JUN 16 SIT EC y POL
ZERO HEDGE
The
Two Contending Visions Of World Government. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 06/16/2015
"Horrified" Syriza Hardliners Back "Immediate" Greek Bank Nationalization, Euro Exit. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 06/16/2015
U.S. President Barack Obama’s proposed ‘Trade’ deals are
actually about whether the world is heading toward a dictatorial world
government - a dictatorship by the hundred or so global super-rich who
hold the controlling blocks of stock in the world’s largest international
corporations - or else toward a democratic world government - which
will be a global federation of free and independent states, much like the
United States was at its founding, but global in extent. These are two
opposite visions of world government; and Obama is clearly on the side of
fascism, an international mega-corporate dictatorship... What’s at stake
here is nothing less than whether the future of the United States, and perhaps
even of the world, will be democracy, or else fascism.
----
How
To Find What Country A Euro Note Is From. Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 06/16/2015
German notes
begin with an X, while Greek notes
start with a Y. Spain is V, France U,
Ireland T, Portugal M and Italy S. Belgium is Z, Cyprus G, Luxembourg 1, Malta
F, Netherlands P, Austria N, Slovenia H, Slovakia E and Finland L.
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What
Happened The Last Time The Fed's Balance Sheet Hit 25% Of GDP. Submitted
by Tyler Durden on 06/16/2015.
From the first rate hike by a Fed whose balance sheet as a %
of GDP was nearly identical to the current one, to the start of World War II: less
than three years.
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Prisons
Without Walls: We're All Inmates In The American Police State. Submitted
by Tyler Durden on 06/16/2015
“It is perfectly possible for a man to be out of
prison and yet not free - to be under no physical constraint and yet be a
psychological captive, compelled to think, feel and act as the representatives
of the national state, or of some private interest within the nation wants him
to think, feel and act... To him the walls of his prison are invisible and
he believes himself to be free.” - Aldous
Huxley,
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"Lehman
Weekend" Looms For Greece As Europe Readies "Emergency" Sunday
Meeting. Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 06/16/2015
European leaders may convene an emergency summit this Sunday
to decide Greece's fate as Varoufakis says no new proposal from Athens will be
tabled at Thursday's meeting of EU finance ministers. With capital controls
now imminent, and with Greece reportedly set to delay a June 30 IMF payment, a
"Lehman Weekend" looms.
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JPM's
Walk Through What Greek Capital Controls Would Look Like. Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 06/16/2015
"One particularly ugly scenario would be if the Greek authorities
resist the imposition of capital controls, claim that restrictions on bank
access to liquidity have been unjustly imposed, and then seek to use the
antipathy that creates among the Greek population to begin to argue toward an
exit from the euro. This is a scenario we have accorded a low probability to,
on the grounds that it is not clear that the Greek population would follow the
script and regard the situation as primarily the responsibility of the rest of
the region. But the increasingly hot rhetoric has us more concerned about
this than we have been hitherto."
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We
Might As Well Face It – America Is Addicted To Debt. Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 06/16/2015.
Anyone that believes that this is
“sustainable” in any way, shape or form is crazy. We have
accumulated the greatest mountain of debt that the world has ever seen, and yet
despite all of the warnings we just continue to race forward into financial
oblivion. There is no possible way that this is
going to end well.
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The
Warren Buffett Economy, Part 5: Why Its Days Are Numbered. by
David Stockman via Contra Corner blog.
Submitted by Tyler Durden
on 06/16/2015
Today’s style of heavy-handed monetary central planning
destroys capitalist prosperity. Real capitalism cannot thrive unless
inventive and enterprenurial genius is rewarded with outsized fortunes. Warren
Buffett’s $73 billion net worth, and numerous like and similar financial
gambling fortunes that have arisen since 1987, are not due to genius; they are
owing to adept surfing on the $50 trillion bubble that has been generated by
the central bank Keynesianism of Alan Greenspan and his successors.
