martes, 9 de agosto de 2016

AUG 9 16 SIT EC y POL



AUG 9 16  SIT EC y POL


ZERO HEDGE
ECONOMICS

Bye Bye American-neoliberal growth & “development”.. perfect shot to legs


Morgan Stanley's Adam Longson confirmed overnight that he isn't going to change his bearish oil call any time soon, with a warning that "very little has been addressed fundamentally to correct these problems. Greater headwinds lay ahead, especially for crude oil. In fact, we would argue that recent price action and developments may have exacerbated the situation." Putting a number to his call: oil will slide to $35 in the next 1-3 months.
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There were a lot of predictions last year that 2016 would lead to the disappearance of many strippers – the oil well producers who take nearly depleted “stripper” wells and keep them running and producing a few barrels a day. While many strippers have taken action to cut back some of their less profitable wells, by and large, stripper production is much more resilient than many had expected. That reality holds important implications for the industry at large... but strippers are facing new problems from proposed federal oil and gas regulations though.
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Despite the worst slump in US productivity in 37 years, a VIX crushing "bad news is great news" surge in stocks has lifted the S&P 500 to yet another new record intraday high (on pro rate lowest volumes of the year)...
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Following the Q2 GDP print, the slowing in aggregate weekly hours suggested a modest pickup QoQ in non-farm productivity, but it plunged 0.6% - dramatically missing the +0.4% exp in this preliminary Q2 report. This is the 3rd quarterly decline in a row - the first time that has happened since 1979. This three quarter plunge is the biggest drop in productivity since 1993, and this is the first YoY drop (-0.4%) since Q2 2013. All in all... a disaster!
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While hope springs eternal for Q3 GDP, the revised jump in Q2 inventories data (+0.3% in June vs 0.0% exp and +0.2% in May revised up from initial) suggests perhaps Q3 will be a let-down. But all eyes will be focused on Wholesale Sales which surged 1.9% MoM - the most since Sept 2012, though we note sales remain lower (-0.45%) YoY and inventories higher (+0.24%) YoY. Sadly - for the recovery-optimists - auto inventory-to-sales ratio rose to 1.82x.
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Before this morning's ugly productivity data sent bond yields tumbling, 10Y Treasury yields had briefly surpassed the consensus analysts' forecast of 2016 year-end levels. Having seen the collapse of the massive net short position in the Treasury complex squeezed to its longest since 2014, as rates have risen in the last 3 weeks, so shorts have begun to gather pace once again...
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POLITICS

Few would dispute that Hillary Clinton is the Establishment's candidate' but, elements of the Deep State might sabotage Hillary's campaign as the greater threat to American interests.
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ME & WORLD ISSUES



In a slap to the face of its Western friends, as the FT puts it, instead of visiting a Nato ally, Erdogan's first trip abroad since surviving last month’s coup attempt the Turkish president is going to Vladimir Putin’s Russia. As one Turkish diplomat in Moscow said: “Our relations with the US are the worst in 50 years   . . .  and that definitely makes engaging Russia an attractive option.” Needless to say, Putin will be most delighted by this development...
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S&P500 index futures were unchanged (up less than 0.1%) following another modest, low-volume levitation in European, Asian shares in a mostly eventless overnight session; oil comes off following gaining overnight with WTI trading just around $43.
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  • Search for yield drives stocks higher, pound falls vs dollar (Reuters)
  • China's slowing wholesale deflation takes pressure off central bank (Reuters)
  • Rajan Holds India Rates in Final Move as Inflation Quickens (BBG)
  • Brent above $45 on U.S. inventories, producer action speculation (Reuters)
  • Republican national security experts: Trump would be 'dangerous' president (Reuters)
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DEMOCRACY NOW

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GLOBAL RESEARCH

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THE REAL NEWS NETWORK
Investigative reporter Greg Palast tells Paul Jay that John Paulson made billions in the mortgage market collapse and by holding the auto industry hostage for taxpayer money
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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE

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This is about resurrecting the faded dream of a new American century
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COUNTER PUNCH

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RT SHOWS

In the CIA supposed to be “intelligent” people but .. quiza por eso lo sacaron
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WASHINGTON BLOG

Posted on August 8, 2016 by WashingtonsBlog  By Michael Hudson, Michael-Hudson.com.

WANT vs NEED. An interview by Max Keiser and Stacy Herbert’s new podcast Double Down.

Of the citizens of the declining Roman empire, it was said: “Give them bread and circuses and they will never revolt.” So true is this of all such citizens of declining empire that every four years American presidential wannabes even promise revolution but know that the voter will ask only for more bread, circuses and… taco bowls. Dr. Michael Hudson joins Double Down to talk about the economic reality behind the Trump voter and about whether or not, as it is claimed, Hillary Clinton is the ‘most progressive’ candidate in Democratic history. Listen here
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH

Erdoğan y su proyecto nacional-islamista  José Antonio Gutiérrez. Una lengua, una raza, una bandera, una religión  .. una barraca militar lista para la 3ra guerra mundial
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Bang, bang; ¡te maté! Frida Berrigan La educ debe empezar en la tierna infancia
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“La desposesión de la vida cotidiana”  Las claves del despojo global Enric Llopis
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Capitalismo  Tiranía del trabajo, crisis de la tiranía  Daniel Tanuro
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PRESS TV

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Said senator Elizabeth Warren .. she forgot that
Clinton plan is also for big Corp & supported
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Sure.. this is not the 1st time.. just stop invasion
of Palestinian land.  .. This killing lead to your kill
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Or made in hell .. as most religions from the ME
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