jueves, 19 de marzo de 2020

ND MAR 18 20 SIT EC y POL



ND  MAR 18  20  SIT EC y POL 
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Eco


ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics


Stocks down, Bonds down, credit down, gold down, oil down, copper down, crypto down, global systemically important banks down, and liquidity down...
Today was the worst day for a combined equity/bond portfolio... ever...
See Chart:

Crushing risk-parity funds as bond-stock correlation soars unnaturally...
See Chart:

Jeff Gundlach predicted during his DoubleLine call yesterday that "the U.S. national debt likely to grow to $30 trillion in two or three years as spending explodes in response to the crisis", which means about $3-4 trillion in net issuance per year, and that upcoming supply tsunami is certainly sending bond prices lower, potentially dealing a deathly blow to the risk-parity/balanced "60/40" portfolio model
See Chart:  VIX

The B-dollar exploded to a new record high today...
See Chat:

Beyond the traditional “safe haven” role of US Treasuries, Goldman notes that the Dollar has a number of features which help explain its behavior during economic downturns and periods of extreme market volatility:
1.       Denominator of US capital markets. 
2.       Intervention currency.
3.        Global invoice and lending currency. 

Said simply: the USD is the world's reserve currency, which while a huge benefit to the US when times are good, is an unbearable burden during crashes such as this one. While there is no simple solution, the legendary inventor of the MOVE index did propose a brilliant solution back in 2016: the Fed can always crush the dollar by buying gold in the open market, effecting another FDR-like devaluation of the dollar. Because as J.P.Morgan famously said in 1912,  "Money is gold, nothing else." One year later the Fed was born.

But for now, gold is being puked (to raise dollars) along with every other asset...
See Chart:
USD  vs fiat  and USD vs Gold

In other ominously concerning news, global systemically important banks have collapsed...
See Chart:
Global sytematically important Bank Stocks DOWN

Globally, stocks were notably lower today but China continues to magically outperform Europe and US massively...
See Chart:

US futures were limit-down overnight, ETFs signaled more selling pressure but ramped at the open as the algos kicked in... but that didn't last... markets rallied in the last few minutes as Senate passed the first bailout bill (but that did not last)...
See Chart:

Small Caps were the worst on the day, Nasdaq best, but everything was crushed...
See Chart:

The Dow crashed back into the red since Trump's inauguration today...
See Chart:

UST 30Y Yield.. daily ranges in bond yields is just stunning - 30Y yields traded in a 35bps range today (for a 1.8% yield - not an 18% yield!!)
See Chart:

Finally, as one trader told us, "we're only about halfway there" in stocks as the central-bank-sponsored delusion of the last few years is wiped away...
See Chart:

Is the world losing faith in global central banks?
They failed...
See Chart:
S&P  vs Global  liquidity Proxi
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"I love the smell of global macro fund liquidations in the morning..."
Update (2305ET): Dow futures losses have accelerated, plunging over 1000 points limit-down...
See Chart:

S&P and Nasdaq futures are also crashing...
See Chart:

Copper has succumbed to the liquidation...
See Chart:

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The global scramble for dollars amid a massive shortage has rolled around the AsiaPac time-zone and is leaving a bloody trail across every asset-class.

AsiaPac FX or dollar Index is crashing to its weakest against the USDollar since 2004...
See Chart:
Meaning: losses in AsiaPac stocks are accelerating...down 27% from January highs

And the liquidation continues in US equity markets with Dow futures down over 800 points, erasing the after ramp in stocks...
See Chart:

JA Dollar Excess vs Dollar Shortage: JPY Basis-Swaps spread
See Chart:

This all has the smell of a massive global macro fund liquidation and the contagious impact of that leveraged unwind across the global risk markets.
As Bloomberg's Stephen Spratt details, desks continue to speak of the “sell everything” mentality in markets with huge liquidations and de-leveraging taking place everywhere.
With currencies flash crashing across Asia on Thursday, central bankers may be looking back at the remedies used then.

