jueves, 22 de junio de 2017

JUN 22 17 SIT EC y POL



JUN 22 17 SIT EC y POL
ND denuncia debacle d Globaliz neoliberal y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Econ


ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics



"While raising rates will accelerate a potential recession and a significant market correction, from the Fed’s perspective it might be the ‘lesser of two evils. Being caught near the “zero bound” at the onset of a recession leaves few options for the Federal Reserve to stabilize an economic decline. In other words, they already likely realize they are screwed."
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Bed, Bath, & Beyond collapsed in after-hours trading to below $30 per share - the lowest since July 2009 - as yet another retailer hits the wall.
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"The real revolution we need in America is a revolution of ethics... It’s the only one that can succeed and make things better."


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Some very simplistic math from Moody's helps to shed some light on just how inevitable a public pension crisis is in the United States.

Most people focus on a funds 'net funded status', which for the MEABF is a paltry 20.3%.  But the problem with focusing on 'funded status' is that it can be easily manipulated by pension administrators who get to simply pick the rate at which they discount future liabilities out of thin air.


And a quick look at MEABF's cash flows quickly reveals the ponzi-ish nature of the fund.  In both 2015 and 2014, the fund didn't even come close to generating enough cash flow from investment returns and contributions to cover it's $800mm in annual benefit payments...which basically means they're slowing liquidating assets to pay out liabilities.


Of course, like all ponzi schemes, liquidating assets to pay current claims can only go on for so long before you simply run out of assets. 

The risk associated with America's pension ponzi schemes have largely been overlooked by investors to date because so long as they can meet annual benefit payments then plan administrators can just continue to 'kick the can down the road' and pretend that nothing is wrong.   

Of course, that strategy ceases to work when the pensions actually run out of cash...which could happen sooner than you think...and when it does, America's retirees will suddenly find themselves about $5-8 trillion poorer than they thought they were.
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"The harmful character of deflation is today one of the sacred dogmas of monetary policy. .."

First, in historical fact, deflation has had no clear negative impact on aggregate production. Long-term decreases of the price level did not systematically correlate with lower growth rates than those that prevailed in comparable periods and/or countries with increasing price levels. Even if we focus on deflationary shocks emanating from the financial system, empirical evidence does not seem to warrant the general claim that deflation impairs long-run growth.

Second, it is true that unexpectedly strong deflation can incite people to postpone purchase decisions. However, this does not by any sort of necessity slow down aggregate production. Notice that, in the presence of deflationary tendencies, purchase decisions in general, and consumption in particular, does not come to a halt. For one thing, human beings act under the “constraint of the stomach.” Even the most neurotic misers, who cherish saving a penny above anything else, must make a minimum of purchases just to survive the next day. And all others—that is, the great majority of the population—will by and large buy just as many consumers’ goods as they would have bought in a nondeflationary environment. Even though they expect prices to decline ever further, they will buy goods and services at some point because they prefer enjoying these goods and services sooner rather than later (economists call this “time preference”). In actual fact, then, consumption will slow down only marginally in a deflationary environment. And this marginal reduction of consumer spending, far from impairing aggregate production, will rather tend to increase it. The simple fact is that all resources that are not used for consumption are saved; that is, they are available for investment and thus help to extend production in those areas that previously were not profitable enough to warrant investment.

Third, it is correct that deflation—especially unanticipated deflation—makes it more difficult to service debts contracted at a higher price level in the past. In the case of a massive deflation shock, widespread bankruptcy might result. Such consequences are certainly deplorable from the standpoint of the individual entrepreneurs and capitalists who own the firms, factories, and other productive assets when the deflationary shock hits. However, from the aggregate (social) point of view, it does not matter who controls the existing resources. What matters from this overall point of view is that resources remain intact and be used. Now the important point is that deflation does not destroy these resources physically. It merely diminishes their monetary value, which is why their present owners go bankrupt. Thus deflation by and large boils down to a redistribution of productive assets from old owners to new owners. The net impact on production is likely to be zero.

