jueves, 2 de abril de 2015

APR 2 SIT EC Y POL: PLAN of ACTION AGREED on IRAN



APR 2 SIT EC Y POL

NEWS ABOUT PLAN of ACTION AGREED between  IRAN-US- AND FIVE WORLD POWERS

ZERO HEDGE. Com  Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/02/2015
In case anyone is curious what today's theater is all about. Because IT'S NOT A "DEAL", it's a "Parameters for a Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action" Here the Doct signed:
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PARAMETERS FOR A JOINT COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF ACTION REGARDING THE ISLAMIC REPUBLIC OF IRAN’S NUCLEAR PROGRAM
[Numbers added instead of dots by Hugo Adan]

Below are the key parameters of a Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) regarding the Islamic Republic of Iran’s nuclear program that were decided in Lausanne, Switzerland. These elements form the foundation upon which the final text of the JCPOA will be written between now and June 30, and reflect the significant progress that has been made in discussions between the P5+1, the European Union, and Iran. Important implementation details are still subject to negotiation, and nothing is agreed until everything is agreed. We will work to conclude the JCPOA based on these parameters over the coming months.
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I- ENRICHMENT
1.
Iran has agreed to reduce by approximately two-thirds its installed centrifuges. Iran will go from having about 19,000 installed today to 6,104 installed under the deal, with only 5,060 of these enriching uranium for 10 years. All 6,104 centrifuges will be IR-1s, Iran’s first-generation centrifuge.
2
Iran has agreed to not enrich uranium over 3.67 percent for at least 15 years.
3
Iran has agreed to reduce its current stockpile of about 10,000 kg of low-enriched uranium (LEU) to 300 kg of 3.67 percent LEU for 15 years.
4
All excess centrifuges and enrichment infrastructure will be placed in IAEA monitored storage and will be used only as replacements for operating centrifuges and equipment.
5
Iran has agreed to not build any new facilities for the purpose of enriching uranium for 15 years.
6
Iran’s breakout timeline – the time that it would take for Iran to acquire enough fissile material for one weapon – is currently assessed to be 2 to 3 months. That timeline will be extended to at least one year, for a duration of at least ten years, under this framework.

II- IRAN WILL CONVERT ITS FACILITY AT FORDOW SO THAT IT IS NO LONGER USED TO ENRICH URANIUM
7
Iran has agreed to not enrich uranium at its Fordow facility for at least 15 years.
8
Iran has agreed to convert its Fordow facility so that it is used for peaceful purposes only  – into a nuclear, physics, technology, research center.
9
Iran has agreed to not conduct research and development associated with uranium enrichment at Fordow for 15 years.
10
Iran will not have any fissile material at Fordow for 15 years
11
Almost two-thirds of Fordow’s centrifuges and infrastructure will be removed. The remaining centrifuges will not enrich uranium. All centrifuges and related infrastructure will be placed under IAEA monitoring.

III- IRAN WILL ONLY ENRICH URANIUM AT THE NATANZ FACILITY, WITH ONLY 5,060 IR-1 FIRST-GENERATION CENTRIFUGES FOR TEN YEARS.
12
Iran has agreed to only enrich uranium using its first generation (IR-1 models) centrifuges at Natanz for ten years, removing its more advanced centrifuges.
13
Iran will remove the 1,000 IR-2M centrifuges currently installed at Natanz and place them in IAEA monitored storage for ten years.
14
Iran will not use its IR-2, IR-4, IR-5, IR-6, or IR-8 models to produce enriched uranium for at least ten years. Iran will engage in limited research and development with its advanced centrifuges, according to a schedule and parameters which have been agreed to  by the P5+1.
15
For ten years, enrichment and enrichment research and development will be limited to ensure a breakout timeline of at least 1 year. Beyond 10 years, Iran will abide by its enrichment and enrichment R&D plan submitted to the IAEA, and pursuant to the JCPOA, under the Additional Protocol resulting in certain limitations on enrichment capacity.

