jueves, 19 de noviembre de 2015

NOV 19 15 SIT EC y POL



NOV 19 15 SIT EC y POL


ZERO HEDGE



“Today we got confirmation that the spinning plates of the Affordable Care Act are finally falling down, when none other than the U.S.’s biggest health insurer, UnitedHealth, cut its 2015 earnings forecast with a warning that it was considering pulling out of Obamacare, just one month after saying it would expand its presence in the program.” www.zerohedge

[ The whole health system should NOT be in the hands of private companies. This the best chance for the FED to take control of this Co, the United Health … do not give to them one single penny as bailout .. if they cannot merge with other crook Co. in the area .. The FED should set up the path for one-single-payer at national level. .. In the Health business no one is indispensable.  .. much less crook companies. ]
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“Government and consumer watchdog groups have raised concerns about the ties between the Clinton Foundation, Canadian billionaire businessman Frank Giustra and the nation of Colombia. A charitable foundation running a private equity fund is "not something one hears about commonly" and is "very concerning," according to one watchdog group who say the practice is unusual and could pose a significant conflict of interest.. www.zerohedge

[ Mrs. Clinton should be stopped. Hillary’s inefficiency as state servant cost 4 American life in Libya ..& the CIA should release info on this regard, so that she will be indicted in Court & sent her to jail.. Besides, she is the most exponential figure in the list of crony capitalists.. running for Presidence (buying  election & the Press via a super-pack of crook companies. That is her habit, she did it before when betrayed the health reform promised, she sold it to the Pharma), and she is also a danger to the whole nation because her open war-mongerism (she doesn’t promise peace but war with RU & CHI ) We don’t need more wars. Ineficiency, crony capitalism & war mongerism disqualifies her as the right person for America’s election next year.  She has not real credentials, not principals, only money. ]
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VIDEO: WHAT TO EXPECT FROM THE FED. With Charles Hugh Smith , Rick Akerman & Gordon T Long

PREMISES:
 1-"Any change in Fed intervention creates both winners and losers." . 
2- The Fed can't please everyone. 
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The issue is trade balance & the role of reserve currency
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“The global trading community requires that the issuer of the reserve currency run trade deficits large enough to satisfy the demand for reserves, while domestic audiences want a strong export sector, i.e. a trade surplus.
You can’t have it both ways: if you want to issue a reserve currency, you have to run a trade deficit that is commensurate in size with the global demand for your currency.
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Since supply and demand set price, and affects the value of the U.S. dollar: U.S. exporters want a weak dollar to spur foreign demand for their products, while foreign holders of the USD want a strong dollar that holds its value/purchasing power.
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It is impossible for any nation to maintain the reserve currency and run trade surpluses. If you run trade surpluses, you cannot supply the global economy with the currency it needs for reserves, payment of debt denominated in the reserve currency and domestic credit expansion.
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To raise interest rates, pursue multiple OBJECTIVES:
1. It's attempting to preserve its [financial-currency supremacy] credibility, which is threatened by a zero-interest-rate forever policy.

2. It's attempting to maintain its political capital [aim: make the rich richer], which is eroding as even the mainstream media has accepted the reality that Fed policy has enriched the already-wealthy at the expense of everyone else.

3. It's attempting to "normalize" interest rates without killing its favorite child, the stock market. [ knowing that rate-hike will disrupt all the market trade & currency values. ]

4. It's attempting to raise rates without upsetting the fragile global currency/debt cart. [ such upset will be the first effect. Most nations will control their C-Bank to adjust parity with the over evaluated dollar ]

Note the use of the word attempting. The Fed's success is not pre-ordained (despite its implicit claims to otherworldly powers).

If the Fed raises rates a tiny .25%, the actual impact on debtors is rather modest. But even this tiny increase has the potential to sour carry trades, i.e. speculations based on borrowing U.S. dollars (USD) and investing the money in higher-yielding (but oh-so risky) emerging market gambles. 
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[ 2.5 rise in interest rate will rise about 75% apx the amount of current sovereign debt from emerging countries. This means that the US trade-financial crisis will be transfer to their neo-colonies. ]

Those emerging market bets are denominated in the home-country currency, and as those currencies decline against the USD, the carry trade's gains are offset by foreign exchange (FX) losses.

The losers of any Fed hike in interest rates are already clear: U.S. global corporate profits have already been hit by the stronger dollar ?? and should interest rates click higher, that will further strengthen the USD. 
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[ This statement  is totally inconsistent with previous paragraphs . The fact is that “normality” of previous  super-benefits  were affected by the miss-mach tech-salaries that creates the over production, not by  zero interest rate. THE FACT: manufactures decay in the US has nothing to do with interest rate.. but with speculation frauds . The rise in interest rates will make this speculation fraud even worse. The QE that is coming with rate-hike will create over supply of dollars since emerging markets will reject USD by controlling their C-Bank and rising the parity of native currency ]

As the dollar strengthens, the $7 trillion in dollar-denominated debt in emerging markets will increase  in value relative to depreciating local currencies.  

