APR 19 16 SIT EC y POL
1-
HILLARY vs. TRUMP?
We –the socialists-
are not going to vote none of those representatives of Big Corp and mafia
investors in Wall Street .
What about you? … Are
you ready for more oligarchy and status-quo?
If not .. then join
the Social-Mov to create cells for a Democratic Socialist Party
And the move to
create the PEOPLE’s NATIONAL FRONT: as 3er option in Nov 4
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2-
THE V ICTORY of HILLARY in NY… not as expected
A week ago she had 30
point lead; now the poll said she won by 10, CNN by 4
Sanders still has a
path to the Democratic presidential nomination. His lead
In California is much
wider, while votes next week in 5 States will be shared.
If Hillary’s fraud
with super-delegates prevail.. bye bye to Dems party comes
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3-
NY : “GOOD MORNING
DISENFRANCHISEMENT”
..
The US primary
election in New York was a disaster at some polling stations on Tuesday
morning, with early voters arriving to broken machines and delayed polling.
All three voting
machines were broken at a polling place in the Queens borough of New York City
when early voters arrived at 6 am.
..
“It’s a recipe for disaster,” said George Mack,
55. “Somebody at the end of the day is going to feed (the ballots) through a
machine? I don’t have confidence in that.”
Voters in Greenpoint,
a neighborhood in the New York City borough of Brooklyn, couldn't even get
close to a voting machine. More than two hours after polls were supposed to
open at 6 am, that site was still closed.
“Polling site not
open yet,” voter Rebecca Keith tweeted: “Good morning
disenfranchisement”
Voters at Atlantic
Terminal in Brooklyn also tweeted about closed polling places around 8 am.
…
SO, Krieger was right: Hillary
Wins New York, Because NY is Running a Banana Republic Primary
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ZERO HEDGE
ECONOMICS
The economy’s capital structure remains imbalanced as
a result of the enormous amount of monetary pumping since 2008 (total TMS-2
growth since then: approx. 128%). There is a limit to this though, even if
it cannot be quantified. What can be stated though is that the greater the
boom, the greater the eventual bust usually is. There are now more and more
indications that a decisive inflection point may be quite near.
..
Below we show the ratio of
capital vs. consumer goods production. Typically this ratio will rise during
boom periods and decline during busts.
The ratio of capital
goods (business equipment) vs. consumer goods production. Normally, the ratio
peaks at the end of a boom and quickly contracts in the subsequent correction.
The beginning correction in 2012 was however arrested early by additional
monetary pumping in the form of QE3. As a result there has been an unusually
long period of sideways movement at an elevated level – click to enlarge.
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Stocks
Are In "A Far More Precarious State Than Was Ever Truly Believed
Possible". Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/19/2016
Even if the events of 2015 and early 2016 turn out to be the
end of it, it still means that full recovery in earnings and the real economy
has been pushed several years farther into the future – a far more
precarious state than was believed to ever be truly possible. To
figure, then, that there is now much, much more than a trivial chance of still
more disruption and contraction does not mix well with such durable
overvaluation.
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What
Everyone Is Missing In The Oil Supply/Demand Conundrum. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/19/2016
Most recent analyses
of oil prices have focused on the amount of mismatch between supply and demand,
and the need to craft a temporary agreement to reduce oil production. The
thing that is missing in this discussion is an analysis of buying power of
consumers. Is the problem a temporary problem, or a permanent one? Lack
of oil supply may bring a temporary spike in oil prices, but it cannot fix a
permanent problem with consumer spending around the world.
…
In order for oil
product demand to keep rising, the buying power of consumers needs to keep
rising. In other words, some combination of consumer wages and debt levels
of consumers needs to keep rising. (Rising debt is helpful because, with
more debt, it is often possible to buy goods that would not otherwise be
affordable.)
We know that in many countries, wages for lower-level workers have
stagnated for a number of reasons, including competition with wages in
lower-wage countries, computerization, and the use of automation (Figure 6). Thus, we know that low wages for a large
share of consumers may be a problem.