…
Here only extracts:
Real capitalism cannot thrive unless inventive and
entrepreneurial genius is rewarded with outsized fortunes. But
as I have demonstrated in Parts 1-4 (Part
1, Part
2, Part
3, Part
4), Warren Buffett’s $73 billion net worth, and numerous like and
similar financial gambling fortunes that have arisen since 1987, are
not due to genius; they are owing to adept surfing on the $50 trillion
bubble that has been generated by the central bank Keynesianism of Alan
Greenspan and his successors.
Free market interest rates cured speculative excesses. The very
prospect of a 27-year bubble which took finance (credit market debt outstanding
plus the market value of non-financial corporate
equities) from $7 trillion to $93 trillion, as occurred between 1987
and 2015, would not have been imaginable or possible. The great
speculators of the day like Jay Cooke ended up broke after 10 years, not
worth $73 billion after three decades.
Notwithstanding the inherent
self-correcting, anti-bubble nature of the free market, defenders of the Fed
argue the US economy would be forever parched for credit and liquidity without
the constant injections of the Federal Reserve. But that is a hoary myth.
In a healthy and honest free market, credit is supplied by savers who have
already produced real goods and services, and have chosen to allocate a
portion to future returns.
In Part 6, the difference between fiat credit and honest
savings will be further explored. It is the fundamental dividing line between
bubble finance and healthy capitalist prosperity.
Needless to say, the claim that the economy would be
worse off if it was based on real savings rather than central bank credit
conjured from thin air is the Big Lie on which the entire regime of monetary
central planning is based. It is also the lynchpin of the Warren Buffett
economy.
It is not surprising, therefore, that free market finance
is an unknown concept in today’s world. All of the powers of Wall
Street and Washington militate against it.
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"We're
Not All Equal When It Comes To Water" - Rich Californians Blast
Conservation Efforts. Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 06/16/2015
"People should not be forced to golf on brown courses..."
"What are we supposed to do, just have dirt around
our house?!"
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"Horrified" Syriza Hardliners Back "Immediate" Greek Bank Nationalization, Euro Exit. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 06/16/2015
Caught between a recalcitrant Left Platform and exasperated
creditors, Greek PM Alexis Tsipras must decide how he wants history to
remember his tenure as Prime Minister. Either he will be the leader who
allowed Greece to crash out of the euro on its way to a redomination-driven
economic collapse, or he will go down as the fiery advocate for change who
caved under pressure and allowed the troika to stamp out democracy in the place
where it was born.
----
"Free
Labor" Or "Slave Labor" - Hillary's Unpaid Intern Hypocrisy.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 06/16/2015
What difference does it make? In yet another gross
exposure of Hillary hypocrisy, The
Guardian reports that the great savior of "everyday Americans",
promising to fight for fairness for working Americans; She who proclaims $15
per hour minimum wage is fair for all, is in the midst of a 'hiring freeze'
of paid organizing positions, forcing experienced grassroots campaign
workers to offer their services for free, unpaid internships.
Perhaps, a rephrasing of the campaign slogan should be "do as I say, not
as I do."
----
The Economic
Alamo. Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 06/16/2015
It’s a common assumption that governments exist in order to
serve the people of a country and that in order to do so, they must be accorded
the necessary evils of power and taxation. In fact, we believe the opposite is
true: that in the perception of those who rule, power and the ability to
exact tax are the very purpose of government, and service to the people is
merely a justification for that pursuit. This condition is perennial.
The world’s tax havens therefore are the economic Alamo - the last holdout
against world economic domination.
----
Well
That Was Not Supposed To Happen. Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 06/16/2015
The bigger they are the harder
they will eventually fail... and the more taxpayer funds will be
confiscated to fix them!
----
As Greek Bonds & Stocks Crash, Here's Who Keeps Catching The Falling Knife. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 06/16/2015
Greek 10Y yields are breaking back above 13%, bonds ar
trading at 50 cents on the dollar, Greek stocks are near multi-decade lows, and
Greek bank bonds have collapsed amid the ever-more-likely Grexit (or at
least redenomination amid capital controls). But, there are some very smart
chaps who must know something Tsipras, Merkel, and the rest of the world does
not... because they are spending "Other People's Money" to buy the
dip in Greek stocks and bonds. From Allianz and PIMCO (the world's
lagest Greek bondholder ex-ECB) to Putnam and Wilbur Ross, it seems more
than a few American investors will be impacted should Greece really implode.
