domingo, 4 de octubre de 2015

OCT 4 15 SIT EC y POL



OCT 4 15 SIT EC y POL


ZERO HEDGE


[ US POLITICAL PANORAMA.  Hugo Adan 10-4-15

Big corp financing of politics should be considered a crime against democracy. Only people and the  State should finance candidates & their access to mass media, not crook-big Corporations. The buying of elections in America rich its highest historical price, so far: $5 billion. Here you will see who is in this  electoral ”war”.. a war between millionaires  supported by “super-pack” & “dark-money”. They will try to buy the election again to get the best servant of their private interest. The only one candidate that refused “the buying of elections” is Bernie Sanders. The money he got come from the working class’ Unions and a huge amount come from middle class’ small-donations.

However, if Bernie is unable to make the right alliance with a young-prestigious-academic  from the left or the symbolic support of the famous MIT scholar Noam Chomsky as VP, his chances of winning are weak. The other option for Bernie is to get alliance with the right liberal inside the GOP –a one that is anti-Bush oligarchy  & antiwar (could be Ben Carson for instance). If Sanders’ strategy is to go beyond elections and  get a 3rd big party to lead the rebellion against neoliberal system via referendums at national level, then the electoral tactic will be different. In that case, this election will be for Sanders the 1st stage of a national Mov for radical change, the stage of organizing & preparing ideologically the young people in the pursuing of such aim. This may start with the abandoning the Dem party at the right time, in the right place  & running as independent candidate as soon as he is excluded from major TV debates. The running as independent candidate has two options:

(a) winning the election 2016 in alliance with a liberal from the GOP as VP;
(b) using this election to create the instrument  for a radical change: the 3rd Party.
The option (a) has the advantage of killing one of the dangerous crony oligarchy in American politics: the mafia Clinton & its echelons. I has the disadvantage of keeping alive the monster-clown D.Trump who is flirting Marco Rubio & Ted Cruz as his VP.  

For Bernie Sanders it all depends on the right strategy and its most effective tactic. If he consider that winning this election is an historical imperative at this time, then the alliance with a liberal GOP is the right tactic. If he consider that create a 3rd option party for real democracy is the strategy (with the aim of rebuilt America with a huge social Mov and Referendums at national level) then we don’t need the alliance with GOP liberals (not need to use the tactic “divide and conquest”)  & pick up Carson as VP. Of course in this strategy the option Rand Paul could’ve been the best liberal to choose among GOPs, but he was un-able to get big attention from GOP’ voters . ]
Let’s read extracts of the zero hedge art Who Owns Your Presidential Candidate? submitted by Tyler Durden:

Despite the arguably undemocratic, obfuscating nature of our nation’s campaign finance laws and the blatant corporatist agenda mandated by the Supreme Court, let’s attempt to break down the major sources of political spending so far in the 2016 presidential election. You may be surprised to find out who is donating money to your candidate — and how that contribution may affect future policy positions.
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With regard to campaign finance, the Citizens United Supreme Court ruling — and the arguably worse McCutcheon v. FEC ruling — opened the doors to unrestricted corporate funding of our national elections.

The primary mechanism in place facilitating this flood of private money is the super PAC. You’ve probably heard of super PACs and how they’ve essentially taken over the role traditionally filled by individual campaign donors in Political Action Committees (PACs). But super PACs aren’t the end of it. There are puppet political non-profits, business associations, and now, single-candidate “dark money” outfits that, as of September 21, have already raised $25.1 million —  five times the amount spent by this time in the 2012 election cycle.
Small, private donors still exist, of course. Their campaign contributions are still capped at about $5,000 per individual, making them the tip of the iceberg in political campaign spending.

