lunes, 25 de abril de 2016

APR 25 16 SIT EC y POL



APR 25 16 SIT EC y POL

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WHAT THE CHANCES FOR  HILLARY IN THIS RACE?

Commented by Hugo Adan in brackets

By Thomas Knapp April 25, 2016

As a Florida Democrat told POLITICO, there are for her at list four paths

Path #1: Clinton’s health fails in a very big and very public way. She’s had multiple public fainting spells since 2005, including one resulting in a broken elbow in 2009. In 2012, she suffered a concussion and was hospitalized with cerebral venous thrombosis, a life-threatening blood clot condition. Her campaign health statement acknowledges these problems and throws in hypothyroidism to boot, although characterizing the 67-year-old as enjoying “excellent” health.
[now 71, la abuelita  olvidadiza pero de “cerebro fino”.. bien cuidado con MlLL de USD mal habidos.]

Path #2:  Clinton is indicted in, or otherwise dragged down over, the “Server-gate” affair, in which she appears to have illegally mishandled classified information while Secretary of State.
[so far above the law, “la abuelita intocable”.]

Path #3: Clinton comes to big legal or political grief over apparent connections between large donations to her family’s foundation on one hand and her actions as Secretary of State on the other. For example, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia donated $10 million to the Clinton Foundation and Boeing donated $900,000. Later, Secretary Clinton cleared a $29 billion arms deal involving the two parties. You can see how that kind of thing looks. There may be some “there” there.
[ La abuelita gana todas las guerras de big corp .. pero la nación ninguna .. ser patriota da dinero.]

Path #4: The texts of Clinton’s Wall Street speeches, for which she received millions of dollars in honoraria, are leaked. Clinton’s refusal to release those texts tells us that their release would be politically damaging. Everything comes to light sooner or later. If it’s sooner — that is, before July —  we may find out how just how damaging.
[ Acaso les enseñó como hacer fraude a los del capital buitre”? No lo creo? .. acaso contactos sobre como evadir impuestos? .. Tampoco lo creo. Si no hubo nada ilegal por qué no abre los textos?. ]

Any of these four scenarios might result in Hillary Clinton’s ignominious withdrawal from the presidential race and release of her delegates, followed by the party’s scramble for an alternative nominee. If Bernie Sanders doesn’t quit, he becomes the odds-on favorite for the job.
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[ IF HE QUITs  from the Dems party is because this instrument of the oligarchy –the bipartisan system- must be destroyed for democracy to flourish in America. If he quits is because the 1% frauds, tax evasions and war-investment are causing too much damage to the US economy and the whole nation, besides jeopardizing peace in the entire world if nukes are deployed. If Sanders quit from  the Dems party is becasuse he is honest and loyal to the promises of radical change in America. It won’t be because of money, as Hillary’s motives are.]
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ZERO HEDGE
ECONOMICS

THE COLLAPSE OF THE AMERICAN ECONOMY  Part-1
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/25/2016

Whether you support him or not, my guess is that most middle-aged Americans are very surprised about Bernie Sanders' popularity. However, it shouldn’t be a surprise given the economic stress many Americans face. The four charts below capture the essence of what I’m talking about...
The four charts below capture the essence of what I’m talking about…

A shrinking middle class and a growing lower class

Sadly, roughly 50 million Americans live below the poverty line—the largest number in our nation’s history—and the poorest 40% of all Americans now spend more than 50% of their incomes just on food and housing.
Consumer sentiment is plummeting

No wonder that consumer sentiment has been sinking fast, which is a very troubling sign for our consumer-driven economy.

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The cracks are starting to show in the housing 'recovery'. With Starts and Permits already rolling over, New Home Sales printed a disappointing 511k (vs 520k expectations), dropping 1.5% MoM. This is the 3rd monthly decline in a row - the longest such streak since July 2011. While positive for affordability, the decline MoM and YoY in median home prices (-$9,400 and -$5,400 respectively) will do nothing for The Fed's wealth-creation mandate. The West saw New Home Sales plunge 23.6% MoM while The Midwest surged 18.5%.

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The last time the S&P 500 "suffered" a Golden Cross (50-day moving average crossing bullishly above the 200-day moving average), it marked the top in December which was rapidly followed by a decline only coordinated global central manipulation could save. This time it is also being met with weakness as The Dow loses the key 18,000 mark, VIX jerks back above 14.5 and S&P is tumbling...

