martes, 6 de agosto de 2019

ND AUG 5 19 SIT EC y POL



ND  AUG 5  19  SIT EC y POL 
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Eco
 
ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics

IN THE MID OF WORLD CRISIS CHINA SUCCEDED

Global markets breathed a sigh of relief when the PBOC announced that it would fix the yuan slightly stronger than expected, suggesting it isn't rushing to retaliate to the US declaration of China as a currency manipulator.
See Chart:
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With global debt now exceeding $250 trillion, up 60% since the Crisis began, and $13 trillion of sovereign debt with negative yields, it is clear to all rational thinking individuals the next financial crisis will make 2008 look like a walk in the park... We are approaching the eleventh anniversary of this crisis period, with possibly a decade to go before a resolution.
As I was thinking about what confluence of economic factors might ignite the next bloody phase of this Fourth Turning, I realized economic factors have been the underlying cause of all four Crisis periods in American history.
See Chart:
Debt Levels after global financial crisis as % of GDP

After campaigning as if he would be a fiscally responsible president, Trump has been a disappointment regarding the budget. His “best economy ever” is nothing but a government spending driven, low interest rate, stock market boosting bubble. After promising to eliminate the debt during the campaign and railing against the low interest rate driven stock market bubble, Trump and the Republicans have added $2 trillion to the national debt, thus far.

The original projection for FY19 was around an $800 billion deficit, but the economy is “booming” so much, it will now reach at least $1.1 trillion. The rate of growth in the debt is outpacing the rate of growth of GDP, therefore we are regressing fiscally. Pointing this out is considered traitorous among Trump can do no wrong acolytes.
See Chart:
BPC’s Deficit Tracker

The president and congress no longer even pretend to be fiscally responsible. They didn’t even pretend to try and pay for the increased spending. Trump’s tax cuts were sold as a way to have mega-corporations repatriate hundreds of billions from overseas and reinvigorate the economy with a surge in job creation.
With half the working public already paying little or no taxes, the tax cuts heavily favored the .1% and put $200 billion more into the coffers of the biggest corporations with the most powerful lobbyists. So, the politicians keep spending more on the military industrial complex and corporate tax revenues have plunged by two thirds, which will leave us with a $1.3 trillion deficit next year, even if we don’t fall into recession.
See Chart:

The three previous American Fourth Turnings were all initiated by economic issues.
The Civil War is commonly seen as a conflict only over slavery, but there was a huge economic component to the war. The industrial revolution in the North, during the first few decades of the 19th century, brought about a machine age urban economy that relied on wage laborers, not slaves. At the same time, the warmer Southern states continued to rely on slaves for their rural farming economy and cotton production. In 1805 there were just over one million slaves worth about $300 million; fifty-five years later there were four million slaves worth close to $3 billion.

The industrial power of the North virtually insured victory, the longer the conflict extended. This may explain Lee’s aggressiveness in trying to strike a knockout blow during the early years of the war. The clear delineation of states based on their beliefs in 1860 sure resonates today when you view how the country voted in 2016. Will the drastic discrepancy in beliefs about how to govern this country lead to a similar outcome?
See Map 2016 Elections

Previous recession
The politicians in Washington exacerbated the recession and created the Great Depression by trying to reverse the economic cycle. The Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act raised American tariffs to unparalleled levels, virtually closing our borders to foreign goods. American exports fell from $5.5 billion in 1929 to $1.7 billion in 1932. Our main exports were agricultural. The main creditors of American farmers were rural banks.  
When agriculture collapsed, the rural banks closed their doors collapsed.
Some 2,000 banks, with deposit liabilities of over $1.5 billion, closed their doors between August 1931, and February 1932. The whole nation, in fact, the whole world, fell into the cataclysm of despair and depression in 1931. American unemployment jumped to more than 8 million and continued to rise. Economic conditions collapsed and unemployment in 1932 surged to over 12 million. Again, politicians spewed happy talk as the situation worsened.

