miércoles, 24 de abril de 2019

ND APR 24 19 SIT EC y POL



ND APR 24 19  SIT EC y POL 
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Eco


ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics

Earnings (dramatically weaker), macro (two-year lows), funding markets (IOER), bonds (yields tumbling), and FX (chaos) - but stocks are at record highs - so everything is awesome, right?
Trannies and Small Caps managed gains today (another short-squeeze) as The Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq trod water...
See Chart:

Nasdaq 100's first losing day in 8 days.
Volume remains dismal...
See Chart:
SPY (S&P 500  ETF)  Real divorce
Today is the 78th trading day of the year, SPY volume has exceeded 100MM only 10 days so far, 13% of all days. Through 78 trading days in 2018, SPY volume exceeded 100MM 39 times, 50% of all days.

And as the S&P hovers at its record highs, it seems not many of its components are playing along...
See Chart:
SPX INDEX
In fact:
Just learned that the SPX is at all-time highs but only 13 stocks in the index are at all-time highs

And breadth remains notably weak in this last panic-bid...
See Chart:
% od S&P> 50 DMA

As big tech valuations soared to near record highs, decoupling from the broader market..
See Charts:

A lot of which is thanks to the surge in Semis... as their earnings expectations have collapsed...
See Chart:
Philadelphia Stock Exchange Semiconductor Index

Don't forget: "Semis don't sell other semis" as the algos refuse to acknowledge TXN's warnings and bid SOX to a new record high.
Stocks and bonds decoupled dramatically today...
See Chart:
S&P vs 30Y Yield

With the entire curve now lower on the week, led by the short-end...
See Chart:

With 30Y Yield tumbling to 10-day lows after tagging 2.999% yesterday...
See Chart:
UST 30 Y Yield

The yield curve has hit a critical resistance level once again...
See Chart:
UST 2s 10s

The Dollar Index extended gains today, pushing DXY to its strongest since May 2017...
After hovering around 97.00, DXY has burst higher in the last 5 days...
See Chart:
DXY Dollar Index
https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfm5382.jpg?itok=u5Ib7PSH

Emerging Market FX plunged to its weakest since the start of the year...
See Chart: EM FX

Led by Argentina, South Africa, Turkey, and - rather shockingly - Aussie Dollar...
See Table:
Best vs. Worse Spot Returns (%)

Despite the dollar surge, gold also rallied on the day...
See Chart:

Finally, we note that as stocks hit a record high, positioning in risk-off assets (TSYs, Gold, and VIX) has not bought into the rally...
See Chart:
S&P vs RISK-OFF Positioning –TSY , VIX, GOLD
Trade accordingly
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Is the housing market really this sensitive to mortgage rates?
Overall, mortgage applications tumbled 7.3% last week and are down over 15% in the last three weeks - the worst drop since January 2016...
See Chart:

But the real pain is in refis - which crashed 11% in the last week (after falling 8.2% and 11.4% in the prior two weeks) as mortgage rates ticked up...
See Chart:
Mortgage rates are up just 10bps from 3 weeks ago.
Is the housing market really this sensitive to mortgage rates? If so, Jay Powell is in an even more serious box here than even he knows.
….
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US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio

"I used to love the city and be proud of the city. Now I'm not anymore. It's dirty, and it's ugly."
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There was no energy collapse in 2000, and there’s no sign of one coming...environmentalists did not change their desired policies though. They simply modified their rationale for the same thing to almost exactly the opposite justification...
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...according to a great many politicians, lobbyists, and activists, it's very important to know this information. But what exactly must be known depends on one's political agenda...
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Instead of blaming Trump... understand what you are signing. No one is putting a gun to the heads of Americans and forcing them to sign up for an adjustable interest rate, 40-year mortgage with no down payment...
[  Recession is a global phenomena .. the impact of our Rec could affect the rest and even though he won’t be responsible .. But for inefficiency.. perhaps: 1- his policy Ec only benefit  the billionaires.. 2- Is He lying about debt & other Econ situation.. A person said there are evidence of intentional manipulation of data to save his political re-election, is that true?  If so, he will be in trouble . The N.1 real reason for impeachment so far is his military policy in favor of WW3.]
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The Fed has no choice: either it inflates away the debt, or it's game over for the status quo anyway.
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US-WORLD  ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo

EU reacts to Trump's embrace of Libya's Haftar with "disbelief and fear."
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...and just like that, the green-shoots died.
See Chart:
South Korea GDP Q o Q
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Don’t believe that Russiagate has concluded. Indeed, it may have only just begun...
[  This seems to be False flack .. Could be or not? ]
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3

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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am search f alternatives to neo-fascist regimes & terrorist imperial chaos

REBELION
Google   El miedo a la libertad de información  Juan Alberto Sánchez
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ALAI ORG
                ¿Lula semi libre?   Emir Sader
                Itamaraty en peligro  Gustavo Espinoza
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RT EN ESPAÑOL
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COUNTER PUNCH
Analysis on US Politics & Geopolitics

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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars from US-NATO  allies

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DEMOCRACY NOW
Amy Goodman’  team

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PRESS TV
Resume of Global News described by Iranian observers..


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