THE INTERSECTION BETWEEN POLITICS & ECONOMICS

THE INTERSECTION BETWEEN POLITICS & ECONOMICS

Hugo Adan. May 4, 2016

Draft: Stat charts skipped 

Introduction. 

The topic “where we are and where we go”, can be addressed by exploring the issue  INTERSECTION between Politics and Economics. This is like exploring the intersection between today and tomorrow (at the level of politics & economics). To do so, we can depart from the concept of positive and negative intersection. I do prefer the word intersect than causation and correlation. Intersect is more than simple coincidence and more precise than "context".

A-Positive intersection occurs when current stable political situation don’t affect nearest future for investment. B- Unstable political process creates the reverse: what we do today in politics, will affect tomorrow’s economic. The effects of politics on economics are quicker that the other way around, especially in election time with actors playing a heavy investment role in the business of democracy. The effects of Economics on Politics are usually slow and difficult to predict, unless sudden Ec. implosion.  

Let’s explain this with examples, extracting from current US elections.

If the recycle of the political system (elections)  is uncertain, the Ec System became highly volatile (quick up & downs). It happens with the recent political crisis inside the GOP against Trump. When the  agreement to take out Ted Cruz from the race was set, we got a rapid positive intersection. The Stats of the National economy improved. (It doesn’t matter how they manage to take out Cruz from the race -- “in a climate of buying elections” is easy to guess about—the fact is: The internal solution of the GOP crisis  was certainly a good deal in terms of intersection bet Pol & Econ.  I guess the same will happens when the crisis of the DEM party breaks up. As soon as the recognition of a 3^rd option settles  down the economics will come back to “normality”.  

The Econ system relax temporarily after Cruz abandon the electoral race (you can compare today Econ Stats with yesterday). However, Trump ups & downs (they usual contradictory speeches night-over ) could affect  again  the Econ system. The so called “presstitute” (paid TV staff) always play a negative role in this equation –they can create intrigues &  traps based on his inconsistency- and force him to say things that will affect directly the mood of the Financial system.

Everybody is waiting for him to release a coherent & sound Program for domestic and Foreign policies for the five next years. That could alleviate the uncertainties of the Ec system. But I guess this hope is like barking to a wrong tree. He will say, “I will respond according to the context” .. Meaning: he has not program at all. Having a plan or Program means to consider how other political actors will play  given previous moves and what will be the right response,  like in a chess game. With him there is not warrantee of future Econ stability. If he expose his plan (or he lies on it, like Clinton) it will be easily uncovered & dismantled by Sanders.

In the case of Hillary, when she took advantage of the deal of "avoiding debate on issues that made us week in front of our common enemy" (the GOP) the economic relaxed at expense of Sanders in the primaries. For Sanders this deal was a trap. It didn’t happen with Trump in the GOP, he didn’t concede nothing. He play quick chess like playing checkers in puberty. Sanders could’ve said “ if you don’t clear first your situation with the FBI .. I can’t debate with you. I invite you to let know the Nation about the following issues:  Are you hiding information to the FBI regarding phone-tapes that you illegally done?, what is in it?.    ”Did you receive money from the Saudis for the brutal “regimen change” in Libya. Did you provide arms to the mercenary that kill Gaddafy .. How the Libya regimen placed a threat to US National Security?  .. Why you didn’t provide proper security to US Embassy in Benghazi. ” ..

If you do not explain those issues to the Nation, I may obstruct FBI investigation by given you legitimacy as legal candidate for the US Presidency . Nobody knows if you are  guilty of different felonies & crimes against National Laws, or not. Most people have the idea that you are above the Law because there are corrupt bosses in the FBI and the FED. The fact is that I’ll be accomplice of you and guilty of giving coverage for impunity if you are guilty. He didn't say it.

Sanders gave up .. he forgot that Hillary is paid for big corp to continue mocking on National Laws. On  the other hand, Sanders no even denounced that Hillary was GOP militant before and the fact that she still has close ties with GOP financiers. So the GOP was never the “assumed common enemy” that they both have to fight, as she said.  

For Hillary it  will be  difficult to use the same trap with Trump. She cannot say to him “we have similar “progressive” & “pacifist” program. So we can work together in the senate to achieve “the best for America” (meaning the rich people & mafia Corp).

In short: neither Trump nor Hillary can warrant a positive “intersection” between Pol & Econ for the near future. If they make any agreement in favor of the rich & status-quo,  there will be social unrest. The socio-political mood is set for protestation. People social Mov will create referendum at state level to put down the representative of the bipartisan system. They will start with the 32 states were Hillary bought her superdelgates and also in the states used by opposition against Trump. This mov already started as “Down with Tyranny” has denounced today. They are uncovering the flow of bribes to re-cycle the senate posts among the GOP and Dems. Open   http://downwithtyranny.blogspot.com).

The only chance for a stable-positive intersection between politics and economics in the nearest future is the arrival of Sanders to power. Today his followers are organizing the socio- political base to create a 3^rd option for democracy in America, against the 1% and its bipartisan system. The PEOPLE’s FRONT with the Greens and other Progressive organization in the US is in its process. People is convinced that the only way to fight against the 1% is building a Peoples’ Front from the bottom up & getting out from the Dem party. A   strong social Movement is emerging. Organizing people, creating cells and taking streets across the nation is the main objective nowadays. The victory of sanders as 3^rd option for democracy will best serve the interest of creating a stable and durable intersection between politics and economics for the near future, though up to Nov the environment could be shake it, or worse if election fraud.   

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