Here's Who Keeps
Catching The Falling Knife [ vulture capital or capital
buitre ]
American billionaire Wilbur
Ross (and his friends) are BTFDing...
On paper Mr. Ross and the other investors have already
lost hundreds of millions of euros.
The other investors allied with Mr. Ross include Fairfax
Financial Holdings in Toronto, whose founder and chief executive, Prem Watsa,
is known as the Warren E. Buffett of Canada.
Allianz SE, Europe’s biggest
insurer and asset manager, increased
its holdings of Greek sovereign debt to more than 1.2 billion euros ($1.4
billion) from about 1 billion euros reported in May.
Allianz, through its asset manager Pimco Investment Management Co., had
the largest holdings of Greek bonds of any investor after the European Central
Bank, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Other top investors in Greek debt are
Boston-based Putnam Investments
with 469.9 million euros and Carmignac Gestion SA, a French asset manager, with
424.1 million euros, the data showed.
As a reminder, "Disorderly Default" is now the most likely
outcome for Greece... there are five scenarios that could play out for Greece,
a happy ending is the least likely, Karsten Junius, chief economist at Bank J
Safra Sarasin, writes. Here the five
scenarios:
1) Disorderly default: 35%
likelihood
Greece defaults, but pays maturing bonds and loans solely on
basis of cash position; creditors would have incentive to continue talks to
prevent a total loss. Capital controls would be necessary to keep Greece in
euro
2) Orderly default, within
euro: 25%
Greece defaults, with prospect of new talks with creditors,
who want part of the debt serviced in return for aid that would allow Hellenic
Republic to keep euro. Capital controls would be likely; Greece might have to
issue IOUs for some domestic payments
3) Interim solution: 20%
Eurogroup offers a bridging loan, which prevents Greece
defaulting on its debts this summer
4) “Sticky-end” or orderly
default, with euro-exit: 15%
Greece makes a clear break with creditors, embarks on its
own monetary-policy course
5) Happy ending: 5%
Greece agrees on M-T adjustment program, which enables it to
return to stronger growth path
Charts: Bloomberg
Related doct: Forget
"Happy Endings" - One Bank Sees Greek "Disorderly Default"
As The Most Likely Outcome
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There
Is One Problem With Europe's So-Called Austerity. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 06/16/2015
The one most recurring laments coming out of peripheral
European countries which boast near record youth unemployment, in most cases
around the 50% area, is that the only reason why there is no growth is due to
"evil austerity", imposed upon them by Germany and other frugal
Northern Europe overseerers, who do not permit the rampant issuance of debt to
fund domestic spending and fiscual stimulus programs. There
is one problem with that: the peripheral European countries are not only
issuing debt at a pace that is greater than the "pre-austerity"
period, but these nations' debt to GDP ratios have never been higher!
----
Brazil
Retail Sales Drop Most On Record, Goldman Warns Will Get Worse. Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 06/16/2015
Just
a few months ago, we warned Brazil's economy was on the verge of collapse
as the fiscal situation was deteriorating rapidly. It appears, judging by the
most recent data from the oil-rich nation, that we were right. Core retail
sales declined 3.5% YoY during April (weakest print since Aug 2003) and broad
retail sales declined by an even larger 8.5% YoY (lowest on record), and as
Goldman warns, the outlook for private consumption and retail sales in the
near term remains very weak.
----
Bitcoin
Spikes As Greeks Follow Cyprus "Template". Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 06/16/2015
In
March/April 2013, Bitcoin prices started to soar as Dijsselbloem's
"template" applied to
Cyprus prompted many to rethink money entirely. As the reality of a
possible Grexit looms and Capital Controls are denied (just as they were in
Cyprus), so Bitcoin prices are once again surging (up 10% in the last
few days) as non-fiat currency once again becomes bid.
----
The
Second Nuclear Arms Race Arrives: Russia Will Add 40 ICBMs In 2015 In Response
To "NATO Encroachment". Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 06/16/2015
With the US and Russia in a state of (renewed) cold war for
over a year now, it was inevitable that that "other", far more
important attribute of the first Cold War would soon return: the nuclear arms
race. And indeed it did just around dinner time in Russia today when speaking at an arms race fair,
president Putin said that Russia will put more than 40 new intercontinental
ballistic missiles into service in 2015 as part of a wide-reaching program to
modernize the military.
