APR 11 18
SIT EC y POL P2
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social
+ Capit-compet in Econ
GEO-POL NEWS
SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
US Defense Secretary
James Mattis keeps his tone low, speaking about
the alleged chemical attack in Douma. When asked about the evidence supporting accusations
against Syrian Presi Assad's forces for
the alleged chemical attack, "Mad Dog" Mattis
responded in measured tones:
"We're still assessing the intelligence -
ourselves and our allies. We're still working on this," Mattis stated.
[[ Interesting: the bulldogs have been unlashed, destroyers sent
& T. threats more furious every hour .
I wonder : is "Mad Dog"
Mattis a real tramposo?. In time of US decomposit
anything could happen ]]
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Putin won’t pay
attention to it: Russia Is Not Part of Twitter Diplomacy
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Trump expect that his terrorist’ allied inhale DU after USA
missiles..love bet hyenas is ‘admirable’
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RT SHOWS
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Latino America looking for alternatives to neoliberalism to
break with Empire:
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La caja de
pandora el WW3 la abrió Israel con dos caza F15: Quien la cierra?
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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE
Deep on the US political crisis, their internal conflicts n
chances of WW3
|
Trump Warns Russia Missiles 'Will Be
Coming' in Syria By R Burns, J ederman & Catherine L/ AP
|
Russian Ambassador said any missiles fired at Syria would be
shot down & the launching sites targeted. A stark
warning of a potential major confrontation. [ I guess they will go to
the jugular ]
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COUNTER PUNCH
Focus on US issues
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Dean Baker Why
the $1 Trillion Deficit Isn’t a Problem for You, But Rich People Complaining
About It
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more
business-wars: its profiteers US-NATO
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What if
RU hit directly US (9 sites), 7
sites in Europa. Dimona in ISR plus Ryad? Bye-Bye NATO. RU may have not quantity
of weapons.. but a proper use of available.. will be enough
to send NATO to hell
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ZERO HEDGE ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they
documented with graphics
Current Economic situation:
No good reason... just made me
laugh...
As always, the US cash open
sparked a buying panic sending stocks into the green after concerns overnight
on Airstrike warnings and Trump's tweets but any relief
from Trump's subsequent more-diplomatic tweet was lost as stocks rolled over
hard.
Futures
show the action best...
See Chart:
Most of the FANGMAN stocks ended
lower...(NFLX - black, and FB - red ended higher)
See Chart:
Once again, bonds and stocks have
decoupled...
SeeChart:
Treasury yields were broadly lower
(2Y unchanged) with the long-end outperforming.
See Chart:
And the
yield curve tumbled to fresh 11 year flats... (2s10s hit a 45bps handle)
See Chart:
The Dollar was heading for freefall
until it was rescued momentarily by hawkish fed minutes..
SEE Chart:
….
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Though the
Powers That Be will attempt to placate or suppress the Revolt of the Powerless,the genies of political disunity and social
disorder cannot be put back in the bottle...
The
saying "the worm has turned" refers to the moment
when the downtrodden have finally had enough, and turn on their powerful
oppressors. The worms have finally
turned against the privileged elites -- who have benefited so greatly from
globalization, corruption, central bank stimulus and the profiteering of
state-enforced cartels. It doesn’t matter as much as the punditry assumes
whether they are turning Left or Right; the important thing is that the
powerless have finally started challenging their privileged overlords.
In the current era, eight interconnected
trends/cycles are either reaching the end of their run or reversing:
-- Central bank
distortion/manipulation of markets.
-- The business cycle of
credit/debt expansion and contraction.
-- The yield/interest rate
cycle.
-- The commodity cycle.
-- The stock market cycle.
-- Regulation.
-- Globalization.
-- Demographics.
TIME TO TAKE ACTION
So as these 8 key trends and
cycles change, what can we as individuals do?
In Part 2: 6 Essential
Strategies For Prospering Through The Next Crisis, we detail specific steps to take
with your money, your career, your lifestyle, your possessions and your mindset
that will dramatically improve your odds of ending up on the winning side of
these cycle reversals.
….
