sábado, 6 de junio de 2020

JUN 5 ND SIT EC y POL



JUN 5 ND SIT EC y POL
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Eco


ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics


Short Sellers lives matters

This was a big week for markets.
Trannies were up over 10% on the week, Nasdaq lagged by "only" gaining 3%.
AAPL record high today.
Best 50-day rally in stocks in 90 years.

BUT:  Dow then and Now
See Chart:

Nasdaq 100 and Composite hit record highs, S&P is less than 1% away from green YTD.
BUT:  Biggest weekly crash in momentum on record...
See Chart:
Market-Neutral Momentum Factor.. Dawn

Banks stocks exploded higher (second best week since Nov 2016, Trump election)
Biggest weekly gain for Airline stocks... ever.
Biggest weekly spike in 30Y yields since Nov 2016 (Trump Election)
See Chart:
UST 2Y 30Y  Yield Spread

Biggest weekly short-squeeze in two months (second biggest since March 2009)
See Chart:
“Most Shorter “ Stocks

B-Dollar Index  is down 10 days in a row, biggest weekly drop since March and biggest 3-week drop since Oct 2011...
See Chart:

Commodities were mixed with Crude and copper soaring as PMs tumbled (despite the weak dollar)...
See Chart:

And finally, "SURPRISE!" - The Citi US Macro Surprise Index exploded in its v-shaped manner today after the stunning (birth/death adjustment-enabled) jobs beat...
See Chart:
US Macro Surprise Index

And while May was the month of overnight gains, June has seen the market rise during the night
See Chart:
S&P 500 Absolute Performance Since Start of May
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The main driver behind 70% of US GDP just went into hibernation.

According to the Fed's latest G.19 statement, in April total consumer credit plunged by a record $68.8 billion, smashing  expectations for a modest $20 billion drop sparked by last month's $6.8 billion (revised) drop, and more than 3x greater than the biggest consumer credit drawdown observed during the financial crisis.
SEE CHART:

Just like March, the bulk of the credit repayment took place in revolving credit although to a far greater degree as Americans repaid a record $58 billion on their credit card bills as US consumer society literally went into reverse and instead of spending wildly as it does every other month, usually spending what it can't afford, US consumers repaid the most on their credit cards ever.
SEE CHART:
Revolving  Credit MoM Change

However, in perhaps a more notable departure from March when total consumer credit also tumbled even as non-revolving credit rose, in April non-revolving credit - auto and student loans - also posted a sharp drop. In fact, the drop, while not the biggest on record, was the biggest since the financial crisis. It wasn't immediately clear if this particular drop was due to shrinkage in student or auto loans: the full detail will be published in two months time when the Fed reveals the quarterly change in those two series.
SEE CHART:
Nonrevolving Credit MoM Change

So how long until this shocking plunge in consumer spending reverses? The answer is that nobody knows, but until US consumers feel comfortable enough to once again "charge it", THERE CAN BE NO RECOVERY.
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Those looking for signs of a panic stampede into stocks among retail investors, look no further than the following three charts.

Those looking for signs of a panic stampede into stocks among retail investors - and apparently institutional one too now that they have capitulated on sitting on the fence and are rushing into risk assets - look no further than the following three charts.

Whether due to expectations of even more upside, or just in hopes of catching some more herd-driven momentum, on the day the Nasdaq Composite hit a new record intraday high, the volume in the Nasdaq also hit an all time high, a clear indication of the frenzy that has gripped tech names.
SEE CHART:
Nasdaq Volume

And since in a market backstopped by the Fed plain-vanilla, unlevered returns are for amateurs, today also saw a near record burst in overall call volumes as investors not only bought stocks but did so with generous helpings of leverage.
SEE CHART:
CBOE Equity Call Volume

Finally, since this is "Jay's market" after all, and it is Jay's job to insure that nobody loses money ever again, there is no point in hedging, and sure enough the Put to Call ratio tumbled to just shy of all time lows as the VIX will soon start rising not due to put prices but calls.
SEE CHART:
Put To Call Ratio
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Arab Spring part 2?