IMAGE LOCATION: https://gailtheactuary.files.wordpress.com/2016/01/income-top10-percent-comared-to-bottom-90.jpg?w=640
Figure 6. Chart
comparing US income gains by the top 10% to income gains by the bottom 90% by
economist Emmanuel Saez. Based on an analysis IRS data, published
in Forbes.
…
Figure 7 shows that
world debt has been falling since June 30, 2014. This is precisely the time
when world oil prices started falling.
IMAGE LOCATION: https://gailtheactuary.files.wordpress.com/2016/04/world-debt-vs-brent-oil-price.png?w=640&h=384
Figure 7. Total
non-financial world debt based on Bank for International
Settlements data and average Brent oil price for the quarter, based on
EIA data.
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Why
Negative Rates Are Positive For Gold. S- by Tyler
Durden on 04/19/2016
In the first 14
weeks of the New Year, gold rose 16%. The first quarter qualified as its
best beginning year performance in 30 years (CNBC, E. Rosenbaum, 4/14/16).
The reversal was prompted by stumbling stock markets and a series of sharply
dovish turns from central banks around the world. Perhaps the main reason
people buy gold is as a hedge against inflation. But uncertainty and fear
contributed undoubtedly to gold’s stellar first quarter rise. But will it
continue?
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Eric
Hunsader: The Financial System Is "Absolutely, Positively Rigged". S- by Tyler Durden on 04/19/16
"I've been apoplectic for so long I am just
spent. Nothing would surprise me anymore. I really honestly
don’t know how this is going to get corrected. I know it can’t continue."
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Why
Sentiment, Positioning And Price Action Is All The Matters In This Market Submitted
by Tyler Durden
on 04/19/2016. Here's
why these are the only questions that matter.
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Does
Not Compute: "Smart Money" Clients Sell Stocks For 12 Consecutive
Weeks. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/19/2016
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Damn
It Janet! Dow Loses 18k, S&P Back Under 2,100. Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 04/19/2016
They said it could never happen
again!! But stocks are not green...
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Stocks
Soar As Corporations Are Defaulting On Their Debts Like It's 2008 All Over
Again. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/19/2016
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Two
Key Soros PMs Depart Over "Disagreement About Direction Of Global
Markets".Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/19/2016. According to
Bloomberg, two of the key portfolio managers working at Soros' family office,
David Rogers and Joshua Donfeld, are leaving the firm over disagreements
with its new chief investment officer about the direction of global markets,
according to people with knowledge of the matter.
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Oil
Surges As Dollar Tumbles To June Lows; Financial Conditions "Easiest"
Since Last Summer. Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 04/19/2016 – the market
is, at least for now, convinced that the Fed is "one and done" and
that Eric Rosengren's warning that rate hikes will accelerate from here is
nothing but a hollow threat.
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S&P
500 Tops 2,100 - What Happens Next?. Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 04/19/2016. The Dow topping the all-important 18,000 level and
now S&P back above 2,100... all the while, earnings are collapsing.
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POLITICS
Paul
Craig Roberts: How The American Neocons Destroyed Mankind's Hopes For Peace.
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/19/2016
The only achievements of the American neoconservatives
are to destroy in war crimes millions of peoples in eight countries and to send
the remnant populations fleeing into Europe as refugees, thus undermining the American puppet
governments there, and to set back the chances of world peace and American
leadership by creating a powerful strategic alliance between Russia and China.
This boils down to extraordinary failure. It is time to hold the
neoconservatives accountable, not elect another puppet for them to manipulate.
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As
Expected, New York's Primary Is Already A Pathetic Mess. Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 04/19/2016. Submitted
by Mike Krieger via Liberty Blitzkrieg blog,
..
Last week, I wrote a
post titled, Hillary
Clinton Will Win New York, Because New York is Running a Banana Republic
Primary. Here’s an excerpt:
..
Unless you’ve been living in
a cave, you’ll know that New Yorkers go to the primary voting booths on April
19th. Unfortunately, only a small sliver of the population will actually
be able to vote. First, it’s a closed primary, so you have to be registered as
a member of one of the two corrupt political parties in order to participate.
