domingo, 1 de mayo de 2016

MAY 1 16 SIT EC y POL



MAY 1 16 SIT EC  y POL

HERE THE GOOD NEWS FOR MAY 1ST , the worldwide Labor Day


“WILL SANDERS SEIZE THIS OPPORTUNITY TO CONTINUE THE FIGHT?  If he is serious about inspiring a political revolution, HE MUST  said  Dave Lindorff  

“If he runs in the general election as a Green, he has a chance to write a whole new chapters in the US  history books. 
“If Bernie Sanders is reluctant to make the jump to running as a Green, he needs to be pushed by his supporters.” 

The last suggestion is the most important part of Dave’s article. That means that it is our turn. We should start now the mobilization of people to streets announcing the third option in alliance with the Green Party.  I did add some more suggestion. See below

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ZERO HEDGE
ECONOMICS

Why So Worried?
What a bunch of worry warts.
Housing costs. Renters more worried that than Home Owners


Just because the Fed and Wall Street have driven home ownership rates to an all-time low and increased the number of renters to an all-time high through their warped monetary schemes, while driving rents up at an annual pace of over 8%, why worry?

Just because your monthly rent is at an all-time high, while real median household income is at the same level it was in 1989, why worry?

Just because your healthcare costs are rising at an annual rate of 10% or more, why worry about making your rent payment?

Just because you have $40,000 of student loan debt and a waiter job at Applebees, why worry about that silly rent payment?

Just because filling up your leased SUV is 30% more expensive than it was in mid-February, why worry about rent?
Don’t worry, be happy.
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Deutsche Bank Unveils The Next Step: "QE Has Run Its Course, It's Time To Tax Wealth". Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/01/2016  :  "It is becoming increasingly clear to us that the level of yields at which credit expansion in Europe and Japan will pick up in earnest is probably negative, and substantially so. Therefore, the ECB and BoJ should move more strongly toward penalizing savings via negative retail deposit rates or perhaps wealth taxes. With this stick would also come a carrot – for example, negative mortgage rates."
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Leaked Docs Reveal TTIP Trade Deal In Jeopardy As "Irreconcilable Differences" Emerge.  Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/01/2016 :  The Guardian, it seems the stumbling blocks ahead of the TTIP's implementation are indeed substantial, and potentially dealbreaking. As the Guardian reports, talks for a free trade deal between Europe and the US face a serious impasse with "irreconcilable" differences in some areas.  The leaked texts also show that the two sides are at odds "over US demands that would require the EU to break promises it has made on environmental protection."
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Still Looks Like A Trap Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/01/2016
[ The level of vulnerability is what makes neoliberalismo  not reliable ]

“If the weather forecast suggests it might rain, wouldn’t you carry an umbrella?
..
Let’s take a look at a few charts to try and derive some clues as to what actions we should be taking next.


First of all, it is worth noting that despite all of the recent excitement of the markets advance, it remains extremely confined in a sideways trading range. This can either be good or bad news.
The Good: Sideways consolidations during bullishly biased markets provides the ability to work off excesses built up during the previous advance to provide the “fuel” necessary for the next leg higher.
The Bad: However, sideways consolidations can also mark the end of the previous bullish advance and the beginning of a bearish decline.

How do we know the difference? Normally, fundamentals tell the story. When earnings are still rising, market consolidations tend to resume to the upside. However, declining earnings have historically marked market topping processes much as we see today.


I have denoted the previous declining market trend and an adjusted downward trend line to account for the most recent peak. Both of these downward trending price lines will now act as resistance to the next attempt by the market to rally higher.

With the markets still extremely overbought from the previous advance, the easiest path for prices currently is lower. The clearest support for the markets short-term is where the 50 and 200-day moving averages are crossing. I currently have my stop losses set just below this level as a violation of this support leaves the markets vulnerable to a retest of February lows. 

On a short-term (daily) basis, the current correction is still within the confines of a simple “profit-taking” process and does not immediately suggests a reversal of previous actions. As shown in the chart below, support current resides at 2040 with the 50-day moving average now trading above the 200-day

It is worth noting the similarity (yellow highlights) between the current rally and peak versus the rally and peak during the October through December advance. It is worth noting the similarity (yellow highlights) between the current rally and peak versus the rally and peak during the October through December advance. 

Risk Still High
Given the fundamental and earnings backdrop, the longer-term market dynamics are still heavily weighted against the bulls. As shown in the next chart, despite the recent surge higher in prices, the technical backdrop still remains bearishly biased.
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A Note On Oil, The Dollar & Rates
3 charts:

With the Federal Reserve caught in their own “trap” of “strong employment and rising inflation” rhetoric, the markets may stay to worry about a rate hike in June. A perception of higher interest rates would likely reverse flows back into the dollar, and by default U.S. Treasuries, pushing the dollar higher and rates lower.