First the good news: wholesale beef prices have tumbled sharply and are just barely higher than where they were before the coronavirus pandemic struck.
SEE Chart:
Wholesale Beef prices

Now the not so good news: as Bank of America's Michael Hartnett notes in his Flow Show today, while beef may be affordable again, rice - the staple food for half of world's population - is becoming increasingly unaffordable, "surging 70% since Jan on COVID-19 labor supply chain hit & stockpiling."
See Chart
As a reminder, it was the surge in food prices in late 2010 and early 2011 that precipitated the Arab Spring protests that toppled numerous political regimes and eventually culminated with the mass exodus of migrants from northern Africa and the middle east toward Europe.
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Brief Economic News
...stocks "are rising because the Fed is printing all this money because the Fed is creating inflation and debasing the value of currency. That is going to drive the value of gold. .."
OPEN THIS VIDEO TO LISTEN HIM:
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... like 2008, ask yourself if the economy and the monetary system really have made it through this ordeal unscathed?
SEE CHART:
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Assuming a similar trajectory off the Feb lows suggests the SPX would rise to 3300-3600 sometime between August and January.
SEE CHART:
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“We are seeing a lot of bullish options speculators, and I think the ‘message board flow’ is playing a part,”
SEE CHART:
The Put-Call ratio has crashed to its lowest
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US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio

TIME TO START RE-ORG OF THE POLICE INSTITUTION:
Start by dismissing all those who shot unarmed civilians
Hugo Adan
6/5/20
This is my reaction to the following article:
"They tried to f*ck over these guys like I have never seen in my 54 years"
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Keep only those policemen who plan to serve the Public Need. Train new staff from army soldiers & and with civilians with high degree of education like millennial. Take out all those who committed atrocities. 

Meanwhile the army can used the tactic used in the SOUTH: protect civilian demonstrations as happen in CHILE, COSTA RICA & PERU  (Arequipa) : In Chile, a team of policemen  well armed  marched at front of the meeting, other  covered the sides and the rest  at the end of the meeting. Demonstrators can get in with their own poster.   

Salvador Allende put across this Law .
Huge demonstrations against Allende were protected  and the same with demonstrators in favor of Allende. When US’ fascist-mercenaries invaded Chile, all this police service to the Nation’ freedom was canceled

Here in the US  we saw recently policemen and demonstrators shaking hands & hugs with black demonstrators. That is the path to peace & fraternity in the US

What if vandalizes assault stores? The police have to talk to them via mega-phono: You give up your arms, rise your hands  & you’re are free to go NOW. IF they don’t give up their arms, the police shot them with fake bullets, reduce them, tie their hands and take to prison. Not personal attack to them is allowed

IF vandalizers have used  their real arms inside the store,  hurt the owners or his staff, shot them with real bullets. Store cameras & other cameras must take the evidence of that  behavior.
The new policeman must know that their mission is not to kill civilians, even if they are robbing a store.  

The aim of re-organizing the Police Institution is to CONVERT POLICEMEN  INTO TO THE ARMY OF OUR  NATION, TO PROTECT IT  AND saved guard THEIR FREEDOMS, not to kill US CITIZENS.
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"There was an interruption in our ability to do work." 
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"Bailing out investors who chose to take high-risk investments because they wanted the high returns undermines capitalism and makes it an unfair game."
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It was not the pandemic that blew up our lives... It was the response to the virus that did that. The Times cannot construct a fake version of reality just to avoid responsibility for what they’ve done.
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American cities are burning, there’s a lethal pandemic and we’re in a new Great Depression. Other than that, everything’s fine...
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"My hope is that they will come back."
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There are bad apples on all sides –some bad apple protestors who loot and burn and destroy. And some bad apple cops who engage in terrible acts of violence... But there are plenty of good apples on both sides too.
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Do you believe in miracles?  I’m pantheist: I believe in moral without dogmas
....confounding media’s effort to blame him for riots...
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What about Bloomberg: the financier of BIDEN, the saint of the fraud: buying votes
"We abhor violence of any kind..."
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Believe or not.. BB are the masters  of violence to be explode when count-votes  
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US-WORLD  ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo

The late-60s period was one of social & civil unrest, soaring government/budget deficits, the end of globalization, rising yields & inflation after a long period of calm, and ultimately, the start of stagflation. Just like now.
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3

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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am search f alternatives to neo-fascist regimes & terrorist imperial chaos

REBELION

US: Video rebelde:  US  ha saqueado a la gente negra  See Video
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ALAI ORG

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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE
Deep on the US political crisis: neofascism & internal conflicts that favor WW3

The U.S. Economy Is Down By 50%  By Moon Of Aalabama
Organizing the Rich or the Poor?   By Liz Theoharis
Everywhere is War   By Stanley L. Cohen
Black Misleaders Seek to End Protest  By Margaret Kimberley
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Max and Stacy look at Dr. Michael Hudson’s comments about the Fed acting like the Statue of Liberty for wealthy people who have made bad bets that they would like to have the central bank take off their hands. They also look at the trickle-down looting which started from the policymakers working with the elite to transfer industrial stock to China 20 years ago. Max talks to Caitlin Long who is seeking a banking license for Avanti in the great state of Wyoming.
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars from US-NATO  allies

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DEMOCRACY NOW
Amy Goodman’  team

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