SOURCE: https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-04-11/genies-out-bottle-eight-defining-trends-are-reversing
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"WHAT CAN'T GO ON FOREVER... DOESN'T!"
Herbert Stein’s Law
states “What Can’t Go On Forever,
Doesn’t.”
This is a neat summary of the
present trade and currency imbalance. China makes real goods and the U.S.
consumes them by typing digits on a keyboard. This is the very
definition of what cannot go on forever.
- How
long do you expect a nation can make nothing and consume everything?
- How
long do you expect a nation without manufacturing, without a workforce,
and now without a viable military to remain pre-eminent?
- How
long does wealth and influence remain in a nation that makes nothing, does
nothing, and knows nothing?
Reminds me of that other Law: “A fool and
his money should be parted as soon as possible”, for to be wealthy, and
helpless, and dumb, is not a combination that lasts for very long.
Since
China cannot send the U.S. free goods forever, ergo, they won’t. That means
slowly or quickly, now or later, they will cut us off. Right now it appears
that can never happen, but I assure you it will very soon. And what will the
U.S. do then?
Actually, that’s very simple: the
U.S. will have to close a $600B trade deficit instantly. Roughly, that means
the U.S. will no longer import $600B worth of goods and be $600B/year poorer,
or $2,000/year per person. Nor is this unusual. History is rife with examples
of nations that once were prosperous and were suddenly cut off: Spain and
Greece come immediately to mind. So how does this
happen?
The Core
nation, the trading hub has failed dozens of times in history, from Venice to
Holland, Spain to England, and although most of history was on a gold standard,
nevertheless the same thing happened: repudiation and devaluation of the
currency. That’s why a U.K. Pound is no longer a troy pound of pure
silver ($192) and why the U.S. Dollar is no longer 1/20th ounce of gold ($267).
So let’s run down how this might unfold.
Like other empires, the U.S. rose to prominence with hard work
and industry. Like other empires, this personal and physical
industry was the foundation of an effective military. This military eventually
stood alone, leaving the U.S. to set the rules of
trade, the rules of diplomacy, and the rules of conduct. Like other
nations, the
U.S. bent those rules in its own favor, both early and late.
However:
math, the cruelest of Mother Nature’s laws, is not fooled. If you bend the rules to create market distortions, those
distortions are indeed created. If there were fair trade, a gold
standard, a nation that increases their wealth would find its currency rise. A rising currency would dampen manufacturing and
efficiency, the gold would flow back out, and the unfair advantage would
be corrected. But only in a free market. Any
market on Earth has an Army, and that Army’s job day and night is to make sure that unfair advantage does NOT end.
Mother Nature is never deterred. However long it takes, she
waits. Lacking fair trade, an abnormally strong
currency does the only other thing it can: destroy the Core nation’s industry,
totally and completely. More certain than a nuclear explosion, economics
will not miss a single spot until the wrong is righted and the truth is out. At first the low-gain commodity industries go: mining,
shipping, smelting; then their sooty kinsmen:
heavy rail, ships, ports, transportation.
After that go the[y] lighter industries: manufacturing, stamping, autos, and so on up to mainframes,
silicon chips and phones, and with them, their children, manufacturing
processes and R&D. However, as London
and NY showed, you can forestall currency correction
even now by moving market distortions into services and financial engineering. At
this point, however, the Core nation has nothing
left but Banks, Universities, and the Government/Military, and no underlying economy to support them.
However, what Charles Hugh Smith calls
the fiefdoms of monopoly cartels and apparatchiks of the 1% now lead an empty
parade, horse-whipping the un-compliant 99% into supporting an economy that
exists only in their minds. And then “What can’t go on, doesn’t.” THE EMPIRE COLLAPSES FROM WITHIN, to the total surprise of historians of the
1%, and the total
lack of interest of the 99%, for whom it had already collapsed decades
before.
And of the other side? The
artificially low currency leads to low costs, low labor, high enterprise, and
in the mirror image of the Core nation, the increase in wealth, and the
addition of commodity goods, then heavy industry, then manufacturing, then
R&D. Whose fault is that? Not the Vandals;
not China. It was Rome; it was D.C.
