sábado, 12 de diciembre de 2015

DIC 11 15 SIT EC y POL



DIC 11 15 SIT EC y POL


ZERO HEDGE


Is This What Happens On Monday?. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/11/2015

[ Los especuladores tiemblan.. temen que ocurra lo anterior y esperan que el FED los salve ]



[ Que el FED los salve?.. pero si a la vez piden que el FED desaparezca.. por que esperan peras del olmo?... NO, NO es un olmo… es Santa Claus que siempre les regala QEs a costas del pueblo ]

Four months ago, China decided to devalue the Yuan sending a shudder up and down collateral chains globally and forcing carry trade unwinds and derisking everywhere. Friday August 21st saw notable weakness as that weakness washed ashore in US equities.. and then Black Monday struck. The ensuing debacle stalled The Fed and shocked markets.
The last week, we have seen China devalue the Yuan very significantly, EM capital markets turmoiling, and today, that was ashore in US equities... what happens next?
Deja vu?  LO ESPERADO  o  SABIDO  (extraña que esto ocurra? Si ocurrió en Ag 21 por que no hoy?)


Deja vu?  LO ESPERADO  o  SABIDO  (extraña que esto ocurra? Si ocurrió en Ag 21 por que no hoy?))


"As for near-term risks—we believe the most imminent market catalyst will be the December Fed meeting in which we are likely to see the first rate hike of the cycle."
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But to a market which has traded mostly on technicals and program buying (and selling) in recent months, there is something far more troubling than just what the Fed will announce:
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This important event falls at a peculiar time—less than 48 hours before the largest option expiry in many years. There are $1.1 trillion of S&P 500 options expiring on Friday morning. $670Bn of these are puts, of which $215Bn are struck relatively close below the market level, between 1900 and 2050. Clients are net long these puts and will likely hold onto them through the event and until expiry. At the time of the Fed announcement, these put options will essentially look like a massive stop loss order under the market.
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What does this mean? That there is a very high probability the implied "stop loss" level will be triggered, and the market could trade to a level equivalent to the strike price, somewhere in the 1,800 area, or nearly 200 points below current levels.
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Which would be a tragedy for the Fed: after all, .. The irony will be if, regardless of what the Fed does, the subsequent move is driven not by the market's read through of monetary policy but by the "pin" in this massive $1.1 trillion option expiry, the biggest in many years, forcing the Fed to backtrack in less than 2 days!
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Whether this happens remains to be seen, ... However, considering Kolanovic' track record of hinting at key risk inflection risk, it is quite likely that whatever the ultimate closing price on December 16 and, more importantly, December 18, volatility may very soon have an "August 24" type event.
Charts: Bloomberg
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Every year, roughly $1 trillion flows illegally out of developing and emerging economies due to crime, corruption, and tax evasion. This amount is more than these countries receive in foreign direct investment and foreign aid combined. This week, a new report was released that highlights the latest data available on this “hot” money. How does this “hot” money leave these countries? Global Financial Integrity has calculated that 83% of illicit financial flows are due to what it calls “trade misinvoicing”.

[ Si miramos el mapa del llamado “trade misinvoicing” vemos que la niña violada ha sido America y que los violadores vienen de China y de Méjico y Brazil.. Patético! ..  pero cierto. ]
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Living A Lie. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/11/2015 [vivir en el reino de las mentiras ]

The country has been living a Big Lie since the day Nixon closed the gold window in 1971, eliminating any vestiges of constraint upon central bankers and politicians.” www.zerohedge
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[ Obama teme que el pueblo se levante en armas.. y nosotros que los desocupados nos asalten. Lo grave es que él sabe que cada vez que “prohíbe la venta de armas” –solo de palabra- aumenta esa venta.  Muchos se preguntan si Obama es un agente del NAtional Rifle Association. ]

“As President Obama prepares executive action to pass further gun control legislation, one errant reporter dared to ask the White House press secretary exactly how such proposals would have prevented any recent mass shootings. The response was... as expected.” www.zerohedge