As the Guardian recently reported, 27% of New York state’s active
voters were not registered in either party as of April 2016, meaning these
people will have no say in the primary. Even worse, what about all those
residents who aren’t active voters, but would very likely vote in this
particular election given the increased turnout seen in other states? They’re
iced out as well.
New York has one of the most
archaic primaries in the nation. Not only is it one of only 11 states with
closed primaries, but if you are a registered voter who wanted to change your
party affiliation in order to vote in next week’s primary, you would’ve had to
do it by last October. In contrast, if you weren’t yet a registered voter you
had until March 25th to register under one of the two parties in order to vote
in the primary. So if you live in New York and haven’t registered by now,
you can’t vote.
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"This
Is Catastrophic" - Thousands Of Gallons Of Deadly Radioactive Waste Leak
At Nuclear Storage Site. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/19/2016
Thousands of gallons of radioactive waste leaked from the
Hanford Nuclear Reservation Site in Washington State, as workers pumped sludge
from the tank during the weekend. "This
is catastrophic. This is probably the biggest event to ever happen in tank farm
history. The double shell tanks were supposed to be the saviors of all saviors
(to hold waste safely from people and the environment),” said former
Hanford worker Mike Geffre.
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Faithless delegates are preparing to switch to give Ted Cruz
a nomination that he could not persuade Republican voters to confer upon him.
Like the 1919 World Series, the fix is in.
[[ Lo que ocurre en el GOP
es solo una parte de la crisis del sistema bipartidario que no solo anula
la democracia sino la libertad del
ciudadano para votar por una 3ra opción. Este “duo-poli-power” crea para el
electorado la trampa del “mal menor” (“si uno falla, vota por el otro, nos
dicen. Lo que no dicen es que ambos Pdos son financiados por las mismas
empresas multi-millonarias que controlan el sistema político y económico del
US). El suicidio del GOP empezó cuando se permitió que el super-billonario liberal TRUMP trafique con
los dogmas ideológicos del electorado republicano: racismo y xenofobia,
mesclada con supremacismo cultural (supuesto pais “exceptional” y por encima de
Leyes Internacionales) y supremacismo
militar patrioterista (capacidad para chantajear el mundo con el poder
nuclear). Lo grave fue que en el otro polo de esta ideología “seudo-liberal” y
realmente fascista en su contenido, se permitió que el ala más conservadora –que
igual comparte la misma ideologia supremacista y racista- la manipulen los
medievales religiosos que lidera CRUZ. Este sujeto no tiene nada que vender en
política, sino solo el “agua bendita” de los desagües religiosos. Lo que
parecio una fórmula ideal para conciliar dentro del GOP a conservadores (de
viejas cucufatas) y a la nueva juventud liberaloide, termino siendo una trampa
suicida para el GOP. Trump se deshizo fácilmente de las lacras medievales, pero
perdió un 30% del electorado conservador y está a punto de perder la juventud
chovinista, que también podría fugar del partido y votar por el cambio radical
que propone Sanders. Trump quizá pueda ganar la nominación popular del GOP pero
jamas el 50% del electorado, ni la venia de los super-delegados u oligarquía
política del Pdo. Es decir, aun cuando Trump se revele contra el sistema, es
parte del sistema bi-partidario. Dentro de este sistema él está condenado a perder frente a Sanders, y
fuera del GOP, Trump no es nada, solo
una bestia cargada de dinero . Su derrota no será solo una derrota del GOP
–este Pdo podría desaparecer del escenario político-, será sobre todo una
derrota de una de las alas del bipartidismo troglodita del US.
