JAN 24 16 SIT EC y POL
..
Clinton
vows to keep Bloomberg out of race . My comment below
..
[ According to corporate media reports, former New York City
mayor and billionaire Michael Bloomberg is considering a third-party to run for
president if race comes down to Democratic candidate Bernie Sanders and
Republican frontrunner Donald Trump. Clinton was upset with the idea of being
taking out of the race, either legally (FBI) or democratically (defeated by
Sanders inside the Dem party) and now is terrified with the idea of Bloomberg getting
inside the context . THE QT IS WHO WILL WIN OR LOSE WITH ANY THIRD
OPTION party?. Bloomberg won the Mayor nomination of NY as GOP in 2001 & 2005. He
dropped his Republican Party
affiliation on June 19, 2007, and won his 3rd term mayor
nomination as independent. This divorced billionaire (17 bll worth) has
been mentioned as independent candidate for Presidential elections since 2008. If
he run for President now whole electoral
picture will change. Imaginer a Front Majors for Peace at national level & Bloomberg
picking up the best for every party (including the left) he simply win the
context in one click. People is fed up
with both parties (dems & reps) and it is a fact that today an INDEPENDENT
3RD OPCION is more real than ever for 20116 elections ..specially
because the bipartisan system is under fire for corruption (buying elections).
So today right question is How the political panorama will be changed
with 2 independent candidates running as 3rd option: A-the Bernie
Sanders PEOPLES FRONT with Rand Paul as partner.. and B-the billonarie Bloomberg with a Front (say) Majors for Peace, both as
independent parties? .. To me the billionaire Bloomberg
can win easily NY (the biggest electorate in the US and that at expenses of the
dirty bipartisan couple) but not the rest of the national electorate (unless he
launch a front) . If the principles of proportionality and decentralization is respected
& agreed between A & B then the immediate loser will be Hillary (she
will be dumped democratically, even if the inefficient FBI surrendered to her).
Then the fight between A & B will be
the fight between the Nation vs. the 1%. And the main issue will be either
peace or corruption. The billionaire can talk more free than Sanders on cutting
budget for the military or reducing the production of guns in agreements with
RU-China or do the reverse. Corruption will be a more sensitive issue for
Bloomberg. WHO IS MORE IMMUNE
TO THE FIRE CORRUPTION.. SANDERS OR BLOOMBERG?. Considering
the FACT that: when Bloomberg
ran for a third term in 2009 as an independent, he spend a
record-breaking sum—the equivalent of $174.53 per vote (more than ten times his
competitor) according to New York Daily News ,November 27, 2009. See: (http://www.conservapedia.com/Michael_Bloomberg
[note-2] ) then the logical winner on
this debate will be THE PEOPLES FRONT lead by
Sanders-Paul, .. they have the advantage of departing from Unions already
existing .. but if & only if.. they manage to set up the PEOPLES FRONT. On
other issues, the Bloomberg front will have the advantage of departing from LOCAL
municipalities, from the bottom- up.. ”nada crece de arriba para abajo” .. but if
& only if ..he manage to set up a MAYORS FRONT or something like that. ]
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ZERO HEDGE
"A
Historic Wealth Illusion Built On A Foundation Of False Promises" . Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 01/24/2016 : Amazingly, U.S. inflationism took the world
by storm. The issue today goes much beyond a stock market correction, a
bear market or even global financial crisis. Contemporary central
banking has failed. Theories have failed. Doctrine has failed. The inability to
spur self-sustaining economic recovery has been a major issue.
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Wrong
For The Right Reasons: And Why It Matters Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 01/24/2016 : What is currently transpiring in the markets
today is exactly what the "everything is awesome" crowd stated
wouldn’t happen – and exactly what many others argued – was inevitable. And, suddenly it is they who are finding out the
rarefied air of "brilliance" The Fed enabled them to breathe has
indeed been shut off – and all that’s left to inhale is their own exhaust fumes.
…
[ NEXT .. YOU WILL SMELL
THOSE EXHAUST FUMES FALLING DOWN..]