[ Emerging economies will not depreciate more their currencies .. it is expected the reverse ]

The Fed can't please everyone. That's the dilemma. Americans in China seeks a higher USD (i.e. a Fed rate hike) because that lowers the value of China's currency the RMB (yuan), making it cheaper for Americans to buy more goods from China. While to China as State-Nation  any increase in yields will push down the value of existing Treasury bonds, so China's still-vast hoard of Treasuries will lose value should rates rise.

As I have often noted, many people assume a weakening dollar is a good thing because it makes U.S. exports cheaper. But the larger truth is that a strengthening currency raises the global purchasing power of the currency, enriching every owner of the currency and the issuing nation.

There are many cross-currents in play here, and a variety of opinions on the consequences. I join my long-time colleague Gordon T. Long and fellow blogger/writer Rick Ackerman for a wide-ranging discussion in the HOUR-LONG VIDEO What to Expect From the Fed: https://youtu.be/q2rXk0tpc-c
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MY COMMENT: besides the ones in brackets above

[ The only real winners are vulture capitalists… the big speculators who manipulate the market and do frauds and illicit sellings of  the sovereign debt of poor and emerging countries .. these multimillonaires will get app 70% increase in their profits –according to several estimates- if the interest rates go 2% up.. What this is going to create is more financial & monetary uncertainty because of the response from the target victims.. Latino countries in the South are coordinating their response and I guess the same will happens among Asian countries. En diciembre no hay Milagros, lo que viene para navidad y año Nuevo es más coordinacion para la Resistencia y la subversión anti-imperial. ]
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More COMMENTS  TO THIS ART

Rate-hike is a commercial & currency war… All Wars Are Bankers Wars! http://beforeitsnews.com/conspiracy-theories/2015/11/all-of-your-wars-ar...
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They will never raise rates.  They will be about to, then stocks will turn down, and they will say they will do it later, soon.  Stocks will go back up, they will say soon, then stocks will fall and then they won't.  This will continue forever, until the world figures out there is no gold left to buy in large amounts.  
Then the dollar will hyper-inflate and gold will be the only form of wealth.
The truth is that The Fed has been very successful at transferring real wealth to their owners....rising  and not rising interest rates won’t affect that mission.
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Thu, 11/19/2015 - 15:27 | 6814780kevinearick
A Big Nazi Sh-Show Welcome
Government is an actuarial ponzi scam, always has been, always will be. GDP measures government and its derivatives, and government grows, all out of proportion, to the benefit of those printing its paper, while special interest groups created to keep the economic slaves busy fight over the scraps. Freedom from personal responsibility is not freedom.
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Economics, is about eliminating economic mobility in prelude to war, the only possible outcome, and the US is just the latest and greatest war economy, to which the majority is completely dependent. And Silicon Valley is just the latest and greatest empire projection and surveillance system, with nothing to show for itself but phantom assets, real estate inflation. Work is a waste of time in the empire, because empire economics can only repeat.
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Thu, 11/19/2015 - 16:03 | 6814950PoasterToaster

If they raise rates the gargantuan US Government debt pile has to be negotiated at the higher rate sooner or laterThey'd have to print and dump at an accelerated rate, growing balance sheets ever faster.  Whatever effect this might have on accelerating distrust in the system is hard to gauge in a useful way.

How much of a problem this is depends on public trust in their system.  Trust is forced by dependence, which is why this is taking so long to crack.  When people realize they have alternatives to the federal reserve note (because they have no choice anymore, they are out of ways to get US currency) people will stop pretending everything is awesome, and things will get moving.
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“If the U.S. economy really is in “great shape”, then why do all of the numbers keep telling us that we are in a recession? In 2008, stocks didn’t crash until well after the U.S. economy as a whole started crashing, and the same thing is apparently happening this time around as well.” www.zerohedge
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The Fed-Induced Farce. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 11/19/2015

