miércoles, 4 de marzo de 2020

ND MAR 4 20 SIT EC y POL



ND  MAR 4  20  SIT EC y POL 
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Eco

ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics

Biden vs. Trump?
Both are twins as Obama-Trump are: pro-war, full neoliberalism &pro-billonaires greed
Some success, after weeks of doldrums, for Joe Biden's campaign sparked a massive surge in prediction markets' view of his likelihood of getting the Democratic nomination surged to record highs (as Bernie and Bloomberg crashed)...
See Chart:
If we want real change we have to vote Sanders+Warren as VP running in indep-party. Inside Dem party there is only billonaires Fraud as happen in CA: no rules to prevent it

And it is this phoenix-like rise that is being proposed as driving today's surge in stocks...
See Chart:
https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfm397D.jpg?itok=esJpUBFm  Current fake Economy will be reproduced by Biden: zero rate of return f product-invest

And intraday, as various results came in with Biden winning, the market legged ever higher...
See Chart: 
https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/2020-03-04_10-15-14.jpg?itok=u-v05QR3  Fictitious chart:  similar clown in power = similar crisis. The FACT is that over-state spending  in manufact-weapons + wars abroad leads to WW3 :Mill deaths in & outside

Do traders really believe this guy  Biden can win?
THIS is not "normal."
The Biden family needs to end this disgusting charade.
FACT: THE BEST DEM CANDIDATE for TRUMP is just BIDEN

READ: Prediction markets disagree with Biden, and Trump's odds of victory actually improved overnight
See Chart:
Winning party Dem : 44 vs Winning party REP: 57
So IF Biden's gains MEAN Trump more likely to win... and that's what sent stocks higher?

But, there is another factor - the market is now demanding almost 2 more rate-cuts in March...
See Chart:S
Market-Implied Rate-change to March FED meeting:  DOWN

Treasury yields were very mixed today with the short-end tumbling as the long-end chopper around, ENDING FLAT...
See Chart:

The 2Y Yield plunged again...
See Chart:

The UST 2Y 10Y yield curve steepened significantly - to its steepest since June 2018...
See Chart:

But, don't get all excited - Indeed, the last time the curve rose so fast from such a low base was in 1990, 2001, and 2008, months before the U.S. economy entered recession each time...
See Chart:

Which might fit with the bounce we saw in 2000, after The Fed's Y2K liquidity program ended...
See Chart:
Nasdaq 2020  vs  Nasdaq Y2K
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Spoiler alert: nothing good...
See Chart:
S&P500 returns in periods after the FED emergency cuts
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If the trader is right and the Fed goes full NIRP, cutting rates many more times in the next few weeks to counter the coming recession, the profit on the trade will be over 20x...
How negative? While the trade does not envision the entire curve turning sub zero, the strike price begins to be profitable if yields fall to around -0.05%, compared with a current rate of about 0.85% for the corresponding bond in cash markets, suggesting a roughly 90bps plunge in yields at the belly in the next three weeks, a move that is only feasible if the Fed cuts rates multiple times or if a great depression unexpectedly breaks out.
See Chart:

Considering that the market is already pricing in 43bps of rate cuts, the trade is effectively betting on an additional 47bps of easing in the coming weeks, or an additional 2 rate cuts.
See Chart:
Market-Implied  Rate-Change to March Fed Meeting
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Our modern economic policy framework is not designed for inflation, nor are many people even thinking about it as a possibility. That is a black swan...
See Chart:
Total Debt to GDP
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US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio

Making in America  a false promise of “GREAT AGAIN”?
Obey
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If a Republican threatened Supreme Court Justices Sotomayor or Ginsburg, "it would be the biggest story not just in Washington but all across America."
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If the CV pandemic is serious threat, then decentralization could be the solution
The solution to the problem is not more centralization, more globalization and more government power; the solution is decentralization and localized response...
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Given how Coronavirus has been reported, coupled with how it’s been handled, its dubious origins, the alleged number of infected anddeceased, as well as the age and generalhealth of those who've died...something stinks...
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US-WORLD  ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo

US betrayal to a deal may cost a lot… unless the hit is a bye bye & troops’re out soon
Awkwardly, strike came a mere hours after President Donald Trump spoke with the Taliban's top negotiator in a phone call.
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Judge orders legal probe of former VPforcing ouster of prosecutor investigating gas firm employing his son Hunter Biden...
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3

- US Stocks Increase Almost 5% on Hopes of Biden White House Run  IF Biden's gains MEAN Trump more likely to win... and that's what sent stocks higher.
- Trump Says His Administration Has 'A Lot Planned' on Ven  This is that Latinos hate most from Trump. His support to Guaido’ delinquency is idiotic, to say the less.
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am search f alternatives to neo-fascist regimes & terrorist imperial chaos

REBELION
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ALAI ORG

- Puerto Rico En memoria de Rafael Cancel Miranda  Sergio R G
- Brasil La lógica de la locura de Bolsonaro   Emir Sader  locos lógicos?
- Pacifismo letal   Colectivo Colibrí  descansa en paz RIP
- Canto a la paz   Marcelo Colussi    vs. cantaleta WW3?
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RT EN ESPAÑOL

Coronavirus: impacto económ en Am-Lat : ¿Efecto dominó o especulación financiera?   https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/344944-coronavirus-impacto-economico-america-latina
Científicos identifican una segunda cepa del coronavirus que es más agresiva   https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/344962-cientificos-segunda-cepa-coronavirus
Erdogan dice haber pedido municiones d Trump para operación de Turquía en Idlib https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/344897-erdogan-pedir-trump-municiones-idlib  Trump no quiere aparecer como asesino pero sigue armando a los Turcos
Doctora china se inyecta vacuna anti coronavirus aún no probada en humanos https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/344971-medico-chino-inyecta-vacuna-prueba  El CV del PENTA tuvo 2 objetivos: destruir la Econ China y crear miedo q facilite manipulac mental. China derroto ambos objetivos. Hoy el US le gana a Italia en # d infectos.
Al Assad: "Erdogan concentra todos sus esfuerzos en Idlib siguiendo instrucciones del US" https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/344919-assad-erdogan-concentra-esfuerzos-idlib  Lo que dice el Presid Sirio es cierto y va ganando la guerra con apoyo RU: es WW3
Michael Bloomberg abandona la carrera por la presidencia del US. https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/344927-michael-bloomberg-abandona-carrera-presidencial  MB cumplio su papel: infestar con FRAUDE las primarias y ahora se retira por que le está quitando votos a Biden: el gemelo de Trump y su rival preferido y facil
Sanders: El 'establishment' contrataca. Los duenios del poder le temen a Sanders. https://actualidad.rt.com/programas/zoom/344928-sanders-establishment-contrataca-zoom Con la compra de voto lo pueden sacar del Pdo Dem pero no podrían ganarle si postula como Pdo independiente. Su VP seria E Warren y con ella ganan.
Candidato del MAS en BOL Carlos Mesa advierte fraude electoral bajo liderazgo de J Áñez  https://actualidad.rt.com/video/344943-candidato-presidencia-bolivia-carlos-mesa
Experto: "Ni Sanders ni Biden van a conseguir la mayoría absoluta" Pero es posible  https://actualidad.rt.com/video/344953-experto-sanders-biden-no-van-conseguir-mayoria Por eso se han retirado varios candidatos comprados por Billonarios
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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE
Deep on the US political crisis: neofascism & internal conflicts that favor WW3

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COUNTER PUNCH
Analysis on US Politics & Geopolitics

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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars from US-NATO  allies

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DEMOCRACY NOW
Amy Goodman’  team

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