DEC 17 17 SIT EC y POL
ND denuncia debacle d Globaliz neoliberal y
propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Econ
ZERO HEDGE ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is
over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics
The current output has recently moved
to being above its potential. This provides another supporting factor for the thesis that inflation will increase in 2018...
The output gap for the OECD nations looks similar to
the measurement for the U.S. The GDP is expected
to be growing above the
potential rate in 2018.
OECD Economies Expected To Be Above Capacity In 2018 bad dream
On average, in the past 3 cycles, it takes the OECD
nations about 3.33 years to go from operating above capacity to operating below
capacity.
With the understanding that the economy’s output
potential is an opinion, let’s look at one forecast for 2018.
Morgan Stanley Cycle Prediction
As you can see, Morgan
Stanley expects demand to outstrip supply in the
economy which is growing above potential. This will lead to a peak in economic growth, inflation, Fed rate hikes,
and a bond selloff, with junk bonds hit the hardest. THE NEXT STEP IS A RECESSION.
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This is going on quietly… See my report yesterday:
Stunning Visualization Of The Explosion Of
ICO Activity In The Last Four Years Open: http://nd-hugoadan.blogspot.com/
"The economic gurus don’t care – the experiment on the living
organism is important, even if it kills them..."
The abolition of
cash is only one step on the road to even greater insanity: Kenneth Rogoff has other crazy ideas behind him.
The craziest: he demanded negative interest from European politicians, on the grounds that they are necessary anyway
when the next crisis comes. We remind the reader
that negative interest rate is limited by cash. If
interest becomes too negative, people will hoard cash.
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"Based
on the latest reading of the Index,
these active managers have an average of 109% exposure to the stock market.
Yes, 109%, meaning the average
manager is leveraged long. That is the highest reading in the survey’s history..."
Review & Update
In last week’s “Technically
Speaking” post I discussed the S&P 500 hitting 2700 by Christmas. To wit:
“As stated in the title, the current push
higher puts 2700 in sight by the time Santa fills the ‘stockings hung by the
chimney with care.’
As shown below, price momentum triggered a
short-term “buy” signal following Thanksgiving, and after the
brief ‘AMT Tax Debacle’ in the Senate Tax Bill,
momentum again has turned up as prices continue to press higher.”
“With global Central Banks still flooding the system
with liquidity, the Fed has yet to begin rolling off their reinvestments as
expected. In fact, the Fed made
a timely reinvestment during the “Senate Tax
Bill” debacle earlier this month.”
Of course, that bump of liquidity sent
asset prices rocketing higher.
Then on Thursday, we saw a
brief slide in equities as concerns once again rose over the potential for the
tax reform legislation to be blocked by several Senators who were leaning
towards voting “no” on the bill. However, those concerns lasted only
momentarily and stocks rocketed higher on Friday ending the week on a positive
note. With concerns over tax
reform fading, equities are sitting at all-time highs
and within striking distance of 2700 by Christmas.
The current technical
underpinnings remain bullish currently, but as shown below, are pushing into extremely overbought conditions. The
chart below shows the 1 and 2-year moving averages with 2 and 3-standard
deviations of the 1-year moving average. That deviation, combined with the most
overbought readings on both RSI and MACD, suggest RISK
HAS RISEN markedly in recent weeks.
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Bitcoin and Bitcoin Futures have
collapsed since the futures opened, dropping over $2200 to converge with
spot...
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"I won’t be surprised if Google and Amazon become asset managers..."
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Capex, Core Inflation, Central Banks, Corporate Credit,
China...
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POLITICS
La seudo democ y sist duopolico es obsoleto por fraudulento y
corrupto. Urge cambiarlo
"Different world views,
values and even meanings of words
fragment the citizenry..."
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Under the guise of stopping violent crime, a County Commissioner in Cook County, Illinois, went to
New York City late last week to request that the United Nations deploy foreign troops in
Chicago to tackle the city’s “quiet genocide.”
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WORLD
ISSUES and M-East
Global depression is on…China,
RU, Iran search for State socialis+K- compet. D rest in limbo
“A turning
point for G7 central banks will be when the bitcoin market capitalization
exceeds the value of all SDR’s that have been created and allocated
to members…”
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Either
real or fake .. this news is worse than legalizing presstitute
Air Chief
Marshal Sir Stuart Peach warned Russia
could in an instant end 97% of global communications capabilities and disrupt
trillions in daily financial transactions, ushering in a
"catastrophic" economic collapse, as the roughly
200 international undersea network cables are under IMMINENT THREAT. Peach said that Russia's modernized Navy constitutes
a “NEW RISK to our way of life.”
..
[ If
imminent threats and new risks are considered FACT.. then US is ready for 1st
strike. The key Qst is
who is going to survive WW3? Most
analyst coincides:
NO ONE: retaliation will double 1st strike! ]
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GLOBAL
RESEARCH
Global Econ-Pol crisis leads to
more business-wars: profiteers US-NATO
under screen
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INFORMATION
CLEARING HOUSE
Deep on the US political
crisis, their internal conflicts n chances of WW3
"Sorry Chump. You Didn't Have It In
Writing" By Eric Margolis plan to tear apart
Russia
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The Case Against Iraqing Iran Must Read - By David Swanson
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Nikki Haley Is Not Good At Foreign Policy By Reza Marashi
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Elite Commandos Deployed to 149
Countries in 2017
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FBI: American Gestapo By Lawrence Sellin
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Half of Total Trump-GOP Tax Plan Benefits Go
to Richest 5% By Jon Queally
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US 'World Champion of Extreme Inequality', UN
Envoy Warns
By Ed Pilkington
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American Taliban By Lucian Truscott IV Our long national nightmare has just
begun
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SPUTNIK
and RT SHOWS
The nasty business of
US-NATO-Global-wars uncovered ..
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Some really ill-informed technical
suppositions O'Reilly stated, on the Hwasong-15 Nov
launch.
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RT SHOWS
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NOTICIAS
IN SPANISH
Latino America fight to break
with collapsing Empire: leftist view on
alternatives
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Un 'arma'
norcoreana incomprensiblemente olvidada la defensa antiaérea
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Corea-N; Taiwan; Ucrania; TurquÃa; Saudis-Israel v. Iran
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PRESS TV
Global situation described by
Iranian observers.. Titles distorted n incomplete sentences
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Erdogan:
Turkey to open embassy in East Jerusalen
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