What is this whole imbalance based on? In our case, the artificially
strong dollar, backed by a worldwide U.S. military. So how must it end? With a weak dollar, falling real markets, and
a U.S. military returning home.
You say this can’t
happen? Yet it must happen. To say otherwise means China will give us
free goods for 10,000 years, and the U.S. will get always weaker that whole
time. So how does the transition go?
The U.S. financial bulwark cracks, being highest and most
based on psychology, not reality, very likely in conjunction to a military
failure or withdrawal, as in empire finance, the
military and currency are equivalent. Slowly, then rapidly, the tide
flows out, the U.S. dollar gets weaker, the Chinese
Yuan gets stronger, and the whole process reversed as it should have done years
ago
See Chart
Inflation over centuries
If
boutique and robotic goods are the new industries, what do we do with 200
million unemployed? We won’t have 200 million. That’s a consequence of
the distorted extreme of our finance, our centralization, our currency. At the same time, if work requires fewer workers, we won’t
find a solution. Why?
Because
you can’t have 200 million unemployed. Not even 100 million. The resulting inequity and income disparity
can and has caused a revolution. Faced with
that, any nation will adjust because they must or perish. As difficult as
Americans can be, they are a practical people above all. This has happened to
dozens of nations in the past: Spain, France, Germany, England, China, Japan,
and they all still exist. Things rotated out in the big wheel of time.
New things were made and the old ones faded away, and we will too. We’re going back to
being just one of many nations, and a fair and productive one too. There
are ways and we will find them. How can I be so sure? Because “What Can’t Go On Forever, Doesn’t,” and
it won’t this time either.
…
…
MY COMMENT:
There are here good reflections ..But at the end, some distortion
prevail.. mere wishful thinking.
SOLUTION: IF current crisis
view is “That’s a consequence of
the distorted extreme of our finance, our centralization, our currency.” Then: the real solution is
1- to go beyond neoliberalism
controlled by nasty-speculator financiers, & supported by parasitic
military. That means:
2- To decentralize the
FED-State system and get a rational secession without shadow Govt with parasitic bureaucracy
at political & military levels. We
don’t need them in small or middle size separate States.
3- Take Education and Health out of private hands and
Banks out of big Corp.. put all of them in the hands of a new State committed
to serve their Nation.
4- Two single rules must prevail :
A- the best health and
education for all; and
B- solid Econ base supporting
middle & small enterprises with
special focus on coops associations. We don’t need big bankers, we need
association of coop-banks. We don’t need a big parasitic army.. we need a
strong police cleaned from racism & misogyny ]]
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See Chart:
This is
the weakest against the dollar in over 30 years...
See Chart:
So who is to blame for the HKD's sudden demise? Simple - The Fed! (and HKMA gave you
the answer in the previous paragraph)
As SCMP details, the main culprit behind the
local currency’s slump is the carry trade, an arbitrage whereby investors
borrow low-yielding currencies to buy high-yielding currencies.
See Chart:
This is an arbitrage, where traders take advantage of differences in
prices, selling a low-yielding product (the Hong Kong dollar) to buy a high-yielding
product (the US dollar). In this case, the price difference is between the
local borrowing cost known as the Hong Kong interbank offered rate (Hibor) and
the US borrowing cost known as the Libor.
Simply put, traders
are borrowing against the low Hibor, selling the Hong Kong dollar to buy the US
currency for investments in high-yielding US assets. The difference between the
two is widest since 2008.
As more traders pile
on to the carry, more pressure is placed on the Hong Kong dollar, causing it to
weaken further against the US currency... and The Fed's plan to hike rates (as
many as four times) will do nothing to help ease the situation - meaning any dollars sold in defense of the weaker HKD will
be battling global carry trade flows driven by The Fed's tightening.
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SOURCE: https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-04-11/stay-calm-hong-kong-dollar-hits-peg-lower-band-30-year-low
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13 MILLION...!
Gluskin Sheff's Chief Economist
and Strategist David Rosenberg is repeatedly asked:
"What statistic troubles him most?"
As he tweeted today,
his answer is simple:
13 Million!
As Rosie explains:
"That's the number of people who have joined the financial
services industry since the last credit collapse ended..."
Why is that so
"troubling"?
