martes, 22 de diciembre de 2015

DIC 21 15 SIT EC y POL



DIC  21 15 SIT EC y POL


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ZERO HEDGE



In the final throes of empire-decline, we invariably observe the more sociopathic trends of a failing power, such as we’re seeing today from the US. First and foremost, any empire declines as a result of economic mismanagement. Decline from within (pandering to the populace with “bread and circuses”) and without (endless conquest and/or maintenance of dominance over far-flung geography) drain even the wealthiest government. But the leaders of a collapsing empire invariably make a fatal mistake: they assume that all the goodwill the empire gained when it was on its rise is permanent – that it will continue, even if the empire behaves like the world’s foremost bully. This is never the outcome.
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Feudalism: Then & Now. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/21/2015

The complicated financial landscape today has made everyone "slaves to the central bank" while ordinary people have found themselves stuck in debt, and spending all they have just to get by.


The few who are able to save at all have lost value by saving during extended periods of ZIRP and have instead been sidelined as hedge funds and Wall Street bankers have used virtually free money to buy up assets – like houses – which force the middle class types to rent rather than buy. 

It is truly a vicious cycle, and it will leave humanity at the bottom again, reversing all the gains of the 1776 revolution – as we are all serfs now.
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2015 - The Year In Money. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/21/2015

“Huge mega-mergers. Anemic hedge fund returns. Billion-dollar venture capital deals. Bloomberg breaks down 2015's record highs and lows.  www.zerohedge.com

[ HACIA EL CAMBIO REVOLUCIONARIO POST-ELECCIONES

Es cierto, hoy el gran capital monopólico  esta rápidamente comiéndose  a los pequeños como los tiburones a las sardinas. .. y se alista para avanzar sobre los mercados emergentes para despojarlos de sus recursos.. Pero si Ud observa con cuidado los gráficos de Bloomberg va a concluir que el capitalismo neoliberal tiene serios problemas estructurales internos y externos para auto-reproducirse. ESTO le impedirá levantarse de la cama de cuidados intensivos del hospital donde está hoy. Los gráficos dan clara imagen de la gravedad de la crisis Económica del capitalismo.

Es eso lo que está en juego, reproducción del capitalismo neoliberal.. Este sistema esta llegando a su final..  ya no da para más, es obsoleto.. Todos sabemos que existe un sistema alternativo: el que ya antes uso FDR (en plena depresión económica, 1936) y que dio muy buenos resultados  (se tuvo 50 años de desarrollo equilibrado.. desde mediados del 30 hasta fines de 1970). Se trata por tanto de cortar la gangrena.. de extirpar lo ya infestado .. Esto es, las finanzas parasitarias basadas en la especulación (vuture capital) y el fraude..

No tiene sentido seguir reproduciendo la vida artificial de este sistema corrupto.. Solo hay un obstáculo: las mafias que controlan el poder económico y político en el país. La única solución es la eutanasia –dijo un médico- hay que desahuciar el viejo sistema y en cambio fortalecer la alianza entre el capital productivo, el labor y el Estado gestor... Pero la oligarquía jamás querrá que este cambio ocurra … Quieren que se tenga al paciente en la sala de cuidados intensivos del hospital .. aunque no tenga real esperanza de vida .. Las enfermeras del hospital se limitan a irrigarle aire a los pulmones (QEs le llaman) .. pero saben que el paciente esta con una pata en el infierno.. y con la otra pata en este mundo, pero sobre una cascara de plátano .. y que cualquier día cae y muere de un sentanazo y adiós al difunto en vida .. 
..
El mejor adiós al viejo sistema podrían ser las elecciones que vienen el próximo año .. Me refiero al radical cambio de régimen que plantea  Bernie Sanders .. Eso serviría para darle cristiana sepultura al ya muerto en vida.. Pero las elecciones también la controlan los potentados de dos familias  oligárquicas que siempre se alternaron en el poder  --la de REP & Democ—.. Estos ya quisieron desembarcar a Sanders de la competencia electoral, pero sin suerte. Esta visto que lo van a intentar de nuevo –jamas se podría confiar en la indecencia política de Mrs Clinton.