HERE THE CANDIDATES
JEB BUSH
Corporate and other Special Interest donors (top 5):
  • Goldman Sachs ($161,100)
  • Neuberger Berman LLC ($65,800)
  • Bank of America ($43,750
  • Citigroup Inc ($41,500)
  • Tenet Healthcare ($35,900)
Super PAC/“Dark Money”:
Other wealthy members of the PAC include:
  • Hushang Ansary, Iran’s ambassador to the United States from 1967 to 1969. He serves as a trustee of the George W. Bush Library. Ansary and his wife Shahla became U.S. citizens in the 1980s.
  • Richard Kinder, chairman and chief executive of oil and gas pipeline company Kinder Morgan. His net worth is $10 billion. Kinder’s wife Nancy also contributed $1 million to Right to Rise.
  • Alfred Hoffman, U.S. ambassador to Portugal from 2005 to 2007. He founded Florida-based real estate company WCI Communities.
  • Nextera Energy, the publicly traded parent company of Florida Power & Light, which provides electrical service to nearly half of the state. Last year, Nextera reported more than $15 billion in revenue.
  • Julian Robertson Jr., New York hedge fund manager whose net worth is $3.4 billion. He made his fortune investing in golf resorts and vineyards in New Zealand.”
Jeb Bush, total raised so far: over $114 million
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HILLARY CLINTON  
Hillary Clinton’s top donors have been Citigroup Inc., Goldman Sachs, DLA Piper, JPMorgan Chase & Co, and Morgan Stanley. .. Her 2016 donors are slightly different, but really very much the same.
Corporate and other Special Interest donors (top 5):
  • Morgan & Morgan ($274,767)
  • Sullivan & Cromwell ($148,100)
  • Akin, Gump et al ($125,598)
  • Yale University ($95,434)
  • Latham & Watkins ($94,580)
Note: Morgan Stanley, Time Warner, JPMorgan Chase & Co and others are high on the list as well.
It is also important to point out that the lobbying and law firm Akin, Gump, Strauss, Hauer & Feld, which employees many of Hillary’s lobbying “bundlers,” took donations from two of the biggest private prison contractors, Corrections Corporation of America and Geo Group, with fees totaling almost $300,000.
Super PAC/”Dark Money”:
Priorities USA Action is the super PAC supporting Hillary Clinton in the 2016 election. So far, the group has raised $25 million in only three months.
The most notable Priorities super PAC donors are George Soros and Steven Spielberg, but the list includes 31 individual donors who contributed over $200k each.
According to the Los Angeles Times:
“Companies like Google Inc. — and even Shell Oil — touting environmental awareness have been exposed supporting shadowy organizations skeptical of climate change.”
Hillary Clinton, total raised so far: over $45 million
CHRIS CHRISTIE  [the mafia-gambling candidate from New Jersey got 11 Mll in contributions]
BERNIE SANDERS
Sanders has refused super PAC money and continues to reiterate he will not use a super PAC or any shady billionaire money for the 2016 election. His full list of of regular PAC and individual donors, most of which is labor union money, is listed below, courtesy of OpenSecrets.org:

Machinists/Aerospace Workers Union
$105,000
Teamsters Union
$93,700
National Education Assn
$89,242
United Auto Workers
$79,750
United Food & Commercial Workers Union
$72,500
Communications Workers of America
$68,000
Laborers Union
$64,000
Carpenters & Joiners Union
$62,000
National Assn of Letter Carriers
$61,000
American Assn for Justice
$60,500
American Fedn of St/Cnty/Munic Employees
$58,198
Intl Brotherhood of Electrical Workers
$53,100
United Transportation Union
$48,500
Sheet Metal Workers Union
$47,000
Operating Engineers Union
$46,100
Service Employees International Union
$44,014
UNITE HERE
$42,875
United Steelworkers
$41,750
American Postal Workers Union
$37,700
American Federation of Teachers
$36,112

A report from October 1st shows that Bernie Sanders has nearly matched Hillary Clinton’s 3rd quarter campaign donations without using a super PAC.
MARCO RUBIO
Marco Rubio, the junior United States senator from Florida,  has a Cuban American ethnicity and claim to have the Latino voters to help Republicans win the election.

Corporate and other Special Interest donors (top 5):
  • Goldman Sachs – $65,830
  • Steward Health Care – $49,400
  • Titan Farms – $23,200
  • Florida Crystals – $21,700
  • Oracle Corp – $21,600
Super PAC/”Dark Money”:

