miércoles, 13 de mayo de 2020

MAY 12 20 ND SIT EC y POL



MAY 12 20 ND SIT EC y POL
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Eco



ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics


So the overwhelming message from Fauci today was "we're all going to die" if you even dare to re-open the economy and judging by the budget deficit charts(and coming a day after Bitcoin's big event), it would appear that any second wave-driven lockdown will be "THE FUCKENING" FOR AMERICA... (either Dems block any Republican stimulus; or Republicans have to agree to a 100 trillion bailout of everything...which is precisely why will we get a second wave)
See Chart:
Federal Govt expending

Which explains why USA sovereign risk remains extremely elevated despite the resurgence in stocks...
See Chart:
USA 5 Years  Sovereign  CDS

In two words, America is "proper f**ked"...
But, of course, that didn't stop so-called investors buying Nasdaq...but a combination of a China sanctions bill from the Senate, and a very strong 10Y Bond auction sparked weakness around 1300ET... then stocks really accelerated lower in the last hour...
See Chart:
...after LA County reported it will extend its stay-at-home order for 3 more months!!

Banks were battered again...
See Chart:

Futures show the day's malarkey best - last night was a geopolitical nightmare (a 2nd wave of infection in Wuhan, China banning Aussie beef, and Trump banning US pension fund investment in China) but that didn't stop the machines from ramping everything as Europe opened... only for the China sanctions chatter to send stocks lower...
See Chart:

Bitcoin rallied in the 24 hours since The Halvening...
See Chart:

Bonds were bid...
See Chart
UST 10 Y Yield

After a number of ugly days (amid extremely heavy calendar) LQD (IG Bond ETF) was bid today (spiking at the open) as The Fed said it would be in buying...
See Chart:

The B-Dollar Index scrambled back to unchanged on the day...
See  Chart:

So, finally, is it time for stocks to catch down to bonds and commodities?
See Chart:

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“The stock market is NOT the economy. But the economy is a reflection of the very thing that supports higher asset prices – corporate profits...”
SEE CHART:

As shown below, peaks, and subsequent reversions, in the ratio have been a leading indicator of more severe corrections in the stock market over time. Such should not be surprising as asset prices should eventually reflect the underlying reality of corporate profitability.
SEE CHART
https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/Corporate-Profits-GDP-051120.png?itok=I42QIVjs
See more charts at
SOURCE
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IF HITLER & STALIN DID IT.. WHY NO HERE?
Si no recuerdas el pasado, jamás podrás entender el presente
IF you don’t remember the past, you won’t be able to understand the present
TO READ IT OPEN:
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"Given the large repricing of the loan market, specifically good quality portfolios, it did make sense to take advantage of the upward pricing."

Yesterday we laid out how the magic of modern monetary alchemy (not to be confused with the blunt brain trauma that is the magic money tree of helicopter money) works, by showing how a CLO takes 96% junk rates loans and by repackaging this portfolio, or "warehousing" it into a CLO, the product were tranched bonds of which 87% were rated investment grade.

SEE CHART:

While such liquidations are extremely rare, fears of CLO warehouse unwinds emerged in March once pandemic fears started hammering corporate debt markets broadly. The, as we reported last month, ratings firms downgraded a wave of loans as the pandemic weighed on companies’ sales.  

The average loan price plummeted to around 76 cents on the dollar in late March, before rebounding to around 87 cents.
SEE CHART:
SOURCE:
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It is the mediocre performance of Low Price stocks, i.e. distressed equities, which suggests that this is just another bear market rally.
SEE CHART:

History is also replete with many instances of flimsy bear rallies that eventually succumbed to yet another, lower bottom.
SOURCE:
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US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio

“The psychological impact of risk aversion setting in cannot be understated"
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It is hard not to be disgusted by government enforcers who would brutally drag an elderly man away from a restaurant for the “crime” of wanting totake his wife out for breakfast on Mother’s Day...
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Only one thing is certain about the post-pandemic world: there is no way back to the globalized economy that preceded it. Everything else is up for grabs, including the rise of China, the fate of the US, and the survival of the EU...
….
He is destroying himself:  Look at the BBC report today.  Trump’ can’t abandon his nasty xenophia:  he treated very nasty an American –chinese reporter. It was very shameful for a President to refer China as the cause of corona virus.  He lost his temper & cut the Qts  & interview with other reporters. He can’t control his ridiculous xenophobic attitude. He is out of mind.. he needs a Dr.
….
RELATED:
Trump would be authorized under the legislation to impose sanctions like asset freezes, travel bans and visa revocations, as well as restricting Chinese businesses' access to US bank financing and capital markets.
….
IF THIS CONTINUE.. TRUMP IS GOING TO LOSE THE ELECTION
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BIDEN response was obvious,, after the failed sex-scandal on him
Studies have shown that phone polls may substantially undercount Trump vote
…..         
BIDEN is using Bloomberg’ money  to create a storm of fake polls. Both ‘sex scandal’ and ‘fake polls’ are parts of common ‘ritual of frauds’ in US elections. Trump is obliged to respond with more creative storm of  ‘fake polls’ until the nation get nausea  and disgust to US elections and decided NOT TO VOTE. Whoever  wins don’t matter, both loses since they have to get more than 25%  of the total electorate to get legitimacy and chances of governability. The last fraud is inventing a 40% or +  in attendance to election & this also can be done with money. Quien controle la maquina cuenta votos gana las elecciones. So, Trump puede ganarlas con más del 50% y la nación está obligada a creerle porque el corona virus #2 ocupara la atención de la Nacion . VIVA  la PESTE DEMOCRACIA y viva el Corona Virus también.  Lo bueno de la Peste Dem es que no mata gente, a menos  que Biden  organize una rebelión contra  el fraude y haya muertos a montón. Entonces Trump dira: los mato el CV #2 y la Nación  le dará la razón: Trump no es tramposo, diran todos, incluido los abstemios.
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While nobody really knows what the world will look like on the other side of of the coronavirus pandemic, everyone has an opinion from economists, financiers, executives, all the way to policymakers? Bloomberg asked a variety of leaders from around the world for their best guess on how our lives will be fundamentally changed.
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US-WORLD  ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo

So-called 'global ceasefire' on hold
due to growing fight & scandal over the WHO...
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3

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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am search f alternatives to neo-fascist regimes & terrorist imperial chaos

REBELION

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ALAI ORG

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RT EN ESPAÑOL

Epidemiólogo US: "No hay garantía de que vacuna anti CV-19 sea efectiva"  https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/352964-epidemiologo-fauci-garantia-vacuna-efectiva
China contra el proyecto de ley USA  sobre sanciones por el brote de coronavirus  https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/352982-pekin-arremeter-proyecto-leyde-eeuu-sanciones-coronavirus
Descubren por qué los hombres son más propensos que las mujeres a morir por CV https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/352906-enzima-responsable-mayor-numero-muertes
Ingreso básico en Am-Lat: propone la Cepal para paliar aumento de pobreza    https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/352928-ingreso-basico-universal-america-latina-pobreza
La OMS considera "probable" un nuevo brote de coronavirus en otoño  https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/352917-oms-probable-nuevo-brote-coronavirus-otono
FBI identifica  al funcionario saudí sospechoso de dirigir apoyo a los autores del  Sep11  https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/352960-fbi-revela-nombre-funcionario-ataques-nueva-york
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VOLTAIRE NET ORG   https://www.voltairenet.org/en


Debate with Thierry Meyssan
SOURCE: 
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Conversación con Thierry Meyssan
por Thierry Meyssan
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We speak to Geoffrey Robertson QC of Doughty Street Chambers.  He ONLY MENTION BRIEFLY, no discusses the case of Julian Assange...
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Tesla is defying California orders and has reopened operations within the state. CEO Elon Musk is flaunting lockdown rules by restarting Tesla’s Fremont, California factory as calls for economic reopening continue across the country.
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Max and Stacy discuss legendary hedge fund investor Paul Tudor Jones betting on bitcoin as he compares it to gold in the 1970s. They also look at the growing pressure for the Fed to go negative – a perhaps fatal event. Max interviews Dan Held of Kraken.com about bitcoin halving and what it means for the hardening to happen in an age of infinite fiat.
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While the novel coronavirus pandemic continues to take a bite out of business, one of the hardest-hit sectors has been restaurants. The industry employs millions of people in the US alone and many of these are small local businesses that won’t survive, even with the help of government loans.
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars from US-NATO  allies

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DEMOCRACY NOW
Amy Goodman’  team


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