----
What's
The Real Unemployment Rate In The US?. by
Charles Hugh-Smith of OfTwoMinds blog. Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 06/16/2015
Officially, the unemployment rate in the U.S. is 5.6%,
meaning 5.6% of the work force is temporarily out of a job and actively seeking
another one. But these do not feel like good times for most households,
despite the low unemployment rate. By our reckoning, roughly 60% of the
civilian work force is fully employed and 40% are marginally employed or
unemployed.
By my reckoning, roughly 60% of the civilian work force
is fully employed and 40% are marginally employed (i.e. earning
less than $15,000 annually) or unemployed. Since full-time workers even at
minimum wage earn close to $15,000 annually, I think it is fair to use that as
the cut-off for fully employed. The BLS counts 121 million people asusually
work full-time, but given only 100 million workers earn $15,000 or more,
this doesn't add up unless we include self-employed people earning very little
who are counted as full-time workers.
Based on income, I set the fully employed rate at
60%, and the marginally employed/unemployed rate at 40%. If we
accept the BLS's 121 million full-time jobs (which once again, this doesn't
make sense given even minimum wage full-time jobs earn $14,500, and 50 million
people report earnings of less than $15,000), we still get a marginally
employed/unemployed rate of 25%: work force of 160 million, 121 million fully
employed.
These numbers align much better with the real economy
than the official unemployment rate of 5.6%. It's nonsense to count
everyone earning a few hundred or few thousand dollars annually as being
employed in the same category as full-time workers or those earning $15,000 or
more annually.
----
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"Lehman Weekend" Looms For Greece As Europe Readies "Emergency" Sunday Meeting. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 06/16/2015
European leaders may convene an emergency summit this Sunday
to decide Greece's fate as Varoufakis says no new proposal from Athens will be
tabled at Thursday's meeting of EU finance ministers. With capital controls
now imminent, and with Greece reportedly set to delay a June 30 IMF payment, a
"Lehman Weekend" looms.
----
"Eurozone
Breakup" Fears Soar As Fund Managers Now Think Probability Of Greek Deal
Same As Default. Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 06/16/2015
While the optimistic bias is shifting, if slowly, one place
where the "fund managers" are at least admitting that things are
changing for the worse in Europe is their latest, June, estimation of the
biggest tail risks. Here, while "geopolitical crisis" and a
behind-the-curve Fed still remain in the top two "tail risks", at 21%
and 20% respectively, just as they were last month, what is concerning is the
third most prevalent fear which, at 18%, is a Eurozone breakup. It is
notable that one month ago this fear did not even register, suggesting
just how fragile the Eurozone was and still remains.
----
Russian
Pivot: Greek PM Schedules Putin Meeting Ahead Of "Lehman Weekend".
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 06/16/2015
With his back against the wall, and with Syriza party
hardliners apparently no closer to backing concessions, Alexis Tsipras looks
set to once again play the ‘Russian pivot” card, as the Kremlin says a
“working meeting” between the Greek PM and Russian President Vladimir Putin is
now scheduled for Friday in St. Petersburg.
----
Tsipras
Slams "Criminal" IMF In Defiant Speech. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 06/16/2015
In the wake of reports that Greece could be headed for a
"Lehman Weekend" complete with capital controls and an
"emergency" Sunday meeting, the headlines are coming fast and furious
on Tuesday morning, with Tsipras calling the IMF's stance
"criminal" and Merkel digging in for the worst.
----
Bank
Of America Begins 66-Day Countdown Until The "Ghost Of 1937" Returns. Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 06/16/2015
The last time the Fed tried to exit a period of massive
balance sheet expansion coupled with ZIRP - back in 1937 - its strategy
completely failed. The Fed tightening in H1’37 was followed in H2’37 by a
severe recession and a 49% collapse in the Dow Jones. This is the ghost of
1937 and it is about to make a repeat appearance.