According to the latest filings, the Marco Rubio super PAC, Conservative Solutions PAC, has drawn in $16 million, doubling the funds earned from his private donors. Over 75% of this money came from just four donors:
  • Norman Braman, a billionaire auto dealer and former owner of the Philadelphia Eagles. Braman has been called Rubio’s “secret weapon” because he despises Jeb Bush and says he will spend anywhere from $10 to $25 million on Rubio’s campaign
  • Lawrence J. Ellison, the chairman of Oracle Corp who has donated $3 million
  • Philanthropist Laura Perlmutter (wife to Isaac Perlmutter, the billionaire CEO of Marvel Entertainment) donated $2 million
  • Besilu Stables, a horse racing company in Miami, donated $2.5 million
The Rubio campaign is also the beneficiary of a considerable amount of “dark money.” The source is a 501(c)(4) nonprofit called Conservative Solutions Project, which has raised an additional $15.8 million. The nonprofit, which, of course, is not required to disclose its donors, launched a massive ad campaign attacking President Obama’s Iran deal.
Marco Rubio, total funds raised so far: over $31.9 million
DONALD TRUMP
He said he will self-finance his campaign and will not accept any special interest donations. His net worth according to Forbes estimates is approximately $4.5 billion. Trump claims he will spend up to $100 million of his own money on the 2016 presidential election.
Alternet.org posted an article debunking much of this fictitious fanfare. The article traces the roots of a $40-$200 million inheritance Trump received from his father, money that was bilked from governmental financing programs during the Great Depression; Trump parlayed that money into a series of businesses that went bankrupt, skirting SEC regulations and taking advantage of every tax loophole available in order to build his empire.
Donald Trump, total funds raised so far: $100 million (amount he pledged to his own campaign)
TED CRUZ
Ted Cruz is the junior U.S. Senator from Texas is a symbolic filibuster of Obama’s Affordable Healthcare Act. He was also one of the 47 signatories of a letter sent to Iran stating that President Obama lacked the authority to negotiate with Ayatollah Khomenei.
More recently, he has led a weak coalition of congressmen aiming to shut down the federal government for the second time. His objective –in addition to repealing Obamacare and the Iran Deal is to defund Planned Parenthood.
Corporate and other Special Interest donors (top 5):
Woodforest National Bank
$75,200
Morgan Lewis LLP
$68,850
Gibson, Dunn & Crutcher
$52,950
Pachulski, Stang et al
$41,000
Jennmar Corp
$40,850
Super PAC/”Dark Money”:
Ted Cruz’s campaign actually has four super PACs, all funded by Robert Mercer, a Long Island hedge fund magnate and climate change denier. Combined, they raised $31 million in the first four weeks of his campaign. Contributors to these super PACs include:
Ted Cruz, total funds raised so far: over $31 million
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BEN CARSON
Ben Carson, the retired John Hopkins neurosurgeon, was dead in the water a few weeks ago, but his numbers saw an unlikely bounce after the second debate. Carson put his foot in his mouth when he suggested the U.S. marines were unprepared for combat, & suggesting that if George W. Bush should’ve  bold diplomatic action over military strikes, the nation may have averted the incredibly costly war on terror. With his poll numbers rising, many pundits now wonder whether he could be tapped as VP.
Corporate and other Special Interest donors (top 5):
Coca-Cola Co
$21,850
West Coast Venture Capital
$21,600
Trailiner Corp
$10,800
Ankom Technology
$10,400
Jea Senior Living
$10,000

Ben Carson & Super PAC/”Dark Money”:
Like Ted Cruz, Ben Carson has more than one super PAC.  One Vote, a super PAC led by Republican strategist Andy Yates, and Run Ben Run. Even before Carson decided to run, the National Draft Ben Carson for President Committee raised $13.5 million. Reports have surfaced that there is tumult and discord between the two primary super PACs, but as long as the money keeps pouring in, Carson doesn’t seem to be phased. Recently, he doubled down on anti-Muslim rhetoric, which seems to have bumped his fundraising figures even higher, bringing him to $20 million this quarter.
Very little information has been released about the bigger disbursements stemming from Carson’s super PACs. But interestingly, despite the big money pouring in, Carson has flourished with small donors. In fact, eighty-four percent [of Carson’s donors] wrote checks for less than $500.”
Ben Carson, total funds raised so far: over $20 million
Conclusion:
As you can see, the 2016 presidential election is, for the most part, an all-out corporate donor war. It’s important to remember that many of these totals are likely not current, as campaigns strategically withhold donation amounts. We also don’t know the full extent of “dark money” stemming from nonprofits and business associations. What we do know is that this will be the most expensive election in history. The Koch brothers alone have a budget of $889 million. When added to the spending expected from the Democrats and Republicans, we’re looking at a possible price tag of $5 billion.
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"The Russian intervention is a massive setback for those states backing the opposition, particularly within the region – Qatar, Saudi Arabia and Turkey – and is likely to elicit a strong response in terms of a counter-escalation."