IV- INSPECTIONS AND TRANSPARENCY
16
 The IAEA will have regular access to all of Iran’s nuclear facilities, including to Iran’s enrichment facility at Natanz and its former enrichment facility at Fordow, and including the use of the most up-to-date, modern monitoring technologies.
17
Inspectors will have access to the supply chain that supports Iran’s nuclear program. The new transparency and inspections mechanisms will closely monitor materials and/or components to prevent diversion to a secret program.
18
Inspectors will have access to uranium mines and continuous surveillance at uranium mills, where Iran produces yellowcake, for 25 years.
19
 Inspectors will have continuous surveillance of Iran’s centrifuge rotors and bellows  production and storage facilities for 20 years. Iran’s centrifuge manufacturing base will  be frozen and under continuous surveillance.
20
 All centrifuges and enrichment infrastructure removed from Fordow and Natanz will be  placed under continuous monitoring by the IAEA.
21
A dedicated procurement channel for Iran’s nuclear program will be established to monitor and approve, on a case by case basis, the supply, sale, or transfer to Iran of certain nuclear-related and dual use materials and technology – an additional transparency measure.
22
Iran has agreed to implement the Additional Protocol of the IAEA, providing the IAEA much greater access and information regarding Iran’s nuclear program, including both declared and undeclared facilities.
23
Iran will be required to grant access to the IAEA to investigate suspicious sites or allegations of a covert enrichment facility, conversion facility, centrifuge production facility, or yellowcake production facility anywhere in the country.
24
Iran has agreed to implement Modified Code 3.1 requiring early notification of construction of new facilities.
25
Iran will implement an agreed set of measures to address the IAEA’s concerns regarding the Possible Military Dimensions (PMD) of its program.

V- REACTORS AND REPROCESSING
26
Iran has agreed to redesign and rebuild a heavy water research reactor in Arak, based on a design that is agreed to by the P5+1, which will not produce weapons grade plutonium, and which will support peaceful nuclear research and radioisotope production.
27
The original core of the reactor, which would have enabled the production of significant quantities of weapons-grade plutonium, will be destroyed or removed from the country.
28
Iran will ship all of its spent fuel from the reactor out of the country for the reactor’s lifetime.
29
Iran has committed indefinitely to not conduct reprocessing or reprocessing research and development on spent nuclear fuel.
30
Iran will not accumulate heavy water in excess of the needs of the modified Arak reactor, and will sell any remaining heavy water on the international market for 15 years.
31
Iran will not build any additional heavy water reactors for 15 years.

VI- SANCTIONS
32
 Iran will receive sanctions relief, if it verifiably abides by its commitments.
33
U.S. and E.U. nuclear-related sanctions will be suspended after the IAEA has verified that Iran has taken all of its key nuclear-related steps. If at any time Iran fails to fulfill its commitments, these sanctions will snap back into place
34
The architecture of U.S. nuclear-related sanctions on Iran will be retained for much of the duration of the deal and allow for snap-back of sanctions in the event of significant non-performance.
35
All past UN Security Council resolutions on the Iran nuclear issue will be lifted simultaneous with the completion, by Iran, of nuclear-related actions addressing all key concerns (enrichment, Fordow, Arak, PMD, and transparency).
36
However, core provisions in the UN Security Council resolutions – those that deal with transfers of sensitive technologies and activities – will be re-established by a new UN Security Council resolution that will endorse the JCPOA and urge its full implementation. It will also create the procurement channel mentioned above, which will serve as a key transparency measure. Important restrictions on conventional arms and  ballistic missiles, as well as provisions that allow for related cargo inspections and asset freezes, will also be incorporated by this new resolution.
37
A dispute resolution process will be specified, which enables any JCPOA participant, to seek to resolve disagreements about the performance of JCPOA commitments.
38
If an issue of significant non-performance cannot be resolved through that process, then all previous UN sanctions could be re-imposed.
39
U.S. sanctions on Iran for terrorism, human rights abuses, and ballistic missiles will remain in place under the deal.

