Fri JUL 06 18 SIT EC y POL
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social
+ Capit-compet in Econ
ZERO HEDGE ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they
documented with graphics
'Exceptional'
America is number one in the world... again!
Open Stattista:
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This is the lowest trade deficit since October 2016
and biggest 3-month reduction in the
deficit in 10 years...
See Chart:
See More charts at:
...
SOURCE: https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-07-06/us-trade-deficit-plunges-most-10-years-trump-winning
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[[ The key Qt is: Can
volatitlity be manipulated by imperial Corp forces? .. If
the answer is YES.. –as many schlars said- Then the arguments in this article
describe the politics of Trump ]]
"The technical name for February's kind of spontaneous crowd
behavior is hyper-synchronicity...
Markets are once again primed...
except now there are far more catalysts
than a random wage report."
READ this:
When geopolitical events create crises in the world, volatility usually
follows in world markets.
In January 2018, two significant
market events occurred nearly simultaneously. Major U.S. stock market indexes
peaked and volatility indexes extended one of their longest streaks of low
volatility in history.
Investors
were happy, complacency ruled the day and all was right with the world.
Then markets were turned upside
down in a matter of days. Major stock market indexes fell over 11%, a technical
correction, from Feb. 2–8, 2018, just five trading days.
The CBOE Volatility Index, commonly
known as the “VIX,” surged from 14.51 to 49.21 in an even shorter period from
Feb. 2–6. The last time the VIX has been at those levels was late August 2015
in the aftermath of the Chinese shock devaluation of the yuan when U.S. stocks
also fell 11% in two weeks.
Three
faces of volatility, from left to right: Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the spiritual and de facto
political leader of Iran; Nicolás Maduro, the
president of Venezuela; and Kim Jong Un, the
supreme leader of North Korea. Iran and North Korea may
soon be at war with the U.S. depending on the outcome of negotiations. Venezuela is approaching the status of a failed state
and may necessitate U.S. military intervention.
Investors
were suddenly frightened and there was nowhere to hide from the storm.
Investors have a tendency to
dismiss these threats (geopolitical htreats) either because they have persisted for a long
time in many instances without catastrophic results, or because of a belief that somehow the
crises will resolve themselves or be brought in for a soft landing by
policymakers and politicians.
These
beliefs are good examples of well-known cognitive biases such as anchoring,
confirmation bias and selective perception. Analysis tells us that there is little basis for complacency. Yet the VIX is back near all-time lows as shown in Chart 1
below.
See Chart:
Changes in
VIX and other measures of market volatility do not occur in a smooth, linear way.
The dynamic is much more likely
to involve extreme spikes rather than gradual increases. This tendency toward
extreme spikes is the result of dynamic short-covering that feeds on itself in
a recursive manner — or what is commonly known as a feedback loop.
Continue
reading at:
….
For more INFO check the dynamic of volatitlity in Michael
Hudson: Academic
Propaganda Protecting US Financial Imperialism
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There are
just two paths for markets going forward, and the decision will depend on one
thing: whether we get a full-blown
trade war or not.
See Chart:
See more charts at
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This Chart
Proves Stocks Will Collapse by 70% on August 1 Read More
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“If you have large cap, mid cap, and small cap, and the market
declines, you are going to have
less cap...”
WEEKEND READING LIST.
Economy & Fed
- Invert Or Not Invert – That Is The Fed’s
Question by
Caroline Baum via MarketWatch
- The Millennial Socialist Are Coming by
Michelle Goldberg via NYT
- One More Fed Hike To Inversion by
Tyler Durden via Zerohedge
- How To Sustain The Boom by
Matthew Shay via Real Clear Markets
- Business Want The Trade War To
Stop by
Rex Nutting via MarketWatch
- The Dollar Problem For Emerging
Economies by
Simon Constable via Forbes
- Japan Sheds Treasuries by Mike Shedlock via Mishtalk
- The Myth Of Corporate America’s
Short-Term Thinking by
Steven Rattner via NYT
- Not All Trade Is Equal by
Kaya Forest/Sierra Rayne via American Thinker
- What Would A Trade War Cost The
U.S. by Tom Franck via CNBC
- Economist Won’t Predict The Next
Crash by
Thorstein Polleit via Mises Institute
- The Real Cost Of A Trade War by
Mukhisa Kituyi via Project Syndicate
- Trade Retaliation Is Unjust by
Donald Boudreaux via American Institute For Economic Research
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Markets
- CS: Risk Appetite Index Is Near
Panic by
Tyler Durden via ZeroHedge
- Hard To Be Bearish On Stocks by
Shawn Langlois via MarketWatch
- Stocks Still Have Some Mojo Left by
Mark Hulbert via MarketWatch
- What’s The Deal With Brokers by
Dana Lyons via The Lyons Share
- Implicit Dangers Of Passive
Investing by
Derek Bergen via Value Expectations
- Is The Flat Yield Curve A Concern? by
Deutsche Bank Research
- Stock Buybacks Only Thing Floating The
Market by Jeff Cox via CNBC
- Will Investors Know If There Is A Trade
War? by
Mark Decambre via MarketWatch
- Why The Next 5-Years Could Be Very
Rough by
Rob Isbitts via Forbes
- Dow Jones Needs A Reshuffle by
Jonathon Trugman via New York Post
- The Gathering Storm by
Charles Smith via OfTwoMinds Blog
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Most Read On RIA
- The Myth Of Buy And Hold Investing –
Part V by
L. Roberts, M. Lebowitz & J. Coumarianos
- Household Wealth Is A Bubble by
Jesse Colombo
- An Unhealthy & Potentially Toxic
Market by
Doug Kass
- 2nd Half Starts With A Fumble by
Lance Roberts
- Dump Your Stocks, Get A Plan
Instead by
John Coumarianos
- RIA Chartbook Q2-2018 by
Lance Roberts
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Research /
Interesting Reads
- BOJ Pulls Away The Punch Bowl by
Wolf Richter via Wolf Street
- Corporations Taking Wages To Increase
Profits by
Patrick Hill via The Progressive Ensign
- Big Tech Is A Big Problem by
Ken Rogoff via Project Syndicate
- Economic Boom? Is All Well? by
Jeffry Bartash via MarketWatch
- Media’s Coverage Of Retirement Savings
Is Terrible by
Andrew Biggs via Forbes
- Buy High/Sell Low With Index Funds by
Rob Arnott via Research Affiliates
- Hurry Up And Get A Divorce by
Jim Tankersley via NYT
- Will Public Unions Survive The Janus
Decision by
Michael Busler via Real Clear Markets
- 4-Habits Of The Millionaires Next
Door by
Molly Triffin via Acorn
- How Much Is Enough For Retirement by
Carrie Schwab-Pomerantz via Schwab
….