"These youngsters have only known bull markets in everything from
weed to FANGs to Picassos to Crypto...uber low interest-rates, endless QEs, and
economic expansion..."
See Chart:
AND:
"And are they in for the surprise of their lives!!"
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Demand for mortgage refinancing has
plunged to a level not seen since Lehman filed for bankruptcy, and the
near-shutdown in the mortgage pipeline is wreaking havoc on bank lending
revenues.
SEE Chart:
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US POLITICS
Seudo democ y sist
duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s
full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambiarlo
Here are six very simple reasons why Trump will go to war in Syria, all of which have nothing to do with a trumped up “heinous”
chemical attack from an “animal” dictator, or spreading democracy to the Middle
East...
POTUS Trump knows that
the chemical attack in Syria is a hoax and false flag.
The mainstream media knows that the chemical attack in
Syria is a hoax and false flag.
All of Congress knows
that the chemical attack in Syria is a hoax and false flag.
The entire world knows that Assad is not that stupid (he
is a doctor and ophthalmologist) so as to gas women and children at the
very moment he is winning the war in Syria…launching a chemical weapons strike
for shits and giggle, moments after Trump announced a US pullout from Syria.
Here are
six very simple reasons why Trump will go to war in Syria, all of which have nothing to do
with a trumped up “heinous” chemical attack from an “animal” dictator, or
spreading democracy to the Middle East…
1. The
Petrodollar (via comment on The
Gateway Pundit):
“The
Chinese have recently issued the gold backed Yuan, which they, and others, have
vowed to use to sell/purchase oil (amongst other things).
The last
two nations that tried to introduce a currency to compete against the
petrodollar were Libya and Iraq. The US needs that pipeline through Syria even
more than ever now, especially if they are to compete for European gas/oil
markets (presently controlled by Russia and their pipeline) and the Chinese
Yuan.
But i’m
sure none of that has anything to do with it…”
2. John McCain
and the MIC:
McCain is
the Deep State president, and the number one war salesman for the military
industrial complex.
Libya,
Ukraine, Syria…McCain is the angel of death, and the MIC sends him around the
world to arm neo-nazis in Ukraine, Al Qaeda terrorists, ISIS head choppers, and
any other group that is willing to start fake “civil wars” or illegal “coups”,
all for the profit of the military industrial complex.
3. Saudi Arabia
and MbS:
Saudis
crown prince just wrapped up a US PR tour and is now in France.
Western
leaders and mainstream media “liberals” are creaming in their pants over the
Saudi leader, hailing him as a visionary, renaissance man.
They fail to report on how MbS is slaughtering Yemeni
citizens by the thousands, or how his Saudi dictatorship is one of the most
repressive regimes in the world.
Also forgotten is that Saudi Arabia
supported Al Qaeda during the 9/11 terrorist attack, and are admittedly funding
and training Al Qaeda and ISIS terrorists in Syria…terrorists that make
their way to Europe, and eventually run over innocent people with cars and
trucks.
No matter…MbS
(and his billions in cash) has the ear of Trump and Macron…now both the US and France are giddy about attacking Syria.
4. Israel:
Israel has
been itching to destroy Syria for decades.
They struck
Syria’s T-4 airbase in Homs province, without warning or just cause. Five out
of eight missiles found themselves neutralized.
Three,
however, found their mark – the western part of the airbase, as The Duran reported.
According
to NBC news, Israel informed the United States prior to their
strike on the Syrian base, but did not warn Russia.
Russian military could have been
present at the Syrian base during the attack, yet Israel did not warn Moscow.
In its actions, Israel is trying to
create the trip wire necessary to propel the world towards a hot war between
the United States and Russia.
Israel’s goal…take over Syria, or at
the very least install a government in Damascus that will report directly to
Israel.
5. Cover up past
and present American, Deep State false flags in Syria:
Russia’s
control of Douma, and its ability to now conduct a full investigation is a
big reason why the Deep State is so eager to bomb Syria as soon as possible.
As a result of the total surrender
of the Jihadis previously in control of Douma on Sunday, it is the Russian
military who this time are in control of the alleged crime scene.