La única opción de Sanders es crear un frente independiente con lo mejor de los viejos partidos a nivel nacional. Solo armando un FRENTE POPULAR para LA RECONSTRUCCIÓN DE AMÉRICA se puede avanzar la 3ra opción electoral, la opción de real democracia en américa y sobre todo,  de ir mas allá de las elecciones.

Se trata de apuntar hacia el cambio democrático-nacional  del sistema político económico. Lo electoral es solo la posibilidad de tránsito pacifico hacia un nuevo sistema. .. Lo real y sustantivo es avanzar hacia la revolución popular.. via Referéndums para cambiar las estructuras pol-econ del país. No será una REV violentista ni anárquica pero si radical y constructiva.. La energía rev para ese cambio ya existe en el pueblo, eso ha venido fermentando lentamente desde hace tiempo en el país (El Mov “ocupar”  o las tomas de instituciones claves del país, desde el evento popular en Seattle a fines del siglo pasado). Eso hay que re-activarlo  y de abajo para arriba. Su esencia ahora serán los referéndums

Las revoluciones siempre fueron las parteras de la nueva historia .. asi va a ser en America otra vez.  El partido que habrá de organizar y liderar este cambio será le FRENTE POPULAR a crearse durante estas elecciones .. Eso requiere armar las  bases político-organizativas para la acción revolucionaria  en cada distrito –antes electoral- , y en cada municipio, región y Estado. Hay que empezar por crear la autonomía orgánica frente a los dos partidos que reproducen el cronismo en el país. Resumiendo: el movimiento popular por la 3ra opción electoral, no tiene solo propósitos electorales. Se requiere movilizar al pueblo para cambiar de raíz el viejo sistema. Eso requiere de un programa mínimo para toda la nación y también -en forma paralela y subordinada- de programas mínimos para cada región y Estado.]
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In late October, we noted that for the second time this year, Russia overtook Saudi Arabia as the biggest exporter of crude to China.  Russia also took the top spot in May, marking the first time in history that Moscow beat out Riyadh when it comes to crude exports to Beijing.


The takeaway here is that the Saudi gambit failed to wrench market share away from the Russians and between the conflict in Syria, Moscow’s closer ties with Beijing, and Riyadh’s move to antagonize The Kremlin by encroaching on Russia’s eastern European market share, one shouldn’t expect Putin to back down any time soon. In short, if John Kerry and Riyadh did in fact plan to bankrupt the Russians by tanking crude prices, the effort was a miserable failure that resulted not only in a 20% fiscal deficit for the Saudis, but also in the destruction of American jobs in the oil patch.

We close with a bit of humor from Deputy Energy Minister Kirill Molodtsov:
 “I will tell you when Russian companies are for sure going to decrease production – when oil costs $0.”  www.zerohedge.com
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“The Consolidated Appropriations Act of 2016, which was signed into law on Friday, is nearly twice as long. At 887 pages, the bill allocates $1.15 trillion in war and discretionary spending for fiscal year 2016 which began almost three months ago. (That’s an average of $1.3 billion in spending PER PAGE of the bill.) In making it public law, President Obama has effectively signed the death warrant of the US government’s finances.”  www.zerohedge.com
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Janet, where is your accelerating economy?.  www.zerohedge.com

Good friend Michael Pollaro just sent a couple of charts that show the US economy heading for a brick wall. The first illustrates what happens when business sales (the green line) turn negative. In the previous two boom/bust cycles, when sales started falling the economy either tipped into recession shortly thereafter or (it was discovered in retrospect) was already well into a contraction.
Meanwhile, junk bond yields (the blue line) start rising before recession hits and then spike during the contraction, as falling sales hit the weakest borrowers hardest, causing a wave of defaults.
Now compare the previous two busts with today (far right of the chart). Business sales turned negative a year ago and are now heading south fast. Junk yields bottomed in 2014 and are now spiking. If history is a reliable guide, the US is either in recession right now or will be within a quarter or two.
There is one difference, however. Heading into both previous financial crises short-term interest rates (represented here by the Fed Funds rate, red line) were above 5%, giving the central bank some leeway to cut rates and thus stimulate new borrowing. But not this time. Instead, short-term rates are zero or thereabouts and the Fed has just begun a tightening cycle.


