viernes, 1 de noviembre de 2019

ND NOV 1 19 SIT EC y POL



ND  NOV 1 19  SIT EC y POL 
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Eco
 
ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics


Thanks to a melt-up today, US equities (apart from Trannies) ended the week higher...
See Chart:

And the headlines seemed perfectly times to rejuvenate a stalled short-squeeze...
See Chart:
“Most Shorter”  Stocks

So what did we learn on Friday?
The ISM survey continued to point toward a manufacturing contraction, but there are at least a few pockets of hope from new orders and (believe it or not) exports. And the vice chairman of the Fed gave a nod that an easing bias remains in place by suggesting that economic risks remain skewed to the downside.
This isn’t a Goldilocks economy by any stretch, because the caution in the business sector remains very real. Then again, perhaps it doesn’t need to be for risky assets to rally if familiar FOMO themes start coming into play.
And the equity gains happened as US macro data disappointed notably...
See Chart:
US MACRO Surprise Index

However, since Powell's dovish promise on raising rates without major inflation, gold is the leader...
See Chart:

US equities bucked the trend of weaker economic data and declining earnings expectations thanks to one simple thing - liquidity...
See Chart:

Dow Jones US is down
See Chart:

As the odds of US-China trade deal surged back today after TSY, USTR, MOFCOM, and Kudlow comments...

Treasury yields ended the week lower (down between 6 and 8bps)...
See Chart:

UST 30Y Yields fell notably on the week (first drop in yields for 4 weeks)...
See Chart:

UST 3m!0Y yield curve steepened (today's surge drove the week's performance) BRINGING THE MARKET CLOSER TO RECESSION...
See Chart:

Bond vol collapsed this week... (this is the biggest 2-week drop in bond vol since Summer 2013's temper tantrum reaction)
See  Chart:

The Dollar dumped lower on the week  (lowest weekly close since July)...
See Chart:

Finally, we note that Elizabeth Warren is sliding in the money-odds (not polls) and Hillary is rising...
See Chart: 
But, US long-term profits growth forecasts have collapsed...
See Chart:
US Long term profit growth forecast have tumbled

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Under the last two US presidents, total US debt has increased by 115%, to a record $23 trillion.
See Chart:
US Total Fed  Debt Since Trump Election
See More charts at
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"...the overall picture therefore remained one of only very modest growth and guarded optimism..."
See Chart:
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"...and when the markets figure this out, the bottom is going to drop out of the dollar. Gold is going to absolutely go through the roof..."
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...the U.S. economy is seriously deteriorating, and things are only going to get worse in the months ahead...
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WARNING: This note contains content more positive than the past 10 months and may not be suitable for readers who are expecting a perma bear...
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So much for expectations of the worst payrolls print in half a year.
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US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio

"Warren’s estimate for the cost of Medicare for all relies on an aggressive set of assumptions..."
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Without a single Republican vote, the Democratic leader has passed a resolution endorsing her impeachment inquest...allowing it to proceed in an even more public fashion.
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The Fed made a fatal mistake...
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"These are people who are doing their duty or responding to a higher call.
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"Strategists predicting the impact of a presidential election are worse than the pollsters."
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"Bang the drum; fight the good fight; and for however long you can stay in the race, force the other Democratic presidential contenders to engage with foreign policy, with tough questions of war and peace that the party has ignored for so long..."
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So far, President Trump has shined when it comes to economic issues, according to most public opinion polling.
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'Horse-trading' is not an impeachable offense...
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Until the GOP-controlled Senate gets to play, that is
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“My service to the country will not be as a candidate or as the nominee...”
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Establishment attacks on Trump and Gabbard serve to clarify who has actually been assets for unfriendly governments, and it’s not Trump or Gabbard...
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US-WORLD  ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo

Iraqi PM Abdel Abdul Mahdi is barely clinging to power after the most destabilizing protests since the fall of Saddam Hussein...
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“He looked at me and said, ‘If we thought that was a problem, we would be, but basically it’s all Google, Google Maps.’ He said, ‘It’s so accurate,'
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3

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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am search f alternatives to neo-fascist regimes & terrorist imperial chaos

REBELION:
Machismo & Manipulación  “No había denuncias previas”  M Lorente
OPIN:  Por qué crece el fascismo  Ignazio Aiestaran
África   El Sahara para los saharauis  Juan Carlos Gimeno
Cono Sur   La paradoja de las clases sociales (II)  Jorge Majfud
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RT EN ESPAÑOL
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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE
Deep on the US political crisis: neofascism & internal conflicts that favor WW3

-First Lose All the Moderates   By Andrew Levine
-Beware the Growing Evil in Our Midst  By John W. Whitehead
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COUNTER PUNCH
Analysis on US Politics & Geopolitics

Michael Welton  Two Theories of Democracy
Kollibri  Sonnenblume  The Arrest of Max Blumenthal
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars from US-NATO  allies

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DEMOCRACY NOW
Amy Goodman’  team

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