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1-The
One Chart Which Explains "Why Markets Are All Falling Down", Submitted
by Tyler Durden on 01/24/2016 : We hope that
after they see the following chart,which shows not only DM net liquidity
injections (i.e., q-easing), but also EM net liquidity outflows
(i.e., quantitative tightening) and which explains not only the recent
selloff, but also shows how to trade global central bank and sovereign wealth
fund and reserve manager flows, all confusion and denial will end.
[ To say IS FALLING
because speculators are selling too much the get easy money -as usual- and now faster because of the coming
collapse … it does not make sense at all .. not coherent explanation.. ]
…
EXTRACTS: "Why
are markets all falling down?" the answer by Citigroup's iconic,
and one of Wall Street's very best, analyst Matt King who adds that "many
investors have been struggling to explain the magnitude and violence of the
recent sell-off. Why are EM and commodity price weakness proving such negatives
for DM as a whole?"
The answer, hopefully not a surprise to our readers, is as
follows:
..the ECB and BoJ were
continuing to make the equivalent of over $300bn of asset purchases per
quarter, yet rather than rallying 10% – as had been the relationship in the
past for both credit and equities – markets sold off (figure
11).
.. The expansion of FX
reserves previously was, after all, both another form of price-insensitive
buying of DM government bonds, and (since it was financed almost
entirely by an expansion of the EM domestic monetary bases) a form of
global money printing.
.. Now, of course, EMFX
reserves are contracting rather than expanding (even when adjusted for
exchangerate movements), and the exact mechanism by which this affects risky
assets in developed markets is not entirely clear.And yet the
quality of the correlation over the last few data points would seem to argue in
this direction (Figure 13 & Figure 14).
As we have argued for a while, it is not that we are straight bearish, and that these developments can only be resolved in a new crisis. Rather, it is the profound uncertainty, which comes in part from the potential for a regime change, and in part from the circular feedback loops at work in markets, which we have found it so hard to reflect in point forecasts and yet argued should be the central feature of investors’ portfolio positioning. What is concerning at present is that some policymakers still seem in denial about how interlinked everything is.
We hope that after they see the following chart, which
shows not only DM net liquidity injections (i.e., q-easing), but
also EM net liquidity outflows (i.e., quantitative tightening) and
which explains not only the recent selloff, but also shows how to trade global
central bank and sovereign wealth fund and reserve manager flows, all confusion
and denial will end.
Or perhaps not.
As King himself pessimistically concludes, "Perhaps if this sell-off
fizzles out by itself, as it did last October, central banks will again be
spared the need to face up to the distortive effect they have had upon markets,
and can continue the pretence that markets are still following fundamentals.
After all, for many of them, this has been the sell-off which ‘isn’t supposed
to be happening’."
We couldn't have said it better ourselves.
…
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2- With
EMs And SWFs Pushing Markets Lower, Here Are The Three Dramatic Conclusions.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 01/24/2016 : Earlier today we
showed an amazing schematic courtesy of Citi's Matt King: if one
includes the reserve liquidation by various EMs and SWF, and nets it against
liquidity injections by DM central banks (and the PBOC), one gets a perfect
quantitative, not just qualitative, walk thru on how to trade markets: in other
words one can measure, using high frequency data in real-time, just where
markets should trade based on liquidity flows and promptly profit from any
arbitrage opportunities. But aside from the potential for substantial profits,
there are more profound implications. Matt King lays them out as follows.. [Here a 3 round of exhausted fumes falling
down..]
…
If this relationship were to continue to drive markets, it
would point to three conclusions.
First, if outflows
from EM continue to be “worse than previously thought”, as the IIF put it this
week, that may continue to weigh also on developed markets. We
recommend the IIF’s monthly ‘portfolio flows tracker’ as the best
high-frequency indicator as to how those flows are developing; we also
use data from those EM central banks that promptly publish reserves information
as a guide to the broader universe.