La
crisis del partido demócrata es la otra cara de la misma crisis del sistema
bipartidario y neo-liberal. Deriva también de la
ingerencia de grandes corporaciones mafiosas que se alimentan del fraude y la corrupción
de un modelo económico ya obsoleto. Estas grandes mafias manipulan “el mercado”
globalizado del neo-liberalismo y controlan las reglas financieras del Wall
Street. Todas las grandes Corp están dentro de este sistema pero divididas y enfrentadas
a nivel interno e internacional. Mientras dentro del US unos apoyan a Ms Yellen
y sacan ventaja de su política, otros como BOFA
están en total desacuerdo y apunta hacia la decentralizacion del sistema
bancario y la destrucción del Federal. A pesar de su división interna y externa
(control del IMF y el Sist monetaio mundial)
las grandes corp han asfixiado al capital productivo y las capas medias. Es
esta contradicción la que abre espacio para la re-instalacion (adecuada al
nuevo contexto) del Glas Stegall Act que uso FDR para sacar al país y al mundo
de la 1ra gran recesión mundial. Es esa contradicción la que abre espacio para
el SOCIALISMO de Sanders, socialismo que implica apoyar al capital productivo y
protegerlo de la voracidad del capital especulador. Eso solo es posible con una
REV que empieza con la toma del poder
via elecciones y que continúa con los Referendums nacionales para obligar a que
los actores del sistema economico-político
actual se subordinen al poder Estatal y su alianza con el poder popular en
MOV. La clave de esta REV socialista es
derrotar hoy a la vocera del Wall Steet y de las mafias especuladoras, Mrs
Clinton. De no lograrlo, el Partido socialista y el Frente Popular presionaran mediante Referendum Nacionales a que cumpla
con las demandas que ofreció al pueblo.]]
QUE HACER?
Si
no es posible la derrota política de Hillary via primarias, la REV continuara
.. via construcción y acción del Frente Popular y del partido socialista .
Ambos dos trabajos deberán hacerse al mismo tiempo. Se prevé que el Pdo y el
Frente nacerán oficialmente luego de concluidas las primarias en CA. El sábado que
sigue a esas primarias nacerá el Partido para el Socialismo Democratico Rev en
America (SDR or SDA como lo decida la asamblea de delegados). La siguiente semana se crearía el Frente Popular
para participar como 3ra opción en las elecciones de Nov. Esta emergencia del
Frente depende de si Sanders es derrotado
por el fraude de los super-delegados u otros de Hillary. El Pdo para impulsar la REV socialista de
todos modos se creara una semana después de la primarias de CA: su tarea es
org, adoctrinar y movilizar los Referendums del pueblo para que quien asuma el
poder mande en sincronía con la voluntad popular. El eje del Frente es el
partido y las células que estamos creando a nivel nacional apuntan a afianzar
el socialismo democrático en América. En síntesis: los
socialistas no vamos a las elecciones para votar por ningún representante de
las Corp y mafias del Wall Street. A nosotros
no nos a venir con la trampa del “voto por el mal menor”, que no
es sino voto por mafias especuladoras, mas guerras, mas caos y status-quo. Eso es y será traición al socialismo.]]
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ME & WORLD ISSUES
As
Olympics Looms, Governor Warns Rio Is "Close To Social Collapse". S- by Tyler Durden on 04/19/2016
With feces-infested
waterways, Zika-carrying mosquitoes, a collapsing economy, and political
corruption that runs from top to bottom, Brazil is in trouble. But just a few
short weeks ahead of The Olympics, the people are revolting as Sao Paulo state governor Geraldo Alckmin
warns "Rio de Janeiro is close to social collapse" after state
payments to retirees have not been made. Of course, none of this matters as
long as Ibovespa is soaring and Real is strengthening.
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Obama
Succumbs To Saudi Pressure, Will Veto Sept 11 Lawsuit Bill. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/19/2016.
The White House and State Department are bluntly warning
lawmakers not to proceed with the legislation due to "fears" it could
have dramatic ramifications for the United States and citizens living abroad to
retaliatory lawsuits.