As Bloomberg's Mike Wilson suggests, the tear the U.S. dollar was on back in 1985 was brought to an end when five central banks gathered in New York’s Plaza Hotel and came up with what became known as The Plaza Accord.
See Chart:
Plaza Accord: major central banks agree to weaken the USD

That sent the dollar into a steep slide that lasted until about the end of 1987.
With the Aussie, kiwi and won just free-falling, it looks like a similar sort of coordinated intervention may be needed to stop the dollar now, especially until the world is deemed free of coronavirus impacts.
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RELATED:

As Republican and democrat politicians hold emergency meetings to decide how to avoid a meltdown of Wall Street, the smell of hyperinflation looms in the airas much today as it did in Germany during the opening months of 1922.
This week, markets were propped up by a record breaking offering of  $1.5 Trillion in liquidity injections over the coming months (added to the $9 trillion   already injected  over the past six months), and rather than deal  with the real reasons for this oncoming financial collapse, the media has brainwashed the west that everything would have been just fine, “if only coronavirus had not become a pandemic”. 

But what is really being bailed out here exactly and why? Is this money actually making it to the real economy? Is it being invested to rebuild America’s farms, businesses and industry?

The reality is that the only thing being saved are the “Too Big to Fail” banks that are sitting atop a $1.5 quadrillion of derivatives bomb. Of the most bankrupt of America’s speculators are JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup and Goldman Sachs, whose derivatives exposure hit $48 trillion, $47 trillion and $42 trillion respectively in recent years.

If Trump is intelligent, (and his previous calls for Glass-Steagall’s restoration, and American System practices imply that he knows a thing or two), then rather than bailing out Wall Street by unleashing more gasoline onto the fire, it were better that he took the lessons of 1933 and established a new Pecora Commission for 2020.

What was the Pecora Commission?

Not many people are aware of the intense fight that was launched by patriots in both parties against the Wall Street/deep state parasite of that age which prevented both a fascist coup against the newly elected Franklin Roosevelt while also crippling Wall Street’s command of American lifeIn spite of whitewashing revisionist history books that contaminated the past 70 years, America’s recovery from the depression never occurred without a life or death struggle and this struggle was made possible, in large measure by the courageous work of an Italian lawyer from New York. This man’s name was Ferdinand Pecora.

Within days of accepting the Washington job as Chief Council of Norbeck’s committee (for the meager salary of $250/month), Pecora was granted broad subpoena powers to audit banks and drag the most powerful men in America to testify in the committee’s hearings.

In his first two weeks, Pecora made headlines by auditing the books of major Wall Street banks and pulled in pro-fascist National City President Charles Mitchell (then preparing to advise Benito Mussolini) to testify

Within days, Mitchell’s team of expensive defense attorneys could do nothing but watch in despair as the powerful financier admitted to short selling his own bank’s stocks during the depression, scamming depositors with purchases of Cuban junk debt and avoiding taxes for years. Mitchell was forced to resign in shame followed days later by NY Stock Exchange Chair Dick Whitney- who left the court in handcuffs.

This crackdown on Wall Street’s abuses were highly publicized and put the spotlight on the criminal schemes used to gamble with savings and commercial bank deposits on securities and futures markets which led to the orchestrated collapse of the bubble economy in 1929 (ironically much of the bubble built up during the “easy-money days” of the “roaring 20s” was centered in the housing market). Pecora’s crackdown also set the tone for the incoming Roosevelt administration.

CONTINUE READING AT:
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Econ situation today is similar to bail outs that create Lehman crisis in 2008

The four-letter acronyms for 'bailout'continue to play out exactly like during the Lehman crisis... tonight's rescue facility is brought to you by the letters MMLF

 The Fed has just announced  the establishment of a Money Market Mutual Fund Liquidity Facility, or MMLF. As the biggest buyers of commercial paper, this bailout facility is clearly aimed, once again, at being another effort to reduce the spiking risks (and freeze) in the critical short-term liquidity markets.