[ REALITY PREVAILS.. WAR IS WAR & this is against ISIS & world terrorism.  
Saudis & Qatar are risking their existence in the world map. Nobody in the world like these beasts with money.. Turkey’s collapsing State will prefer to be neutral, otherwise they will be hit & divided, as they dreamed with Syria. The Saudis should’ve been processed for crimes against humanity (Yemen outside & Bedouins inside) and their money confiscated to paid reparations, but instead they bought a sit in the Human Rights committee, inside the corrupted UN , thanks to UK-US. Now these States are using the stupid Saudis & possible Israel in the NATO attempt to stop Russian war against terrorism. Once Saudis & Dimona are wiped out, the US may either declare war to RU-China ++... or make a negotiation with them. The US knew that RU-China & Iran will respond immediately, if war starts. What the US is going to do?  ..Close the 143 military stations for rapid response & the US embassies.. what about the 10 NATO stations in Europe.. are they really well protected? .. bio-chemicals have been used in previous wars & one single bottle of “beer” can poison the water used in every one of those stations ..  The US has too much to cover outside & inside.. to engage in world war..  It is either stop supporting ISIS or perish. The whole world is now in alert against terrorism and its sponsors & they will respond too ]
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"The reason the markets aren't going lower is people are holding and hoping." Incidentally, there is a reason why hope is not a strategy: in the end, it always fails.

[Why? because emerging market-States continue paying an onerous debt to big Corp & Ameircan banks & continue receiving money at high interest rate & selling its exportable products at banana price ]

Fed's credibility rapidly evaporating, it is all investors have, or as Gundlach puts it: "The reason the markets aren't going lower is people are holding and hoping." Incidentally, there is a reason why hope is not a strategy: in the end, it always fails.
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Russia Claims ISIS Now On The Ropes As Fighters Desert After 60 Airstrikes In 72 Hours. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/04/2015 

[ I still don’t understand why RU left them alive ]

"A bunker-busting BETAB-500 air bomb dropped from a Sukhoi Su-34 bomber near Raqqa has eliminated the command post of one of the terror groups, together with an underground storage facility for explosives and munitions. Panic and desertion have begun. 600 fighters have left positions."
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[ Bring the troops home.. avoid more “tragic incidents" ]

By way of excuse for what President Obama called "a tragic incident," (and The UN called a 'war crime') US officials have claimed that the Taliban were fighting from within the Kabul hospital (which was destroyed by a US air strike yesterday killing at least 19 including 3 children) using aid workers as "a human shield." However, this justification for the 'collateral damage' has been vehemently denied by Medecins Sans Frontier (MSF) who have issued a statement dismissing the US claims, "the gates of the hospital compound were closed all night so no one that is not staff, a patient or a caretaker was inside the hospital when the bombing happened..." but, the US strike has done one thing, as one local health official concluded, "this city is no longer for the living."
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[ Si el sistema capitalista no sirve para acumular capital.. hay que cerrar el chiquero ]

$13 trillion in market losses in just one quarter would be very hard to make up for even in very favorable circumstances. We have no such circumstances. We’ve built our very lives on squeezing China et al for 27 years, and issuing more debt as if there’s no tomorrow - sort of a self-fulfilling prophecy -, and now we’ve belatedly realized that there’s a time limit on that model. But hey, by all means, it’s your money, and it’s your life, so do keep on betting on that recovery, and the return to ‘normal’, whatever that once was. Put it all on red. Go crazy! You do risk becoming a lonely crowd though. Meanwhile, those of us down here with our feet planted in the real earth have just this one question: “How bad can this get, and how fast?”.
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[ once the surgery is done.. hay que hacer caminar a Lazaro, el quasi muerto.. para eso sirven las tropas .. para limpiar los snipers  y otros indeseables mercenarios ocultos en las cloacas de la ciudad ]
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[ Not only the Failure Of U.S. Politics, but also the Econ & military failures ]

"The Americans were startled once again when tragic news break out about the deadly campus shooting in Oregon on Thursday. .. How come a country as powerful as the United States has been unable to stop this kind of brutal attacks against innocent civilians? The problem is deeply rooted in the country's political system, where bipartisan politics and interest groups exert huge influence, to the point that security of the American people have to give way to political correctness and corporate interests."
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[  The game is over.. it is true.. all empires die, usually due to internal causes .. some slow.. other fast.. some violently.. other peacefully… then, systemic change comes & some empires re-emerges. Our empire brought good things but also horrible ones.. like others before ]



Former US army colonel and Chief of Staff for Colin Powell, Lawrence Wilkerson unleashed a most prescient speech on the demise of the United States Empire. Wilkerson describes the path of empires in decline, shows how the US is following the classic trajectory, and needs to make a transition to being one of many powers and focus more on strategies of international cooperation... "History tells us we’re probably finished... The rest of of the world is awakening to the fact that the United States is 1) strategically inept and 2) not the power it used to be. And that the trend is to increase that."