Second, the relationship
suggests individual central banks are considerably less in control of
their own destinies than they might have hoped. Our rates strategists
have already pointed out that long-term inflation expectations in Europe and
the US have more in common with a global – Chinese – factor than with domestic
wage and price developments. With the current magnitude of EM outflows
seemingly entirely offsetting ongoing ECB and BoJ QE, it seems fair
to wonder whether the sorts of increases likely from the BoJ next week and the
ECB in March will have as great an effect as investors seem to be hoping.
Third, the fact
that just one variable, with nothing in common with credit or equity
fundamentals at all, does such a good job of explaining changes in market
prices is in itself disturbing. It points to just the sort of herding
effects we have argued were in play all along, and suggests that
recent complaints of illiquidity, and sudden bouts of volatility, are being
driven by more than just regulatory constraints on dealer balance sheets.
Such a relationship leaves little room for heterogeneous market views.
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3- "But
It's Only A Manufacturing Recession, What's The Big Deal" - Here's The
Answer : Despite the services economy starting to turn down towards
manufacturing's inevitable recessionary prints, there remains a hope … “manufacturing is
only 12% of economic output and thus is no longer a good bellwether for the
overall economy "narrative”. Here is why .. if they are wrong .. not to
worry...”
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The
Ultimate "Truth Bomb" - The East Knows The West Is Bankrupt Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/24/2016 : What would the world look like the day
following a “truth bomb” dropped by Mr. Putin and the Chinese.
..
[ Much worse than US bombing of Iraq, Libya & Syria together, and perhaps
1000 times worse than our bombing in Hiroshima & Nagazaki. ]
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Exposing
The Fiction Of Mainstream Macroeconomics (In 9 Simple Questions). Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 01/24/2016: The game is simple: we know that
macroeconomics is a fiction from top to bottom, the challenge is to expose it
as such.Here are some apparently innocent questions to ask of
economists, journalists, financial commentators and central bankers, which are
designed to expose the contradictions in their economic beliefs. A
pretence of economic ignorance by the questioner is best, because it is most
disarming.
….
BRIEF SUMMARY:
Commentary follows each question, which is in bold.
1. How do you improve economic prospects when monetary
policy destroys wealth by devaluing earnings and savings?
..
2. What makes you think that targeting a continual
rise in the general price level allows you to overturn the normal price
relationship between supply and demand?
..
3. What are "animal spirits", and how do you
measure them?
..
4. It's commonly believed that a lower currency stimulates
production. If this is the case, how did Germany and Japan in the post-war
years develop into the strongest economies despite their currencies
consistently rising against those of their trading partners?
..
5. Experience of government intervention in the
economy clearly shows that it usually fails. Why do you continue to support
intervention, when the evidence is so clearly against it?
..
6. The difference between national socialism and
communism was that the former controlled people through regulation, while the
latter compulsorily acquired their property. Is the government at all troubled
to be pursuing the economic policies of the fascists?
..
7. You say you are a socialist and yet you despise communism.
Isn't socialism just a milder form of communism? Please explain where, other
than in their degree, these beliefs differ in their economic effect.
..
8. Keynesians believe that deficit spending is
necessary to make free markets work when they fail. If deficit spending is
needed to supplement free markets when this apparently happens, why is it not
appropriate at other times as well?
..
9. If these things [signs of financial failure] were
so large, how come everyone missed them?
..
This was the question Queen Elizabeth famously asked the
professors at the London School of Economics about the symptoms that foretold
the financial crisis in 2008, when opening the LSE's New Academic Building
later that year. The result was that a group of the foremost British economists
met seven months later for a roundtable discussion to answer her question. You
read that right: it took seven months to cook up a reply.
..
This was it: "Risk calculations were most often
confined to slices of financial activity, using some of the best mathematical
minds in our country and abroad. But they frequently lost sight of the bigger
picture."
..
It is a public admission that macroeconomists are unable to
see the big picture. This defies the meaning of the word macro.
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POLITICS
..