….
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US
DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ y sist
duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s
full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambiarlo
"Ever since World War II, the
US has been the most militaristic, far surpassing all of the Communist
and dictatorial regimes combined..."
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Heading into 3Q, the economy is strong but may no longer be surging
faster than it was last year, same time.
RELATED 1:
In June, the number of part-time workers rose by 145K to 27.028MM,
while the full-time workers declined by a modest 89K to 128.658MM.
RELATED 2:
While a record number of twenty-somethings stay home...
RELATED 3:
Ahead of
today's payrolls report, there was some confusion: will Trump tweet about it
(like he did last month), or won't he, and if not, is it because the number
will be a disappointment? Moments ago we go the official answer.
See Chart:
https://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/inline-images/payrolls%20june%202018.jpg?itok=Nwlpp_E1
…
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"...a first of its kind study just found something far more insidious. Academics at
Northeastern University have just proven that your phone is recording your screen - as in taking video - and uploading
it to third parties."
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"Hawks and doves in Washingt agree Vlad is bad. Can Trump act as the lone realist?
"
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The gender
gap in pay, where women earn less than men, has been one of the most persistent
inequalities in America after all. Does this start upon graduation and even
from the best schools in America?
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In a move straight out of the Soviet Union
handbook, PG&E has warned they may cut electrical power to some California residents during “extreme
weather” to help prevent wildfires...
[[ It is really the
case? LA and all CAL has wildfires for
decades & several times similar pretext ]]
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US-WW ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol
& global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State
socialis+K- compet. D rest in limbo
"Prepare
for the deflationary consequences of this shift in the global monetary system,
and expect as well as hope that it too will end as China helps the world to
inflate away its debts."
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It's worth
noting that in March,
Beijing rolled out their largest defense
budget in three years...
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"Staggering"
amounts of advanced weaponry recovered in Syria's southwest.
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"Trump and Putin are likely to discuss the tricky situation in
southern Syria when they meet; while
the US president says he wants US forces back home, the CIA, Pentagon and
Israel may be happier to see them stay so the war-torn state remains
unstable..."
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
US inside GEO-POL n GEO-ECO ..News
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RELATED:
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RT SHOWS
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Latino America looking for alternatives to neoliberalism to
break with Empire:
Viento
Sur INFO:
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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE
Deep on the US political crisis, their internal conflicts n
chances of WW3
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Syria: Pentagon Acting as Al Qaida Air Wing By Peter Ford Continue
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How The Iran Sanctions Drama Intersects With
OPEC-plus By Pepe Escobar Continue
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British Govt Peddles Warmed Over Novichok
Muck By Moon Of Alabama Continue
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Poisoning Trump-Putin Summit By Finian Cunningham Continue
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The Amesbury Mystery By Craig Murray Continue
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Senate Intelligence Committee Prostitutes
Itself In Behalf Of Russiagate
By Paul Craig Roberts
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Nicaragua, Unraveling A Plot By Francisco Arias Fernández Continue
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America Celebrates Transition From Monarchy
To Corporatist Oligarchy By
Caitlin Johnstone
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The Constitution Is Not Neutral: By
John W. Whitehead Continue
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CONTER PUNCH ORG
Analysis on US Politics & Geopolitics
Nick
Pemberton America on
Thin ICE
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Susan
Babbitt 90
Years After the Birth of Che Guevara
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Jeffrey
St. Clair Roaming
Charges: America, Unchecked and Unbalanced
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Celina
Stien-della Croce Underst
the Conflict in Nicaragua: the Long Battle Against US Imperialism
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Ebony
Slaughter-Johnson The
Politics of Poverty in America
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Timothy P. Clark Ecological
Imperialism and the Destruction of Families.
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Fizz
Perkal Abolishing
ICE Isn’t Radical, It’s Rational
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more
business-wars: its profiteers US-NATO
China
and the Restoration of Capitalism. The Largest Cheap Labor Factory in the World By Prof Michel
Chossudovsky,
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PRESS TV
Resume of Global News described by Iranian observers..
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