domingo, 8 de abril de 2018

APR 7 18 SIT EC y POL P2

APR  7 18  SIT EC y POL P2
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Econ


ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics


On a nine-block stretch of what’s arguably the world’s most famous avenue, steps south of the bustling Time Warner Center and the planned new Nordstrom department store, lies a shopping wasteland.

See Chart:
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RELATED:

Real estate tends to ride an emotional rollercoaster, as anyone who made it through the 2000s can attest. But in some ways the current market is even stranger than those of past cycles...

To find out how things got so weird so fast, I checked with Peter Miller, author of The Common-Sense Mortgage and regular contributor to thMortgage Reports website. Here’s his take:

If you’ve been reading industry news releases the inventory shortage is a huge concern.
“Total housing inventory at the end of February rose 4.6 percent to 1.59 million existing homes available for sale, but is still 8.1 percent lower than a year ago (1.73 million) and has fallen year-over-year for 33 consecutive months. Unsold inventory is at a 3.4-month supply at the current sales pace (3.8 months a year ago).”

There are number of reasons for the inventory shortage.

First, home prices have been going up consistently in most markets for the past six years. This may sound encouraging but it also means that today’s seller will be tomorrow’s buyer, someone competing for homes which may require a bigger mortgage and steeper monthly payments.

Second, there are transaction costs associated with, first, the sale of a property and, second, the purchase of a replacement residence.

Third, millions of owners have fixed-rate mortgage financing in place at 4% or less. If they move the rate they pay goes up.

Fourth, for people in the upper brackets and for individuals who live in high-cost, high-tax areas it may be difficult to justify the sale of a current residence given tax reform.

Fifth, new construction is insufficient to meet demand. Multifamily construction starts were down 10 percent in 2017.

Sixth, many people no longer have the income certainty they once had. The typical work week is no longer 40 hours. Artificial intelligence, machine learning, robotics, outsourcing, downsizing, and rightsizing are threatening the hours and employment of both blue-collar and white-collar workers alike. We see more and more examples of flexible work schedules as opposed to set working hours known in advance. The result is that increasing numbers of workers earn different amounts each month. I suspect many sellers wonder if they can still qualify for the mortgage they got a few years ago.
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"An inversion at the front end of the US curve is a significant market development, not least because it occurs rather rarely. It is also generally perceived as a bad omen for risky markets."
See Chart:
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"All other fiat currencies take their value from the dollar, not gold. So, the destabilising forces on the dollar, the other unexpected side of Triffin’s dilemma, could take down the whole fiat complex as well..."

Foreign ownership of dollars has increased a further $2,142.4bn to a record $18,694.1, even though bank reserves declined by $572bn.[viii] In other words, the accumulation of dollars in foreign hands now stands at over 95% of US GDP.
Another way of looking at it is to assess the market values of US securities held by foreigners and relate that to GDP, though this information is less timely,. This is shown in the following chart.

See Chart:
Foreing INV /  GDP
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"...we view this as supportive of the notion that the growing prevalence of ETFs in risk assets can lead to destabilizing flows that can exacerbate market moves"
See Chart:
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POLITICS
Seudo democ y sist  duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s  full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambiarlo


"Today’s current situation is spiraling out of control and could develop into a real war, the last war in the history of mankind..."
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The arguments posed by Chris Hedges, that the U.S. is neither a democracy nor a republic but a totalitarian state that can now assassinate its citizens at will, are pertinent ones. Scary ones.
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Arizona and Texas will be sending 400 National Guard members to the southern border in response to President Donald Trump's Wednesday Executive Order directing the troops to "assist the border patrol" in guarding the nation's existing border fence - and of course the many miles of completely unprotected crossing zones. 
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"Collapse is a process, not a singular event.It happens over time, not overnight. It is a spectrum of moments and terrible choices, set in motion in most cases by people in positions of power, but helped along by useful idiots among the masses."
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The other bubble start bursting  too :

"Fire at Trump Tower is out. Very confined (well built building). Firemen (and women) did a great job. THANK YOU!" - Donald Trump
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WORLD ISSUES and M-East
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K- compet. D rest in limbo

In the US the rich have it.. but what about massive community bunkers for the US Nation?
Description: https://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/styles/teaser_small/public/2018-04/india-pakistan-war-1.jpg?itok=rsJiFm-H
To safeguard civilians from Pakistani shelling across the border, NBCC will build 13,029 small bunkers and 1,431 more massive community bunkers.
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... and one way to make a significant profit should a real trade war break out between China and the US.
See Chart:
US exports to china

Here are the five "nuclear" options that China is currently contemplating:
  1. A Currency Depreciation. A sharp, one-time yuan devaluation, like the one Beijing unexpectedly carried out in August 2015, could be used to offset some of the effect of tariffs.
  2. Sales of US Treasurys. Chinese authorities could sell some of its large official-sector holdings of US Treasuries, which would lead to a tightening of US financial conditions.
  3. Block US services. Chinese authorities could limit access for US companies to the Chinese domestic market, particularly in the services sector, where the US exports $56 billion in services annually and runs a $38 billion surplus
  4. Curb US oil shipments. According to Petromatrix, China is one of the biggest importers of U.S. crude oil at 400kb/d, so any counter-tariffs on crude could become very heavy for the U.S. supply and demand picture. Such a move would weigh on U.S. prices and spill over to global oil pricing. As Petromatrix adds, the market would need to start balancing downward price risk of trade-war escalations with upside risk of Iran sanctions as oil flows could be about the same.