Fourth, it is true that deflation more or less directly threatens the banking industry, because deflation makes it more difficult for bank customers to repay their debts and because widespread business failures are likely to have a direct negative impact on the liquidity of banks. However, for the same reasons that we just discussed, while this might be devastating for some banks, it is not so for society as a whole. The crucial point is that bank credit does not create resources; it channels existing resources into other businesses than those which would have used them if these credits had not existed. It follows that a curtailment of bank credit does not destroy any resources; it simply entails a different employment of human beings and of the available land, factories, streets, and so on.

In the light of the preceding considerations it appears that the problems entailed by deflation are much less formidable than they are in the opinion of present-day monetary authorities.
Deflation certainly has much disruptive potential. However it mainly threatens institutions that are responsible for inflationary increases of the money supply. It reduces the wealth of fractional-reserve banks, and their customers-debt-ridden governments, entrepreneurs, and consumers. But as we have argued, such destruction liberates the underlying physical resources for new employment. The destruction entailed by deflation is therefore often “creative destruction” in the Schumpeterian sense.
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POLITICS
La seudo democ y sist  duopolico es obsoleto por fraudulento y corrupto. Urge cambiarlo


"In an age of “radical uncertainty” how long will it be before angry citizens tire of blaming an impotent political system for their ills and turn on the main culprits for their poverty – unelected and virtually unaccountable central bankers? I expect central bank independence will be (and should be) the next casualty of the current political turmoil."
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Magos aliados del diablo o simples idiotas: Le buscan la 5ta pata al gato y dicen si existe

"I want to get to yes, but this first draft doesn't get the job done. Over the next week and beyond, I will continue working to bring Republicans together to honor our promise, repeal Obamacare, and adopt common-sense, consensus reforms that can actually be passed into law."

RELATED 1:
"Currently, for a variety of reasons, we are not ready to vote for this bill, but we are open to negotiation and obtaining more information before it is brought to the floor.  There are provisions in this draft that represent an improvement to our current health care system, but it does not appear this draft as a written will accomplish the most important promise that we made to Americans: to repeal Obamacare and lower their health care costs."

RELATED 2:
"Simply put, if there’s a chance you might get sick, get old, or start a family – this bill will do you harm...To put the American people through that painwhile giving billionaires and corporations a massive tax cut in return that’s tough to fathom."             
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"Mueller is a card-carrying member of the Deep State who was there at the founding of today’s surveillance monster as FBI Director following 9/11... So he will 'find' extensive Russian interference in the 2016 election and bring the hammer down on the Donald for seeking to prevent it from coming to light. The clock is now ticking..."
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"The Russian circus is going nowhere because it was never meant to go anywhere. It is distraction and drama, a soap opera for the ignorant masses. Trump will not be removed from office. If he does end up impeached, the impeachment will fail. As I have said since before the election, the establishment needs Trump as president... the US system is going to move into the next phase of collapse under Trump's watch, and the elites need their scapegoat."
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"Like it or not, America peaked many decades ago... to cover this great theft, the Deep State had divided the American people into a powder-keg expected to unleash in the 'summer of rage'"
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DEMOCRACY NOW
US politics crisis: Trump captured by Deep state to reproduce old cronyism without alter-plan


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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Global Econ-Pol crisis leads to more business-wars:  profiteers US-NATO under screen


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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE
Deep on the US political crisis, their internal conflicts n chances of WW3


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In a world ruled by brutal imperialism, the only honorable place to dwell in is jail!
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US is actively committed to achieve the impossible: bring Russia into submission.
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What are we doing in Syria to justify ratcheting up tensions with Russia?
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Democrats may be digging a deeper hole for themselves
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The Little Putsch in Kiev is now begetting a Great Big Coup in the Imperial City.
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US seeks to ‘milk’ terrorism sponsored by Saudi Arabia 


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The U.S. military-industrial complex’s insatiable lust for conquest, power and profit.
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U.S. military and the CIA outsourced parts of their ongoing torture campaign in Yemen.
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I Moved My Kids Out Of The USA  By Wendy DeChambeau
It was the best parenting decision I've ever made.