Here’s Michael’s take:
What is the Junk Market getting that broad equities are not getting? Oh yeah, the economy is decelerating and liquidity is being withdrawn. Basic starting point, learned from my years on the sell side: Pay attention to the junk market. That market is much smarter than the equity market.
The next chart shows the causal relationship between new factory orders and industrial production, i.e., the amount of real things being produced by US factories. Again, the trend is ominous.


Car sales have joined student loans as the credit bubble du jour and will have to pop soon, given the combination of record-high sales and soaring subprime lending. If used car sales are an indicator of the future of new car sales, then overall business sales and industrial production will “surprise analysts” by plunging next year.
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The 'death cross' of these two energy market indicators is all one needs to know about the oil market...

Description: http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/2015/12-overflow/20151221_oil5_0.jpg

As Bloomberg notes, total industry oil stocks reported by the International Energy Agency rose for a third month, increasing by 0.5 percent to the highest on record at 2.99 billion barrels.
China’s Beige Book, released last week, showed further economic deterioration in one of the world’s largest commodity-consuming nations in the fourth quarter.
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Until these two indicators change direction, lower-er for longer-er will remain.
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GLOBAL RESEARCH


Check CrossTalk in this regard: Endangered Christians
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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE


Military to Military. US Intelligence Sharing in the Syrian War. By Seymour M. Hersh. Fall of Assad Would Lead to Chaos and, to Syria’s takeover by Jihadi Extremists
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Criticism Of Hersh's New Piece Fails To Understand What Really Happened. By Moon Of Alabama. Throughout his career Hersh's reporting was proven right more often than his critics criticism of it.
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Most Syrian Rebels Sympathise with Isis, Says Thinktank . By Staff and agencies. fforts to wipe out Isis in Syria and Iraq would not end the global threat from jihadi groups because extremist views were common among Syrian fighters of all stripes
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Syria: The Break For The Border. By Pepe Escobar. Erdogan’s pretext is to block by any means the attempt by YPG Syrian Kurds to unite their three cantons in northern Syria.
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US Friendly Fire… With Friends Like That Who Needs Enemies?. By Finian Cunningham. Iraqis will see the latest American “mistake” as further evidence that the US military is in reality working covertly in Iraq to support the terror group known as Islamic State.
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US Plotting to Disintegrate Iraq, Syria into 8 New States. By FARS News. Washington plans to disintegrate regional states into smaller countries to make them weak and guarantee Israel's security.
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US, European Powers Prepare New Air And Ground Operations Against Libya. By Thomas Gaist. The new government has been cobbled together to fabricate a legal fig leaf for another military onslaught against Libya.
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John Pilger on Wars of the Future and Past . Video. John Pilger talks about media silence on Yemen, media attacks on Corbyn and the importance of the Spanish election
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The Creeping Villainy of American Politics. By Chris Hedges. The worst nightmare for ISIS, like the demagogues in the West, is that we reject their call to create a wedge between religious communities
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The Logic of the Police State . By Matthew Harwood. People Are Waking Up to the Darkness in American Policing, and the Police Don’t Like It One Bit
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Partnering With The Devil. By Jim Hightower. Blatant lies, PR cover-ups, and a culture of total impunity are now central to the corporate business model.
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH


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Opinion. Erotismo y miseria mercantilizada. Fernando Domínguez
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