This has put the Russians in a position where for the first time they are
able both to invite the OPCW inspectors to attend the crime scene and to
provide them with protection if they are there, whilst at the same time
monitoring and supervising their work.
If the chemical attack on Douma
really is fictitious – as the Russians insist it is – then for the first time
their control of the crime scene puts the Russians in a strong position to
prove it.
The point was made forcefully by
Russia’s UN ambassador Vassily Nebenzia at the UN Security Council session
today, and it also received indirect backing from the UN Secretariat, who
admitted that they could not confirm that a chemical weapons attack had
happened, and who called upon all sides to show restraint until a proper
investigation of the incident had taken place.
Nebenzia followed this up by
inviting OPCW inspectors to the scene as early as tomorrow Tuesday.
By now it should surprise no-one that the fact that the Russians are in
control of the crime scene and may on this occasion be able to prove
conclusively that no chemical weapons attack happened in Douma, instead of
deterring a US attack, is actually making it more likely.
This is because the credibility of
the various ‘witnesses’ to the Douma attack – who are of course the same
witnesses who were previously ‘witnesses’ to the 2013 East Ghouta and the 2017
Khan Sheikhoun attacks – is now on the line, as is the credibility of those
Western governments – first and foremost the US government – who believed or
who pretended to believe them.
I would add that not only is the credibility of the US government and of
other Western governments on the line. So is the credibility of Western
journalists who also believed or pretended to believe the ‘witnesses’.
6. Distract
from Michael Cohen and Stormy Daniels:
Bill
Clinton did it when he attacked Serbia, so as to distract from Monica’s BJ in
the oval office, and now Trump has the opportunity to bomb Syria so as to
distract from Cohen, Mueller and porn star Stormy Daniels.
...
…
[[ PRESS manipulation: What
a distraction from T. sexual scandal to then start a barbarian war.]]
….
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TRADE WAR IS REAL and RU WILL
RESPOND
OPEN
https://www.rt.com/423891
The
inclusion of Russia’s aluminum giant RUSAL on the US sanctions list may
significantly alter the metals market, threatening to break global supply
chains and spark a deficit in the crucial industrial metal.
Aluminum futures surged by nearly 10 percent in London after
the US Treasury Department sanctioned RUSAL and its owner Oleg Deripaska
Friday.
Metal stocks have continued to rally
this week after the London Metal Exchange fell in line with the US measure and
suspended trading of RUSAL shares.
The Russian company is the world’s second-largest aluminum
producer and one of the biggest global supplies. RUSAL
covers some 14 percent of global supplies outside top producer China,
according to analysts at CRU. The producer’s shares
plunged nearly 50 percent since Friday, when the US imposed the penalties.
Nearly 30 percent of Russia’s
aluminum exports go to the US market, so the move against RUSAL is a
serious blow for the company, according to expert analyst at Russian broker
Finam, Aleksey Kalachev. He says that the aluminum giant might redeploy the
deals into alternative currencies
RUSAL’s share in the US market comprises some 15 percent. “The company’s exit from the
market will trigger a local deficit in the US, which in turn will lead to a
price rally for American consumers,” Kalachev told RT, citing the
recent surge of the US aluminum stocks.
See Chart at:
The US could partially replace the Russian giant with
suppliers from Canada and Australia, as well as from Middle East producers,
including Saudi Arabia and the UAE, according to a B&N Bank analyst, Anton Pokatovich. “However, Canadian production capacity is currently
fully engaged with orders and is not likely to fully replace Russian imports,” he said.
Pokatovich added that even a
short-term deficit would provoke price hikes for the metal, though they
are not likely to go beyond $2,300 per ton from the current $2,112.
Apart from the US, the sanctioned producer will definitely
retain Turkey as its second export market, according to the Finam broker. “It’s difficult to say what impact the punitive measures will have on
the EU, which is currently the third biggest market for RUSAL,” said Kalachev.
HERE: The Russian businessmen added
to US sanctions:
-Andrey Akimov
-Vladimir Bogdanov
-Sergey Fursenko
-Suleiman Kerimov
-Igor Rotenberg
-Kirill Shamalov
-Andrey Skoch
-Oleg Deripaska
-Viktor Vekselberg
-AlekseyMiller
-Vladislav Reznik
-Aleksey Kostin
….