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Frontrunning: April 25. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/25/2016 -
  • Obama sending more forces to Syria to consolidate gains against Islamic State (Reuters)
  • Global stocks, dollar stumble ahead of Fed, BOJ meetings (Reuters)
  • The Rise and Deadly Fall of Islamic State’s Oil Tycoon (WSJ)
  • Oil Producers Lock In Once-Snubbed Prices (WSJ)
  • Yellen's Scope for Summer Rate Hike Widens as ECB Signals a Hold (BBG)
  • 11,000 jobs at risk as BHS teeters on brink (The Times)
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POLITICS
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[ What about the big sharks supporting her? .. What about Wall Street vulture donors?  .. Is Koch too small or politically  “too symbolic”  to be accepted now? .. Perhaps is only false flag & propaganda.]
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ME & WORLD ISSUES
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Just 24 hours after Goldman Sachs suggests a looming collapse in the Yen (USDJPY to 130), the Japanese currency is rallying by the most in 3 weeks against the USDollar. Having been hammered on Friday, Yen has rallied back over 100 pips this morning (pushing USDJPY back to a 110 handle) as a potential short-USDollar squeeze begins (with hedge funds net short the greenback for the first time since July 2014).
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The Bank of Japan which days ahead of a move which may see it double its ETF purchases from the current run rate of JPY3.3 trillion to JPY7 trillion or more (if Goldman is correct), is revealed to be a top 10 holder in about 90% of all Japanese stocks. Crazier still, if as Goldman predicts the BOJ doubles its purchases of ETFs, the central bank could become the No. 1 shareholder in about 40 of the Nikkei 225’s companies by the end of 2017,
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Despite oil's rebound off cyclical lows and the world's exuberance that the energy space may be saved (on the basis of headline-reading algos pumping momentum into commodity futures products that only leveraged Chinese speculators could find value in), something ugly is occurring in Saudi Arabian money-markets.There appears to be a growing funding squeeze in The Kingdom as 3-month interbank rates spike above 2% for the first time since Jan 2009 prompting King Salman to approve a 'post-oil economic plan'.

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THE COLLAPSE OF AMERICAN ECONOMY


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The dangerous divergence will then take a nasty turn. The bottom half of the 1% will now be as angry as the 99%. Any attempt by the establishment to further screw the nation by bailing themselves out will be met with violent disapproval. The country is a powder keg. The upcoming election is guaranteed to inflame opposing factions. A stock market crash in the next six months would sow the seeds of financial, political, and social upheaval not seen in this country since the 1960s. The established social order will be swept away in a swirl of chaos and retribution. The dangerous divergence will be resolved.
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GLOBAL RESEARCH


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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE


World War III Has Begun By Paul Craig Roberts
The Russian and Chinese governments have made themselves ripe for destabilization.
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"We must be ready to stand up against militarism”
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Meet the Corporate PR Firm Hired to Sell a Murderous Foreign Regime to the American Public
By Sarah Lazare.   
The firm is famously secretive, even though it has represented some of the most powerful corporations and states in the world –
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AMERICAN DEMOCRACY IS RIGGED. By Hamid Dabashi

[[ Good info .. wrong theoretical analysis .. sharia rules doesn’t apply to US politics. Case in point: If you area a woman trying to drive in Saudi Arabia: You could not.]]
The Republican and Democratic parties are functioning like two identical but competing Orwellian Ministries of Truth

This entirely undemocratic, arcane, draconian, and ipso facto rigged aspect of the US electoral system came to a crucial dead-end during the New York primaries of the Democratic and Republican parties on April 19, when Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump won their respective primaries.
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Some 20 million people live in the state of New York, of which about 8.4 million live just in New York City. .. Now, consider the fact that according to reports, "only 19.7 percent of eligible New Yorkers cast a ballot, the second-lowest voter turnout among primary states after Louisiana, according to elections expert Michael McDonald".
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This is not to mention the fact that even those who were registered Democrats and could not vote: "The Kings County Board of Elections purged 126,000 registered Democrats from the voting rolls in Brooklyn, prompting an outcry from Mayor Bill de Blasio and an audit from Comptroller Scott Stringer." .. This is not to mention the fact that even those who were registered Democrats and could not vote: "The Kings County Board of Elections purged 126,000 registered Democrats from the voting rolls in Brooklyn, prompting an outcry from Mayor Bill de Blasio and an audit from Comptroller Scott Stringer."