VII- PHASING
40
For ten years, Iran will limit domestic enrichment capacity and research and development  – ensuring a breakout timeline of at least one year. Beyond that, Iran will be bound by its longer-term enrichment and enrichment research and development plan it shared with the P5+1.
41
For fifteen years, Iran will limit additional elements of its program. For instance, Iran will not build new enrichment facilities or heavy water reactors and will limit its stockpile of enriched uranium and accept enhanced transparency procedures.
42
Important inspections and transparency measures will continue well beyond 15 years. Iran’s adherence to the Additional Protocol of the IAEA is permanent, including its significant access and transparency obligations. The robust inspections of Iran’s uranium supply chain will last for 25 years.
43
Even after the period of the most stringent limitations on Iran’s nuclear program, Iran will remain a party to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), which prohibits Iran’s development or acquisition of nuclear weapons and requires IAEA safeguards on its nuclear program

TOTAL: 4 PAGES, 7 titles & 43 points  of "Parameters for a Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action"
THANKS to Tyler Durden from www.zerohedge.com

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HOW THE PRESS DESCRIBES THIS DOCT: framework (euronews);  initial deal (reuters);  nuke-deal-crucial frame (AP); outline-draft of nuke-deal (BBC). Let’s check:

It has been agreed that more than two thirds of Iran’s enrichment capacity will be decommisioned and monitored for 10 years if the parties can reach a comprehensive agreement by June 30.
If there is a final deal, Tehran would ship abroad most of its enriched uranium stocks.
Different restrictions on Iran’s nuclear programme would continue for a quarter century. In return for compliance, international sanctions will be gradually lifted.
Iran’s president said that drafting the comprehensive agreement would start immediately.
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LAUSANNE, Switzerland (Reuters) - Iran and world powers reached a framework agreement on Thursday on curbing Iran's nuclear program for at least a decade.
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AP-  Nuke deal: World powers, Iran reach crucial framework
LAUSANNE, Switzerland (AP) - After marathon negotiations, the United States, Iran and five other world powers announced an agreement Thursday outlining limits on Iran's nuclear program to block it from developing atomic weapons and directing negotiators toward a final accord this summer. The United States and Iran each hailed the framework, reached by weary but upbeat diplomats after a week of intense diplomacy in Switzerland that capped 18 months of negotiations. Speaking from the White House, President Barack Obama called it a "good deal" that would address concerns about Iran's nuclear ambitions.  http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/fronts/HOME?SITE=AP
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BBC .  An outline agreement on the future shape of the Iranian nuclear programme is reached after marathon talks between Iran and six major powers in Switzerland. http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-32166814



ZERO HEDGE




Greece Said To Prepare "Grexit", Drachma, Bank Nationalization Plans. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/02/2015. "Greece is drawing up drastic plans to nationalise the country's banking system and introduce a parallel currency to pay bills unless the eurozone takes steps to defuse the simmering crisis and soften its demands," The Telegraph reports, contradicting officials' "categorical" denial that the country faces a cash crunch and possible default as early as April 9. Will the curtain finally fall on the long-running tragicomedy that is the Greco-Euro standoff?

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What Would Happen If Martial Law Was Declared In America?. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/02/2015. In recent weeks, there has been a lot of concern that an upcoming eight week military exercise on U.S. soil known as “Jade Helm” is actually a dress rehearsal for the imposition of martial law in this country. As our world becomes increasingly unstable, and as our society rapidly decays from within, many believe that it is only a matter of time before the executive branch will have sufficient excuse to use the extensive martial law powers that it has been accumulating since 9/11. When that day arrives, what will our nation look like? What would actually happen if martial law was declared in America?