“While the crash only took place six months ago, I am convinced we have now passed through the worst — and with continued unity of effort we shall rapidly recover. There has been no significant bank or industrial failure. That danger, too, is safely behind us.”– Herbert Hoover, President of the United States, May 1, 1930
Three years later a new president closed all the banks and confiscated gold from American citizens.
The global trade contraction exacerbated the mistrust and anger building throughout the world. Tariffs and counter-tariffs made the Great Depression greater than it had to be. The protectionist policies of countries around the globe denied key raw materials to countries dependent upon imports.
In Part Two of this article I’ll ponder how the coming years will play out, based upon the dynamics of Fourth Turnings.
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"You can't say the dollar is strong when it's lost $30 against gold in one trading day. Gold tells you we have a weak dollar."
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US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio

DEATH PENALTY DOES NOT SOLVE THE PROBLEM of hate & mass murders

Trump directs DOJ to ensure hate crimes and mass murderers would face execution in a swift process. 
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Hate is created by war environment.. that creates violence +press video game. To solve ‘hate’ we had to stop US war abroad & manufacture of WMD + nukes and related Missiles. The Corp profiteering from this evilness (Mil-Ind-Complx) must be prosecuted. A new culture of PEACE must be promoted.
Mass murder has been executed for year in the US: it didn’t solve the problem  We must create more special prison for them and/or keep excommunicated for long term until psychiatric text decided so. 
Pres.Trump’ statement on both issues has only political-electoral intentions.
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“...government will use the violence... as an excuse for more militarization, more surveillance, more violations of civil liberties - and a lot of people are going to welcome these things because they are afraid,” 
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Listen the PHARMA complain on medicare for all

The 2013 "Lie of the Year" was Barack Obama's false claim, "If you like your health care plan, you can keep it." Millions of Democrats found that out the hard way... The "Lie of the Year" for 2019 will be, "If you like your Medicare, you can keep it."
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Time for Satire?

There is one loophole Trump could exploit to get around the fund’s constraints and bypass Congress altogether: by declaring FX intervention a "national emergency."
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Energy if war cut it:
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 US-WORLD  ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo


Global markets breathed a sigh of relief when the PBOC announced that it would fix the yuan slightly stronger than expected, suggesting it isn't rushing to retaliate to the US declaration of China as a currency manipulator.
See Chart:
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Big speculators: the winner of Current world Econ Crisis

Dow futures are down over 650 points from the cash close, UST 10Y yields are down 5bps to a stunning 1.67%, and Yuan has plunged to a fresh record 7.1350... investors are suddenly demanding more rate-cuts...
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                Wrong data on China, but confusion & intention of stupid speculators is clear
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US Trade war with China .. from worse to the worse. Stop this stupid xenophobia!

"This pattern of actions is also a violation of China’s G20 commitments to refrain from competitive devaluation."
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Does we will call India CURRENCY MANIPULATOR  of the year too?

"The worries over the political situation in Kashmir and the yuan depreciation are weighing on the currency." 
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Global markets breathed a sigh of relief when the PBOC announced that it would fix the yuan slightly stronger than expected, suggesting it isn't rushing to retaliate to the US declaration of China as a currency manipulator.
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The now 18-year-old quagmire in Afghanistan is raising serious questions and once again, it appears that the civilians are taking the brunt of the hit - not the ostensible enemy.
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3

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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am search f alternatives to neo-fascist regimes & terrorist imperial chaos

REBELION
Opin:  Redes caníbales  Frei Betto
Pto Rico:  El pueblo triunfó: ahora qué  Emilio Pantojas
Uruguay:  La mayor inversión de la historia   Roque González
ARG: La Reforma laboral al rojo vivo  Mario Hernández
Turquía:   Tras las elecciones, la tempestad  Aydin Uraz
MEX: Matan 3 periodistas en una semana [ La democ de las balas ]
España  Escombros  Iulen Lizaso 
Cuba:  Gobierno electrónico en La Habana?  Carlos García Pleyán
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ALAI ORG

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RT EN ESPAÑOL
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars from US-NATO  allies

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DEMOCRACY NOW
Amy Goodman’  team

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 PRESS TV
Resume of Global News described by Iranian observers..

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