“In an asset management context, US Treasury interest rates tend to trend lower when there is an output gap and trend higher when there is an output surplus. This simple, yet overlooked rule has helped to guide us to stay correctly long US Treasuries over the last several years while the Wall Street community came up with any reason why they were a losing asset class. We continue to think that US Treasury interest rates have significant appreciation ahead of them. As we have stated before, we think the 10yr US Treasury yield will fall to 1.00% or below.”
“A mariner does not become skilled by always sailing on a calm sea.” Herber J. Grant

THE MONDAY MORNING CALL
The Monday Morning Call – Analysis For Active Traders

There has not been a fundamental or economic development to suggest “this time is different.” In fact, in many ways, it is worse.

This more cautionary short-term analysis is supported by the breadth analysis as well. The number of stocks now trading above the 50 and 200-dma, along with bullish sentiment, is pushing more extreme levels. While this is bullish from the standpoint of participation, the extreme nature also suggests a near-term inflection point.

These warning signs are worth paying attention to.
As I have repeatedly stated over the last couple of weeks the current market setup feels like a “trap.”  I remain cautious and already have an “inverse market” position loaded in our trading system to move portfolios quickly back to market neutral if markets break support. 
I suggest you prepare as well.
“If the weather forecast suggests it might rain, wouldn’t you carry an umbrella?”
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This Won't End Well.  Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/01/2016  :  With "safety" stocks at all-time record high valuations and the energy sector trading at over 100x forward earnings expectations, it should apready be clear that a Christmas miracle is what equity bulls are hoping. However, as the following two charts expose all too well, the voyage to the hoped-for hockey-stick in earnings - you know the one that is predicted to occur every time mother's milk dries up - is rapidly falling down and to the right... This will not end well.

 

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10 Stats About The Last 10 Years. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/01/2016  :  Think back over the last 10 years - how different was your life in April 2006?  While you may think your daily existence is largely the same (maybe the kids are older or you’re married now, but that about it…), consider what was actually different about your life in the spring of 2006:No iPhone;No Facebook (unless you were in college at the time); No TwitterNo Instagram; No Kim Kardashian; No UberNo iPad.
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POLITICS

Seymour Hersh Says Hillary Approved Sending Libya's Sarin To Syrian Rebels, Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/01/2016  :  Seymour Hersh has reported that the Obama Administration falsely blamed the government of Syria’s Bashar al-Assad for the sarin gas attack that Obama was trying to use as an excuse to invade Syria, exposing that a secret agreement in 2012 was reached between the Obama Administration and the leaders of Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and Qatar, to set up a sarin gas attack and blame it on Assad so that the US could invade and overthrow Assad. Notably, multiple reports suggest the US Consulate in Benghazi Libya was operating a "rat line" for Gaddafi’s captured weapons into Syria through Turkey; and now, for the first time, Hersh has implicated Hillary Clinton directly in this "rat line."
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ME & WORLD ISSUES

NATO Deploys 4000 Troops To Russian Border As EUCOM Chief Urges "Return To War-Planning". Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/01/2016  :  NATO's European Command (EUCOM) "needs to change," blasts General Philip Breedlove, urging the military to get back to the business of war planning, a skill lost during the post-Cold War era saying his objective is to send a signal of deterrence to Russia. That signal was heard loud and clear as NATO is deploying an additional four battalions of 4,000 troops to the Russian border in Poland and the three Baltic States, according to a report citing US Deputy Secretary of Defense Robert Work.
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Iraqi Oil & The 'Strange' Death of Mr. Abadi. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/01/2016  :  From here, we expect Abadi to face more calls to resign to pave the way for fresh elections. On balance, those calls will be narrowly dismissed, not because Abadi has any political capital left to appoint a new cabinet, but because a dearth of consensus over who’d replace him. Iran is more than happy to keep Abadi in post to bring Iraq to its knees, while the US won’t want the horrifying nightmare of orchestrating an Iraqi election before US Presidential elections are out the way. Fall short on the 2018 dates, and you’ll merely highlight the ingrained presence ISIS still has in Iraq, amid inexorable state collapse.
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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUDE


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America is Supporting Al Qaeda . By Prof. Tim Anderson
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Russia Rises From the Mat. By Gilbert Doctorow
Washington’s arrogance risks war, even nuclear annihilation
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"I did not anticipate that Corbyn would become a Zionist lapdog"
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Agreement between Zionist Jews and Adolf Hitler to help create a Jewish state in Palestine, in return for an end of a global boycott of Nazi Germany
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Many Britons, and other Europeans, remain unaware of the declassified documents from the US State Department archives "showing that US intelligence funded the European movement secretly for decades.
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America's wealth concentration has increased tenfold since Bill Clinton first ran for president.
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62 billionaires own half of the wealth in the world
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Inside the Beltway, we don’t say the word “blackmail,” but the potential will be there.