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The Tragedy Of The American Farmer, Revealed In A Craiglist "For Sale" Post. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/02/2015. "I think $8,900 is a fair price. But if you want to pay more, then that's fine too......... My goodness! Dec corn got slaughtered yesterday...... down another 20 cents after the Planting Intentions report....... Let's make it $8,500 and everyone goes home a winner!"
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Behind On Your Student Loans? These States Will Take Your Driver's License. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/02/2015 Before you think about holding out for a taxpayer government-sponsored bailout on your student loans, you may want to check the laws in your state because as it turns out, you may end up losing your driver’s license or worse, your barber’s license.
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If We're Going To Borrow Against The Future, Let's Borrow To Invest. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/02/2015. We are at an important juncture as a global society: either we immediately prioritize a new trajectory focused on creating a positive, functional future or -- by continuing the consumptive, extractive, exploitative status quo -- we will default into a nasty nightmare. What will determine which future path we take is our collective narrative. It's the story we tell ourselves -- who we are, what we value.
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Goldman Confirms Global Economy Enters 4th Month Of Contraction. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/02/2015. While global equity markets hover near record-er highs, global GDP growth expectations have erased their February dead cat bounce hopes and tumbled back towards cycle lows. This is all confirmed by the latest data from Goldman Sachs whose Global Leading Indicator remains mired in "contraction" for the 4th month in a row...
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The Economic Wall Dead Ahead Is Hidden Behind False Signs Of "Recovery" . Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/02/2015. This morning I had left the TV mistakenly tuned to CNBC with the sound on - and unavoidably caught another bullish strategist jawing about the US economy’s awesome strength. This one was peddling as exhibit #1 the recent surge in C&I loans, arguing that it is a sure sign that business is gearing up for a post-winter boom. In this case, like most of the blizzard of bullish factoids spewed out each day on bubble vision, the purported business lending boom is not all that.
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  Chart Of The Day: Is The US Already In A Recession?
. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/02/2015 While everyone is focusing on tomorrow's Nonfarm Payrolls number, the far more important number is today's Factory Orders data (because it is far less fuged, adjusted and generally doctored to preserve faith in a contracting economy). Because according to America's manufacturing output, not only is the country already in a recession but it is getting worse with every passing day.
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Another Iran "Deal" Failure Spun As Success - Live Webcast. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/02/2015. In the same style as we have grown used to around the world, a major negotiation has ended with all sides claiming victory and no sides offering any actual solutions. Iran proclaims the talks have made "significant progress," yet Western diplomats are saying progress is "limited," only to be confused even more by Iran's Foreign Minister stating that "but still we have not agreed on the reviewed solutions." So in summing it all up, a press conference will be held shortly to explain that 'they agree on the outline of a plan which will pave the way for an agreement but aren't sure how much of the plan or hypothetical agreement they want to share'. New normal geopolitics... no deal is the new deal.
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More Unofficial Capital Controls In The US: PFIC Rules. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/02/2015. Passive Foreign Investment Company (PFIC), which are taxed at exorbitant rates and have highly complex reporting rules. . Most foreign mutual funds are PFICs, as are certain foreign stocks.  PFIC rules amount to unofficial restrictions on investing in certain foreign assets and are yet another indicator of the disturbing trend of creeping capital controls in the US.  Capital controls are used by many countries and come in all sorts of shapes, sizes, and labels. The purpose, however, is always the same: to restrict and control the free flow of money into and out of a country so that the politicians have more wealth at their disposal to plunder.
[Is this something close to FDR restrictions to nasty speculation included in the Glass Steagle Act?. If so, that will be wonderful .. it will be one way of ameliorating the coming crush.. more effective if comes with a demo-political deal .. Sometimes, that demo cannot do it, it can be achieved via deep state or agreements at the top, like top-down Rev .. even though, the corporate media will try to put it down .. Controlling the free flow of money in and out of a country via taxes is fair -given the explosive inequality- if invested in the proper way, like tobin taxes, not in wars .. Canceling students debts should be the 1st point .. we don’t want them converting into mercenaries and ruin their future with DU & other.. from wars ]
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Chaos In Yemen: Chinese Troops Arrive As US-Armed Rebels Set Sights On Central Bank. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/02/2015. Yemen descends into chaos as rebels storm the central district in the key port city of Aden (the site of a local branch of Yemen's central bank) while Al Qaeda militants stage raid on a Mukalla prison freeing 300 inmates. Meanwhile, a Saudi soldier was killed along the border while Chinese soldiers arrived to evacuate civilians.
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Greece Faces D-Day On April 9, Will Default Within 30 Days Of Missed Payment, BofAML Says. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/02/2015. Greece officially runs out of cash on April 9 according to Reuters, citing Eurozone officials, and with interest payments due on the 17th and the 20th, and with €2.4 billion in t-bills coming due in two weeks, BofAML outlines the end game. 
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The "Revolver Raid" Arrives: A Wave Of Shale Bankruptcies Has Just Been Unleashed. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/02/2015. Back in early 2007, just as the first cracks of the bursting housing and credit bubble were becoming visible, one of the primary harbingers of impending doom was banks slowly but surely yanking availability (aka dry powder) under secured revolving credit facilities to companies across America. This, in effect, was the first snowflake in what would ultimately become the lack of liquidity avalanche that swept away AIG and unleashed the biggest bailout of capitalism in history. Back then, analysts had a pet name for banks calling CFOs and telling them "so sorry, but your secured credit availability has been cut by 50%, 75% or worse" - revolver raids. Well, the infamous revolver raids are back.
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The U.S. Economy Slows To Stall Speed. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/02/2015. This long-term weakening of the economy is the direct result of financialization and the Federal Reserve's policy of propping up impaired debt with more debt and constantly bringing demand forward with zero interest rates.  The U.S. economy is slowing to stall speed--the point when gravity overcomes the lift provided by central bank free money. This deceleration is evident in a number of indicators such as gross domestic product (GDP), which is now at 0% according to the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta's GDPNow model.
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China Becomes Global Lender Of Last Resort With Bailout Of World's Most Indebted Oil Company. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/02/2015. It appears Beijing isn’t opposed to throwing billions behind serving as a lender of last resort and we can’t help but wonder if the new round of Petrobras financing is indicative of where China will steer initial AIIB funding — that is, into oil and into Washington's backyard.
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Initial Claims Slide Again; Trade Deficit Lowest Since 2009 Despite Soaring Dollar On Imports Plunge. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/02/2015.  The $7.3 billion drop in the deficit was the largest since the $8.3 billion drop posted in June of 2013. And even more notable: the total February deficit was the lowest since October 2009!
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Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/02/2015 - 07:33
·                     Samaras Says He’d Join Alliance to Keep Greece in Euro (BBG)
·                     Tensions with Warren camp could loom over Clinton campaign (Reuters)
·                     Ackman Report on Herbalife in China Figures in Probe (WSJ)
·                     Al Shabaab storms Kenyan university, 14 reported killed (Reuters)
·                     Iraq’s Four-Mile Line of Supertankers Fuels Shipping-Rates Surge (BBG)
·                     Menendez's fate could sharpen Republicans' edge in Senate (Reuters)
·                     IRS Chief Chides Ted Cruz Over 'Abolish the IRS' Mantra (BBG)
·                     Yemen Houthi fighters backed by tanks reach central Aden (Reuters)
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PRESSTV