The
Bernie & Hillary 'Group Think' Show - Cynics, Cowards, Or Populist
Propagandists. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/24/2016 : When
Sunday’s Democratic presidential debate turned to world affairs, the NBC
correspondents and both Sen. Sanders and ex-Secretary Clinton fell in line
behind "group thinks" about Syria, Iran and Russia that lack
evidentiary support. The two possibilities for such behavior are both scary: either
these people, including prospective presidents, believe the propaganda or that
they are so cynical and cowardly that they won’t demand proof of serious
charges that could lead the United States and the world into more war and
devastation.
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
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The
Paris Meeting of Conspirators in Support of Syria’s “Moderate Terrorists”:
Talks Filled With Sinful Crime. Battles are winning in the field not in phony
meetings
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“US
Needs Help to Disentangle from Syrian Misadventure” meanwhile bomb them in Syria?
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WASHINGTON BLOG
Targeted
Individuals: testimony of current government covert torture & control
experiments. Posted on January 24, 2016 by Carl Herman : We’ve documented US
government use of harmful and deadly experiments upon the public (here, here,here, here, here, here, here, here for just a few, and that the US tortures people in Orwellian
violation of six binding areas of law). This is the story of a reader who contacted us.
Another reader with similar testimony, Elizabeth
Coady of Chicago, submitted the following image: “Here is an X-ray showing
what I’ve deduced is telemetry wire. It’s activated several times a day, and is
only one of the devices in me. They have ‘triangulated’ devices in me to cause
severe internal burning, and once a three-week bout of radiation enteritis. I
cannot find a doctor to remove this device.”
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US
criminal oligarchy: top 20 Americans own more than bottom 50%, 0.1% own more
than 90%; ~$30 TRILLION stored in ‘tax havens’. Posted on January 23, 2016 by Carl Herman. : US “leaders” in government,
banking/finance, and media are obvious criminals that should be legally stopped
by arrests for the following Emperor’s New Clothes obvious
crimes:
- Unlawful and lie-began wars.
- Crimes Against Humanity for ongoing intentional policy of poverty that’s killed over 400 million human beings just since 1995 (~75% children; more deaths than from all wars in Earth’s recorded history).
- So-called “money” that is actually debt that creates accelerating and unpayable total debt. The .01% hide ~$30 trillion in tax havens while demanding public austerity.
- Destruction of nearly all rights lawfully guaranteed in the US Bill of Rights within the US Constitution, and in Orwellian inversion of limited government.
- “Covering the crimes” with lies by corporate media.
These crimes annually cost millions killed, billions harmed,
and trillions looted, with recent history continuing literal centuries of US lie-began Wars of
Aggression that involved nearly all families in two horrific
global wars for colonial empire.
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Bernie v. Media. Posted
on January 22, 2016 by DavidSwanson. Originally published
by American Herald Tribune. Bernie
is something new. The major media has given him ridiculously little coverage,
and belittled him in most of that coverage. Yet he has surged in the polls, in
volunteers, in small-donor fundraising, and in real world events.
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PRAVDA REPORT http://www.pravdareport.com/ :
Russia acts as free donor of Western countries. Russia
finished 2015 with a surplus of trade balance - $145.6 billion - and a triple
reduction in the outflow of capital ($56.9 billion in 2015 compared with $153
billion in 2014). How did Russia manage to keep both the balance of trade and
the balance of payments positive under the conditions of low oil prices? -
Valentin Katasonov, a Professor at the Moscow State Institute of International
Finance, said .. we cut our export revenues, we have reduce our imports as
well. Everything is interconnected. In fact, Russia has acted as a donor for
countries of the West by exporting natural resources there. We continue doing
so, but we receive not even candy wrappers, but some records in accounts in
return. They are not even sanctions, because sanctions can block all those
records," Valentin Katasonov told Pravda.Ru. http://www.pravdareport.com/news/russia/22-01-2016/133135-russia_donor_west-0/
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RUSSIA SENDS CLEAR MESSAGE TO NATO. “By the
beginning of the Russian special operation, President Bashar al-Assad was
controlling about 30 percent of the country, where nearly 70 percent of the
Syrian population was staying at that time.. "Why did Russia start the operation? The analysis shows that the
fall of Damascus would have become a powerful factor for the Islamic State to
strengthen and expand further. We could not give Islamic militants a
possibility to take Damascus, because it would legitimize Islamism. “We started
delivering military hardware and ammunition to Syria, the Hmeimim airbase had
to be reconstructed. The base had to be protected too, so we had to redeploy
several groups of the Black Sea Fleet to Syria. Surprisingly, the US
intelligence and intelligence services of other NATO countries missed all that
out of their attention." .. http://www.pravdareport.com/russia/politics/22-01-2016/133141-russia_nato_message-0/
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
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Video: La Nasa muestra en 30
segundos cómo ha cambiado el clima VIDEO URL:
https://youtu.be/gGOzHVUQCw0
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PRESS TV
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France
supports Russia sanctions removal next summer
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Clinton
vows to keep Bloomberg out of race . My comment below
..