Whatever the cause of this "purge" (fraud or mishap), this is not the main calamity of the electoral process in the US.  The issue is the fact that less than 20 percent of eligible voters in a statewide election get to choose who the next presidential candidates in the US national elections would be. This low number is not any indication of an apathetic low voter turnout, but, in fact, is the evidence of massive voter suppression.

Now, the question is very simple:  Since when can a political party (with an obvious political agenda to promote for its own endurance) violate the inalienable right of citizenship in a republic?

SOME MORE EQUAL THAN OTHERS 
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The principle reason for this voter suppression is what they call in the US "closed primaries". What is a closed primary? .. is when they only allow voters who are registered members of a particular political party to vote in that party's primary. 
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It is not, therefore, accidental that much to Sanders and his massive supporters among independents, "Clinton has won every state so far that's held a closed primary".
If, as a citizen, you came to the conclusion that Sanders is the candidate of your choice and not Clinton, you would not be allowed to vote for him unless months ago (long before you were familiar with Sanders or his ideas), you had applied to the Democratic Party and become a member. 
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It must be a rudimentary fact [or democracy argument] to claim that if you are a citizen of a republic, you must be able to vote in any phase of any presidential (or any other) election simply by virtue of being a citizen.  .. In the US presidential primaries, these citizens are not allowed to vote unless and until they are card-carrying members of the political party conducting that primary
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So, "All animals are equal," as we learned from George Orwell's Animal Farm, "but some animals are more equal than others". 
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As a result of this blatantly undemocratic practice, if you are an independent-minded person, inform yourself if you are allowed to vote for the candidate you prefer before going to  the Democratic primaries like the one in New York. If you area a woman trying to drive in Saudi Arabia: You could not. 
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[[ You are applying the rules of Saudis to the US. You saying that voter were not allowed to vote Sanders because either he was not a candidate before this election, or voters didn’t know that inside the Dems party were not allowed democratic socialist program, like the one from Sanders. This is his 1st time running for Presid, so voters had not the chance to have a member-card to vote him now. Is this a punishment to him for not being pro-big corp and pro Wall Street inside the dems party? .. The case is that we are not voting wrong when we choose Sanders, we are right .. It would be wrong to vote Hillary and we won’t do it is she wins a nomination based  on frauds. The electoral rule foster cronyism, fraud and corruption (the buying of elections). Then, the rules are obsolete, anti-democratic and totally unfair. Then, for us -the followers of Sanders program-  there are only two choices 1-press to change the rules (time limit is CA primary). 2- get out of this oligarchical party and vote for a People’s FRONT. In short: we won’t vote Hillary if she win this fraudulent electoral race. ]]
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COUNTER PUNCH


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Margaret Kimberley. Not Feeling the Bern

This lady is very critical of Sanders advisors and the issue of REV against capitalism and disenfranchisement in the current race . She said that convicted felons can’t cast a ballot at all but what about Bernie supporters who found out they can’t vote. If they want a revolution they can start by helping others get the right to vote too.

There is a long slog ahead until the Democratic party convention in July. Hillary Clinton will continue to repulse and Bernie Sanders will claim the Pope or a king or a queen wanted to meet him [to be absent?]. That I like is her last statement: “The Sanders people need to do as the Black Agenda Report advised and plan for his eventual exit. They –Sanderss people still don’t have their Plan B.
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My question is: does Margaret Kimberley has any suggestion regarding the Plan B.?
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WASHINGTON BLOG


That the status quo–the current pyramid of wealth and power dominated by the few at the top–has failed is self-evident, but we can’t bear to talk about it.This is not just the result of a corporate media that serves up a steady spew of pro-status quo propaganda–it is also the result of self-censorship and denial.

Why do we avoid talking about the failure of the status quo? We know it is beyond reform, and we’re afraid: afraid that the promises of financial security cannot be kept, afraid of our own precariousness and fragility, and afraid of what will replace the status quo, for we all know Nature abhors a vacuum, and when the status quo crumbles, something else will take its place.

We all prefer the comforting promises of vast central states. No wonder so many Russians pine for the glory days of the Soviet Union, warts and all.

But the central bank/state model has failed, and history can’t be reversed. The failure is not rooted in superficial issues such as which political party is in power, or which regulations are enforced; the failure is structural. The very foundation of the status quo has rotted away, and brushing on another coat of reformist paint will not save our societal house from collapse.
Keep Reading
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH


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Sátira política Guía para el “golpe blando”. Atilio A. Boron
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Democracia global o neocolonialismo. Óscar Martínez
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PRESS TV


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