST CV  CAMBIARÁ EL MUNDO?   Ilka Oliva C..  o puros cuentos
====

ALAI ORG

CV: ¿De quién es esta crisis?   Nils Castro   El gato no tiene 5 patas
====

RT EN ESPAÑOL

Renuncia al equipo de Guaidó el que firmo contrato para atacar Venezuela https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/352795-renuncia-equipo-guaido-asesor-ataque-venezuela   la mafia Guaido tiene traidores, no es raro:: donde hay mierda hay moscas
Putin anuncia el fin de los días no laborables a partir del 12 de mayo  https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/352757-rusia-putin-situacion-coronavirus
Trump da 1.000 millones de USD para hacer pruebas de covid-19 en todo el país   https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/352816-trump-enviar-dolares-pruebas-coronavirus  Que se vayan los de Loreto-Peru porque les va a llover basucasos
Arg: Funcionarios locales hacen fiesta en plena cuarentena y agreden a policías  https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/352834-funcionarios-argentinos-rompen-cuarentena-fiesta-policia-agredidos  En Mx, Col y Pe no los agreden, los eliminan
----
----

 
While the novel coronavirus pandemic continues to take a bite out of business, one of the hardest-hit sectors has been restaurants. The industry employs millions of people in the US alone and many of these are small local businesses that won’t survive, even with the help of government loans.
====

Frienly Clashes between Chinese and Indian soldiers have been reported on the border between the two nuclear-armed countries. They fought only with fists and stones.  The worse happens in South China Sea where the US sent soldiers.  Nothing happen yet  but could happen soon.  [ Se prevee que los soldados indo-chinos se unan para enfrentarlos, dice otro noticiero. Si es asi veremos sorpresa
====

Seventy-five years ago, there was global solidarity to annihilate the scourge of fascism from Europe. The Soviet Union and its Western allies prevailed against Nazi Germany. Today, global solidarity is sadly missing in the face of the Covid-19 pandemic. Who and what blocks this very necessary solidarity?
====

Profits vs people’ has always been the dichotomy at the heart of the pharmaceutical industry. After so much wrongdoing and greed, will big pharma use the coronavirus as an opportunity to redeem itself… or will it continue business as usual?
====

Professor Gerd Gigerenzer, the director of the Harding Centre for Risk Literacy,  discusses how the lack of ability of much of the global population lead to more deaths, making the coronavirus pandemic’s effects worse.
====
------

GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars from US-NATO  allies

----
----

DEMOCRACY NOW
Amy Goodman’  team

====
------

No hay comentarios:

Publicar un comentario