..
[ According to corporate media reports, former New York City
mayor and billionaire Michael Bloomberg is considering a third-party to run for
president if race comes down to Democratic candidate Bernie Sanders and
Republican frontrunner Donald Trump. Clinton was upset with the idea of being
taking out of the race, either legally (FBI) or democratically (defeated by
Sanders inside the Dem party) and now is terrified with the idea of Bloomberg getting
inside the context . THE QT IS WHO WILL WIN OR LOSE WITH ANY THIRD
OPTION party?. Bloomberg won the Mayor nomination of NY as GOP in 2001 & 2005. He
dropped his Republican Party
affiliation on June 19, 2007, and won his 3rd term mayor
nomination as independent. This divorced billionaire (17 bll worth) has
been mentioned as independent candidate for Presidential elections since 2008. If
he run for President now whole electoral
picture will change. Imaginer a Front Majors for Peace at national level & Bloomberg
picking up the best for every party (including the left) he simply win the
context in one click. People is fed up
with both parties (dems & reps) and it is a fact that today an INDEPENDENT
3RD OPCION is more real than ever for 20116 elections ..specially
because the bipartisan system is under fire for corruption (buying elections).
So today right question is How the political panorama will be changed
with 2 independent candidates running as 3rd option: A-the Bernie
Sanders PEOPLES FRONT with Rand Paul as partner.. and B-the billonarie Bloomberg with a Front (say) Majors for Peace, both as
independent parties? .. To me the billionaire Bloomberg
can win easily NY (the biggest electorate in the US and that at expenses of the
dirty bipartisan couple) but not the rest of the national electorate (unless he
launch a front) . If the principles of proportionality and decentralization is respected
& agreed between A & B then the immediate loser will be Hillary (she
will be dumped democratically, even if the inefficient FBI surrendered to her).
Then the fight between A & B will be
the fight between the Nation vs. the 1%. And the main issue will be either
peace or corruption. The billionaire can talk more free than Sanders on cutting
budget for the military or reducing the production of guns in agreements with
RU-China or do the reverse. Corruption will be a more sensitive issue for
Bloomberg. WHO IS MORE IMMUNE
TO THE FIRE CORRUPTION.. SANDERS OR BLOOMBERG?. Considering
the FACT that: when Bloomberg
ran for a third term in 2009 as an independent, he spend a
record-breaking sum—the equivalent of $174.53 per vote (more than ten times his
competitor) according to New York Daily News ,November 27, 2009. See: (http://www.conservapedia.com/Michael_Bloomberg
[note-2] ) then the logical winner on
this debate will be THE PEOPLES FRONT lead by
Sanders-Paul, .. they have the advantage of departing from Unions already
existing .. but if & only if.. they manage to set up the PEOPLES FRONT. On
other issues, the Bloomberg front will have the advantage of departing from LOCAL
municipalities, from the bottom- up.. ”nada crece de arriba para abajo” .. but if
& only if ..he manage to set up a MAYORS FRONT or something like that. ]
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