----
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 06/16/2015 - 07:35
- Greek PM sticks to hard line as contagion hits euro zone bonds (Reuters)
- Greek Deadlock Has Leader Hoping for Miracle to Avoid Default (BBG)
- Greek Showdown Puts Merkel's Teflon Legacy at Risk (BBG)
- Greek standoff saps Europe, dollar swings ahead of Fed (Reuters)
- Allianz Increased Holdings of Greek Debt as Its Largest Investor (BBG)
- French Bonds Infected as Greek Crisis Swells Euro-Region Spreads (BBG)
- Statoil to cut 1,500 more jobs as savings drive intensifies (FT)
- UnitedHealth, Anthem Seek to Buy Smaller Rivals (WSJ)
- Five Million Reasons Why China Could Go to War (BBG)
----
It’s
Not Only Greece This Morning.. Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 06/16/2015
It’s not only Greece this morning. Things just don’t seem to
be functioning smoothly anywhere. More arrests in Hong Kong, delays to the
Shenzhen-Hong Kong Exchange link, Kuroda having to say he didn’t mean what he
said, weaker start to the new month’s numbers in the U.S., an Indian export
number that put paid to any hopes of a reversal of what has been an inexorable
six-month collapse, disappointing European car sales (slowest in 6 months) with
noted weakness in Latin America being cited, peripheral bond spreads widening
out, Spanish 10-yr hitting highest yield in 10 months.
----
Global
Risk Off From China To Europe To US, As Greek Impasse Hits Markets. Submitted
by Tyler Durden on 06/16/2015
Another day of constant Grexit chatter, and this time the
futures are really starting to react as what was seen as mostly impossible for
the past 4 months is now almost inevitable. The first tremors emerged when
Greece announced
it would not present a new proposal to the Eurogroup to unlock aid, relying
instead on what has already been submitted and which the Troika said was
inadequate. Then, confusing matters, a new GPO poll posted on Greece's Mega TV
showed that increasingly more, or over 56% at last count, of Greece would
prefer a "bad" deal with creditors than being kicked out of the
Eurozone putting the future of Tsipras' cabine tin jeopardy. And then, hinting
that the endgame is officially here, the FT reported that "Eurozone
officials discuss holding emergency summit on Greece", suggesting a
second Lehman weekend may be just around the corner.
----
FUTURE FAST FORWARD
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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE
Russia Says Will Retaliate if US Weapons
Stationed on its Borders
By Reuters
A plan by Washington to station tanks and heavy weapons in NATO states on Russia's border would be the most aggressive U.S. act since the Cold War, and Moscow would retaliate.
By Reuters
A plan by Washington to station tanks and heavy weapons in NATO states on Russia's border would be the most aggressive U.S. act since the Cold War, and Moscow would retaliate.
----
Putin's Ukraine Strategy Explained by Top
Russian Politician
Video and Transcript
Why Putin doesn't recognize Donetsk and Lugansk republics and why they have to stay within Ukraine.
Video and Transcript
Why Putin doesn't recognize Donetsk and Lugansk republics and why they have to stay within Ukraine.
====
The
Anglo-American Insanity
By Finian Cunningham
The diabolical shame is that these insane people are capable of bringing cataclysm upon millions of innocent human beings.
By Finian Cunningham
The diabolical shame is that these insane people are capable of bringing cataclysm upon millions of innocent human beings.
----
Break the
"Defense" Industry Across the Knee of Democracy
By William Rivers Pitt
People in the US have been hypnotized into thinking war is some magical nowhere-land where soldiers win glory for the Stars and Stripes ...
By William Rivers Pitt
People in the US have been hypnotized into thinking war is some magical nowhere-land where soldiers win glory for the Stars and Stripes ...
----
Don’t Honor
the Troops
By Fred Reed
Patriotism? “Love of country” is an after-market add-on, good for a drink or a pat on the back at the Legion–nothing more.
By Fred Reed
Patriotism? “Love of country” is an after-market add-on, good for a drink or a pat on the back at the Legion–nothing more.
----
The
Semantics of Terrorism
By Edward S. Herman
US power has been so great that it has been able to use massive terror against countries such as Iraq and Serbia under the cover of international authority, while protecting the terrorism of its client states such as Indonesia and Israel.