MORE https://on.rt.com/92pe
-Andrey Akimov
-Vladimir Bogdanov
-Sergey Fursenko
-Suleiman Kerimov
-Igor Rotenberg
-Kirill Shamalov
-Andrey Skoch
-Oleg Deripaska
-Viktor Vekselberg
-AlekseyMiller
-Vladislav Reznik
-Aleksey Kostin
….
MORE https://on.rt.com/92pe
….
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IS THIS A GOOD NEWS? …
"If there is one thing the last 48 hours have proved to me, it’s
this. Donald Trump is no
longer acting President. The coup against Trump has been
completed..."
[[ WHAT DIFFERENCE IT MAKES ..if
he is converted into puppet of shadow Govt or Deep State. WHAT WE WANT IS EITHER HIS RESIGNATION or IMPEACHMENT for
lying to the nation on Econ issues and fostering explosive inequality with policies that favor
of billionaires and for being in favor of crimes against humanity (fostering
WW3) and isolating US from the world = total
inefficient rule. ]]
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A retired American four-star general
and former Vice Chief of Staff of the United States Armyissued a disturbing warning that “war is on the horizon” with Russia, Iran, and Syria - following the horrific chemical weapons attack in
Syria.
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WORLD ISSUES and M-East
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State
socialis+K- compet. D rest in limbo
Shortly after Theresa May declared
that she could act in Syria without approval from Parliament, the Telegraph is reporting
that the prime minister has ordered UK submarines to travel within striking
range of Syria.
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"There was no chemical attack
in Douma, pure and simple... We've seen another staged event."
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If the engine of the machine -called development- fails..
the whole system fail
The growing slowdown in China’s
industrial economy is likely to push commodity prices lower through 2018 (the
data continues to support this view). Caveat emptor.
See Chart:
WHAT’S DRIVING
COMMODITY-PRICE DEFLATION IN CHINA? As we’ve argued before, and as noted in Exhibit
2 below, it appears the swift collapse in China’s credit
impulse (i.e., a fancy way of saying China is issuing
less debt as a % of GDP) is driving a correction in China’s commodity
consumption.
Why does this matter? Well,
in our view, steel price strength in 2017 was due to China’s steel exports
falling 33.4Mmt, or the second
largest decline ever, trailing only that seen in 2009 (Exhibit 5) – China
produces roughly half of world’s steel, meaning when they export less, global
prices rally. While the driver in 2009 was the global financial crisis
(“GFC”), the driver in 2017 was a record credit stimulus in China (i.e., $4.9tn
in new credit issued) driving domestic demand, and thus boosting domestic
Chinese steel prices.
So, in general, while in most years
China’s steel prices lag the rest of the world, in 2017 they were much higher;
this, in turn, pushed mills in China to ship more domestically vs. to other
countries, and thus drove up global steel prices –given China was >50% of
global steel production in 2017, this had a big impact on global steel prices.
However, this dynamic is now in reverse (Exhibit 6), which we believe forebodes risk to global steel
prices.
Exhibit 2: China's Credit Impulse Y/Y% vs. Metals Commodity Index
See Chart 2:
The other charts are not shown in this article
Perhaps in this site: Vertical Research Group
….
SOURCE: https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-04-11/it-all-begins-and-ends-china-global-reflation-cycle-ending
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"Is Venezuela the latest failure in
socialism?. Will American millennials and eager advocates of a socialist regime
learn a lesson? It remains to be seen. But if they have their way, who will be
left?"
[[ The most evil imperial blockage was
perpetrated against Ven .. They even try to kill Pres Chavez.. They didn’t
succed and the Rev is still on with Maduro.. US Embassies are coodinat effort
to isolate Maduro .. it happen recently in Lima and the Pres PPK who did it
..is out. They will try again and they will create the flame to burn the
current Presid. ]]
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DEMOCRACY NOW
US politics crisis: Trump captured by Deep state to
reproduce old cronyism without alter-plan
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PRESS TV
Global situation described by Iranian observers..
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Future Saudi king in Paris fumigating the mind
of French leaders with oil money
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