JUL
21 20 ND SIT EC y POL
Here is why the sabotage.The truth hard
then. Les duele la verdad y recurren al Fascismo
Este fue el
art usado para sabotear mi reporte diario. Huele a fascism y no pude probarlo
POR
QUE LLAMAMOS A LA ABSTENCION?
WHY
ABSTENTION?
Hugo
Adan 7/19/20
….
ABRIR:
Because election in USA has nothing
to do with democracy.
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Effects of privatization of the health:
This is not
good...
For the first time since May 29, the US suffered more than 1,000 deaths in a single day
yesterday, according to the COVID-19 Tracking Project.
CNN Refuses To Show This Video — Watch now Before It's Banned
NOW it has been BLOCKET
from inside . Perhaps oppening the original web-site:
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ZERO HEDGE ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they
documented with graphics
...the markets are a farce,
the dollar is garbage, and it's
a toxic depopulationary/ deflationary/ depressionary
world...
The current interest rate cycle began in August of 2019 when the Fed
cut rates from a cycle high of 2.4% to 2.1%. The Fed then fighting the
"repo-crisis" in which the Fed was incapable of setting interest
rates...and gasp...free-market based interest rates were the result. And,
shocker". So, just putting interest rate cycles in perspective and detail
why I anticipate this will be the longest and lowest
interest rate cycle with likely zero recovery of those rate cuts.
To begin, the chart below shows interest rate cycles from 1981 through
2020 (and likely through 2040)...and note they grow
progressively longer, starting and ending lower, and with less interest rate
recovery. Based on this pattern and the macro's driving this, this current cycle is likely to be decades at zero (or more
likely moving to NIRP) with no rate hikes.
SEE CHART:
Again, this the current cycle, we already have
100% cuts and I anticipate something on the order of twenty years of zero rates
meaning zero recovery.
SEE CHART
The ZIRP policy coupled with minimal working age population growth
(resulting in minimal to no jobs growth over this cycle) will mean a blow-out
of federal debt unlike anything nations outside of Zimbabwe or Venezuela have
ever seen.
SEE CHART:
To quantify the situation, the chart below shows the parabolic rise in
the growth in federal debt per the net growth per full time employee. I anticipate this current period will see
something like a ten fold increase in the growth of federal debt per full time
job net gained as debt soars and the US struggles to
simply re-employ those who have lost their positions.
SEE CHART:
Growth in
Federal Dept per growth among full time
employed
Below are the changes per presidential term since
Reagan took office in January of 1981(under Trump, I assume by
inauguration day, January 2021 federal debt will be
sitting at $28.2 T, GDP of $20.6 T, Fed BS of $7.8 T). And I assume all
three of the trend arrows below will be continuing their path regardless a
Trump or Biden victory.
SEE CHART:
GDP, FED Debt, Fed Reserve
BS GROWTH PER PRESID
Bonus Chart -
Demographic driven interest rates incenting ever more debt / asset inflation, supported by unlimited Federal Reserve balance sheet
expansion:
….
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The Fed can print money and Congress can hand it out, but neither can dictate where the money goes...
The global recession has no precedent in terms
of synchronization.
SEE CHART:
World Economy 1871-2020: Percent of Economies in Recession
Deflationary Consequences
Lacy Hunt commented on the four
economic challenges central bankers face as noted below.
1-Over 90%
of the world’s economies are contracting
2-A
major slump in world trade volume is taking place.
3-Additional
debt incurred by all countries
4-2020
global per capita GDP is in the process of registering one of the largest
yearly declines in the last century.
….
Ten Key Ideas condensed from the
article
1-Recessions are either deeper or
longer lasting when a very high percentage of the world’s economies are
contracting
2-Except
for the very short run, the Federal Reserve’s lending operations for the
corporate bond market are a negative for economic growth.
3-By keeping failing players in
the game, this prevents the process Joseph Schumpeter called “creative
destruction” as well as “moral hazard”.
4-The adverse consequences of an unsurpassed increase in new debt will
remain for years to come
5- The relationship between debt and economic growth
is non-linear, just as is the law of diminishing
returns.
6- A recent Brookings Institute
study posits the pandemic will lead to 300,000- 500,000 less births next year
7- In the
first quarter, corporate debt jumped to a record 48.7% of GDP, more than 300
basis points higher than during the Lehman crisis
8- In 1934, Irving Fisher wrote
that the velocity of money falls in heavily indebted economies.
9-At the
end of the three worst recessions since the 1940s, the output gap was 4.8% in
1974, 7.9% in 1982 and 6.4% in 2009. The gap that existed after the recession
of 2008-09 took nine years to close. This was the longest amount of time to
eliminate a deflationary gap.
10- Considering the depth of the
decline in global GDP, the massive debt accumulation by all countries, the
collapse in world trade and the synchronous nature of the contracting world
economies the task of closing this output gap will be extremely difficult and
time consuming.
….
Conclusion
Nearly all economists expect a huge jump in inflation associated with the Fed's
massive balance sheet expansion and government fiscal stimulus.
However, I side with Lacy
Hunt.
My Reasons
- The demand destruction from Covid will last for years.
- Demand destructuction is greater than Covid stimulus.
- Buildup up debt is inherently deflationary.
- Demographics are deflationary.
- By bailing out failed corporations, the Fed is creating more and more zombies.
….
Unwanted Inflation Easy to Find
Actually, inflation is easy to
find. Look no further than the stock and bond
markets.
The Fed's
balance sheet expansion coupled with trillions of dollars of fiscal
stimulus (both unprecedented) has resulted in stock
market speculation also at unprecedented levels exceeding the housing bubble
boom in 2008.
….
SOURCE: https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/unprecedented-recession-synchronization-and-what-it-means
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US
DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds
& corruption. Urge cambio
LA NACION
NO VA A CAER…quienes van a caer son las mafias dueños del poder en US
...turn
on the evening news... Watch a once
proud country with a resilient and hard-working people come apart before
your very eyes...
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La REV no se
gana con máscaras, se gana con org y decis de tumbar el poder d los Billon
...law enforcement officials are concerned that facial recognition software could be
thwarted, and possibly even broken by people wearing masks.
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US-WORLD ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State
socialis+K-, D rest in limbo
I don’t care for your Opin on CH. Let’s take of own business here. If compare be honest
“Beijing actively promotes the reprehensible practice of forced labor
and abusive DNA collection and analysis schemes to repress its citizens,”
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Incredible: India favor
US manipulation into a war China. IND pone los muertos….
Carrier
exercises are in support of "a free and open Indo-Pacific"...
….
Y el US y China negociaran un ACUERTO
DE BENEFICIO MUTUO. Ni una florcita para la sepultura de los muertos hindúes. Que vivan los drills (el simulacro de guerra
que enriqueció a las grandes Corp asociadas al PENTA). Que mueran + IN
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“Analysts believe Russia prevented
the IDF from continuing its strikes as the attack was carried out from
airspace controlled by the Israeli military.”
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
GEO-POL n GEO-ECO
..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am search f alternatives to neo-fascist regimes &
terrorist imperial chaos
REBELION:
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LO DEMAS PARA MAÑANA
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