While yields did compress a little (positive) today, risk increased notably despite CPFF...
See Chart:
#m Commercial Paper  Spread to T-Bills

 THIS new facility will  make loans available to eligible financial institutions secured by high-quality assets purchased by the financial institution from money market mutual funds.
We wait to see how effective this latest four-letter-word will be in calming the savage beast of a global dollar shortage.
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Full Details below:  TO READ THEM OPEN :..
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Short news on econ:
"For China this quarter and the rest of the world next quarter, these GDP declines represent the biggest quarterly contractions recorded over the past 50 years at least."  See Chart
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Why are central banks buying more gold than at any time since 1971? And what has spooked sovereign gold holders to fly their gold out of New York and London?

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ON GOLD- SANDERS-ELECTIONS and REV
Hugo Adan  March 18 2020

The possibility of getting a New FDR with intentions to confiscate the GOLD from billionaires depends on Sanders to lead a PEOPLES FRONT registered as Independent party. Then the REV will confiscate the gold.

But Sanders himself has poor vision on Socialist Rev  -he now preferred the bla-bla with Biden as before with Hillary Clinton.. that was his path to failure yesterday and now.

He should have spent  his time organizing the labor for Rev. But he don’t  think on REV but on ‘electivility’ as stupid reformist. Now there are rumors that he plans to join the list of Biden (also judish and pro war).

If Sanders join Biden  that will be another betrayal  of Sanders to the cause of Socialist REV. It is sad because many young people in America trusted him.

And that will be a nasty betrayal because those really involve in radical change via pacific  REV -as Allende in Chile- has to have the courage of dying  ‘de pie y no de rodillas”. 

Sanders has still the chance of uniting with E Warren and join other socialist parties in the US and run the 3rd option. Then the Socialist Rev torch will be on.
Otherwise E Warren will join Biden and bye bye with both electoral trush.

IF Sanders don’t lead the 3rd option as front & independent party in next election.. many people will join the forces for ABSTENTION and BOICOT against elections  2020 (election in America are already fraudulent since allowing the buying of votes by billonaraires & corp behind the screens).   

DON’T VOTE SANDERS nor E-WARREN if they don’t JOIN IN NATIONAL FRONT WITH OTHER SOCIALIST PARTIES TO RUN as 3rd Party in  IN ELECTION 2020
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US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio


CV PANDEMIC to cover up the fall down of current obsolete of neoliberal system

Most of the jobs that experienced reduced hours or have been entirely cut have been blue-collar and service or retail jobs, which cannot be conducted remotely...
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"We’re looking to Congress and White House to understand this is a cultural institution where people gather."
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Paper, just paper.. printed out from the thin air. USD need gold expropiat of Billonairs
"The surge in the dollar is another blow to emerging markets..." 
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There are realistic thoughts in this art.. but I did like the end.. squeezed brain= zero

...we’re in the first moments of an unfolding pandemic which, from what I can tell just looking at the numbers, this  is about to change the world in some pretty significant ways...

- In my opinion the fears that the ruling class will seize this opportunity to advance preexisting authoritarian agendas are well-founded, and people are right to have suspicions about the official narrative on the origins of the virus

2- Google-owned YouTube has just announced that they’re going to be censoring a lot more videos during the pandemic. Definitely worth keeping an eye on; if widespread authoritarian measures are going to be implemented during this time, increasing internet censorship  will likely be the first step.

- I think this is going to hit America much harder than other countries. . A culture of rugged individualism with a reflexive distaste for collectivist organization for the good of the whole, and a highly religious population with many preachers telling their underinsured parishioners to demonstrate their faith by gathering at the megachurch and shaking hands with everyone, and you’ve got a recipe for disaster.

-  China is having success getting the pandemic under control on its end, with its government’s ability to build hospitals and crank out brand new tech solutions with astonishing swiftness.. Now China is helping  elsewhere like Italy and Serbia.

- The US became a superpower after being left intact while competing nations were stuck rebuilding themselves from two devastating world wars, allowing it to surge ahead of the competition. China, as we’ve discussed here many times, has been poised to overtake America as the dominant world power, so it’s possible we’ll see China’s relative success and America’s relative failure on this front dance .

