domingo, 28 de abril de 2019

ND APR 28 19 SIT EC y POL



ND APR 28 19  SIT EC y POL 
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Eco


ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics


"the liquidity conditions in the US banking system are perhaps close to decade lows."
See Chart:
Discount Window Borrowing
----
----


US large cap bank stocks are up 22% year to date, but the long-term growth outlook is challenged.
See Chart:
US Banks Undervalued relative to Net Income
….
----
----

"GET REAL!"   MUST READ

The prevailing fantasy: We can keep this up forever because the Fed has our
back and a China trade deal will solve all problems...

Let’s get real: The liquidity machine can hide reality only for so long and that is: Things keep slowing down. Cycles don’t turn on a dime, they take time and that is what we are seeing unfold and the signs are plentiful. From Japanese industrial production going negative the past 3 months to home sales in the Hamptons slowing to the slowest level in 7 years.  I’m using these couple rather random examples to illustrate a point: The slowdown is as broad as it global:

See Charts:
Getting worse: Global Trade Volumes are falling at a fastest pace

Private Sector Slowdown
See Chart:

Business investment also slowed, to 2.7% from 5.4%. Investments in structures, such as factories, offices, stores and oil wells, fell for the third straight quarter. Investments in equipment — computers, airplanes and machinery — barely grew, rising 0.2%.:
A GDP print so outsized to reality it made made a mockery of the NY Fed GDP model:

See Chart:


Not sustainable and not reflective of the true state of the economy. Yet we still see earnings beats from lowered expectations, but earnings will also have to catch up with the slowing reality:
See Chart:

The prevailing fantasy: We can keep this up forever because the Fed has our back and a China trade deal will solve all problems:
See Charts:

In process forcing capitulation in equity shorts:
See Chart

Right at the moment of historic low volatility across asset all classes:
See Chart:

…while believing volatility will never be great again:
See Chart:

Get real.
This is a dangerous combination that sets up for another volatility event to emerge.
----
----


Accounting for US$20tn of central bank liquidity is by no means easy, but we have a hunch about where an outsized re-allocation of capital might have landed.
See Chart:
----
----


Unleashing another deflationary race to the bottom, Amazon is undercutting market prices by 26% to 33%.
====


...this whole charade proves to me that a crash is already underway – as the Fed inadvertently admitted we’re on the cusp of big problems...
====


Circuses are not enough; the mob wants more bread. And after having cheated them out of trillions, Luce thinks we should at least toss them a few crumbs...
====


At a time when the appeal of and demands for a new “democratic” socialism seem to have caught the imagination of many, there is one already-existing socialist institution in America with few opponents: the Federal Reserve System.
====


US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio


"It upsets the people in the newsroom to talk that way, but the ads were the most important editorial content from the standpoint of the reader."
====

US-WORLD  ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo


A possible wholesale downgrade of the IG universe to BB or lower would result in disorderly unwind of positions of the IG money managers which would be capable of raising volatility significantly...
See Chart:
….
----
----


SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3


----
----

NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am search f alternatives to neo-fascist regimes & terrorist imperial chaos


RT EN ESPAÑOL

----
----

GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars from US-NATO  allies

----
----

PRESS TV
Resume of Global News described by Iranian observers..

----
====

No hay comentarios:

Publicar un comentario