'519 dead in 2 weeks of Yemen violence'. Thu Apr 2, 2015 The UN says at least 519 people have been killed in two weeks of violence in Yemen.

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‘Iran proved it will not bow to pressure’. Thu Apr 2, 2015 Iran’s Foreign Minister Zarif says the Iranian people proved they will never bow to pressure and will not compromise on their interests.
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Debate: Iran, P5+1 joint statement. Thu Apr 2, 2015 In this edition of the Debate, we discuss a joint statement Iran and the P5+1 group of world powers have adopted. the parameters that have been agreed upon, what this means in a wider context, and how far we
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Understanding base for good deal: US. Thu Apr 2, 2015 John Kerry says the political understanding between Iran and P5+1 group over Tehran’s nuclear program is a solid foundation for a good deal.
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'Obama can now poke Netanyahu in eye'. Thu Apr 2, 2015 Obama can poke Netanyahu in the eye after the successful outcome of marathon negotiations between Iran and the P5+1, an American analyst says.
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  Obama hails ‘historic understanding’
. Thu Apr 2, 2015 US President Obama has praised the P5+1 for reaching an "historic understanding" with Iran over its nuclear program.
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Iran, P5+1 adopt joint statement. Thu Apr 2, 2015 Iran, P5+1 adopt joint statement calling for removal of UNSC resolutions and sanctions.
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‘UN must back halt to Yemen violence’. Thu Apr 2, 2015 Russia says the UN Security Council should adopt a stance in favor of ending acts of violence in Yemen.
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Al-Qaeda storms Yemen jail, frees 300. Thu Apr 2, 2015 The al-Qaeda militants storm a prison in Yemen and facilitate the escape of 300 inmates at the facility.
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No foreign troops in Aden: Houthis. Thu Apr 2, 2015 Yemen’s Ansarullah movement rejects as baseless media reports that dozens of foreign troops have disembarked in the port of Aden.
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‘Nuclear deal must end all embargoes’ . Thu Apr 2, 2015 Mohammad Marandi says an Iran-P5+1 nuclear deal must entail lifting of all sanctions.
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Houthis seize Aden presidential palace . Thu Apr 2, 2015 Ansarullah revolutionaries reportedly manage to seize the presidential palace in the southern city of Aden.
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