IMAGINANDO EL MUNDO POST NEOLIBERAL

IMAGINANDO EL MUNDO POST NEOLIBERAL

Introduccion

Por Hugo Adan, Enero 16, 2015

La actual economía neo-liberal no beneficia a nadie, solo a la minoría que acumula super-ganancias y agrava la explosiva desigualdad social a nivel interno e internacional. Eso es insostenible y hay signos de que los pueblos y naciones oprimidas apuntan a romper este  modelo, mientras se camina hacia una nueva depresión mundial.

El neo-liberalismo lo impone un imperio que dispone de tres instrumentos para su dominio mundial:

a-      el poder nuclear y militar con el que chantajean o imponen guerras de saqueo a nivel mundial, y mediante fraudes especulativos y la corrupción del capital buitre (vulture capital que especula con la deuda soberana de estados anexados al sistema imperial) . 

b-     la fabricación de dólares sin respaldo alguno (lo fue el petróleo y ya no lo es) lo que le permite controlar la banca mundial y el intercambio internacional. Eso también es insostenible hoy y esta llegando a su final. 

c-      el control de la prensa mundial con la que aun pueden  distorsionar y mentir de forma deshonesta y agresiva al mundo entero. Pero la rev tecnológica en la comunicación ya no es monopolio de ellos y la verdad se impone quiéranlo o no.

El art que viene es prueba de ello. Se dice aquí que solo nos queda respirar el fracaso de nuestros planificadores. De forma que si los de abajo mueren o son asesinados (caso Ferguson) por falta de ese aire llamado libertad y democracia, los del medio -el/los articulistas de abajo- también sienten lo mismo. Pero se limitan a acusar a los burócratas del Gbno central, cuando no son solo ellos –su práctica o su dinámica- la causa del problema. Es todo el sistema (su estructura económico-política e ideológica) lo que hay que cambiar.

Aquí les brindo extractos de su 1er articulo y su breve nota sobre la 2da parte. El autor nos impide continuar leyéndo la 2da parte al exigir que lo subscribamos. Si vale la pena hacerlo, eso lo decide Ud.  Yo prefiero leer los articulos de David DeGraw, autor de  The Economics of Revolution. You can read Part 1 here and Part 2 here y a otros que abajo indico.  

De todos modos, leer a Martenson y Charles Hugh Smith es interesante pues nos da una idea de como piensan los yuppies de America, las capas medias ilustradas, en pleno proceso de desenganche frente a las elites de poder.  

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WHY OUR CENTRAL PLANNERS ARE BREEDING FAILURE. Posted on January 15, 2015 by Chris Martenson .  How can success breed failure?  It turns out there are a number of dynamics at work.   

1- Survivorship Bias. Survivorship Bias is the natural tendency to look at the survivors for the keys to success rather than to examine those who didn’t survive, many of which disappear without a trace. 

2- Drawing Over-Arching Conclusions from Single Examples. CHINA case.  commentators attribute China’s great developmental success to its command economy. The conventional conclusion that the major central banks—the Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank and the Bank of China—succeeded in saving the global economy from depression in 2008-09 is another example of drawing over-arching conclusions about success from single examples. Other said that the major central banks—the Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank and the Bank of China—succeeded in saving the global economy from depression in 2008-09 is another example of drawing over-arching conclusions about success from single examples. However, there are no opportunities to test the assumption that the central bank recipe used in 2008-09 can be applied with equal success in future financial crises in these very different economies. 

3- Previous Policies Have Changed Conditions. what worked in 2008-09 may not succeed in the next financial crisis because those policies only worked in the specific set of conditions of that crisis. If the conditions have changed, then the strategies that were ‘successful’ in the previous set of conditions will not yield the same outcome. 

4- Are the Outcomes of Monetary Policies Truly Predictable?  The current set of fiscal and monetary policies pursued by central banks and states are all based on lessons drawn from the Great Depression of the 1930s. Are the present-day conditions identical to those of the Great Depression? If not, then how can anyone conclude that the lessons drawn from that era will be valid in an entirely different set of conditions?. 

5- The Seeds of Failure Are Sown in the Initial Flush of Success. If this is the case—and the slowing global “recovery” suggests this is indeed so—then the success of these extreme policies is illusory, and the truly key determinants of success and failure remain elusive.

In Part 2: The 6 Reasons The Next Economic Rescue Will Fail . Click here to access Part 2 of this report.

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The 6 Reasons The Next Economic Rescue Will Fail. Why the current unstable 'recovery' must topple. by Charles Hugh Smith. Thursday, January 15, 2015. http://www.peakprosperity.com/insider/91254/6-reasons-next-economic-rescue-will-fail

Executive Summary

• The 6 Factors
• Rising inequality
• Reversion to the mean
• Cost overages
• Diminishing returns
• Misleading measurement
• Expertise mismatch
• Why the 'success' of the Federal Reserve and other world central banks is ultimately dooming them to failure

In Part 1, we examined a variety of reasons why the apparent success of Keynesian monetary and fiscal policy may be transitional and brief rather than permanent.

Here in Part 2, we delve into the six other dynamics that make success destabilizing.

Rising Inequality—Perceived and Real

 

The highly touted “recovery” has been highly uneven in its distribution. The benefits of rising income and wealth have flowed disproportionately to the top 5%, 1% and even 1/10^th of 1%.  Those who didn't make it onto the limited-seating Recovery Bus feel the gap between the prospects and wealth of the top tier and their own wealth and prospects widening. Indeed, psychological studies find that we assess our wealth and social position not by our actual material prosperity, but by the narrowing or widening of the perceived wealth gap with our peers.

This is precisely the situation in the U.S. and China. Both economies are supposedly expanding smartly, but the gains are concentrated in a relative few hands; the Rising Prosperity Bus has few seats.  The vast majority perceive themselves as being left behind, and that is highly...

[Aquí el autor pide que subscribamos su web para seguir leyéndolo. Hagalo Ud si cree que vale la pena hacerlo. Yo no pago para leer a nadie ni cobro a los que me leen. Solo recomiendo que lean a David DeGraw.  The Economics of Revolution. You can read Part 1 here and Part 2 here. O lean a Michael Hudson, a Richard Wolff y Michael Snyder sobre este tema]

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