lunes, 11 de noviembre de 2019

ND NOV 11 19 SIT EC y POL



ND  NOV 11 19  SIT EC y POL 
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Eco


ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics



The Dow outperformed (for idiosyncratic reasons) as the rest of the US market failed to regain green after weakness overnight...
See Chart:

The SMART Money is not buying this latest melt-up...
See Chart: 
SMART Money flow indicator vs. Dow

The stock market's belief in a US-China trade deal remains elevated BUT has faded after last week's exuberance...
See Chart:

Doe Jones: With bonds closed, momo was free to do its thing and rallied notably diverging from bond ETFs...
See Chart:

VIX opened with a 13 handle but was quickly pushed back to a 12 handle (though higher on the day)...
See Chart:

The bond market was closed today for Veterans Day but Treasury Futures chopped around (higher in price, lower in yield), implying around a 1-2bps compression in rates...
See Chart:
10Y Yield  vs. UST Futs

The Dollar ended the day lower, driven by cable gains more than anything else...
See Chart:

The Chilean Peso plummeted back to record lows amid its constitutional crisis (coup)..
See Chart:
USD CLP (INV)

Gold was battered further today, despite dollar's weakness... God gift to plutocrats
See Chart:

To its lowest in over 3 months and below key technical levels (futures bounced off $1450 intraday)...
See Chart: 

Finally, for those buying stocks based on a rosy rebound in economic conditions and earnings, think again - it's all priced in!!
Bottom-Up..
See Chart:

And Top-Down...
See Chart:
Trade accordingly…  if you can
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"...the Fed can only keep interest rates, which are the price of money, artificially low for so long without serious economic consequences..."

When the New York Federal Reserve began pumping billions of dollars a day into the repurchasing (repo) markets (the market banks use to make short-term loans to each other) in September, they said this would only be necessary for a few weeks. Yet, last Wednesday, almost two months after the Fed’s initial intervention, the New York Federal Reserve pumped 62.5 billion dollars into the repo market.
See Chart:

The New York Fed continues these emergency interventions to ensure “cash shortages” among banks don’t ever again cause interest rates for overnight loans to rise to over 10 percent, well above the Fed’s target rate. 

The Federal Reserve’s bailout operations have increased its balance sheet by over 200 billion dollars since September. Investment advisor Michael Pento describes the Fed’s recent actions as Quantitative Easing (QE) “on steroids.”

One cause of the repo market’s sudden cash shortage was the large amount of debt instruments issued by the Treasury Department in late summer and early fall.

Even though the federal deficit is already over one trillion dollars (and growing), President Trump and Congress have no interest in cutting spending, especially in an election year.

Joseph Zidle, a strategist with the Blackstone investment firm, has called the government — or “sovereign” — debt bubble the “mother of all bubbles.” When the sovereign debt bubble inevitably busts, it will cause a meltdown bigger than the 2008 crash.

US consumer debt — which includes credit cards, student loans, auto loans, and mortgages — now totals over 14 trillion dollars. This massive government and private debts put tremendous pressure on the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates low or even to “experiment” with negative rates. But, the Fed can only keep interest rates, which are the price of money, artificially low for so long without serious economic consequences.

According to Michael Pento, the Fed is panicking in an effort to prevent economic trouble much worse than occurred in 2008.

“It’s not just QE,” says Pento, “it’s QE on steroids because everybody knows that this QE is permanent just like any banana republic would do, or has done in the past.”

The only way to avoid this is for those of us who know the truth to spread the message of, and grow the movement for, peace, free markets, limited government, and sound money.
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VIX short positioning has taken on record proportions, exceeding even the previous record short right at the January 2018 highs right before holders of the doomed XIV product got massacred...
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Since June, households have built more cash than credit, a.k.a. de-levered...
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Here’s a little secret. It’s a complete fallacy...
See  Chart:
See More charts
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As the Fed restarted "not QE" but did not go through the façade of attempting to stock the new money away as "excess reserves", this new money is flowing straight into assets, like monetary heroine.

The chart below shows the Federal Reserve holdings of Treasuries, a weekly change (black columns) and total holdings (red line) during QE1, QE2, Operation Twist, QE3, QT, and "Not QE".  Got it?!?  This current "Not QE" explosion in QE is like some kind of old time vaudeville act (like the old Abbott and Costello bit, "who's on first, what's on second, I don't know's on third").
See Chart:


But looking more widely, the chart below shows the total Federal Reserve balance sheet (blue shaded area), bank excess reserves (red line), and the delta between the Fed's balance sheet and excess reserves...also known as direct monetization.  As the Fed restarted "not QE" but did not go through the façade of attempting to stock the new money away as "excess reserves", this new money is flowing straight into assets, like monetary heroine.
See Chart:

See more charts at
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"We recommend investors reduce risk and stay with cleaner portfolios and better managers."
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US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio



"All over the nation, we are watching a tragedy play out in slow motion... America’s heartland is being gutted, and the “next recession” hasn’t even officially started yet..."
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A Business DEAL?  How much it cost the assemble & disassemble of this circus?

"The House Speaker must sniff the odor of failure in the wind..."
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A lesson to learn: we can’t trust Dems-Reps corruption deals.. worse if there is some wars in between (case Ukraine) ..In this case they act as one single party
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"We've got to change the culture in our city where people are resolving issues with violent means." 
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US-WORLD  ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo

Concerns grow that Iran is turning its back on IAEA inspectors...
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...they're coming for your savings in order to “save” the economy...
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3

- Mexico Grants Evo Morales Political Asylum - Foreign Minister  Se salvó la embajada USA en Bolivia… leí  la amenaza de bombardearla si asesinan a EVO o su VP. Crl-Bol
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am search f alternatives to neo-fascist regimes & terrorist imperial chaos

ND: NUEVA DEMOCRACIA:  ADONDE VA BOLIVIA?  Hugo Adan
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REBELION

Boliv: MAS Resistir, para mañana volver a combatir Mensaje de Mov al Soc
ARG:  Desafíos geopolíticos argentinos   Ezequiel Beer 
BRA:  Brasil se viste de Lula  Emir Sader
BRA:  Qué va a hacer Lula en libertad?  Eric Nepomuceno
Cuba:  Las urgencias del CUC y de todo lo demás  Oscar Fernández
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ALAI ORG

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RT en español

El resto de arts no funciona para el copy & paste .
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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE
Deep on the US political crisis: neofascism & internal conflicts that favor WW3


- US hand in glove of terrorists
 
Al-Qaeda is a U.S. proxy against the Syrian government  Watch Full Interview
- Peak Hubris  By Paul Edwards
- Death by Oligarchy   By Chris Hedges
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COUNTER PUNCH
Analysis on US Politics & Geopolitics

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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars from US-NATO  allies

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DEMOCRACY NOW
Amy Goodman’  team

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