jueves, 5 de febrero de 2015

COLLAPSE IS COMING.. TIC TAC.. TIC TAC..



COLLAPSE IS COMING.. TIC TAC.. TIC TAC..

Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/05/2015. 


“When the illusion that the Status Quo can fulfill all its promises to everybody dies, the Status Quo starts the terminal slide to effective collapse”. 

"No real change is possible until the Status Quo can no longer fulfill its promises, i.e. it effectively collapses".


INTRODUCTION
by Hugo Adan. Feb 5, 2015

In Charles Hugh-Smith socio-political change is based on “illusions” determinism. He said: “If the top 10% are doing very well, the next 10% are getting enough to sustain the illusion that they may yet recover their former status and wealth, and the bottom 80% have been bought off with social welfare”, if such illusions are feed and kept alive by kleptocrats in power, there won’t be change. But, 

When the illusion that the Status Quo can fulfill all its promises to everybody dies, the Status Quo starts the terminal slide to effective collapse”. 

Notice that here the “everybody” includes basically the top 20%. The rest 80% is included if they have the illusion that there will be social welfare for all of them. 

So, in Hugh-Smith, that 80% have been already bought off with social welfare. Is this “assumed illusion” consistent with reality?.  Absolutely  Not. I don’t think the 80% of Americans have such illusion. Presenting them as stupid is not fair, to say the less. 

The fact is that they are demanding labor rights and HR for all, that is justice for all. They are demanding free access to basic public-secular education & health for all. They demand equal chances to get roof and healthy foot for all. They are demanding to close the explosive inequality between poor & rich. 

So, THE 80% soon or later will be prompt to socialism either Hugh-Smith like or not. 

In short, lying is a factor, but is not a determinant factor in socio-political change. Social change do not depends on keeping illusions alive, that "Unfortunately" kleptocrats  will be fine in power if they continue promising illusions via mass-media control. Such “determinism” is very naïve. 

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Here only extracts, with one sentence -at the end- re-writing to better fit the content. The one underlined above.

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Of the many lessons we can learn from Greece's difficult path to rejection of debt-serfdom, the most important is perhaps the most obvious: no real change is possible until the Status Quo can no longer fulfill its promises, i.e. it effectively collapses.

The collapse of the Status Quo has two distinct featuresthe process is highly variable, and the process affects the social classes in different ways.

The process of collapse is neither sudden nor smoothThings do not necessarily cease to function overnight; rather, the decline to effective collapse operates much like energy states in physics: systems decay and then drop to a lower energy level, where they are stable until further decay causes the next drop to an even lower level.

Pension payments provide a ready exampleThe pension payment is reduced, and the recipient tightens his/her belt and gets by. The next reduction (either outright or via inflation) forces drastic changes in consumption, and subsequent reductions reduce the pension to a supplement that cannot possibly support a retiree, much less their family. … Though the system for issuing pensions still exists, it no longer fulfills the original purpose.

The financial Aristocracy (i.e. the kleptocracy) in Greece avoided much of the pain of debt-serfdom. What's the point of running things if you can't distribute the pain to others? I addressed this is Greece at the Crossroads: the Oligarchs Blew It (January 27, 2015).

The powerless classes were stripmined firstBamboozled into voting for the Kleptocracy in previous elections, the powerless lower classes felt the brunt of austerity for the simple reason the kleptocracy knew there would be no blowback, as long as a few shreds of swag were being distributed.  

This highlights the critical role of complicity in maintaining a corrupt, venal and parasitic kleptocracythe passivity and silence of recipients of social welfare are bought very cheaply, as these classes will fear the loss of the miserable coins tossed to them.

This fear is a potent form of financial terrorism: any resistance or protest might trigger the loss of the reduced social welfare benefits, and so the powerless choose to remain powerless rather than rise up and take the risk of bringing down the parasitic kleptocracy.

The statist bourgeoisie (a.k.a. state-funded upper middle class) were the last to lose faith in the kleptocracy, for the simple reason that their share of the swag was sufficient to maintain the facade of middle-class comfort.

When the kleptocracy lost a significant percentage of this top 20%, they sealed their fateWhen the state apparatchiks, institutional functionaries, professionals, small business owners, etc. finally lose faith in the the Status Quo, the Status Quo is doomed (though it can stage a rear-guard action by brutally suppressing this class -see Venezuela-  for an example of this doomed defense of a failed Status Quo).

In the U.S., the top 10% are doing very well, the next 10% are getting enough to sustain the illusion that they may yet recover their former status and wealth, and the bottom 80% have been bought off with social welfare or the promise of social welfare. Some variation of these percentages are in play in Europe, China, Japan and the emerging economies that haven't already imploded.

When illusions from Status Quo can’t fulfill all its promises to everybody dies, the Status Quo starts the terminal slide to effective collapse. [modified by Hugo Adan to better fit the content]

Unfortunately [??] , no real change in the social order or power structure can occur until the effective collapse of the Status Quo has taken down everyone but the kleptocrats, their high-ranking apparatchiks and the piteously delusional.


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