[ Anoche asaltaron a mi vecina en el vecindario.. y cuando vino la policía –tarde como siempre- le sugirieron que se compre un arma. Entrevístenla.. vive en 310 Ophelia Street, Pgh PA 15213.]
More on this topic?. Check this: What Drives Gun Sales In America
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[ Si es imposible evitar ser asaltado.. por que prohibir que quien tiene legalmente armas.. las use?.]
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“When we first detailed the link between a devaluing currency, increasing restrictions on outflows of China capital, and Bitcoin, the virtual currency soared (driven by Chinese flows, just as predicted). The last few days, as China has once again started devaluing its currency, authorities once again moved to tighten capital outflows - this time through caps on credit-card withdrawals (as warned here) - and sure enough, Bitcoin has been soaring recently. Specifically, a nationwide crackdown on illegal Union-Pay point-of-sale devices, has sparked capital flight (on heavy volume) through the virtual currrency.” www.zerohedge

[ Any official currency –especially dollars created from the thin air- is a virtual currency. What happens is that there is an organized mafia -called IMF- that warrantee who is the right rat to profit from this legal “manipulated” fraud.. Bitgcoins are not included in that pest .. Bitcoins  were not created by China.. however, due to the fact that trade is prohibited in yuans.. they used.. . So, instead of prohibiting bitcoins they should aloud the circulation of yuans worldwide. The prohibition of yuans is also similar to prohibiting the circulation of arms in America. ]
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[ Lio de hampones en un circo de mala calidad.. si a los payasos Saudis y a Trump se les permitiese entretener a los presos de una cárcel.. estaría bien.. pero no somos los presos que ellos imaginan que somos. ..Pertenecemos a la cárcel neoliberal que no tiene otra celda que no sea el greed desmedido.]
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Sooner or later we all sit down to a banquet of consequences - Robert Louis Stevenson
The three quotes below sum up my views on the chart below. 
“Facts do not cease to exist because they are ignored.” - Aldous Huxley
 ..
“That men do not learn very much from the lessons of history is the most important of all the lessons that history has to teach.” - Aldous Huxley
..  
“Sooner or later we all sit down to a banquet of consequences” - Robert Louis Stevenson


The stock market is the most overvalued in history.
You’ve been warned.
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"Everything's Crashing". Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/11/2015

The writing has been on the wall for a few days/weeks, but it appears a combination of global FX and equity turmoil and domestic corporate debt market collapse is finally starting to roil US equity markets. The Dow is down over 600 points in the last week or so, bond yields are collapsing, the USDollar is tumbling, crude is crashing, and junk bonds are in free-fall.
[ Bud day, let’s see what happens on Monday  ]
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Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/11/2015 - 07:36
  • Futures down sharply as oil hits seven-year low (Reuters)
  • Oil slides to new seven-year low as IEA warns of worse glut (Reuters)
  • But... but... they all said... Cheap Oil Gives Little Help to U.S. Spending (WSJ)
  • Disappearances in China Highlight Ruling Party Detention System (BBG)
  • China’s Credit Rebounds as Stimulus Helps Boost Loan Demand (BBG)
  • Junk Fund’s Demise Fuels Concern Over Bond Rout (WSJ)
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GLOBAL RESEARCH


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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE


ISIS is simply a “Saudi army in disguise.”
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Majority Of U.S. Millennials Want To Send Troops To Fight ISIS, But Wouldn't Go Themselves
By Reuters.
Despite their support for sending troops, 85 percent of respondents told pollsters they would "definitely" or "probably" not be willing to join the military
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In the 21st Century, before a man and a woman are allowed to make love, some sclerotic bureaucrat or child-molesting priest, is expected to slam a stamp on a paper form and declare: “you can now kiss the bride.
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“Americans are less well-to-do now than at the start of the 21st century. For all income tiers, median incomes in 2014 were lower than in 2000."
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH


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Europa. “Somos seres humanos, no animales”. Amy Goodman y Denis Moynihan
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Otro mundo es posible. Cinco argumentos a favor del decrecimiento. Giorgos Kallis
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Cumbre “ecologista” de París.  Ecocidio en curso. Marcelo Colussi
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PRESS TV


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