jueves, 21 de enero de 2016

JAN 21 16 SIT EC y POL


JAN 21 16 SIT EC y POL

ZERO HEDGE
ECONOMY
Another manipulation on oil?.
 Is Something Blowing Up In OIL?. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/21/2016: A week ago we warned of some insane movements and mysterious bid in OIL (the Barclays iPath oil tracking ETN) as it traded a stunning 36% rich to its underlying NAV. Well with oil resurgent today, as contracts roll, something just imploded in OIL...
textual
A head derivatives strategist at Macro Risk Advisors, notes that OIL’s premium rose sharply in recent days and accelerated to 48% by Wednesday’s close. He told Barron’s that institutional traders noticed the extreme premium and are now betting against OIL on the premise that the unusually large premium will revert to normal. Trading volume in OIL was already more than triple the average over the past month on Thursday with three hours left in the trading day.
Even after today’s drop, OIL is still at a roughly 20% premium to its underlying index.
The head of derivative says that it’s not too late for investors who own OIL to ditch it for USO: “You don’t want to be stuck holding the bag when this drops to NAV.”
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Simply put - retail moms and pops who piled into OIL without thinking about NAV or technical flows just got f##ked!
As we concluded previously, The current situation is eerily reminiscent to the heyday of the mortgage market in 2007, when mortgage defaults started to pick up, and yet the credit default swaps that tracked them continued to decline, bringing losses to those brave enough to trade against the crowd.
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If This Isn't The Start Of The Crisis, Imagine How Bad The Real One Will Be. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/21/2016 : Maybe this is it. Maybe the global financial system has truly reached its limit. Maybe the world has realized that the path to prosperity is not in conjuring money out of thin air, raising taxes, or going deeper into debt. Maybe people have finally figured out that an insolvent government and insolvent central bank cannot possibly continue to underpin the entire financial system. Or maybe not. But the incredible thing is how much panic there has been, particularly in banking and financial markets, just at the mere HINT of problems in the system.
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Central Banks Are Out Of Tricks. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/21/2016 : Once a central bank program fails to generate a self-reinforcing rally, the mind-trick's power is broken. No one knows precisely how and when the global unraveling will impact their corner of the planet, but we do know one thing with absolute certainty: central banks are out of tricks.
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Bank Of Russia Calls "Emergency" Meeting To Address Ruble Rout. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/21/2016 : Earlier today, we highlighted a dramatic plunge in the Russian ruble which has crashed to record lows against the dollar after staging its steepest two-day decline in nine months. Now, amid the carnage, The Bank of Russia is set to hold an emergency meeting with banks to discuss the FX bloodbath.
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From omnipotence to impotence... in 90 minutes.


Just as we warned earlier,  As for the market reaction, keep a close eye on the duration of the risk bounce: if risk refuses to push higher from here, or worse - tumbles - the market will have clearly given its verdict on all current and future Draghi jawboning and called the ECB's bluff: no more words, actions are now demanded.
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FROM PETROYUAN HEGEMONY to the DYING OF THE PETRODOLLAR
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/21/2016

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Ben Bernanke: "China Is Contained"; Ray Dalio Agrees. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/21/2016 : "I don't think China's economic slowdown is that severe to threaten the global economy." .. "China has managed debt restructurings superbly."
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QUICK ECON NEWS
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Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/21/2016 - 07:44
·         Global Stocks Face Fresh Losses (WSJ)
·         European stocks lick wounds after mauling, oil steady (Reuters)
·         Hang Seng Index Sinks Below Net Assets for First Time Since 1998 (BBG)
·         U.S. Hedge Funds Boast Lower Losses as Markets Tumble Further (NYT)
·         Deutsche Bank Drops as Investment Bank Revenue Concerns Mount (BBG)
·         Islamic State Uses Syria’s Biggest Dam as Refuge and Potential Weapon (WSJ)
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What Will Mario Draghi Say Today: Thoughts Ahead Of The ECB Announcement. : Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/21/2016: ECB rhetoric likely to focus on collapsing inflation expectations (pictured below), now close to levels where QE1 ECB got announced in Jan 2015. With Oil lower than expected by the ECB for 2016, and oil forward un-anchoring and moving below 50$ (chart below), an higher inflation for the year due to base effects is also harder to see. Rhetoric can include anticipation of deeply negative interest rates and upsized QE, for future meetings.
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George Soros: "Europe Is On The Verge Of Collapse". : Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/21/2016. "China will exert a negative influence on the rest of the world by reinforcing the deflationary tendencies that are already prevalent. China is responsible for a larger share of the world economy than ever before and the problems it faces have never been more intractable...the EU is on the verge of collapse. The Greek crisis taught the European authorities the art of kicking the can down the road, although it would be more accurate to describe it as kicking a ball uphill so that it keeps rolling back down. The EU now is confronted with not one but five or six crises at the same time."
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Stocks, Crude Tumble As Offshore Yuan Sinks To Day Session Lows. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/20/2016. : From the close of the US day session, offshore Yuan began to weaken and despite the largest liquidity injection in 3 years, has tumbled almost 200 pips from the dead-cat-bounce highs, testing the lows once again. This in turn has weighed on crude and dropped Dow futures 140 points off the after-hours highs...
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POLITICS
Not 'The Onion' - Hillary Clinton Is Now Running On Her Foreign Policy "Strengths":  When it comes to watching the Hillary Clinton campaign, you need to be prepared for increasingly suicidal and irrational acts of desperation. While the most pathetic of all her shameless acts was saying she is sponsored by Wall Street as a result of the terror attacks on 9/11, the hits just keep on coming.
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GLOBAL RESEARCH


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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE


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US a Shining Example unto ISIS. By Robert Barsocchini. The US illustrates to ISIS, and the world, that global power is genocide, land-theft, mass enslavement, never paying reparations.
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Who is Luring the Middle Eastern Refugees Into Germany. By Andrey Fomin. Early January the notorious speculator and confessed sponsor of the refugee traffic to Europe George Soros gave an explicit interview to Wirtschafts Woche where he bitterly critisized  Merkel’s stricter European and refugee policy suggesting that it would “cost her chancellorship”
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World Faces Wave of Epic Debt Defaults, Fears Central Bank Veteran . By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, in Davos. "The situation is worse than it was in 2007."
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A Bleak Unemployment Report And Even Bleaker Projections. By Peter Koenig. This crisis is not ‘just happening’ – it is directed, fabricated and maintained by a globalized elite.
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Can the Davos Rich Do More than Talk?. By Sam Pizzigati. Since 2010, 3.6 billion folks have together lost just over $1 trillion — 41 percent — of their household wealth. The richest 62 of our global billionaire class, meanwhile, have gained $542 billion over that same time.
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH


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PRESS TV


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