martes, 6 de enero de 2015

JAN 5 SIT EC N POL



JAN 5 SIT EC N POL

4THMEDIA.ORG
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
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ZERO HEDGE

And The World Was Split In Twain Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/05/2015. In 1991, the Cold War between the US and the USSR ended, as, economically, the USSR had run its course. Since that time, the US has had the ability to back off on armaments and to strengthen itself economically, to become even more powerful as the world’s present empire. But, of course, that’s not what they did. Instead, they went headlong in the direction of becoming a more highly armed, more fascist state. Along the way, they became extremely reckless with their economy, following a Keynesian model that contributed to the greatest debt bubble the world has ever seen.
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Scotiabank's Haselmann: "The 30 Year Will Trade With A One Handle In 2015" Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/05/2015 The biggest hurdle is too much debt, not the need for more cheap money.   QE may also have sizable unintended consequences through rampant market speculation, herd-like investor behavior, and the creation of asset bubbles.  Those potential ramifications have yet to be realized. ... The best investments or trades usually entail envisioning markets going to previously unforeseen levels and tying it to a coherent story line. Given the simple scenario outlined above, investors should become open minded to the potential for long-dated Treasuries continuing to rally.  I can envision the 10-year note trading to a new low yield (below 1.38%) and even below 1%.  I expect the yield curve to flatten viciously this year.   I remain a bond bull and believe the 30-year yield will trade with a ‘one handle’ (i.e.; below 2%) in 2015.
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Top Five Factors Affecting Oil Prices In 2015. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/05/2015. 2014 proved to be a momentous one for the oil markets, having seen prices cut in half in just six months. The big question is what oil prices will do in 2015.
It is anybody’s guess, but here are the top five variables that will determine the trajectory of oil prices over the next 12 months, in no particular order.
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2015: A World Ruled By Hubris, Willful Blindness And Desperation. by Charles Hugh-Smith of OfTwoMinds blog, Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/05/2015. Issuing lies and pursuing willful blindness is not leadership: it's failure on a grand scale.//  
Rather than issue predictions for 2015, this week I'll cover themes that I believe will be consequential in the year ahead. 
The first theme is the dominant psychological dynamic of global leadership, which can be distilled down to a toxic brew of Hubris, Willful Blindness and Desperation. 
Examples of leadership hubris abound, and they all arise from the false confidence that the same playbook and tools that rescued the Status Quo from well-deserved oblivion for the past six years will continue working splendidly in the years ahead.
The Federal Reserve's days of desperation lie just ahead. When interest rates can't be pushed any lower, when risk assets can't be pushed any higher, when the U.S. dollar's ascent cannot be stopped, then we'll see the Fed issue the same sort of painfully desperate statements as their central banker compatriots spew on a near-daily basis. 
Issuing lies and pursuing willful blindness is not leadership: it's failure on a grand scale. http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-01-05/2015-world-ruled-hubris-willful-blindness-and-desperation
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Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/05/2015 - 07:44
  • Economists sceptical ECB bond-buying would revive eurozone (FT)
  • Indonesia naval captain says may have located missing plane's tail section (Reuters)
  • Oil hits five and a half year low under $55 (Reuters)
  • Samaras Warns of Euro Exit Risk as Greek Campaign Starts (BBG)
  • The death of active investing: Vanguard Sets Record Funds Inflow (WSJ) - thank you Fed
  • Oil Downturn Has Many Wondering How Lone Star State Will Weather a Bust (WSJ)
  • Hollande Says France Must Exceed 1% Economic Growth to Spur Jobs (BBG)
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Euro, Crude Crash Resumes; US Stock Futures Slump On Grexit Fears; China Soars. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/05/2015. The new year is not even a week old and already the volatility fireworks are off, as well as the continued commodity derisking. But while for now US stocks continue to be an island oasis in a turbulent global sea where GDP forecasts decline every single day, the same can not be said about either the Euro, which after crashing overnight to a 9 year low, and rebounding briefly, has continued to decline and is now once again flirting with a key support level, this time 1.19, last reached during the May 2010 first Greek bailout. The catalyst, as usual, Greece which may or may not be leaving the Eurozone shortly, as well as ongoing bets on ECB QE following this morning's regional German inflation data which declined once more and now hints at outright deflation in Europe's strongest nation.
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Russia's "Startling" Proposal To Europe: Dump The US, Join The Eurasian Economic Union. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/05/2015. "Russia has presented a startling proposal to overcome the tensions with the EU: The EU should renounce the free trade agreement with the United States TTIP and enter into a partnership with the newly established Eurasian Economic Union instead. A free trade zone with the neighbors would make more sense than a deal with the US."
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PRESSTV
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Two police officers shot, wounded in NY.  IT happens late Monday in the Bronx.
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‘Supporting ISIL politically imprudent’. Iranian official has criticized certain states for providing support to ISIL terrorists.
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The end of the American middle class?. The income inequality in the US is increasing mostly because of profit-maximizing corporations.
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US to cut off food stamps for 1 million. in 2016, a report says.
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Obama seeking regime change in Russia. An analyst says Moscow believes that Obama is seeking a regime change in Russia by putting pressure on Putin.
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New sanctions on Iran threaten talks. A senior Obama administration official says new Iran sanctions would threaten the diplomatic process.
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Syria UN envoy protests illegal visits.  a complaint against the US and French officials who illegally entered the country to visit militant-held towns.
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New Syria opp. chief rejects Russia talks. The newly-picked head of Syria's foreign-backed opposition says the coalition will not attend the upcoming Russian-led talks on resolving the nation’s crisis.
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Iraq’s Peshmergas liberate key town  Iraqi Kurdish Peshmerga forces gain more ground against ISIL Takfiri militants.
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US Dow sinks 300 pts amid oil price crash. US-based Dow Jones Industrial Average loses over 300 points as the crude oil prices in the country briefly fall below $50 a barrel.
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US oil prices fall to new lows. Monday slipped below $50 a barrel for the first time in more than five years.
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