miércoles, 3 de abril de 2019

ND APR 3 19 SIT EC y POL



ND APR 3 19  SIT EC y POL 
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Eco
 
ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics

US Economic situation today:  Focus on last 2 Charts
by Tyler Durden   Wed, 04/03/2019 
Stocks, bitcoin, and bond yields were up on the day despite US macro data crashing to its weakest since April 2017...
See Chart:
US MACRO Surprise Index  S&P 2878  possible adulterated by The Furer staff

Nasdaq and Small Caps outperformed as S&P, Dow, and Trannies all bounced off 'unch' late on... US-China trade headlines 3 minutes before the close confused algos as it was clear the deal was not done...
See Chart: 

After S&P triggered on Monday
Facebook floundered...
See Chart:

And VIX is not buying this equity exuberance...
See Chart:

Leaving 10Y Yield back above 2.50%
See Chart:

The Dollar dropped to 5-day lows today, weakening after the China trade headlines...
See Chart:

Commodities were quiet today despite the USD weakness...
See Chart:

And WTI actually ended lower after a major crude build...  China didn’t follow US
See Chart:

As US economic data shows the weakest start to a year since 2008...  2 last CH OK
BUT THEN AGAIN - STOCKS DON'T SEEM TO CARE...
See Chart: 
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“We’re in a very different world today,’’
First it was the dot-com stock market boom of the late 1990s that crash landed and led to the 2001 recession. Then it was the housing boom and bust of the 2000s that preceded the biggest economic contraction since the Great Depression. And now it is the Central-Bank-inflated 'everything' bubble that everyone knows will end badly - it's just a matter of when...
Perhaps, just perhaps, it's soon. As financial conditions have reached a stunningly 'easy' level in recent weeks as The Fed pivoted from 'everything is awesome' to 'take cover'...
See Chart:
Chicago Fed Financial Conditions Index

So, we suggest, Powell and his pals look at the charts above and below.
As the following chart shows, just a small 'over-tightening' of financial conditions prompted a collapse in real economic data, and due to the lagged effect, it's not over yet - despite what the 'market' for stocks would have you believe...
See Chart:

Evidently, Bloomberg notes that the quandary for the Fed is that easy monetary policy seems more effective in spurring asset values than it does in boosting prices of goods and services.
Seemingly ignoring his own warninsg from the past (when he was not Fed head), Powell has brushed off concerns that the central bank’s shift to an easier stance could spur a stock-market bubble such as occurred in the late 1990s dot-com boom.
“We’re in a very different world today,’’ he told reporters on March 20, arguing that the Fed is much more attuned to such risks than it was back then. “We don’t see financial stability vulnerabilities as high,’’ he added.
Nope, nothing to see here, move along...
See Chart:
Maybe, just ,maybe, embedding moral hazard into the minds of every investor in the world with an unprecedented pivot to the easiest financial conditions in 25 years should panic investors of just how fragile this shitshow really is - as opposed to enthuse them to buy every dip to new record highs? Or maybe we're "just too old to get it!"
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The banks are broken and this worldwide economy needs them not to be. That didn’t change in 2017, just like it didn’t in the weeks and months and years following Bear Stearns’ “rescue.”
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What cannot be replaced by corporate chains is neighborhood character and variety.
What cannot be replaced by corporate chains is neighborhood character and variety.
In the U.S., and presumably elsewhere, there are other financial pressures on small businesses: the complexity of compliance with the ever-increasing thicket of regulations is constantly increasing, as are taxes and fees as local government seeks to extract more revenue from the small-business tax donkeys.
These increases in costs while revenues sag as customers seek cheaper chain meals or simply stop going out at all are a double-whammy.
See Chart:
American Dynamism in Retreat

But look at what's lost in the demise of local small businesses:
-- The loss of neighborhood character and variety, replaced by homogenized chains and lifeless shuttered storefronts.
-- the loss of food that's been prepared by hand with real ingredients.
-- the loss of neighborhood cohesion and social circles; residents who were once recognized as individuals and who belonged to loose but important social circles are unknown in faceless chain outlets.
-- the loss of local employment. Employees in chain outlets commute from distant places, and their hours and locations may change, making it impossible to know local residents.
-- the loss of walkable, interesting neighborhoods. What's there to explore or provide interest in a string of steel and glass chain outlets?
-- the loss of local social gathering places. Once local neighborhood places are lost, people gravitate to McDonalds or similar chain outlets because McDonalds will not hurry customers away from its tables. In some cultures, the American fast-food outlets are attractive because they are clean, well-lit and class-neutral: they serve every customer with well-trained politeness: the service is as uniform as the food.
The essay helps us understand why Western fast-food outlets have achieved such extraordinary popularity around the world: they provide inviting social spaces, not just uniform, consistent, reasonable-cost food.
Needless to say, American fast-food outlets are engineered to provide these social-space and class/gender-neutral assets as well as carefully engineered menu selections; in many cultures, McDonald's offers women and a safe and acceptable place to gather and socialize. fast-food outlets are popular with students for similar reasons.
My point here is not to say that fast-food outlets don't serve a positive social role; the point is what fast-food outlets provide is not a 100% replacement for what's lost as local Mom and Pop stores and cafes vanish.
What cannot be replaced by corporate chains is neighborhood character and variety: once locally owned and operated businesses wither and die, the neighborhood looks like other every other redeveloped, homogenized street around the world.
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US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio


Ways and Means Committee Chairman Richard Neal said Wednesday evening that he had filed a formal request with the Treasury to obtain six years' worth of the president's tax returns...
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How in the world is this possible?
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Minnesota farmers reported real median net income of $26,055 last year, down 8% from 2017 and the lowest figure since the early 1980’s
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US-WORLD  ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo

Pence is an abandoned baby-ET. Here on earth NATO is dying & about to be smashed
"Turkey must choose. Does it want to remain a critical partner in the most successful military alliance in history or does it want to risk the security of that partnership by making such reckless decisions that undermine our @NATO alliance?"
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Crises that seemed contained not long ago have now spiraled out of control - and the prospects for resolving them peacefully look depressingly bleak.
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Cold War 2.0 is now underway...
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW

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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am search f alternatives to neo-fascist regimes & terrorist imperial chaos

REBELION
ECON    La alianza económica entre Irak e Irán  H López Blanch
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ALAI ORG
                El vigor de la Minga  Horacio Duque
                USA contra VEN: Una vergüenza histórica  Gabriel Jiménez    
                No caer en las provoc de Trump: la frontera sigue abierta  GVC
                Asesores internacionalistas   Eduardo Ibarra Aguirre
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RT EN ESPAÑOL
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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE
Deep on the US political crisis: neofascism & internal conflicts that favor WW3

- Collusion Hiding in Plain Sight  By Doug Noble  US-ISR 
- The Anti-Semitic Con   By Paul Edwards
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COUNTER PUNCH
Analysis on US Politics & Geopolitics

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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars from US-NATO  allies

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DEMOCRACY NOW
Amy Goodman’  team

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PRESS TV
Resume of Global News described by Iranian observers..


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