miércoles, 18 de mayo de 2016

MAY 18 16 SIT EC y POL



MAY 18 16 SIT EC y POL

ENJOY YOUR LAST DAYS OF IMPUNITY Mrs. CLINTON
We hope Judges & Law enforcement authorities will do their job
Be sure .. We will do our Job in pacific and democratic way,  if they fail.
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ZEROHEDGE
ECONOMICS

16 Months & Counting.... Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/18/2016  :  These are not normal times; treating them as such will likely turn out to be a grave error...
The following graph of CSI is an updated version of the one we originally published in November 17, 2015. Red lines show optimistic forecasts by economists and green lines pessimistic ones. The red line effectively denotes periods where subsequent data was worse than expected and the green line where subsequent data was better than expected. The numbers below some of the optimistic periods correspond to the number of business days that CSI was consecutively negative.


One may notice that the most recent data, circled above, does not look similar to the more common up and down intervals seen over the rest of the time series. In light of this, here are two factors worthy of your consideration:
1: The CSI has been negative for 328 of the last 332 business days, or 1.3 years. The current period is almost triple that of the longest stretch of negative readings since the index was first published in 2003. Typically the CSI rebounds into positive territory fairly quickly once a trough is reached, making the recent behavior inconsistent and concerning as compared with prior experiences.

2: During this recent string of negative numbers the CSI has averaged almost -30, implying that economists are not just slightly off the mark. The consensus of professional forecasters are consistently badly missing the mark by overestimating the strength of the economy.
Peddling Facts
We have no political agenda and no reason to peddle fiction. Unfettered by our business model we are able to tell you exactly what we think. It doesn’t necessarily mean we will be more accurate, but it does mean we are a voice of reason and one that should be seriously considered when the so called “smart money” is not so smart. 
These are not normal times; treating them as such will likely turn out to be a grave error
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Undeniable Evidence That The Real Economy Is Already In Recession. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/18/2016  :  Peddling some facts... "This is no longer statistical “noise” that can easily be brushed off.".  .. By Michael Snyder via The Economic Collapse blog,
The reality is that we have now seen the Cass Shipping Index decline on a year over year basis for 14 consecutive months.  Here is more commentary and a chart from Wolf Richter

Hundreds of rail workers are being laid off, and engines are just sitting idle on the tracks because there is literally nothing for them to do…
Intuitively, does it seem like this should be happening in a “healthy” economy? .. Of course not.

The inventory to sales ratio is now close to the level it was at during the worst moments of the last recession, and many analysts expect it to continue to keep going up.
Why can’t people understand what is happening?  So far this year, job cut announcements are up 24 percent and the number of commercial bankruptcies is shooting through the roof.  Signs that we are in the early chapters of a new economic downturn are all around us, and yet denial is everywhere.

CNBC article entitled “This key recession signal is broken“…
Treasury yields are behaving as if they are signaling a recession, but strategists say this time it’s more likely a sign of something else.
Treasury yields are very, very clearly telling us that a new recession is here, but because the “experts” don’t want to believe it they are telling us that the signal is “broken”.


For many Americans, all that seems to matter is that the stock market has recovered from the horrible crashes last August and earlier this year.  But in the end, I am convinced that those crashes will simply be regarded as “foreshocks” of a much greater crash in our not too distant future.
I always tell them that it is already here.
Just like in early 2008, economic conditions are rapidly deteriorating, but the stock market has not gotten the memo quite yet.
And just like in 2008, when the financial markets do finally start catching up with reality it will likely happen very quickly.
So don’t take your eyes off of the deteriorating economic fundamentals, because it is inevitable that the financial markets will follow eventually.
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Presented with no comment... ok one word - "seriously!"
Because there's only one way to stop markets falling... stop people trading!!


2 NYSE "glitches" and 2 US equity market ramps...
Pure coincidence we are sure.
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Are Property Taxes A "Wealth Tax" On The (Mostly) Non-Wealthy?   Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/18/2016  :  As pensions dry up and blow away under the relentless erosion of the Federal Reserve's zero-interest rate policy (ZIRP), unaffordable property taxes may well start evicting homeowners from the "asset" they mistakenly thought they "owned." If your Social Security pension can barely pay your property tax, never mind your Medicare, healthcare costs, food and other living expenses, then what exactly do you own? If politicos and tax authorities think people will passively watch their neighbors lose their homes to sky-high property taxes, they will soon discover their mistake.
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Target Crashes To 2016 Lows After Missing Top Line, Slashing Guidance.  S- by Tyler Durden on 05/18/16  :  How is this possible? The government just told us that retail sales jumped the most in years?  [Consumerist habits are falling down in America: case in point Target.  Time to save USD.]