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GLOBAL RESEARCH


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[ Here quotes & comments from Dave Lindorff art. At the end my suggestions. ]

Sanders knows that he is not going to win the Democratic nomination, unless federal indictment of Clinton, a market collapse, or perhaps a leak of the transcripts of Clinton’s highly-paid but still secret speeches to some of the nation’s biggest banks, take place and the expected  electoral fraud in Nov don’t take place. 

“Some 25-30 percent of Sanders backers, according to pollsters, have made it clear that they will not support Clinton no matter what — including if Sanders were to endorse her. That in itself could be enough to doom her candidacy.
Sanders know that endorsing Hillary after all that heartfelt campaigning would be a huge blow to his millions of backers and his “movement.”

Sanders have the option to continue his run for president up to the CA primaries, but not then after because the owner of the Democratic Party will not allowed. If they are asking him loyalty to the 1% party, he should say that he is considering the option as independent candidate but not decision has been made yet. After the CA Primary he should announce Immediately his departure out of this Party and his running as Independent 3rd option for NOV. In this way he will have the choice of continue running for President but not as democrat. 

“WILL SANDERS SEIZE THIS OPPORTUNITY TO CONTINUE THE FIGHT?  If he is serious about inspiring a political revolution, HE MUST”  said  Dave Lindorff 
“The most liked candidate this year continues to be Sanders, who continues to poll better against all possible Republican candidates than does Clinton.. With numbers like that Sanders, if he continued to build his movement and continued to bring in new voters as he has demonstrably done in the primaries, could even contemplate winning such a general election race. He has also demonstrated his ability to attract tens of millions of dollars a month in online contributions. Running in a three-way race, he’d surely collect even more money, making him fully competitive with the two widely-loathed big-party candidates.”
Given Sanders’ already proven popularity, it would be impossible for the corporate media to deny him a lectern at any general election debates, as was always done to Green Party candidates. If Bernie Sanders is reluctant to make the jump to running as a Green, he needs to be pushed by his supporters, suggested Dave Lindorff.

That suggestion is the most important part of his article. This means that we should start now the mobilization of people to streets announcing the third option in alliance with the Green Party
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Here some more sugestions for NONVIOLENT DIRECT ACTION : from Hugo Adan
1.  ACTION IS THAT DEFINE POLITICS: The mobilization of people to streets & public places across nation should start now. Cells & grass root org in every neighborhood should take the initiative. On- line manuals for nonviolent DIRECT action can provide guidelines.  Here some of them:
2- WE SHOULD MOTIVATE OUR LEADER SANDERS NOT TO ATTEND THE DEM CONVENTION
His elected delegates should abandon the place at the beginning of this event.
3- Sanders should try running all Dem primaries (special focus on CA) and avoid pro-Hillary media
4- The Convention for the Green Party-People’s Front to present the VP should be carefully organized and scheduled  
….
GO SANDERS GO, … UNITED WE WILL WIN!! 
NO HILLARY ENDORSEMENT!”  .. NOT, NOT,NOT!!
“GO GREEN BERNIE!” … UNITED WE WILL WIN!! 
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Continue listing  selected Global Research articles
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NOTI CIAS IN SPANISH


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Que tiene de malo que le gusten las ARG? A OB le gustan Saudis de falda blanca
Y no creo que ninguno de los dos “fume” como Bill Clinton con esas “damas”
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Solo que el vino tiene que ser rojo y café color café, mejor si es de Perú
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De todas la REV es esta explosión la que más me gusta.. y mejor si se
prepara pronto la 2da explosión para que el 1ro/a tenga con quien jugar.
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Lo dice RT: https://actualidad.rt.com/ May 1-16
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PRESS TV


Sanders says he can still win nomination if get out of the DEMs party
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California polls from Political Analyzer found that Sanders, a US Senator from Vermont, is on pace to win 61 percent of the votes in America’s most populous state. Sanders is by far the most popular politician.
“You remember in mid-March after a string of losses, the media wrote his political obituary and we came back to win eight in a row,” Bernie’s wife, Jane Sanders, said according to Politico. “So we’re expecting to do the same here.”

The campaign is also hopeful that they will perform better in the states to come, which have open primaries. They are mostly finished with the closed primaries, which Sanders said takes away his advantage of appeal among independent voters.

“Four out of the five contests that were just done last Tuesday were closed primaries again,” Jane said. “The open primary, Rhode Island, we won. Connecticut, we came very, very close, and if it had been an open primary, we have no doubt we would have won. Pennsylvania, we would have come close or won.”
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