All of the above are mostly self-explanatory. The fifth option is one we first previewed back last August, in "Rare Earths Are China's Most Potent Weapon In A Trade War." Here is a quick reminder:

In October 1973, the world shuddered when the Arab members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries imposed an oil embargo on the United States and other nations that provided military aid to Israel in the Yom Kippur war. At the same time, they ramped up prices. The United States realized it was dependent on imported oil — and much of that came from the Middle East, with Saudi Arabia the big swing producer. It shook the nation. How had a few foreign powers put a noose around the neck of the world’s largest economy?

Well, it could happen again and very soon. The commodity that could bring us to our knees isn’t oil, but rather a group of elements known as rare earths, falling between 21 and 71 on the periodic table.

This time, just one country is holding the noose: China.
China controls the world’s production and distribution of rare earths. It produces more than 92 percent of them and holds the world in its hand when it comes to the future of almost anything in high technology.

SEE CHART:

Rare earths are great multipliers and the heaviest are the most valuable. They make the things we take for granted, from the small motors in automobiles to the wind turbines that are revolutionizing the production of electricity, many times more efficient. For example, rare earths increase a conventional magnet’s power by at least fivefold. THEY ARE THE NEW OIL.
Rare earths are also at work in cell phones and computers. Fighter jets and smart weapons, like cruise missiles, rely on them. In national defense, there is no substitute and no other supply source available.

Of course, there is no way of knowing if China will proceed with a rare earth export ban as its response, or whether it will pick any of these options. However, for those who are growing concerned - or convinced - that it's only going to get worse from here, there is good news: the VanEck Rare Earth ETF REMX makes it easy to make a substantial profit from the first nuclear trade war, should China clamp down on rare earth metals, sending their price to where they traded when China waged a brief trade war with Japan in 2011, when the ETF hit an all time high of $114. Needless to say, should China lock out the US, the price of rare earths would soar orders of magnitude higher.

See Chart:
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"The United Kingdom is headed for a break-up... By responding to the alleged poisoning of former Russian double agent Sergei Skripal and his daughter Yulia with histrionics normally reserved for The View, Theresa May’s government has set the stage for its own collapse."
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars:  its profiteers US-NATO


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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE
Deep on the US political crisis, their internal conflicts n chances of WW3


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Syria Showdown: Trump Versus the Generals   By Patrick J. Buchanan
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Humpty Dumpty Boris Johnson   By Finian Cunningham
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Insouciant Russians?  By Paul Craig Roberts
Putin understands that Washington is doing everything in its power to have him assassinated
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COUNTER PUNCH 


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Robert Koehler   Rethinking the Whole Country
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
Geopolitics & the nasty business of US-NATO-Global-wars uncovered ..


RELATED
"According to UK media reports, the death of a Russian citizen occurred in very strange and mysterious circumstances immediately after the poisoning of the Skripal family. The ambassador plans to use the advice of the UK Foreign Office and request a meeting with the head of the London police in order to invite the British side to inform us in detail about the progress of the investigation. For Russia, this murder has not only criminal, but also a political dimension," the embassy said in a statement.
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[[ UK failed & US getting worse: “State Dept Says Dozens May Have Been Killed in Syrian Douma by Chemical Weapons”.. There’re denounc that US-UK-allies R arming  & train terrorists. Chem-W- included. Read this:  Terrorists Preparing Chemical Attack in Idlib - Syrian UN Envoy  and this one: Terrorists Received 'Instructions From US, UK and Allies' to Stage Chemical Weapons Provocations in Syria - State Media. Now the US is using similar UK farce: exposing open Ruso-phobia. Read this one:   West Uses Skripal Row to Boot Russia From Syrian Chemical Weapons Issue - Moscow All these lies go in one direction:  create pretext for WW3-first strike. RU-China R aware of it and R ready to respond ]]
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Is this good for the Ecology too?  WATCH FIRE ERUPTS AT TRUMP TOWER IN NEW YORK
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First director general of the Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons Jose Bustani.  
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3 Dead, Up to 50 Wounded in Van Ramming Incident in Germany's Munster – Reports  https://sputniknews.com/europe/201804071063317526-car-ramming-germany/
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Now women have the right to choose bet wearing traditional abayas and hijabs or not. They can also ride bikes and drive without permission of their man. However, men are still the rulers at home (they orders can’t be discussed) and can't travel without men or marry without their fathers' blessing. These slaves have changed the metal handcuff for a plastic one .. at the discretion of their man. That is why I love the Kurdish ladies .. they’re not oblige to cover their body top-down. They have the right to drive and control their body free from men will. She can join the military –if they want- and to port arms at their discretion. So, if a man try to rape her, she can open a 2nd well in his but. It is that they deserve.
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RT SHOWS
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Keiser Report   Episode 1211  Max and Stacy discuss whether or not correlation equals causation.
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Latino America looking for alternatives to neoliberalism to break with Empire: 


V-Sur     Nacion vs Estado: Entre anomalía incómoda y crisis permanente BF
                Egipto: Siniestra farsa electoral   Hoda Ahmed
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M 68      -Lecciones de mayo del 68    Ernest Mandel
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MLK       -La tierra prometida todavía no está aquí  Robert Greene II
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PRESS TV
Global situation described by Iranian observers..


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