The Fed has created a dead end street for everyone not in their .1% clientele... We’re all muppets to the banking cabal running this morally and financially bankrupt military empire of debt.
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Some still recall how the developing problems in the sub-prime sector of the mortgage credit market were greeted by officials and countless market observers in the beginning in 2007. Meanwhile, the foundation of the economy continues to look rotten (the newest round of Fed surveys has begun with another bomb and other manufacturing-related data continue to disappoint as well). This isn’t going to end well, if history is any guide.  www.zerohedge
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Submitted by Tyler Durden on 11/19/2015 - 07:42
  • Soothing Fed sounds send shares, emerging markets higher (Reuters)
  • Belgian Police Conduct Raids in Connection With Paris Attacks (WSJ)
  • The Paris Attacks Can’t Lead to a Closed Europe (BBG)
  • Alleged Mastermind of Paris Attacks Was ‘Emir of War’ (WSJ)
  • U.S. Eyes Russia-Iran Split in Bid to End Syria Conflict (WSJ)
  • Despite tensions, Asia-Pacific nations close ranks against terrorism (Reuters)
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WASHINGTON BLOG


US president Obama hypocritically claims again to be “heartbroken” over apparently 136 innocent Parisian deaths last week; an apparent false flag attack to “justify” offensive and unlawful war on Syria. Last year, Michelle Obama used the US president’s weekly address to justify US military entering Nigeria (history/context here), pretending that her husband and she cared about 276 Nigerian girls claimed to be kidnapped. In 2013, US “leadership” shed crocodile tears over 426 dead Syrian children, while all evidence shows they were murdered by US terrorist minions to justify offensive military attack on Syria.
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Wireless power has been a dream of mankind’s for decades, but the technology finally appears to be gaining some traction. Theoretically, numerous studies have shown that wireless power is possible through a variety of aerial transmission modalities. Yet the problem with wireless power has been getting the technology to work at a reasonable range.
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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE


Someone Wants War with Russia. By Philip Giraldi
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Will The Matrix Prevail?. By Paul Craig Roberts The French government is attacking French civil liberty with legislation similar to the US PATRIOT Act.
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Paris and Freedom. By Andrew P. Napolitano
“They who can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety, deserve neither liberty nor safety  Benjamin Franklin.
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The Zionists faction among the Washington elite policymakers take positions which consistently push for wars and aggressive policies against any regime targeted by Israel.
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Is he ready to send his sons or grandson to be incinerated by mini-nukes soon in display?
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GLOBAL RESEARCH


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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH


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Opinión.  Je suis l'autre. Armando B. Ginés
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Economía, -La Moneycracia. Ho López
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Opinion. Maldito capitalismo.  lfo Bueno
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PRESS TV


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[ This title is miss-leading. After checking the tape I realize the true meaning of Carson statement. I didn’t contain any xenophobic attitude as corporate media portrayed in their wish to downplay him and favor the big millionaire- rats: H Clinton & D Trump. What Carson did say is that when a dog run streets with signs of rabies or hydrophobia –or rabia in spanish- is natural that people in fear take precaution and hide. He was describing the effects of terrorism on people in Paris and the whole Europe, now submitted to the experiment of the US Patriot Act. Why the Corp media miss-interpret Carson statement? They are afraid of Carson join Sanders to create a NATIONAL FRONT to rebuilt America and create a 3rd choice by abandoning their current crook parties. Of course the crony Hillary is very afraid of this alliance too. That is why the millionaires in both parties agreed to put down Carson and Sanders. Those parties (Dems & Reps ) are now performing electoral fraud by distorting messages from opposite contender. That is the way electoral fraud works in days previous to the election. This a dishonest way of excluding the contender. It is a mafia style of electoral fraud. We will see more of this now on. The millionaires Hillary and Trump go hand on hand in this dirty tactic. They are both financed by anonymous Super-packs. Trump manage to hide that support, but Hillary cannot do it. Her cronyism is well known & one more lie will bury her. Those super-pack are paying the distortion in the corporate media. I didn’t know that PressTV is influenced or paid by them. I trusted this media. That is why my previous comment on Carson.  So sorry Dr. Carson, I promise I will be more careful with my sources. 
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[ Wishful thinking .. It is more likely that NATO bases in Europe break-apart, than Assad be overthrown .. If NATO send troops, those will be the ones from the stinky troika Saudis, Israel & Turkey .. easy to be defeated by Assad’s army with the support of Russia, Iran & Lebanon’s Hezbollah .. peace of cake to them… If they attack Russian positions in Syria.. RU will consider this act as declaration of war and immediately will hit the stinky troika..then on the war is uncertain ]
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 [ Hillary’s war monguerism is ridiculous, pathetic & stupid .. this is not the Libya in which four Americans were sacrificed via inefficiency from Hillary  in her  post.. here could be 400, maybe 4,000 if we think in the escalation of the war.. Later on she will deny her current war-monguerism.. she is full of xenophobic attitudes .. no ethics, no principles at all.. she is menace to world peace ]
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[ Most Latinos know that America will be hit if there is a war with Russia & China. The American millionaires too, they are also escaping .. but the corporate media don’t want to talk about the real reason of this exodus. ]

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