By Edward S. Herman
US power has been so great that it has been able to use massive terror against countries such as Iraq and Serbia under the cover of international authority, while protecting the terrorism of its client states such as Indonesia and Israel.
====
Death
Penalty: The Ultimate Corrupt, Big Government Program
By Ron Paul
Until the death penalty is abolished, we will have neither a free nor a moral society.
By Ron Paul
Until the death penalty is abolished, we will have neither a free nor a moral society.
----
Syriza:
Plunder, Pillage and Prostration. (How the ‘Hard Left’ embraces the policies of
the Hard Right) By James Petras
Syriza’s political decision to ‘embed’ in the EU and the
Eurozone, at all costs, signals that Greece will continue to be vassal
state.
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
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RT-SPUTNIK & RECENT VIDEO SHOWS
If Washington
Deploys F-22s in Europe, Russia Will 'Respond in Kind'. Related Art: Eternal
Vigilance: Russian Attack Jets to Fly 1,800 Sorties by Year-End. Sputnik
----
Over 40 intercontinental ballistic missiles will be
delivered to Russia’s strategic forces in 2015, President Vladimir Putin
announced at the opening ceremony of the Army-2015 Expo, an international
military forum held near Moscow.
“This year, our nuclear forces are going to get more than 40
intercontinental ballistic missiles capable of penetrating all existing, even
the most advanced missile defenses,” the Russian resident said, adding that
the state would persist in paying specific attention to realization of a
massive military rearmament program and modernization of the defense industry,
Putin said.
----
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Forces against NATO
in Europe growth up: 'Europe of nations and
freedom': Le Pen announces new far-right bloc in the European Parliament.
RT
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Andrew Korybko. What’s
Going on in Guatemala?. Sputnik
----
NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
----
Ecuador. Notas para comprender la crisis
polÃtica de Alianza PaÃs, el resurgir de la derecha neoliberal y las tareas de
la izquierda libertaria. Carlos Pazmiño. Una última oportunidad
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Otro mundo es posible. Una interpretación “alternativa” de la TeorÃa Monetaria. Enric Llopis. Reseña de “Los siete fraudes capitales de la polÃtica económica” (Ed. Attac), de Warren Mosler
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Perspectivas y luchas del campesinado. Eberto DÃaz Montes
----
Esta vez me toca detenerme en el artÃculo del
8/6/2015 titulado “esto es otitis y no macana” de Adrian Simeoni http://www.lavoz.com.ar/politica/esto-si-es-otitis-y-no-macana .
A mi ver Simeoni no elaboró nada propio, le
puso condimento a un artÃculo “viral” emanado del diario español El PaÃs del
7/6/2015 http://elpais.com/elpais/2015/06/07/opinion/1433702012_108896.html
Y que fue excelentemente rebatido por Rosa
Guevara Landa en artÃculo titulado “La
contraofensiva Felipista Global imperial” que puede leerse en nuestro
blog : https://somossurnuestroamericano.wordpress.com/
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PRESS TV
Yemen’s
Houthi leader delivering speech.
Tue Jun 16, 2015 The leader of Yemen’s Houthi movement, Abdul-Malik al-Houthi,
is delivering a speech on the latest developments regarding Yemen.
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'US
provoking Russia as false enemy'. Tue Jun 16, 2015 The United States is
escalating tensions with Russia because it needs enemies for distracting the
American people, a US military veteran says.
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‘IMF
bears liability for Greek crisis’. Tue Jun 16, 2015 The Greek premiers
say the International Monetary Fund (IMF) bears “criminal responsibility” for
the ongoing economic crisis in Greece.
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Unsafe
asthma prescriptions endemic in UK. Tue Jun 16, 2015 A new study
suggests that tens of thousands of Britons suffering from asthma are not
getting the proper medication for their condition.
[ The same situation happens in America .. Both US-UK are twins
in the nasty health business ]
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Russia
to beef up nuclear arsenal. Tue Jun 16, 2015 Russia is to beef up its
nuclear arsenal with over 40 new ballistic missiles, Russian President Putin
says.
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