domingo, 22 de diciembre de 2019

ND DEC 22 19 SIT EC y POL



ND  DEC 22 19  SIT EC y POL 
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Eco


"Emerging and developing economies already are more vulnerable on a variety of fronts than they were ahead of the last crisis"
…..
            OPEN THESE CHARTS:
            -Global debt on track  to surpass $233 trillion  in 2019
            -Biggest recession risk is corporate deliveraging
            -“Japanification” of Europe
            -The FED Fund rates are close to “….’neutral’ ..”
            -How FED tightening cycles end [don’t opened: you can get Heart Attack]
            -Global debt in trillions USD [ 2 chart in case you survive the above H-A]
             -Who is borrowing?  [You knew it: Emerging markets. Will the pay? No way]
-CONCLUSION: "Emerging and developing economies already are more vulnerable on a variety of fronts than they were ahead of the last crisis,"
----
----


ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics

"The Fed will expand its balance sheet through April/May. After that, markets may once again have to confront a world with limited trade progress and no further Fed support."
See Chart:
FED Balance Sheet and 3m10Y  UST Spread

CTA’s  Net position in UST Future (TY) as estimated by Nomura
See Chart:

China's credit impulse is all that matters for the world originated on this blog), peak periods for the reflation trade have historically tended to be preceded by the proactive expansion of credit by China's policy authorities (and vice versa). One can think of the performance of long-term holdings in terms of the 24-month Sharpe ratio (risk-adjusted return) for the performance of value over growth (buying value and selling growth) in global equities (MSCI ACWI).
See Chart:

see more charts  at:
----
----


"In the last 30 years, there are not many that look like 2019."

Another way to look back at 2019, is that it was "a year in three acts", or as Sheets puts it, there really were three distinct phases. Considering global equities:
  • 1. Act I: A powerful rally from depressed valuations and sentiment, as the Federal Reserve made a dramatic reversal to its policy guidance (January 1 – April 30)
  • 2. Act II: A volatile period of no gains for five months, as the market worried about a lack of trade progress and continued weakness in global data (May 1 – September 30)
  • 3. Act III: A "year end" rally driven by hope that at least ‘phase one’ of the US-China trade deal could be completed, and balance sheet expansion from both the Fed and ECB
Charted, these acts look as follows:
See Chart:
2019’s performance was really a split in three distinct phases

See More interesting charts at
----
----


US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio



Favorable opinions of socialism are rising in the U.S., but capitalism is still preferred...
…..
Que acepten que el socialism crece.. es síntoma de derrota inevitable
See Chart at:
====

In the late 1990s, policymakers made a “huge” policy mistake as they left easy money in place far too long resulting in finance racing far ahead of the economy as equity prices and corporate debt soared to record levels while operating profits were declining. The end result was the dot com bubble.
====

The fact: so many people are willing to risk having their savings consumed if the market breaks hard and falls away shows how complacent we have become...
====

Of course, if the Fed fails to “extinguish” whatever “blaze” they are currently battling, then we will begin to have a very different conversation about risk, positioning, and liquidity...
====

"Leave no vacancy behind"
….
Then: we cannot believe he is an idiot.. He just represent his social class
====


"... Trump has not lost his base. They’ve gotten bigger, and angrier, and whiter, and madder."
====


"We never stood a goddamn chance. None of us did. The deck was stacked against us long before we got here..."
We all slid out of the womb an itty bitty helpless information sponge into a world full of mentally ill giants who couldn’t wait to fill our tiny skulls with all of their inner demons. And now everything, understandably, is fucked.

That’s basically our whole entire situation in a nutshell. You can add on as many extra details as you like — plutocracy, corruption, mass media propaganda, billionaire wine cave fundraisers, whatever — but ultimately our plight is due to the fact that every single human showed up on this planet completely helpless and knowing nothing, forced to trust crazy giants to give them the grand introductory tour.

Those clever humans used this newfound ability to place themselves in charge, and to make a bunch of rules to be passed down from generation to generation proclaiming that the less powerful humans must submit to the more powerful humans. Over the generations these rules became more and more numerous and complex, weaving in moralism, codes of filial piety, and insane, power-serving religions glorifying meekness, obedience and poverty.

That is your legacy. That is everyone’s legacy. Countless generations of cumulative madness, washed into the present moment on a current of eons of exploitation and senseless cruelty stretching all the way back to the dawn of our species on this planet.

You’re an adult now. You’re in charge. See if you can figure out how to run this place better than we did.”  We never stood a goddamn chance. None of us did. The deck was stacked against us long before we got here.

This is ultimately the answer to every question about why things are fucked right now.   Because every adult on this planet started off tiny, helpless, impressionable, and surrounded by gargantuan madmen, and it made it almost impossible to be sane. That’s why.

And that’s what I’m pointing to here: it’s important to get clear on just how far back the crazy goes and how fundamentally interwoven it is with the situation in which we now find ourselves. 

Can all humans become deeply sane and untainted by their ancient heritage of madness? It would take a miracle. A whole lot of miracles. Billions, to be precise.
But then, I believe in miracles.
….
----
----

Scapegoat secured...
====

"There's a lot of Benjamins all over the world"
====

This silent majority has a very good memory, and they know very well who Nancy Pelosi is... Trump energizes his base, and the DNC suppresses and disappoints theirs. That’s where the election will be won or lost.
====


US-WORLD  ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo

WW3 started in the middle east & US has to take out troops asap from Siria

2020 could once again witness the US and Russia on the brink of war in Syria.
====

Lies are intended to secure public support for policy and defeat opposition at home...
====
====


SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3

----
----


NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am search f alternatives to neo-fascist regimes & terrorist imperial chaos

VIENTO SUR

Libro: Finanzas, las sombras que nos gobiernan  Gonzalo Fernández
Francia   Claves para entender la reforma de pensiones   Pierre Khalfa
Debate  Capital e ideología: un título engañoso    Alain Bihr
Salud mental   ¿Quién define el “apoyo mutuo”?  Darby Penney
FEM: Prólogo a “Revolucionarias. Mujeres entre el feminismo y el socialismo”:   Sobre la construcción de genealogías que movilicen   Julia Cámara
-AM-LAT:  Un premio a la Teoría de la Dependencia  Claudio Katz
-Qué producir y cómo  Quién decide: una cuestión democrática  Manuel Gari
----
----


GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars from US-NATO  allies

----
===

No hay comentarios:

Publicar un comentario