Target is out with its earnings despite beating bottom line, it missed top-line and took an ax to Q2 guidance...  See image at: http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/2016/05/17/20160518_TGT_0.jpg  &  http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/2016/05/12/20160513_retsales2.jpg

Beyond losses related to the early debt retirement, Target is not currently aware of any other material discrete items.  .. And the result - Target is down almost 10% in the pre-market...
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Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/18/2016 - 07:38
  • Stocks sag as U.S. rate rise expectations revive (Reuters)
  • Clinton, Sanders hit final stretch of nominating contest (Reuters)
  • Bernie Sanders Wins in Oregon, But He Needed Kentucky, Too (NBC)
  • Clinton less than 100 delegates from nomination (The Hill)
  • Trump needs 66 delegates to officially clinch nomination (The Hill)
  • Japan GDP Rebound Not Enough to Stave Off Stimulus (WSJ)
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Copper Slides To Three Month Low Despite Flat Futures, Oil; Dollar Rise Continues.  Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/18/2016  [ To higher USD the higher trade misbalance: less chances to export.]
After two violently volatile days in which the market soared (Monday) then promptly retraced all gains (Tuesday), the overnight session has been relatively calm with futures and oil both unchanged even as the BBG dollar index rose to the highest level since April 4.
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Ex-Google Engineers Launch "Otto": Completely Driverless Truck Testing Underway. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/18/2016  [ Subsidized polluter? .. I do like State support to Tesla “new Tech”.]
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POLITICS

Trump Gains Ground On Hillary As Democratic Infighting Takes Its Toll..  Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/18/2016  :  While all Hillary wants to do (aside from staying out of jail) is rid herself of Bernie Sanders so the campaign can turn its attention to Trump, Sanders doesn't appear to be ready for any of that just yet. According to The Hill, Sanders released a statement Tuesday in response to criticism of his supporters' behavior in Nevada calling the charges "nonsense", adding that the party either needs to embrace "people who are prepared to fight for real economic and social change, or choose to maintain its status quo structure and remain dependent on big-money campaign contributions."
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ME & WORLD ISSUES


On Tuesday, the US Senate passed the Justice Against Sponsors of Terrorism Act. 'Coincidentally', on the same day, the New York Times revealed a document published by the National Archives that appears to offer a glimpse into potentially damning information contained in the so-called ‘missing’ 28 pages concerning the attacks on September 11, 2001. Pushing back on the criticisms that the bill was only passed to specifically target Saudi Arabia (which it was of course), Schumer stated "Look, if the Saudis did not participate in this terrorism, they have nothing to fear about going to court."
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Crude Dumps, Pumps, & Slumps As Unexpected Inventory Build Offsets Production Cut. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/18/2016   :  Crude production also fell once again, to its lowest since Sept 2014. The initial kneejerk was a mini-flash-crash in crude prices.. but that was rapidly bid back to unch...

[ Si comparamos este dato con el de arriba.. alguien podría creer que el Imperio controla a los Saudis con chantajes y extorciones .. digo alquien .. y no me incluyo .. yo soy de los que “ciegamente creen” en las santísimas leyes de la oferta y la demanda y otras del mercado capitalista.  Y creo asi, porque de los ciegos es y será siempre el reino de los cielos. ]
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And The Market Breaks Again.... Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/18/2016  : 
Update: with every index solidly in the green, and the selling halted, the market can be restored: NYSE - TECHNICAL ISSUE RESOLVED
After yesterday's plunge was unable to be stopped by a late day VIX slam; and this morning pre-open puke, there was only one thing left to do to stall the weakness...Break The Market!

[ I like the updates .. they create “normality” y los up & dawns from the economic rolling coaster disappear .. the crisis vanishes and everything became beautiful .. as Yellen & Obama said. ]
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GLOBAL RESEARCH


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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE


How far will Russia go in its support for independence of Latin American countries?
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While the US is the major imperial power, it does not dominate some leading global political-economic and military powers, like Russia and China
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The EU will find itself at the mercy of a populist uprising, which is already stirring.
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To a distant observer this looks like the end game; hopefully not the end game for the world as we know it, but for the western tyrant.
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RT SHOWS


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Redacted Tonight. Death of 2-Party System, Hillary paying trolls, legalization of stealing by homeless & more .  . Lee Camp declares the DEATH of the two-party system’s stranglehold on American politics. Then he gets into it about how the mainstream media isn’t covering the biggest workers’ strike in...
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WASHINGTON BLOG


. Bush was a horrible president. At the time, I thought he was the worst president in American history.
But Obama has made a lot of firsts himself …
For example, Obama:
  • Sentenced whistleblowers to 31 times the jail time of all prior u.s. presidents combined
  • Has granted less pardons than any president since Garfield, who served only 200 days as president before being assassinated in 1881
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Posted on May 17, 2016 by WashingtonsBlog. By Michael Snyder, the Economic Collapse Blog.

There is this growing misconception out there that if you “have a job” that you must be doing okay.  Unfortunately for the growing number of “working poor” in America, that is not true at all. Just consider the case of 55-year-old Erlinda Delacruz.  At one time she had a good full-time manufacturing job, but then her factory closed down.  Millions of other Americans have also seen their good paying jobs sent out of the country in recent years, and yet our politicians refuse to do anything about it.  Today, she works 60 hours a week at three different part-time jobs and she still makes less than she once did at the manufacturing plant…
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH


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Ent  a Alberto Acosta "Redibujando alternativas al capitalismo". Mateo Aguado
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US -Sanders respalda a Puerto Rico.  Una deuda de EE.UU.
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PRESS TV


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