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Emerging Market Meltdown May Plunge Global Economy Into Recession. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/04/2015 [ Monetarist & Keynesian formulas won’t help .. they are obsolete ]

"The impotence of monetary policy in boosting growth and staving off deflationary pressures has become painfully apparent, especially when it is acting in isolation and when a large number of countries are resorting to the same limited playbook."

[ Raising interest rate will be the final stroke against them.. that will be a declaration of war  that will create a violent independent movement among emerging markets.. China-RU showed one path to correction .. but it needs to go deep .. Germany is starting their own decoupling from the neoliberal system too.. slowly but secure .. they could save part of Europe if they keep the EU, at risk with the current wave of migration… These are the path to different & multiple blocks of power .. Canada-US-Mx may create another block .. perhaps including the Caribean & Central America, ..perhaps ]
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[ Change people.. change parts of the system  ..vs.. change the whole system .. now the blaming each other for the failure stars.. it usually happens..before we go to the last last part of the cycle: change the whole system  ]

Q. Should somebody have gone to jail.
Bernanke: Yeah, yeah I think so. It would have been my preference to have more investigation of individual actions as obviously everything that went wrong, or was illegal, was done by some individial not by an abstract firm.

[ Relax .. nobody is going to die, if and only if … the dog in the military are kept locked ]
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[ China is getting ready for the worse scenery.. world recession with imperial war.. it stand to reason  ]

Chinese President Xi Jinping recently confirmed the practice of moving the People’s Bank of China’s reserve assets to other entities in China: “some assets in foreign exchanges were transferred from the central bank to domestic banks, enterprises and individuals” This might explain where some of China’s gold hoard, that many suspect they posses but have not reported as reserves, may be located.

[ Besides.. those moves allow them the transit to a new socialist path ]
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[ Yeap.. it is a nasty competition among millionaires investing in their future private business  .. not in the Nation-State interest .. as usual ..  The only exception is Bernie Sanders.. the labor and productive capital option

“I think some of this stuff in the presidential race is orchestrated by the major media - and it’s entertainment. ... Donald Trump is an authoritarian and he brags about it...An authoritarian is the opposite of a libertarian."

[ We do not deserve such clown in power.. we are enough intelligent to choose the right option ]
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Hanging By A Thread. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/04/2015

he poker game continues.. [although the ..] bad news as both NFP and factory orders came in far below expectations, but the risks to charts are mounting and frankly markets are hanging by a thread and need a major technical rescue soon.

[ Nice & comic picture.. with wrong  solution..”mayor technical rescue soon”?.. Unless you mean: THE SCISSORS OF PEOPLE’s  POWER ]
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A Worrying Set Of Signals. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/04/2015

From time to time, the data (from economic activity, inflationary pressure, risk appetite and asset valuations) points unambiguously in a single direction.. the worry is that each indicator is flashing red.

[ with 105 up-temperature & such convulsions in this crazy guy..  the PC- Dr will order to put on him a strait jacket and transferred immediately  to a psychiatric hospital & placed in solitary confinement ]  
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[STOP THAT CRAB either put it under the ICC –International Criminal Court- confiscate their assets, transfer THEIR OIL to special UN committee to pay crimes reparation  ...  OR BOMB THEM ]  
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH


Bélgica. La venganza de los ricos. Marc Vandepitte
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Economía . -Joseph Stiglitz y el euro. Francisco Umpiérrez Sánchez
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Argentina.  -¿Fin del kirchnerismo?. Guillermo Almeyra
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Siria y el choque de capitalismos. Moisés Garduño García
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Mexico Impunidad  Tlatelolco vs Ayotzinapa Salvador González
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Colombia. Donde está la justicia en Colombia?. Carolina Dorado
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