- And the US of course realizes this threat, which is why my social media notifications right now are full of [xenophobia]  depicting China as the Latest Official Bad Guy.  China propaganda has been pouring into mainstream consciousness with more and more aggression lately, first and foremost within right-wing echo chambers but also within mainstream liberal ones — JOE BIDEN COMPARED THE CHINESE GOVERNMENT TO JACK THE RIPPER  just last night. [ I’ve never seen Bides as liberal ]

7 — It’s interesting how the virus which might knock down the most powerful government in the world behaves so much like that government: dominating world affairs and killing the most vulnerable members of the populations it attacks.   Iran are being hit so uniquely hard. America is like COVID-19 fort this country.

8 — Also interesting is watching people react to the way so many of the corporate and government policies which have been causing ordinary human beings to suffer great pains are now simply being canceled all around the world in response to the pandemic. This Slate article documents a number of the changes which have been made just in America, like how for people being thrown in jail for minor offenses, “San Antonio is one of many jurisdictions to announce that, to keep jails from being crowded with sick citizens, they’ll stop doing that. Why were they doing it in the first place?”   [ Is this sadistic behavior part of nature in our dominant class & elites?]

9 — Capitalism is built around the glorification of busyness. We’re going to find out how many jobs we can do from home, how many jobs are only busywork, how many jobs we can comfortably consolidate or do without completely, and how many jobs are actually harmful.

Forget about cleaning out the cupboards or learning that instrument or reading that book or whatever cute thing you decided you really should do now that you have the time — let your animal body lead the way, and give your brain a rest from all the shoulds and shouldn’ts. You’re fine just to do nothing at all.   [ What a naïve end.. Buen partido pero sin goles ]
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US-WORLD  ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo


Haruhiko Kuroda - who controls Japan's money printer and yet has managed to accumulate a massive loss on his equity purchases - has got to be the dumbest central banking daytrader to have ever lived.
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IF you don’t want to be killed by CV: KILL those  who kill the heath Syst: neoliberal Eco 

"The surge in the dollar is another blow to emerging markets..." 
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Printing money from thin air aggravates explosive inequality & CV effects
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3

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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am search f alternatives to neo-fascist regimes & terrorist imperial chaos

REBELION

CV in Am-Lat:  El Colonavirus   Carlos de Urabá
OPIN:  Fatiga democrática  Augusto Klappenbach  la sufre Sanders en US
Chile  Modelo chileno de extrema violenc  F Portales  peor que Pinochet?
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ALAI ORG

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RT  en espaniol

Países de América del Sur coordinan medidas contra el CV , pero sin Venezuela  https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/346335-paises-america-sur-coordinan-medidas-venezuela  el odio de cobardes anti-latinos es peor virus que el CV. Que vergüenza!
Maduro anuncia una jornada de "despistaje masivo" de CV  en toda Venezuela  https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/346679-maduro-anuncia-jornada-despistaje-masivo
Primer día sin ningún caso nuevo de covid-19 en el epicentro del brote en China  https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/346683-ningun-caso-nuevo-coronavirus-epicentro-china Es el único país que lo gro controlarlo y hoy apoya a otros países
RU estima que Pompeo busca romper los lazos entre Moscú y Ankara respecto a Siria https://actualidad.rt.com/video/346600-rusia-pompeo-romper-lazos-ankara-siria
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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE
Deep on the US political crisis: neofascism & internal conflicts that favor WW3

Capitalism cannot meet the needs of human race when existential dangers arrive
- The Coronavirus Hoax    By Ron Paul
- Disease X Just Arrived    By Bill Sardi  A Sham Epidemic Turns Into An Economic & Medical Catastrophe
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COUNTER PUNCH
Analysis on US Politics & Geopolitics

Daniel Raventós - Julie Wark  CV and the Need  For a Universal Basic Income
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars from US-NATO  allies

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DEMOCRACY NOW
Amy Goodman’  team

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