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COUNTER PUNCH    


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Bruno Rodríguez Parrilla  Cuba Will Not Bow to Trump’s Threats
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
The nasty business of US-NATO-Global-wars uncovered .. pro RU view

RECENT US AGRESION AIMED TO BREAK SYRIAN TERRITORIAL INTEGRITY
US Plot for Future Syria: 'No Territorial Integrity, Special Plans for Raqqa'  https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201706221054867138-us-coalition-syria-plan/

The US-led coalition against Daesh hasn't just been shooting at terrorists: it first shot down a Syrian Su-22 fighter bomber and then downed a Syrian drone, claiming that it was part of the "collective self-defense of Coalition partnered forces." Turkish military expert Celalettin Yavuz explained the real reasons behind the attacks.

On June 18, a US jet shot down a Syrian Su-22 fighter-bomber near the city of Tabqa. The US-led coalition said the Syrian aircraft attacked Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) positions, adding that the coalition downed the Syrian jet as part of "collective self-defense of Coalition partnered forces."

On Monday, the Russian Defense Ministry announced that following the attack, it suspended the deconfliction channel with the United States for incident prevention in Syria.

On Tuesday, the US-led coalition downed a Syrian drone near al-Tanf, explaining that it showed "hostile intent" while advancing the coalition positions. The incident, it claimed, took place in the same location where another pro-Syrian government drone dropped munition on June 8 targeting the Syrian Democratic Forces.

The coalition then said that amid recent developments related to the deconfliction line with Russia, it will not allow pro-Syrian government aircraft to threaten or closely approach its forces.

Sputnik Turkiye discussed the situation in Syria with Celalettin Yavuz, Turkish professor of political sciences, retired captain of the Turkish Navy and former adviser to the chairman of the Nationalist Movement Party (PND) on foreign policy and security.
"The forces of the US-led coalition first destroyed Syrian Su-22 fighter-bomber and then downed its UAV [unmanned aerial vehicle]. While everyone discussed the first incident, they made the second one. It is only too clear that both incidents convey a certain message to Moscow, a close ally of Damascus," Celalettin Yavuz told Sputnik.

However now it becomes clear that such behavior of the US and the coalition forces means only one thing: instead of preserving the territorial integrity of the Arab Republic, the US tries to split Syria, break it down.

"It is only too evident that the US' plan for Syria is to break it down, partition it. However the Syrian government forces are trying to prevent it. And in Raqqa we are witnessing  the attempt of the coalition to implement this plan at any cost," Celalettin Yavuz stated.
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ON SANCTION TO RU
Russian Senator Says Extended Sanctions on Moscow Sign of EU’s 'Inertia'  https://sputniknews.com/russia/201706231054901529-senator-russia-sanctions-inertia/

The EU’s decision to extend economic sanctions on Russia proves the bloc would rather stick with the status quo than come up with a new approach to the issue, a Russian senator said.

European Council President Donald Tusk said earlier 28 EU leaders had agreed at the summit talks in Brussels to prolong restrictions on Moscow for another six months.
"The new extension of EU sanctions means no policy and, instead, the willingness to maintain the status quo. No one believes in sanctions anymore. Inertia," Alexey Pushkov tweeted.

RELATED
Extension of EU Anti-Russian Sanctions 'Defeat' of European Diplomacy, MP Says  https://sputniknews.com/europe/201706231054898728-eu-russia-sanctions-defeat-diplomacy/

 Earlier in the day, European Council President Donald Tusk said the leaders of the EU member states decided to extend economic sanctions against Russia.

"[It is] another defeat of EU diplomacy in the Ukrainian direction. An initially incorrect perception of the situation led to an initially wrong approach toward its settlement… Today's decision will not bring anything new and especially constructive or creative in this situation [in Donbass] stagnated because of Kiev’s fault," the chairman of the upper house of the Russian parliament's international affairs committee said.