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
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Israel
Actively “Cooperates” with the Islamic State and Al Qaeda. Military Aid
Channelled into Syria out of the Golan Heights By Prof Michel
Chossudovsky,
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COUNTER PUNCH
Peter Kolozi – James E. Freeman. Bernie
Sanders’ Political Revolution: Think National, Act Local
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Doug Johnson Hatlem. My
Projection for Sanders v. Clinton in New York’s Primary
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Nozomi Hayase. Breaking
Up With the Corporate Duopoly of Democracy
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Tom Engelhardt. This
Article is Not About Donald Trump (And If Believe That You’ll Believe Anything)
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William John Cox. Transformation:
a Student-Led Mass Political Movement
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CJ Hopkins. Krugman the
Magician
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WASHINGTON BLOG
Empire
Files Exposes What Hillary Clinton Really Represents. Posted on April 19, 2016 by Robert
Barsocchini
VIDEO URL: https://youtu.be/PV_PLCC6jeI
The above is
devastating for Clinton and will further diminish her wavering support among
non-oligarch US citizens, relegating her to being elected by the
anti-democratic means on which she relies, from kick-backs and slush-funds to
hundreds of billions of dollars in arms sales to foreign dictators.
(Using and dealing in high-explosive devices is among Hillary’s most prominent
trademarks.)
One of the key points
in the investigation is that in what we are told is the US ‘democratic system’,
a set of oligarchs with corrupt financial ties to the elite-catering
candidates, like Hillary, literally get to have their individual votes count as
thousands upon thousands of votes.
These oligarchs,
dubbed ‘super-delegates’, bribe and support the candidate that works to make
them (and in turn the politician in question) even richer and more powerful,
and who is fine with, or in Hillary’s case gleeful
about, mass-killing any ‘unpeople’ (1984
) who stand in the way.
) who stand in the way.
Another point raised
is that Hillary’s first political work was “campaigning for the Donald Trump of
the ’60s, far right Republican” and corporate oligarch Barry Goldwater.
Goldwater was a white supremacist reacting against the burgeoning Civil Rights
movement, and Hillary was inspired. (She regularly uses white-supremacist
imagery in her own political campaigns.) She later became president of
the Young Republicans Club, and to many independent analysts and neo-cons
today, it is obvious that Hillary is herself an ideological member of the
neo-con terrorist organization.
⇒ Keep Reading
⇒ Keep Reading
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Posted on April 19, 2016 by WashingtonsBlog
By Michael Snyder, the Economic
Collapse Blog.
..
Even as stock prices soar, big corporations are defaulting
on their debts at a level that we have not seen since the last financial
crisis. In fact, this wave of debt defaults have become so dramatic that even USA
Today is reporting on it…
..
Get ready to step over some landmines, investors. The
number of companies defaulting on their debt is hitting levels not seen since
the financial crisis, and it’s not just a problem for bondholders.
So far this year, 46 companies have defaulted on
their debt, the highest level since 2009, according to S&P Ratings
Services. Five companies defaulted this week, based on the latest data
available from S&P Ratings Services. That includes New
Jersey-based specialty chemical company Vertellus Specialties
and Ohio-based iron ore producer Cliffs Natural. Of the world’s
defaults this year, 37 are of companies based in the U.S.
..
Meanwhile, coal producer Peabody Energy (BTU) and
surfwear seller Pacific Sunwear (PSUN) this week filed plans
for bankruptcy protection. Shares of Peabody have dropped 97% over the past
year to $2 a share and Pacific Sunwear stock is off 98% to 4 cents a
share.
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Posted on April 19, 2016 by Charles Hugh Smith
..
The tug of war between Bull and Bear has rarely been so
clearly matched–and the stakes have
rarely been so high.
..
Bulls are confident that central banks have their back in
2016. After all,whatever it takes
has successfully pushed equities higher for seven years. Why not an eighth?
Many Bulls also
believe the global downturn is over and higher growth is just ahead.
Bears see equities in a multi-year topping process that
is remarkably similar to the tops in 2000 and 2008. Bears see sagging profits and stagnant sales as evidence that
fundamentals no longer support historically high valuations.
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
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Crímenes de guerra de Estados Unidos
en Iraq. Felicity Arbuthnot
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De vuelta el golpismo en
Latinoamérica. Manuel E. Yepe
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Todos a las calles el día 1º de mayo.
"Huelga general para echarlos a todos
ellos y exigir elecciones generales" . PSTU
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PRESS TV
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