On Tuesday, the press materials related to the European Council meeting in Brussels on June 22-23 showed that German Chancellor Angela Merkel and France's President Macron were expected to inform the EU leaders on the developments of the issue at the meeting. This would lead to taking the official decision concerning the prolongation of the anti-Russia sanctions linked to the full implementation of the ceasefire deal shortly after the meeting.
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“UNINTENTIONAL ACCIDENTS” IN THE AIR COULD INITIATE WW3
Russian Jets Intercepted 14 Spy Planes Near National Border in Past Week  https://sputniknews.com/russia/201706231054900844-russian-intercepts-border/ 

The paper estimated that US RC-135 planes and Global Hawk drones had been involved in ten reconnaissance missions, four were conducted by Norwegian P-3 Orions, and three by Swedish Air Force’s Gulfstream intelligence planes.

Planes of British and French air forces were each spotted twice by Russian air defense agencies. Portuguese and Japanese aircraft also made appearances close to Russia’s external frontiers.
The number of air incidents involving Russian and NATO planes has increased in the past years after the US-led alliance ratcheted up its presence on Russia’s western border in 2014.

RELATED
NATO-Russian Aerial Intercepts Intensify Amid Escalation in Europe  https://sputniknews.com/world/201706221054873568-russia-nato-intercepts-escalation/

The attempt by a NATO fighter aircraft to approach a Russian plane carrying Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu became only the latest episode in a string of similar incidents as the alliance’s warplanes continue to test Russia’s defenses amid growing military escalation in Europe.

On June 21 a NATO F-16 fighter aircraft made an attempt to approach the plane carrying Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu over neutral Baltic waters, but was promptly chased away by a Russian Su-27 warplane.

This incident, however, wasn’t a singular occurrence, to put it mildly, as only a day prior to that, on June 20, Russia scrambled its fighters to intercept a US Boeing RC-135 surveillance plane, and on June 6 Russian fighters intercepted a US B-52 strategic bomber which attempted to approach Russia’s borders; both intercepts also took place over the Baltic Sea.

However, Ret. Lt. Gen. Aytech Bizhev, former Deputy Commander of the Russian Air Force, said the attempt to ‘escort’ the Defense Minister’s plane looks like a deliberate provocation.
"It was a violation of flight rules over international waters. The US Air Force aircraft created a dangerous situation over the Baltic Sea by approaching (Shoigu’s plane) at an unacceptable distance according to international law. Anything could’ve happened: the planes might’ve collided, the pilot’s hand could’ve slipped, and the fighter’s slipstream could’ve caused the plane to stall. There were many risk factors involved," he said.
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RT SHOWS
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WASHINGTON BLOG
Flash points on US politics: internal contradict.. Hugh Smith good articles reproduced


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Automation–networked robotics, software and processes–has already had a major impact on jobs. As this chart from my colleague Gordon T. Long illustrates, the rise of Internet technologies is reflected in the steady, long-term decline of the labor force participation rate– the percentage of the populace that is actively in the labor market.


The oft-repeated fantasy is that every new wave of technological innovation creates more jobs than it destroys. Not this time: the total number of full-time jobs has stagnated for years, and most of the new jobs that have been created are in low-wage, moderate-skill positions that cannot move the productivity needle much: jobs such as those in the retail and restaurant sectors.

Real wealth isn’t created by printing currency or jacking up stock valuations–it’s created by increasing productivity. As this chart reveals, productivity has stagnated for years. This is a complex dynamic, but we can surmise that the low-hanging fruit of automation has already been harvested, and the addition of jobs that are inherently limited in the productivity gains that can be achieved are core components in stagnating/declining productivity.


I have often discussed productivity and economist Michael Spence’s framework of tradable and non-tradable labor. You want a beer-bottling machine? That’s a tradable good; it can be manufactured anywhere in the world. You want a beer at the local tavern? That is non-tradable–it is a service that can only be provided locally.
Keep Reading
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Latino America fight to break with collapsing Empire:  leftist view on alternatives


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Catalunya   La tranquila impaciencia  Jordi Borja
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PRESS TV
Global situation described by Iranian observers.. Titles distorted n incomplete sentences


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